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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield returned to above 5.2% overnight, reaching a high not seen since 2007, putting pressure on global risk assets. Bitcoin has fallen back to around $83,000, with altcoins experiencing even larger declines. In this regard, Cloud, the chief analyst at Huobi HTX, believes that this drop is more akin to a normal pullback after a rebound and does not constitute the starting point of a trend reversal. The high U.S. Treasury yields mainly suppress valuations, with limited impact on the overall liquidity. The funding structure and holding costs of the crypto market itself have also not been disrupted. This round of decline seems more like a clearing of positions before key data is released.It is important to be cautious about the divergence between Bitcoin and altcoins. During a phase of marginal liquidity tightening, funds tend to concentrate on the most certain top assets; altcoins lack incremental funds to support them, and with heavier leverage, their pullbacks are therefore amplified. This divergence is likely to continue before the release of this week's PCE and non-farm data. If the data falls short of expectations, altcoins will have greater elasticity and thus higher risks; if the data exceeds expectations, Bitcoin's relative strength will be more pronounced. Whether Bitcoin can stabilize at key support levels will be the main signal to determine if this round of pullback has ended.Note: The content of this article does not constitute investment advice, nor does it constitute any offer, solicitation, or recommendation of investment products.

U.S. President Trump stated that U.S. officials spoke with mediators aimed at ending the U.S.-Iran conflict on September 28.Reports indicate that the U.S. and Iran are expected to hold talks again through mediators on the 28th or 29th. Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif and the Qatari mediators are currently in the U.S., and the discussions will focus on negotiating revisions to Iran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days, which was presented during the United Nations General Assembly.

According to a disclosure by Compound community member ugurmersin, the Compound Foundation is suspected of violating the strict limitations of Proposal 536. This proposal originally entrusted 8.42 million DAI from the decentralized autonomous organization's (DAO) reserves to the foundation for management, explicitly stating that the funds could only be used to support protocol operations, strictly prohibiting autonomous trading or speculation, and could not be used to fund the foundation's own business.

As the peace negotiations between the U.S. and Iran stall, oil prices rise during the day, and U.S. Treasury yields increase. The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note rose by 4.4 basis points to 4.907%, the yield on the ten-year note increased by 2.8 basis points to 5.208%, and the yield on the thirty-year note climbed by 1.7 basis points to 5.518%.

The government of Kazakhstan is promoting the use of associated gas to power cryptocurrency mining, in order to restore the mining industry affected by power restrictions. President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev signed a decree in July requiring the establishment of mechanisms for enterprises to conduct digital mining using associated gas.Daniyar Mubarakov, head of the Blockchain and Digital Mining Association, stated that the total amount of associated gas in Kazakhstan can be converted into 1.2 to 1.3 terawatt-hours of electricity, sufficient to support medium or large data centers or Bitcoin mines in some oil fields. The Ministry of Energy of Kazakhstan estimates that there are up to 60 oil fields in the country producing associated gas. Oil companies can sell waste gas to miners, reducing disposal costs by millions of dollars, while miners can lock in electricity prices for years, reducing dependence on grid power.The government of Kazakhstan is developing a relevant legal framework to clarify the operational rules for enterprises and regulate the market. Gizzat Baitursynov, Deputy Minister of AI and Digital Development of Kazakhstan, stated that this mechanism will increase government tax revenue and improve the environment.

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa), the GMGN associated address deposited 6,100 ETH to Coinbase, worth approximately 16.38 million USD.Looking back, this ETH was transferred from the Robinhood network to the Ethereum mainnet 6 days ago, possibly as revenue from transaction fees on the Robinhood network.

According to Forbes, Bitcoin approached $90,000 earlier this month. Meanwhile, global debt continues to rise, and the "currency depreciation trade" surrounding the decline in purchasing power of fiat currency has become one of the factors driving up assets like Bitcoin and gold.Data from the Institute of International Finance shows that global debt increased by $10 trillion in the first half of this year, surpassing $365 trillion in total. The U.S. debt has exceeded $40 trillion, with annual interest payments rising to $1.27 trillion, surpassing defense and Medicare spending, and only lower than Social Security spending. The institute warns that as benchmark interest rates rise, interest costs will also increase.Nic Puckrin, founder of Coin Bureau and cross-asset analyst, stated that the current environment is favorable for "currency depreciation assets" like Bitcoin and gold, which is part of the reason for Bitcoin's recent rise. The larger the debt of major economies, the more likely it is to suppress real borrowing costs and allow inflation to erode the real value of debt, thereby enhancing the attractiveness of such trades.Analysts from The Kobeissi Letter pointed out that the purchasing power of the dollar has declined by 23% since 2020; if assets only increased by 30% during the same period, investors have essentially just broken even in terms of real purchasing power. The U.S. inflation rate has been above the Federal Reserve's 2% target for 60 consecutive months.

According to Euronews, Kazakhstan is promoting cryptocurrency mining companies to utilize the remaining associated gas from oil fields to build their own power stations, in order to reduce natural gas flaring, alleviate pressure on the national power grid, and increase oil production.Data shows that the country will flare about 300 to 340 million cubic meters of associated gas in 2024, which, if used for power generation, is expected to produce 1.2 to 1.3 terawatt-hours of electricity. Currently, the Ministry of Energy of Kazakhstan and other departments are formulating the relevant legal framework.

According to The Block, Circle's Chief Financial Officer Jeremy Fox-Geen plans to step down after more than five years in office, with an expected departure by the end of December, unless the company identifies a successor earlier. Circle stated that it has engaged an executive search firm to initiate the recruitment process for a new CFO.

