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The asset management company Grayscale's crypto research team stated that the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike on Wednesday is unlikely to impact Bitcoin prices. Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl wrote in a report on Thursday: "We believe yesterday's action is a mid-cycle adjustment rather than a cyclical change. We doubt that the one or two rate hikes expected in 2026 will lead to significant changes in capital allocation."Pandl added that when the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates in 2022 to curb inflation, it "may have put pressure on Bitcoin prices," as this "significantly affected the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets." However, he believes this situation is more akin to 1997, when the Federal Reserve made a one-time rate hike while the Nasdaq index continued to rise.The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time since 2023 on Wednesday, causing Bitcoin prices to fluctuate sharply before stabilizing, with a slight increase of about 1% within 24 hours. Bitcoin prices recently approached $76,581, rising 18% over the past 30 days. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated that the central bank is focused on reducing inflation. U.S. President Trump expressed on his Truth Social platform that U.S. interest rates should be 1% or lower.

CoinGlass data shows that due to the overnight announcement of the interest rate hike decision by the Federal Reserve, the prices of gold and silver once plunged about 3% from their intraday highs and are currently still in a downward trend. Tether Gold (XAUT) is currently priced at $4,281.15, with a 24-hour decline of 0.77%; silver (XAG) is currently priced at $63.41, with a 24-hour decline of 1.78%. During the period of significant market fluctuations, the trading volume of Gate precious metal contracts surged: the trading volume of Gate silver contracts reached $253 million in 24 hours, ranking second in the industry; the holding amount of Gate XAUT gold is approximately $127 million, also ranking second in the industry.

Regarding the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates by 25 basis points as expected in the September meeting, Huobi HTX Chief Analyst Andy pointed out that what truly deserves attention is the comprehensive hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve's stance. All 12 officials rarely supported the decision unanimously, and the dot plot clearly indicates another rate hike within the year, with tightening becoming a consensus.The core message conveyed by the meeting is that the Federal Reserve is determined to rebuild its credibility against inflation at all costs. The economic forecast summary raised growth expectations and lowered the unemployment rate, reflecting confidence in a soft landing; however, the path for core inflation to decline has been significantly delayed, indicating that the higher-ups have accepted the reality of "higher for longer." Chairman Waller's statement is particularly crucial, placing anti-inflation efforts as an absolute priority. Even though the current economic fundamentals are robust and oil price fluctuations are supply-side factors, the Fed still chooses to respond with a tightening stance. This "better to be too tight than too loose" position has temporarily pushed up U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar, while suppressing gold.For the cryptocurrency market, uncertainty has actually decreased. A clearer policy path helps compress risk premiums, which is not a bad thing for risk assets in the medium to long term. The key going forward lies in data validation: if employment and growth remain strong, rate hikes may continue but at a slower pace; if the economy shows cracks, there is still room for a policy shift. Overall, the Federal Reserve is trading short-term pain for long-term policy credibility.

According to CME's "FedWatch," after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates as expected in September, the probability of maintaining the interest rate at 3.75%-4.00% in the October meeting is 59.5%, the probability of a 25 basis point increase is 40.1%, and the probability of a 50 basis point increase is 0.5%.The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate at 3.75%-4.00% until December is 16.7%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 54.0%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 28.9%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 75 basis points is 0.3%.

The White House spokesperson stated that the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike is "quite regrettable." Higher rates will not change oil prices.U.S. President Trump still believes in the independence of the Federal Reserve.

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates as expected in September, after keeping rates unchanged at the July meeting. Federal Reserve Chairman Waller stated that three things have changed between the two meetings.He said that data released in recent weeks indicates that the U.S. economy is performing strongly, especially in the labor market. At the same time, inflation rates remained high throughout the summer, significantly above the Federal Reserve's target of 2% year-on-year inflation.Finally, he noted that geopolitical factors also prompted the Federal Reserve to change its assessment of the economic outlook, although he did not directly mention the U.S.-Iran conflict in the Middle East. Waller stated, "These three factors contributed to our firm and consistent decision today."

