supply

Arbitrum co-founder Steven Goldfeder stated that there is a misunderstanding in the market regarding the supply of ARB, often including the tokens held by the DAO in the locked supply.He pointed out that the token unlock for ARB investors and team members is nearing completion and will be fully unlocked by March next year. Currently, the portion of tokens that have not yet been unlocked accounts for approximately 7.7% of the total supply.The Arbitrum DAO treasury currently holds 2.84 billion ARB, but these tokens are not traditional locked tokens; they are controlled by circulating token holders, and their transfer must be approved by a vote from other token holders.

Serenity posted a reminder that the fundamentals of storage shortages have not changed and may even become more acute. The market will shift from one bottleneck sector to another, but the companies themselves remain unchanged; what changes are the valuations and narratives. Serenity added several pieces of evidence suggesting that the storage supply-demand gap may be worse than the market expects: Nikkei reported that Japanese distributors claim the storage demand gap has reached 40% to 60%, and prices may rise by about 50% by the end of the year; SpaceX has not accounted for the approximately $1.3 trillion capital expenditure from ultra-large cloud providers, and total spending may exceed expectations; SanDisk's expected gross margin of 80% is expected to be maintained until 2030; and order visibility for companies like Samsung has extended to 2031.Serenity emphasized that storage stocks are highly volatile, with some of its positions showing unrealized gains of over 270%, making them easier to hold. However, the company's operational fundamentals and short-term stock prices often do not align. The same logic applies to other bottleneck areas such as optical modules, CW lasers, and substrates; after a rebound in stock prices, there is no need to assume that shortages have ended. Storage prices and supply-demand structures remain tight, and market sentiment and valuation narratives are rapidly rotating.

On Wednesday, the stock price of Nasdaq-listed company Farmmi surged from Tuesday's closing price of $0.1187 to a high of $0.5, with an intraday increase of about 321%. The trigger was a Memecoin named after the mushroom varieties in the company's annual report (Money Mushroom, code JINQIAN) starting to trade against its so-called "tokenized stock" FAMI on the Robinhood Chain.However, on-chain data shows that FAMI is not an official stock token from Robinhood: its total supply of 37,430,000 tokens (close to the total number of Farmmi's circulating shares) was generated in a one-time minting during the creation of the trade, with the deploying wallet retaining 38% and deploying a contract named PoolRepricer to manage the price itself, with no further changes to the supply thereafter. This token has no issuer, no redemption mechanism, and is completely unrelated to real Farmmi stock. In contrast, the official stock tokens from Robinhood are issued by Robinhood Assets (Jersey) Limited, and only authorized participants can subscribe and redeem.In terms of market performance, FAMI reached a high of $1.83 in the USDG pool, and as of 2:28 p.m., it was priced at $0.2135, a 45% premium over the stock price, with a total trading volume in the related pool reaching $131.4 million; the trading volume of JINQIAN against the FAMI pool was about $92 million, and at least 10 more Memecoins were launched within the following 30 minutes.

According to SolanaFloor, the supply of tokenized equity on the Solana chain has reached a historic high, with the scale of tokenized equity deposited in lending protocols also hitting a new high of $60 million. $NVDAx and $SPYx rank at the top by the number of holders.

Data shows that in the past month, the USDT supply on the Tron chain increased by 4 billion dollars to 94.27 billion dollars, surpassing the USDT supply on Ethereum.

Bitcoin mining company BitMine Immersion Technologies stated in its latest staking disclosure that as of August 30, it has staked 5,067,309 ETH, valued at approximately $12.7 billion based on a price of $2,511. The company's disclosed staking balance remained unchanged from August 9 to 30, while it added 53,501 ETH in the latest week, bringing its total holdings to 5,901,112 ETH.BitMine indicated that its Ethereum vault accounts for about 4.9% of the total Ethereum supply of 120.7 million coins, and the company had previously set a target to acquire 5% of the total Ethereum supply. The company has set the annualized yield for its staking operations over the past seven days at 2.63%, stating that the annualized staking income corresponding to the current holdings is approximately $335 million; if the entire ETH balance is staked through its self-built network and staking partners at the same yield, the annualized staking rewards could reach $390 million.BitMine officially launched its self-built "Made in America Validator Network" (MAVAN) in April this year. In its April disclosure, the company mentioned that some staked ETH had already been deployed on MAVAN, but did not specify the exact amount. BitMine's staking holdings were 4,879,157 ETH at the beginning of July, surpassed 5 million on August 9, and have remained stable in the subsequent four weekly disclosures. The company's chairman, Tom Lee, has stated that BitMine's staked ETH amount exceeds that of any other entity.

Pons officially updated the token burn progress on the X platform, stating that 29% of the total supply of PONS tokens has been burned, and the Pons Treasury continues to use 80% of the protocol fee revenue to increase its holdings of PONS.

According to Cointelegraph, the supply of ETH has increased by more than 20,125 ETH in the past 7 days.