Summer Mersinger, former commissioner of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), will step down as CEO of the industry advocacy organization Blockchain Association at the end of the year and leave the organization. The organization announced on Friday that Mersinger will officially resign on October 16, and her predecessor, Kristin Smith, will return as interim CEO. Mersinger joined Blockchain Association in June 2025, after leaving the CFTC three years before the end of her second commissioner term.When discussing her departure, Mersinger stated that she came here from the CFTC because she believes the industry deserves clear rules and a credible and unified representative to speak for it in Washington. The Blockchain Association highlighted Mersinger's work in promoting the GENIUS Act and helping to achieve regulatory clarity at the SEC and CFTC in its statement.Notably, the organization did not mention the Digital Asset Market Clear Act currently under consideration in the Senate. This bill failed to gain enough support from Democratic and Republican lawmakers in a procedural vote earlier this month, and many experts expect the legislation to be shelved until 2027. The Blockchain Association did not immediately respond to inquiries about Mersinger's plans for 2027.

Market news indicates that Anthropic is negotiating a data center capacity deal of up to 1 gigawatt, with an expected investment scale of at least 40 billion dollars.

A team led by JPMorgan analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou released a report on Wednesday stating that Bitcoin recently surpassed the estimated production cost of approximately $85,000. The report noted that Bitcoin had been below this estimated average production cost for 280 consecutive days before breaking above it during this week's rebound, briefly trading above it before slightly retreating, at around $84,100.The analysts indicated that historically, production costs have acted as a soft floor for Bitcoin prices. When prices remain below this level for an extended period, miners with high electricity and equipment costs may become unprofitable. The last time Bitcoin was below the estimated production cost for a similar duration was in 2018, lasting about 224 days, during which the price drop prompted high-cost miners to shut down, leading to a decrease in Bitcoin network hash rate and mining difficulty.The analysts stated that the mining industry today is larger and more industrialized than in 2018, but the same adjustment mechanism still applies, namely the exit of high-cost miners. If this new situation can be maintained, it should provide relief for Bitcoin miners, thereby reducing their risk of being forced to sell.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, the wallet 0x6436 associated with Hyperliquid Strategies Inc has purchased another 494,200 HYPE (worth 45.8 million USD) in the past 16 hours.In the past month, this wallet has accumulated a total purchase of 5.51 million HYPE (worth 476 million USD), with an average daily purchase of 183,574 HYPE (worth 15.86 million USD). Hyperliquid Strategies Inc currently holds 35.1 million HYPE (worth 3.2 billion USD).

predict.fun posted on platform X that the probability of Variational FDV reaching 1 billion dollars has increased by 11% in the past 5 hours, currently standing at 75%.

The on-chain derivatives protocol Variational announced that the Token Generation Event (TGE) for the token $VAR is scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2026. The initial token distribution includes 32% genesis allocation, 18% ecological reserve, and 50% for team and investor shares. The genesis tokens will be airdropped according to the proportion of Variational points held and will be 100% unlocked at TGE; the ecological reserve will be retained by the Variational Foundation for ecological growth and distributed at its discretion.The team and investor tokens will be locked for 12 months after TGE, followed by a minimum unlocking period of three years. Team members are also subject to individual vesting arrangements, and the specific shares for both parties will be announced before TGE. Variational stated that it plans to use all revenue directed to the treasury for the repurchase and destruction of $VAR. Weekly point distribution will continue until TGE, with 150,000 points distributed each week; accounts must hold at least 1 point to qualify for signing terms and receiving the genesis allocation, and any unclaimed portion will be destroyed.Variational originally planned to end the points program in the third quarter of 2026 and subsequently launch $VAR, but this timeline has been delayed due to significant strategic partnerships. In the final weeks before TGE, the project will conclude private testing, launch Omni on the public mainnet, expand exchange functions, and release trading APIs, while also announcing details on repurchase and token usage, and disclosing the impact of new partnerships on Omni, Pro, and traditional financial markets on-chain when conditions permit.

According to Bloomberg, investment firm 1789 Capital is negotiating to raise $3 billion for its second growth fund, planning to increase its larger-scale investments in startups. Donald Trump Jr. is a partner at the firm, with the information coming from informed sources.The sources said that 1789 Capital has already raised $2 billion from existing investors. The fundraising is still ongoing, and the final amount may increase. The individuals requested anonymity due to the discussion of non-public information, and 1789 Capital declined to comment on the financing matters.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, BitGo's CEO Mike Belshe stated in an interview on Bitcoin Magazine's BMTV that the core of tokenization is not trading, but rather expanding access.He pointed out that the current financial system can be traced back to the paper stock certificate crisis of the 1960s, when the New York Stock Exchange had to halt trading every week to complete physical stock deliveries, and the framework built to solve this problem still primarily serves large institutions.Belshe believes that the inability of retail investors to borrow against assets and the necessity to sell assets is a key reason driving the K-shaped economic divergence. He discussed how "phantom stocks" and tokenized stocks could change this situation and mentioned that long-term confidence of holders can be demonstrated through proof of reserves and setting time locks for shares.The interview also covered the new centralized risks that may arise from custodial concentration, how multi-signature and MPC can eliminate single points of failure, the aspects that still need to be supplemented in the U.S. regulatory framework beyond clarity, and the role of AI agents in asset management. Belshe also explained the true meaning behind his previous comments about the dollar going to zero.

Glassnode stated that over time, it seems increasingly unlikely that a decline of the same depth as in past cycles will occur again in the later stages of this market. The "four-year cycle" pattern that the market previously relied on has not been reflected in this bear market.Data shows that the drawdowns in the past three cycles exceeded twice that of this cycle, and there are still several weeks until the cycle low point; in contrast, this time BTC has only fallen about 30% from its historical high, and the price is currently rising.