The Federal Reserve's FOMC unanimously decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, adjusting the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75% - 4%, marking the first rate hike since July 2023. The latest dot plot shows that 16 officials expect at least one more rate hike by 2026, with the median rate expectations for 2027 and 2026 both at 4.1%.Federal Reserve Chairman Waller stated that recent data shows the U.S. economy is performing strongly, and the labor market remains resilient, but inflation is too high and has persisted for too long. The FOMC is currently not confident that inflation is moving toward the 2% target. He mentioned that the main issue for the current economy is not growth, but inflation. Waller also noted that the rise in U.S. Treasury yields is primarily driven by a strong U.S. economy, increased capital competition, and geopolitical factors.From the announcement of the decision to Waller's press conference, spot gold briefly fell by about $100, the U.S. dollar index rose by about 40 points and broke through the 100 mark, the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by about 10 basis points, and the 10-year yield rose by about 5 basis points, with U.S. stocks turning lower across the board. Interest rate futures are currently pricing in an additional rate hike of about 33 basis points this year and expect a cumulative increase of about 75 basis points by June next year.

According to Gate market data, the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point interest rate hike has been implemented, and the three major U.S. stock indices closed lower on Wednesday, with the Dow initially down 1.2%, the S&P 500 down 0.44%, and the Nasdaq down 0.01%. Intel rose 4%, SpaceX rose 5%, while Goldman Sachs and Boeing fell nearly 4%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index closed down 0.55%, iQIYI rose 8%, and Alibaba fell 2%.

The Federal Reserve FOMC statement indicated that interest rate hikes will support inflation's return to the 2% target "more promptly."

The median of the Federal Reserve's dot plot indicates that there will be one more rate hike in 2026.

Cointelegraph cited Bloomberg reporting that the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates for the first time since 2023, a move that may strain the relationship between Chairman Kevin Walsh and President Trump.

At 2 AM Beijing time on Thursday, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, with the market pricing in a probability of over 90% for a 25 basis point rate hike. Oil prices have risen above $100, and the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury has surpassed the critical psychological threshold of 5%. The focus of this meeting is whether the dot plot will be more hawkish and the description of the subsequent path.

According to official social media news, Huobi HTX will hold a live broadcast today at 20:00 titled "Clarity Bill Fails, Federal Reserve Rate Hike Pressures: Is the $75,000 BTC Support Level a Sign of Exhaustion or the Eve of a Break?" During this time, crypto KOLs such as Chan Ge, Da Mo Ge, 0x31ad, Chi Huo Bu Pa Pang, and Zi Zi will join the live stream to discuss the progress of the Clarity Bill, expectations of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, and its impact on liquidity in the crypto market. They will also analyze the recent trends of BTC, focusing on the bullish and bearish battles at the critical support level of $75,000 and the main variables the market may face in the future.

Cointelegraph reported that among 22 major institutions on Wall Street, 19 expect an interest rate hike in September, with most predicting a 50 basis point increase.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $175,824.35 in a single transaction regarding the "Federal Reserve's September decision" event, targeting a "25 basis point interest rate hike." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 88%.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, Strike founder and CEO Jack Mallers stated in an interview with Bitcoin Magazine that the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio has surpassed 120%, and the debate over whether the Federal Reserve should raise or lower interest rates has become irrelevant; both paths will ultimately lead to inflation.Mallers suggested that investors study Japan, where the country has had to rely on yield curve control and central planning interventions to maintain monetary stability. He believes the U.S. is heading toward the same situation. In his view, Bitcoin is the asset most sensitive to fiat currency liquidity and is the fastest horse in such an environment.Additionally, Mallers introduced Strike's transformation into a Bitcoin collateralized lending business and the significance of building a complete Bitcoin financial stack under a one-stop architecture.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, large capital movements are predicted to occur in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $52,800 in a single transaction regarding the "Federal Reserve's September decision" event, targeting a "25 basis point rate hike." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding win rate for this asset is 88%.