OpenAI announced the end of its nearly four-year collaboration with Cursor. Subsequent OpenAI new models will no longer be integrated with Cursor, and the direct supply of existing models is scheduled to stop on November 12, 2026. Two weeks prior, SpaceX completed a $60 billion acquisition of Cursor, and according to the contract between the two parties, OpenAI has the right to terminate the collaboration after Cursor's acquisition.OpenAI stated that this decision is related to its trust issues with Musk's company, mentioning the violation of the contract with OpenAI after Twitter's acquisition, as well as previous violations by xAI in using OpenAI models. Based on this, OpenAI believes that continuing to provide new models to Cursor after its acquisition by SpaceX poses risks.

According to monitoring by Lookonchain, realtrumpcoins (@realtrumpcoins1) has launched a token called GOLD, which is followed by @realDonaldTrump. The developers hold 600 million GOLD, and 15 newly created wallets spent $18,700 to purchase 224.5 million GOLD. The team currently controls 82.45% of the total supply of GOLD.

According to the official webpage, the voting phase for the Solana double deflation proposal has ended, with a voter participation rate of 60.69%. Among the votes, 67% were in favor, the opposition rate was 25.16%, and the abstention rate was 7.84%, with the approval rate reaching the required 2/3 support threshold for passage. The proposal aims to reduce the inflation rate of SOL to about half of its original rate, increasing the deflation rate to 30%. Based on current estimates, this proposal will reduce the issuance of SOL by approximately 18.9 million over the next six years.In addition, the voting phase for the resource and fee inclusion proposal has ended, with a voter participation rate of 61.14%. Among the votes, 53.9% were in favor, the opposition rate was 18.92%, and the abstention rate was 27.18%, with the approval rate not reaching the required 2/3 support threshold for passage. This proposal suggests introducing a transaction fee mechanism based on resource consumption, charging fees according to the network resources consumed by transactions, which is expected to increase the daily burn rate of SOL from the current approximately 650 to between 7500 and 9000.

Messari researcher Anastasiia stated that the new version of Ethena's fee switch is proposed to trigger based on the 14-day average supply of USDe, gradually increasing the revenue extraction ratio at thresholds of $7.5 billion, $10 billion, $15 billion, and $20 billion, and redirecting part of the revenue originally used for sUSDe staking, partners, and Aave leveraged operations towards ENA buybacks.Backtesting shows that during the activation of the switch, the annualized buyback scale is approximately $52.7 million, equivalent to 3.36% of ENA's market cap at the reported price; at the same time, about 9.3% of activation days will cause the yield of sUSDe to fall below that of sUSDS.The Ethena Foundation released four ecological adjustments, including the launch of a buyback ENA governance proposal and the cancellation of monthly VC unlocks.

Samsung Electronics has launched the passport-type foldable smartphone Galaxy Z Fold8 this year, and the supply of display driver chips (DDI) is tight. The demand for Z Fold8 has exceeded expectations, and Samsung is increasing component orders. However, this DDI is designed by Samsung's System LSI Division and produced by Taiwan's foundry UMC using a 22-nanometer process, which has reached its production capacity limit, making it difficult to advance the production schedule.Industry insiders say that UMC's 22-nanometer production line is also manufacturing other chips, and Samsung's request for super urgent service was rejected. Samsung plans to prioritize the DDI quantity originally reserved for development next year for mass production this year. The typical time from wafer to finished product takes about 4 months, and the finished product is then assembled after being bonded with Samsung's OLED. Samsung is also increasing orders for hinges and ultra-thin glass (UTG). The demand for Z Flip8 is in line with lower expectations, and Apple also plans to launch a passport-type foldable product in the second half of this year.

Apple's first 2-nanometer M6 chip officially debuts, equipped with a 12-core CPU, 12-core GPU, and dual 16-core neural network engines, with unified memory bandwidth reaching up to 170GB per second, initially featured in the new Mac mini. This chip is manufactured by TSMC using a 2-nanometer process and is the first to adopt gate-all-around (GAA) nanosheet transistors, making it the world's first consumer-grade 2-nanometer chip.The supply chain is focused on the subsequent high-end M series packaging architecture. Based on the Fusion Architecture of the previous generation M5 Pro, M5 Max, and the four-die design of M5 Ultra, Apple chips have transitioned from a single large die to a modular design. Future M6 Pro, Max, or Ultra are expected to enhance advanced packaging requirements such as SoIC-MH and WMCM, increasing interconnect density with SoIC-MH and integrating logic, LPDDR memory, and high-speed I/O with WMCM.TSMC is actively preparing for expansion, with Zhunan AP6 as the main mass production base for SoIC, Longtan AP3 upgrading to WMCM, and Chiayi AP7 taking on related capacity. Analysts estimate that WMCM's monthly production capacity will reach about 60,000 units by the end of 2026 and over 120,000 units in 2027. Equipment manufacturers such as Hongshuo, Junhua, Yinneng, and material manufacturers Changxing, Xinying Materials, and Yongguang are expected to benefit.

