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US CFTC releases 24/7 trading supervision guidelines: Crypto derivatives are more suitable for around-the-clock trading

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has jointly issued staff guidance from its divisions of Market Oversight, Clearing, and Risk, addressing regulatory expectations and compliance requirements for the increasingly prevalent 24/7 trading, clearing, and settlement models, encouraging market innovation while ensuring compliance.The guidance emphasizes that regulated trading platforms, swap execution facilities, derivatives clearing organizations, and futures brokers must comply with the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) and related regulatory rules when expanding around-the-clock trading, and must proactively assess risk management and operational arrangements.The CFTC points out that the adaptability of different asset classes to 24/7 trading varies, with derivatives related to crypto assets being more suitable for around-the-clock trading and clearing due to their digital infrastructure and global continuous trading characteristics; whereas traditional commodity derivatives like agricultural products may not be suitable for full 24/7 operation due to their regional and trading structure characteristics.CFTC staff stated that relevant institutions should ensure compliance with regulatory frameworks and risk control requirements while promoting the continuous evolution of the market to support "responsible market innovation."

Analysis: Over the past 30 days, more than 100,000 BTC flowed into trading platforms while stablecoins accelerated outflow, increasing market selling pressure

Cryptocurrency analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that the inflow of BTC to trading platforms and the outflow of stablecoins from trading platforms simultaneously release a "risk aversion" signal, indicating that selling pressure in the market is increasing. Data shows that the net inflow of BTC to trading platforms over the past 30 days has shifted from an extreme net outflow of 300,000 BTC at the end of March to an inflow of 103,000 BTC, meaning more BTC is being reintroduced to trading platforms in preparation for sale. During the same period, the price of BTC dropped from $80,000 to $73,700.Meanwhile, stablecoins are flowing out of centralized trading platforms at a record pace. The average net flow of stablecoins over the past 30 days has shifted from an inflow of $164 million per day at the end of April to an outflow of $153 million per day. This indicates that the liquidity available for purchasing BTC in the market is decreasing. Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that when BTC flows into exchanges while stablecoins simultaneously flow out of trading platforms, it creates an unfavorable structure of "increased supply and decreased demand," which is a typical risk aversion market condition.He believes that if the net inflow of BTC continues to exceed +100,000 BTC, the market may face a deeper correction; while stable signals would include BTC turning back to a net outflow or stablecoins flowing back into trading platforms.

Goldman Sachs CEO discusses the impact of AI: AI is more inclined to enhance productivity rather than directly eliminate jobs

Goldman Sachs CEO Solomon wrote in The New York Times that the market's concerns about AI triggering a "massive wave of unemployment" are exaggerated. The U.S. economy will continue to create more new jobs through technological transformation, just as it did during the past industrial revolution and the internet era. Solomon stated that Goldman Sachs expects AI or automation to affect about 25% of existing work hours over the next decade, with significant impacts on white-collar sectors such as banking, accounting, and law. Research from Stanford shows that entry-level positions in highly automated roles like software engineering and customer service have declined by 16% compared to less automated industries.However, he pointed out that AI is also creating new job demands. For example, since 2022, the construction of data centers in the U.S. has generated over 200,000 construction jobs. Goldman Sachs itself may reduce some compliance and account opening positions but will increase hiring for client-facing roles in banking, trading, and asset management. Solomon believes that AI is more likely to enhance productivity rather than directly eliminate 25% of jobs. He stated, "Technological advancement and cultural change do not occur simultaneously; being replaceable does not mean one will necessarily be replaced." He also called for the government and businesses to jointly promote large-scale job retraining to address the structural changes in the workforce brought about by AI.
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