Web3 AI Daily Review (2025/1/15)

1. Attention Value - Market Highlights

1. Market Conditions

(1) Macroeconomic Environment:
l U.S. December PPI data lower than expected, market sentiment tense
The PPI data released on Tuesday showed that the U.S. PPI rose 0.2% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year in December, both below market expectations. This data indicates that inflationary pressures in the U.S. have not intensified, alleviating market tensions. The U.S. stock market initially rose in early trading on the news but then experienced significant volatility, ultimately resulting in a slight decline of 0.23% in the Nasdaq index, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones indices rose by 0.11% and 0.52%, respectively. The release of this PPI data brings slight hope for the Federal Reserve's future interest rate cuts, but does not provide clear guidance. Amid concerns about inflation and uncertainty regarding Federal Reserve policies, market sentiment remains tense, with expectations of significant volatility around the release of CPI data. Additionally, with several important economic data releases this week, including the upcoming retail sales report, the market is increasingly focused on the relationship between economic growth and inflation. Analysts point out that although the PPI shows moderate inflation easing, this does not necessarily mean that the CPI will also decline.
(2) Web3 Sector:
l Franklin Templeton: The rise of AI agents presents new opportunities and challenges in the cryptocurrency space
A report released by Franklin Templeton Digital Assets highlights that AI agents are rapidly emerging in the cryptocurrency sector, showcasing significant potential. The report mentions several representative projects, including the Truth Terminal chatbot created by Andy Ayrey and its launched GOAT token, which has surpassed a market capitalization of $1 billion. Additionally, projects like Virtuals, ai16z, and Fartcoin are also gaining attention, with market capitalizations of $2.41 billion, $1.128 billion, and $885 million, respectively. While AI agents may play a crucial role in social media content generation and brand promotion, the report also warns that this technology is still in its early stages and faces market volatility and regulatory risks.

2. Hot Events

(1) Macroeconomic Environment:
l U.S. SEC sues Musk: Twitter acquisition allegedly involved securities violations
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has filed a lawsuit in the federal court in Washington, D.C., accusing billionaire Elon Musk of failing to timely disclose his stock holdings when acquiring Twitter (now known as X) in 2022. The SEC stated that Musk purchased over 9% of Twitter's common stock in March 2022 but did not submit the relevant report until April 4, delaying it by 11 days. This delay allowed him to continue purchasing Twitter shares at artificially depressed prices, saving at least $150 million. Musk's lawyers responded that he did not violate any laws and deemed the lawsuit "a farce." This case marks another legal action by the SEC against Musk, reflecting the long-standing tension between the two parties.
(2) Web3 Sector:
l Bitcoin's correlation with the Nasdaq 100 index surges to a two-year high
On January 15, the 30-day correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 index reached approximately 0.70, the highest level in two years. This indicates a high degree of price movement consistency between the two. Analysts Vetle Lunde and David Zimmerman from K33 Research noted in their report that the recent increase in sensitivity to interest rates makes the upcoming CPI data even more significant. Additionally, momentum related to Trump may still significantly strengthen in the days leading up to the inauguration. According to data from trading platform Derive.xyz, hedging activities in the options market are increasing as investors prepare for upcoming volatility. Research director Sean Dawson stated that the rising proportion of bearish bets indicates that investors are hedging against potential downside risks as the inauguration approaches.

3. Hot Narratives

l TikTok ban triggers "refugee wave," Xiaohongshu becomes a new haven
Since TikTok has faced a ban in the U.S., the "spiritual home" of users in Europe and America has collapsed, with millions of creators and content consumers flocking to Xiaohongshu, calling themselves "TikTok refugees." This influx not only rapidly elevated Xiaohongshu's ranking but also led foreign netizens to affectionately refer to it as "Rednote, a book of the world." Xiaohongshu has updated its short video interface in advance, mimicking Douyin's design style to prepare for these new users.
At the same time, users from the cryptocurrency industry have also begun to become active on Xiaohongshu, with related Meme coins like $momo and $薯队长 gaining market attention, although they have yet to form heavyweight viral Meme concepts. With the influx of TikTok users, Xiaohongshu has not only become a new haven for cultural refugees but may also become a new hotbed in the crypto world. Currently, the main Meme coins on Xiaohongshu include $momo with a market cap of $7.8 million, $薯队长 with a market cap of $250,000, and $REDnote with a market cap of $820,000, all closely related to Xiaohongshu's culture and user base.

2. Attention Value - Hot Projects

1. Project Introduction
l $MATES | AI | @MoemateAI
- $MATES is an AI coin that launched early this morning and sold out within one minute.
- As an AI companion platform, it has attracted 6 million users, with 2 million monthly visits, which is 15 times that of Virtuals Protocol.
- MoemateAI has built an end-to-end ecosystem, with core components including the Agent framework Skillz, similar to $GAME; flagship Agent @nebulamoemate, comparable to $LUNA; and Launchpad @mateslol. The ecosystem also includes the simulation engine Genesis, supporting interactions between multiple Agents, and the AI content creation platform Moegen.
- Moemate's flagship Agent @nebulamoemate aims to become a multilingual, multimodal AI celebrity. She attracted over 1,000 viewers and 5,000 likes during her first live broadcast on TikTok, quickly rising to fame.
- Another highlight of Moemate is the AI content creation platform Moegen, which utilizes the latest technologies (such as controlnet and LORA) for AI image generation, enhancing the interaction capabilities of AI Agents on Moemate. Moegen allows users to generate multiple comics and templated Memes from a single prompt, greatly enriching the possibilities for content creation.

3. Attention Value - Sector Rotation

1. Hot Sectors

Source: Dune, Dot Labs

Source: Dune, Dot Labs

2. Internal Sector
   

Source: Dune, Dot Labs