Doppler Finance announced the launch of the native utility and governance token XDP, serving as the protocol coordination layer, supporting user participation, decentralized governance, and ecological growth. XDP is designed around three main functions: protocol privileges, governance, and future security modules. Users can stake XDP to gain access to premium vaults and strategies, priority for new products, and eligibility to participate in ecological activities; staking details will be announced separately.In terms of governance, XDP holders can participate in decisions regarding protocol parameters, ecological incentive budgets, vault plans, and future functionalities. The security module is planned to be launched in subsequent phases, where eligible users can configure their staked XDP into a coverage pool, assuming corresponding risks to earn additional incentives. The total supply of XDP is 10 billion, with over half allocated to ecological development, vaults, partners, and community growth, while contributors and investors have longer lock-up and vesting arrangements.The XDP genesis airdrop accounts for 1.0%, which will be fully unlocked for early users, contributors, and supporters at TGE; an additional 43% is allocated for ecology and incentives, to support subsequent Doppler Points seasons, XDP staking, and other community programs. The official contract address will only be published through official Doppler channels, and users should be wary of third-party information, phishing websites, and any requests for funds or private keys.

NVIDIA (NVDA.O) Chief Financial Officer stated that the outlook for fiscal year 2028 will be affected by supply constraints.

According to Chao Xiang Research, a Morgan Stanley report points out that the total off-balance-sheet commitments disclosed by hyperscale vendors, Nvidia, and Broadcom have exceeded $3.1 trillion. Among them, lease commitments amount to $1.1 trillion, procurement commitments to $1.7 trillion, and the total on-balance-sheet debt and lease liabilities of hyperscale vendors is $770 billion.Amazon and Google's free cash flow turned negative in the second quarter of 2026, and Meta is expected to follow suit next quarter. Financing tools are restructuring the capital structure of AI computing power from six aspects: off-balance-sheet lease and procurement commitments constitute the first layer of financing, the proportion of debt issuance rises from 2% in 2025 to 19% in 2026, Google frees up $110 billion by cutting buybacks and issuing equity, Oracle's customer prepayments in the second quarter amount to $4.6 billion, and Broadcom and Nvidia launched a chip leasing SPV to support unrated AI labs.Morgan Stanley believes that as the financing structure itself becomes a core variable of the AI supply chain, the importance of tracking off-balance-sheet commitments and changes in accounting judgments is approaching that of tracking chip shipments themselves.

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix plan to increase the supply of 8-layer HBM4 memory to NVIDIA in the second half of this year.This move is influenced by NVIDIA's supply strategy, aiming to ensure a stable supply of HBM memory while also considering product heat generation.

According to South Korea's Chosun Ilbo, the export prices of DRAM in South Korea continue to soar, with AI-driven HBM production squeezing the supply of ordinary memory. Data shows that from the 1st to the 20th of this month, the export unit price of DRAM from South Korea reached $92,183 per kilogram, a year-on-year increase of 401%, and approximately 12.5 times higher than the low point in January 2023.Goldman Sachs expects the DRAM supply gap to widen from 5.0% this year to 5.9% next year, believing that the HBM required for AI servers and high-capacity server DRAM are absorbing limited production capacity, leading to further tightening of ordinary DRAM supply, with shortages potentially lasting until 2028. TrendForce predicts that by the end of next year, the wafer input for HBM production by Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron will account for 30% of the total DRAM wafer input, but HBM will only account for about 13% of the actual DRAM bit supply.Memory manufacturers warn that the supply tightness of DRAM and NAND driven by AI demand may continue until after 2027. SK Hynix stated that from the supply side, 2027 could become the most severe shortage year in the history of the memory industry.

According to the Chosun Ilbo, in the context of the U.S. government increasing pressure on investment in South Korea, the U.S. has recently made demands to the South Korean government and companies to build storage semiconductor production facilities in the U.S. and ensure a stable supply of storage chips. In response to South Korea's promotion of a 800 trillion won semiconductor cluster plan, the U.S. has also informally expressed dissatisfaction, believing that South Korea is actively supporting domestic semiconductor investments while showing a negative attitude towards investing in the U.S. This is the first time the U.S. has mentioned the South Korean government's "super project" while pressuring for investment.Minister of Trade, Industry and Energy Lee Chang-yang also discussed related matters during his recent visit to the U.S. for investment negotiations. The South Korean government believes that the U.S. semiconductor investment demands are independent of the previously agreed $350 billion investment arrangement with the U.S., and plans to announce its first investment project in the U.S. in September. Domestic semiconductor companies are concerned that if they formally accept the U.S. request to establish factories while promoting the Hunan cluster, it may create a dual burden. Additionally, it is reported that Foreign Minister Park Jin spoke with U.S. Secretary of State Rubio that evening to exchange views on investments in the U.S. and bilateral relations.