BTC $65,326.82 -0.31%
ETH $1,887.34 -1.65%
BNB $568.04 -0.34%
XRP $1.11 -1.97%
SOL $75.75 -1.95%
TRX $0.3309 +1.01%
DOGE $0.0698 -3.40%
ADA $0.1674 -3.24%
BCH $211.81 -2.21%
LINK $8.52 -0.38%
HYPE $58.84 -0.05%
AAVE $95.91 -1.03%
SUI $0.7417 -3.81%
XLM $0.1836 -0.39%
ZEC $510.46 -1.15%
BTC $65,326.82 -0.31%
ETH $1,887.34 -1.65%
BNB $568.04 -0.34%
XRP $1.11 -1.97%
SOL $75.75 -1.95%
TRX $0.3309 +1.01%
DOGE $0.0698 -3.40%
ADA $0.1674 -3.24%
BCH $211.81 -2.21%
LINK $8.52 -0.38%
HYPE $58.84 -0.05%
AAVE $95.91 -1.03%
SUI $0.7417 -3.81%
XLM $0.1836 -0.39%
ZEC $510.46 -1.15%

bigg

All
Article
Flash

first_img Pantera Capital: Hyperliquid's potential addressable market daily trading volume is approximately $100 trillion, with regulation remaining the biggest risk

According to a post by the cryptocurrency venture capital fund Pantera Capital, Hyperliquid's potential addressable market size is approximately $100 trillion in nominal daily trading volume, which includes about $200 billion in 0DTE options and leveraged ETF trading, around $2 trillion in commodity derivatives trading, and approximately $8 trillion in foreign exchange derivatives trading, which is currently almost entirely off-chain.Pantera stated that if Hyperliquid can consistently capture a low single-digit share of the aforementioned comprehensive trading volume, its revenue potential could reach up to five times the current level. It is estimated that if the HIP-3 market is calculated at an annualized nominal trading volume of $36.5 trillion and captures a 1% market share, under the assumption of a 2 basis points comprehensive fee rate and a 50% Hyperliquid economic split, Hyperliquid could generate approximately $3.7 billion in revenue.However, Pantera also pointed out that regulation is the biggest risk facing Hyperliquid. Perpetual contracts are not yet fully open in the United States, and if the U.S. pushes for the legalization of related products and launches regulated platforms in the future, Hyperliquid may face more intense competition, and some U.S. user trading volume may also shift to compliant venues. Pantera also believes that Hyperliquid may eventually launch a regulated version for the U.S. market, similar to other platforms.

Michael Saylor: The biggest evolution of BTC in the next decade is the stability of the protocol layer, while expanding in the capital markets and application layer

Michael Saylor stated that the biggest evolution of Bitcoin in the next decade will come from fewer changes at the protocol layer and a greater role in other areas. He believes that the foundational layer of Bitcoin will become more solid, capital markets will continue to deepen, applications will expand, institutions will enter, and the world will build on Bitcoin. Bitcoin is not a tech stock, a payment company, or a software platform competing to add features, but a monetary network whose purpose is not to act quickly and disrupt things, but to move slowly and remain unbroken.Saylor indicated that Bitcoin has won the first important battle, and the world is increasingly understanding that Bitcoin is digital capital, possessing attributes such as scarcity, durability, portability, divisibility, programmability, and global transferability. The strongest version of Bitcoin is not to "replace all payment rails," but to become a neutral, global, scarce asset around which capital, credit, and commerce are organized. The foundational layer is not optimized for coffee payments, but designed for final settlement, reserve assets, collateral settlement, and ultimate ownership transfer.He believes that the four-year cycle of Bitcoin is still important, but no longer the dominant model. In the next decade, Bitcoin's price movements will be driven less by miner issuance and more by capital flows from ETFs, corporate treasuries, sovereign reserves, bank credit, derivatives, insurance, collateral, and global savings. Halving will tighten supply, while capital flows will determine the growth trajectory. Digital credit will accelerate Bitcoin adoption, connecting Bitcoin capital with the broader financial system.Saylor stated that the main question in the next decade is not whether Bitcoin can survive, but whether economic exposure is still connected to real Bitcoin or if too much "paper Bitcoin" is being formed. Custodial transparency, proof of reserves, risk management, capital structure, and counterparty risk will all become important.He expects that by 2036, Bitcoin will be more widely held, more deeply institutionalized, more politically significant, and become an important collateral asset in the digital credit market; while the foundational protocol itself may change less than everything built around it.

Standard Chartered Bank: It is expected that by the end of 2028, the scale of on-chain tokenized assets will reach $4 trillion, with DeFi protocols being the biggest beneficiaries

According to The Block, Geoffrey Kendrick, the global head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered Bank, stated that the total scale of on-chain tokenized assets is expected to reach $4 trillion by the end of 2028, with stablecoins and real-world assets (RWA) each accounting for $2 trillion. Standard Chartered believes that DeFi protocols with mature risk control systems and scalability will be the main beneficiaries of this trend, while the advancement of the U.S. Clarity Act may become an important catalyst for accelerating the on-chain transition of traditional finance.Kendrick pointed out that the core advantage of DeFi lies in "composability." In an on-chain environment, the same asset can simultaneously earn yields, serve as collateral, and maintain liquidity, which the traditional financial system cannot achieve with similar efficiency. He stated that this structural advantage means "1+1=3." Standard Chartered cited BlackRock's tokenized U.S. Treasury fund BUIDL as an example, noting that the product not only yields about 4% from U.S. Treasuries but can also be converted into sBUIDL for use in lending protocol collateral and serves as a reserve asset for products like Ethena USDtb and Ondo OUSG.The report also noted that the current scale of off-chain assets is still about 1,000 times that of on-chain assets, and the tokenization of institutional-grade assets may become the core source of growth for the next phase of the industry. Regarding institutional adoption, Standard Chartered mentioned that Aave's asset scale once matched that of the 38th largest bank in the U.S., and the current daily trading volume of on-chain stablecoin lending has reached $1.5 billion to $2 billion.At the same time, the Bitcoin lending product developed in collaboration between Coinbase and Morpho currently has a loan scale of about $1.75 billion, covering approximately 22,000 borrowers, indicating that traditional financial institutions are gradually using DeFi as underlying infrastructure.
app_icon
ChainCatcher Building the Web3 world with innovations.