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Standard Chartered Bank: It is expected that by the end of 2028, the scale of on-chain tokenized assets will reach $4 trillion, with DeFi protocols being the biggest beneficiaries

According to The Block, Geoffrey Kendrick, the global head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered Bank, stated that the total scale of on-chain tokenized assets is expected to reach $4 trillion by the end of 2028, with stablecoins and real-world assets (RWA) each accounting for $2 trillion. Standard Chartered believes that DeFi protocols with mature risk control systems and scalability will be the main beneficiaries of this trend, while the advancement of the U.S. Clarity Act may become an important catalyst for accelerating the on-chain transition of traditional finance.Kendrick pointed out that the core advantage of DeFi lies in "composability." In an on-chain environment, the same asset can simultaneously earn yields, serve as collateral, and maintain liquidity, which the traditional financial system cannot achieve with similar efficiency. He stated that this structural advantage means "1+1=3." Standard Chartered cited BlackRock's tokenized U.S. Treasury fund BUIDL as an example, noting that the product not only yields about 4% from U.S. Treasuries but can also be converted into sBUIDL for use in lending protocol collateral and serves as a reserve asset for products like Ethena USDtb and Ondo OUSG.The report also noted that the current scale of off-chain assets is still about 1,000 times that of on-chain assets, and the tokenization of institutional-grade assets may become the core source of growth for the next phase of the industry. Regarding institutional adoption, Standard Chartered mentioned that Aave's asset scale once matched that of the 38th largest bank in the U.S., and the current daily trading volume of on-chain stablecoin lending has reached $1.5 billion to $2 billion.At the same time, the Bitcoin lending product developed in collaboration between Coinbase and Morpho currently has a loan scale of about $1.75 billion, covering approximately 22,000 borrowers, indicating that traditional financial institutions are gradually using DeFi as underlying infrastructure.

Aave founder: RWA is the biggest opportunity for DeFi in recent times, but we must be wary of institutions using DeFi as a liquidity exit channel

Aave founder Stani.eth posted on the X platform, stating, "The private credit market is facing pressure in a high-interest-rate environment. Since the Federal Reserve began its rate hike cycle in 2022, interest rates have rapidly risen above 5% and remained high, leading to a significant increase in capital costs for borrowing businesses and consumers.Recent data shows that several funds have experienced stock price declines and redemption pressures, such as Blue Owl Capital, which has dropped about 50% over the past year, and Blackstone's BCRED, which is facing approximately $3.7 billion in redemption requests in Q1 2026. The average BDC is trading at about a 20% discount, with yields of 10-11%, and some funds have seen default rates rise to 9%.Stani.eth proposed three risk scenarios: a single fund default can be absorbed by the system, multiple fund defaults may trigger a downturn in the credit cycle, and a complete collapse could lead to systemic risk. However, the overall private credit market has a total size of about $1.8-2 trillion, making a single fund default unlikely to cause a systemic crisis.For DeFi investors, the biggest risk is that many retail users do not understand the risks involved before putting funds into high-yield RWA. I believe RWA is the biggest opportunity for DeFi in the near term. However, my biggest concern is that institutional speculators may view DeFi as a channel to offload illiquid and distressed products that Wall Street has lost confidence in, effectively using DeFi participants as an exit liquidity.However, well-functioning on-chain private credit can provide advantages that traditional finance cannot reach. DeFi can enforce redemption windows, withdrawal limits, collateral ratios, and profit distribution rules through smart contracts, achieving transparent and immutable execution, avoiding arbitrary tightening of redemption policies by traditional fund managers. Through carefully structured RWA projects, transparent and secure investment channels can be provided between traditional finance and on-chain markets. DeFi should not become a source of exit liquidity for Wall Street."
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