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Google Quantum Chip Breakthrough: Reducing Key Computation Error Rate, Early Bitcoin Wallet Quantum Risks Under Attention

Google stated that its Willow quantum chip reduces the error rate in preparing the special states (Magic States) required for quantum computing by about 40 times through a method called "Cultivation." The related research was published this week in Science, which is expected to lower the hardware costs of future large-scale quantum computers and draw more attention to the potential threat of cracking Bitcoin wallets.Magic States are a key resource needed to perform certain quantum computing operations, and their preparation process consumes a significant amount of hardware. Google's experiment achieved about 99.99% state fidelity, but only about 8% of attempts passed the screening. Researchers indicated that future experiments need to be scaled up and issues such as real-time operation and error correction need to be addressed. In March of this year, Google estimated that under specific hardware assumptions, future quantum computers might only need fewer than 500,000 physical qubits to crack the cryptography used in Bitcoin and Ethereum wallets.For Bitcoin, some early wallets' public keys have been public since their mining, theoretically making them targets for future quantum attacks; while wallets with undisclosed public keys may face different attack conditions. However, this breakthrough does not mean that quantum computers are capable of cracking Bitcoin. Google's previous cost estimates for attacks assumed the use of efficient Magic States preparation schemes, so this result cannot simply be understood as a 40-fold reduction in the cost of cracking Bitcoin. Research is still in the advancement stage of quantum hardware and error correction technology, and the complete equipment and engineering capabilities required for actual attacks have not yet been realized.

Data: The United States XRP and ZEC spot ETF had a total net outflow of 14.8678 million USD in a single day, while NEAR had a net inflow of 1.126 million USD

According to SoSoValue data, the total net outflow for the U.S. XRP and ZEC spot ETFs was $104,500 and $14,763,300 respectively, with a total net outflow of $14,867,800; the NEAR spot ETF had a total net inflow of $1,126,000 for the day.For XRP, the Franklin XRP ETF (XRPZ) had a net inflow of $3,644,800 for the day, with a historical cumulative net inflow of $513 million; the Bitwise XRP ETF (XRP) had a net outflow of $3,749,400 for the day, with a historical cumulative net inflow of $685 million. As of the time of writing, the total net asset value of the XRP spot ETF was $1.528 billion, with a net asset ratio of 1.81%, and a historical cumulative net inflow of $1.803 billion.For ZEC, only the Zcash ETF (ZCSH) recorded a net outflow for the day, amounting to $14,763,300, with a historical cumulative net inflow of $164 million. As of the time of writing, the total net asset value of the ZEC spot ETF was $674 million, with a net asset ratio of 3.21%, and a historical cumulative net inflow of $164 million.For NEAR, only the Bitwise NEAR ETF (NRR) recorded a net inflow for the day, amounting to $1,126,000, with a historical cumulative net inflow of $80,440,700. As of the time of writing, the total net asset value of the NEAR spot ETF was $8,612,500, with a net asset ratio of 1.24%, and a historical cumulative net inflow of $80,440,700.

first_img Google stated that the Willow chip reduces magical state errors by approximately 40 times

The Google Quantum AI team published a paper in Science, announcing that a technique called magic state cultivation reduces errors by about 40 times on the Willow processor, producing logical fidelity of 99.99% for T states. Magic states are one-time resources required to run useful quantum programs, consumed with each use; according to estimates cited by Google, the cost of producing magic states can account for up to 95% of a quantum computer's total capacity, leaving very limited space for actual computation.The previous standard approach was magic state distillation proposed by physicists Sergei Bravyi and Alexei Kitaev in 2004, which required a large number of qubit factories dedicated solely to this task. Google researchers proposed a cheaper cultivation route in 2024, which behaves more like a filter: injecting rough magic states into a small area of the chip, running a series of checks on them, discarding all attempts found to be defective, and allowing the passers to gradually expand. In the experiments, only about 8% of attempts passed all checks, meaning that more than 90% of attempts had to be discarded for each clean state retained.The cultivation technology is one of the supports for Gidney's 2025 estimate that RSA-2048 encryption could be broken by fewer than a million noisy qubits, a reduction of 20 times from the 20 million estimated in 2019. This experiment used up to 54 of the 105 qubits in Willow, with the paper noting that breaking the RSA-2048 key requires magic states with an error rate of about one in ten billion, which is about a million times cleaner than this result.
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