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According to a report by Sina Finance, U.S. President Trump stated that the current question is whether I should reach an agreement with the Iranians or completely eliminate them? We get everything, and they (Iran) get nothing.We are fully aware of what is happening at Iran's "Mount Hekou" facility. Currently, the Iranians have not taken any significant actions regarding their nuclear facilities, and we are closely monitoring the situation.

Trader Bonk Guy posted a review stating that on October 10, 2025, due to systemic failures at several large centralized trading platforms, he experienced the largest single-day loss of his career, amounting to eight figures in dollars within minutes. In the following weeks to months, he lost millions of dollars due to overtrading.Bonk Guy indicated that a better choice at that time would have been to pause trading for several months or at least half a year and stay away from trading terminals. The eagerness to recover losses and prove trading ability drove him to keep entering the market. He believes that trading ability, experience, and systems are not sufficient to ensure consistent outperformance of the market; results also depend on market conditions, timing, and luck. Advantageous strategies vary in different environments, and sometimes the best trade is to not trade.He cited a cyclical framework stating that the average crypto bull market lasts about 1,060 days, accounting for approximately 74% of the cycle, while bear markets last about 380 days, accounting for about 26%; if the bull market is defined as when Bitcoin's price is above the 200-day moving average and the upward momentum is strong, the opportunity window may shorten to about 237 days, accounting for about 16% of the cycle. These numbers depend on the definition of the phases. He also mentioned that compared to forcing trades in unfavorable conditions, it is more important to protect capital, maintain judgment, and wait for the next significant opportunity. When lacking an advantage, one can temporarily stay out of the market or participate only with a small portion of funds that can withstand losses.

Bitcoin News posted on platform X that Fidelity Digital Assets research analyst Zack Wainwright stated that as of October 12, Bitcoin has risen nearly 50% from its bear market low of about $58,000 in June, with a trend similar to its recovery path in 2022.He warned that the return rate of Bitcoin in each cycle is narrowing, and past performance does not guarantee future results, but a significant increase in dollar terms is still possible; it took nearly 16 years for Bitcoin to break $100,000 for the first time, while rising from $100,000 to $200,000 could be much quicker.

Cryptocurrency analyst Ali Charts stated that as the U.S. midterm elections on November 3 approach, investors may overlook the recurring phenomenon of Bitcoin pullbacks observed in previous election cycles. He believes that this election may once again be accompanied by significant volatility, and the downside risk is worth noting, with a key focus on the lower price level of $73,000. According to his statistics, during the U.S. midterm election cycles in 2010, 2014, 2018, and 2022, Bitcoin experienced pullbacks of 72%, 65%, 52%, and 27%, respectively.However, he emphasized that correlation does not imply causation; the election itself may not necessarily be the reason for the decline, as these pullbacks are also influenced by the overall market cycle of Bitcoin, liquidity conditions, and investor sentiment. Fourth-quarter returns also exhibit similar characteristics: in 2014, 2018, and 2022, Bitcoin fell by 16.7%, 42.16%, and 14.75% in the fourth quarter, respectively. The only exception was in 2010, when it rose by 391%, but Bitcoin was still in its early development stage at that time. Therefore, in the past four midterm election years, three of those years recorded negative returns in the fourth quarter.Regarding the subsequent trend, Ali Charts indicated that the area around $73,000 is close to the average purchase cost of current short-term Bitcoin holders, which can be used to observe the positions of recent investors entering the market. He pointed out that in an established bull market, Bitcoin often finds support near the cost of short-term holders after experiencing a significant pullback. He believes that if selling pressure accelerates after the election on November 3, pushing Bitcoin back down to around $73,000, that area will become an important position to test whether buyers are still willing to maintain the overall bullish trend. If the price continues to rebound from that area, it will strengthen the bullish judgment; in terms of operations, he will wait for signs of selling pressure exhaustion and renewed demand before considering establishing long positions.

The National Information Security Vulnerability Sharing Platform (CNVD) released a security announcement titled "Analysis and Repair Suggestions for PHP Remote Code Execution Vulnerability," in which it supports affected users to closely monitor official information, download and update to the latest version through official channels. Users who are temporarily unable to update can take measures to reduce certain attack vectors, mitigate vulnerability threats, and continuously monitor for abnormal PHP process exits, abnormal system command calls, unfamiliar process creations, and abnormal file writes, while retaining logs for traceability analysis.In its protection recommendations, CNVD stated that information system operating units should further strengthen security protection, comprehensively sort out their network assets, and reduce the public exposure of information systems according to the principle of not connecting to the internet unless necessary. Operating units that are currently unable to repair should take temporary response measures such as network isolation, network access restrictions, and taking unnecessary business systems offline.

Zhao Changpeng stated that no cryptocurrency wallet can achieve absolute security, and there is no software without vulnerabilities or technology that is 100% secure.He pointed out that any action carries risks, and so does inaction; it is inevitable to encounter problems, setbacks, and challenges that need to be addressed during the process. Zhao Changpeng advised users to stay informed about the latest developments, manage risks effectively, and actively solve problems.

Vitalik Buterin posted on the X platform stating that he does not predict that defense will automatically lead over offense, but believes that cybersecurity will ultimately trend towards a favorable outcome for defense, although the transition process will be very difficult.He pointed out that "good people discovering vulnerabilities in released software before bad people" does not belong to a game where defense has the advantage. To truly tilt the game towards defense, a deeper methodological shift is needed, including formal verification, radical reduction of the Trusted Computing Base (TCB), etc., and currently, these shifts have only just begun. He also stated that this is an important reason for his friendly attitude towards slowing down or pausing AI development, and called for investing more than 1% of GDP into cybersecurity, biosecurity, and the fortification of the physical world.

On October 20, 2026, Jason Pagoulatos, a macro and market author at the cryptocurrency research institution Delphi Digital, released a report titled "The House Always Wins: Why Speculation is the Theme of This Decade." Pagoulatos stated that speculation has two long-term engines: constructive and lottery-like. Technological changes open the former, while fiscal and political pressures open the latter; historically, many famous bubbles have been driven by one or the other. Today, both are operating at high speed simultaneously, and the same batch of technologies is feeding both. He thus considers speculation itself as an investable theme, advocating for holding places for liquidation bets rather than holding the bets themselves.The data cited in the report includes that the U.S. federal deficit for fiscal year 2025 is $1.8 trillion, about 5.8% of GDP, with net interest around $1 trillion per year, exceeding defense spending. The Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies states that the national median price for single-family homes in 2024 is 5.0 times the median household income; the National Association of Realtors reports that first-time homebuyers account for 21% of transactions, with a median age of 40. According to the American Gaming Association, legal sports betting amounts have risen from $6.6 billion in 2018 to $166.9 billion in 2025. Capital expenditures for Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta are approximately $416 billion for 2025, with guidance for 2026 totaling about $720 billion to $745 billion, plus Oracle.In terms of venues, Robinhood's event contract revenue for Q2 2026 is $156 million, higher than stock revenue of $129 million and crypto revenue of $100 million during the same period. Hyperliquid's expenses for 2025 are about $972 million, with transactions around $3 trillion. Kalshi reportedly raised funds at a valuation of about $40 billion, and Polymarket is set to relaunch in the U.S. by the end of 2025. The author also mentions that the most likely mistake is to hold inventory of the crowd and call it a casino. The report states that it is for educational and general informational purposes only and is not investment advice; the author may hold Bitcoin, HYPE, HOOD, and LIT, and affiliated party Delphi Ventures may invest in the assets or agreements discussed in the report.

Elon Musk stated that for SpaceX, a wise move is to sign short-term contracts to lease AI data centers.

According to Bloomberg, Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson stated that as the three-month stock market correction enters its final stage, investors should be prepared to buy on dips.Historically, in similar situations, high-quality stocks typically outperform by 7.5% in the following year.

Ledger CEO Pascal Gauthier responded to former Mt. Gox CEO Mark Karpelès' warning about the security risks of hardware implants, questioning his stance and stating that Ledger has always done its utmost to protect users.Pascal Gauthier stated that the relevant security work is extremely challenging, acknowledged Karpelès' concerns on the matter, but urged him to speak based on known facts and avoid speculation, while also sarcastically saying, "Come on, you're not some white knight, be realistic."Previously, Mark Karpelès accused Ledger of potentially avoiding over $90 million in losses if they had disclosed related issues more timely and effectively, rather than just publishing a discreet article on Ledger Academy. He also questioned why Ledger had not maintained sufficient vigilance regarding the mass production of advanced implant devices.

NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang told CNBC that the company must collaborate with Chinese artificial intelligence companies to monitor related risks. In a media briefing in London on Wednesday evening, he stated that both parties should work together to safely advance technological development. Huang mentioned that artificial intelligence poses potential dangers and indicated that he maintains ongoing dialogue with many researchers in China.Huang believes that the way to collaborate with Chinese artificial intelligence companies is through dialogue and emphasized the need to strengthen this dialogue. He stated that the United States should do this and also advocated for the United Kingdom to take the same approach. The page noted that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei advocate for increased regulation, while Huang has become a prominent voice opposing this stance. In recent months, researchers from laboratories including OpenAI and Anthropic have called for a slowdown in technological development and warned of risks to human survival.The page also mentioned that U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent discussed U.S.-China artificial intelligence dialogue with Chinese counterpart He Lifeng in September, covering communication channels for events up to the national security level. The Chinese side reported that Xi Jinping pointed out that there may be competition between China and the U.S. in artificial intelligence, but the space for cooperation may be larger, and both sides can continue to exchange views on risks and benefits to jointly prevent abuse. Huang stated that the UK, with its intellectual capital, is well-positioned to become the convener of relevant dialogue. The related market data showed that NVIDIA's stock price fell by $3.95, a decrease of 1.78%.

On October 15, Musk responded to a post on X. The post claimed that Amazon is blocking the Grok robot from placing orders and suggested that Musk launch X Shop. Musk stated that perhaps a company should be founded to compete with Amazon.

Larry Fink, CEO of the world's largest asset management company BlackRock, stated in an interview with CNBC on Wednesday that if the United States implements "some kind of pause" on data center construction, it will plunge the U.S. economy into recession. He said, "A large part of our economy is built on such capital expenditure expansion." Data centers are buildings that house a large number of computers and provide computing power for artificial intelligence. Fink's remarks were in response to calls to halt data center construction due to concerns about environmental impacts.Fink dismissed concerns about data centers, stating that most fears are based on "misinformation," and emphasized that "data centers are not the problem." He also pointed out their demand for labor in construction, energy infrastructure, and AI computing hardware. A survey by the Pew Research Center shows that at least 49% of Americans believe data centers negatively impact the environment and the quality of life for surrounding residents. Moody's estimates that U.S. capital expenditure on data centers will reach $700 billion this year, accumulating between $2.4 trillion and $2.48 trillion by 2030, with the global total reaching $7 trillion by the end of this decade.Fink also warned about the government debt issue, stating that the U.S. fiscal deficit is having a serious impact, with national debt rising from $8 trillion in 2000 to $40 trillion in 2026, "an increase of $32 trillion over 26 years," causing a huge shock to credit demand and leading to larger government bond auction sizes. He believes that private capital needs to be unleashed to drive the U.S. economy to achieve 3% growth. BlackRock saw a net inflow of $205 billion in the third quarter, with revenue growth of 19%, adjusted earnings per share increasing by 38% year-on-year, and operating profit margin rising to 47.8%.

According to a report by Bloomberg cited by Phoenix Technology, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg stated in the podcast "Cheeky Pint" aired on Monday that the company had to commit to investing about $100 billion or $200 billion in infrastructure last year when it was still unclear whether AI products could succeed. He said, "We can't be sure either."Zuckerberg recalled that he had asked Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang if he was certain of success. Wang stated that aside from "intuitive judgment," there was no guarantee of success, and at that time it was "completely uncertain." Chief Financial Officer Susan Li repeatedly warned that the cost of failure would be extremely high, and Zuckerberg told Wang, "I think Susan scared you quite a bit."On Monday, Meta released a new AI model, claiming a significant leap in performance and possessing "cutting-edge capabilities." Management stated that it could compete with ChatGPT and Claude in programming and financial and legal issues. Meta also launched a personalized intelligent agent called Muse for shopping, ticket booking, and appointments. Zuckerberg mentioned that he was uncertain about consumer reactions and expected further iterations. Meta will announce its third-quarter financial report after the U.S. stock market closes on October 21. Last quarter, free cash flow fell to its lowest level in years, and the stock price dropped by 8%, but as of Monday's close, it has risen over 12% this year.

Wintermute stated that the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes show that most officials expect another interest rate hike within the year, with the market pricing in a roughly 20% probability of a rate increase by the end of October. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond rose to 5.24%. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 index rose 1.2% last week, reaching a historic high, while the cryptocurrency market performed weakly. The rise in U.S. stocks was supported by expectations of corporate earnings growth, while the cryptocurrency market lacked similar earnings support and relied more on new capital inflows.As capital flows reversed, the cryptocurrency assets' sustained upward momentum over the previous six weeks became difficult to maintain. Bitcoin fell back from around $86,000 to $87,000 last week, dipping to about $80,400 on Thursday before rebounding above $83,000 and regaining the range high of $82,500. The U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net outflow of approximately $679 million last week, the largest single-week outflow since late June, while the Ethereum ETF experienced a net outflow of about $542 million.The cryptocurrency market has lost the support of capital inflows, while U.S. stocks still have earnings growth as a cushion. Therefore, in the short term, the market outlook will only remain optimistic if long-term Treasury yields stabilize and spot ETF funds turn back to net inflows. Before these two conditions are met, Bitcoin remains an asset that is more sensitive to U.S. stock volatility and has higher downside risks, making it inadvisable to chase low-quality altcoins. If the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield breaks above the 5.64% reached on September 30, or if Bitcoin continues to face resistance around $82,500, Wintermute will adopt a cautious stance. This week, attention should be focused on the U.S. September CPI data to assess whether energy inflation is spreading to core inflation, as well as the financial performance of financial institutions and AI-related companies.