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momentum

BIT: The current indicators for Bitcoin are generally positive, but the upward momentum may still be disturbed by periodic risk factors before entering the target range

BIT tweeted that in the past two issues of the "Biton Target" report, we hinted that the bear market phase of Bitcoin may be nearing its end. Signals from multiple time dimensions are gradually forming resonance, supporting this judgment. When this judgment was made, Bitcoin was approaching the downward trend line formed since the bear market began in October 2025, just one step away from breaking upwards. Meanwhile, the weekly stochastic oscillator has fallen to a low not seen since January 2023, which was near the phase bottom after the end of the 2021/2022 bear market. Historically, this indicator reading often corresponds to market bottom areas.Our Bitcoin trend model has turned bullish. Trend signals do not always materialize, but considering that Bitcoin itself has strong trends and high volatility characteristics, after the previous two signals reversed quickly, the current round of movement has better conditions for continuation. Additionally, Bitcoin's price is gradually approaching the 21-week moving average, which has a critical boundary significance in our bull-bear judgment framework.$73,000 has always been an important watershed since March 2024 and is a key threshold for confirming whether this trend can reverse. Recently, Bitcoin has been fluctuating around $70,000. If it can effectively break through and stabilize above $73,000, the reversal signal will be further confirmed. Currently, various indicators are overall positive, but before the price enters this round's target range, the upward pace may still be disturbed by phase risk factors, so attention should be maintained.

Data: Global listed companies' BTC buying momentum has strongly rebounded, with net purchases exceeding 2.5 billion USD in a single week, setting a recent high

According to SoSoValue data, as of 8 AM Eastern Time on April 20, 2026, the total net purchase of Bitcoin by publicly listed companies worldwide (excluding mining companies) for the week was $2.542 billion, an increase of 154.2% compared to last week.Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) announced an investment of $2.54 billion (an increase of 154% compared to last week) to purchase 34,164 Bitcoins at a price of $74,395, bringing the total holdings to 815,061 Bitcoins.The Japanese listed company Metaplanet did not purchase Bitcoin last week.In addition, four other companies purchased Bitcoin last week. The American asset management company Strive announced on April 15 that it bought 27 Bitcoins, bringing its total holdings to 13,768 Bitcoins, without disclosing the specific purchase amount; the Japanese fashion brand ANAP invested $410,000 on April 16 to increase its holdings by 5.07 Bitcoins at a price of $81,607.50, bringing its total holdings to 1,422.1041 Bitcoins; the British Bitcoin company The Smarter Web Company announced on April 14 that it invested $800,000 to purchase 11 Bitcoins at a price of $72,702, bringing its total holdings to 2,706 Bitcoins; the French Bitcoin company announced on April 20 that it invested $920,000 to purchase 12 Bitcoins at a price of $72,102.50, bringing its total holdings to 2,937 Bitcoins.As of the time of writing, the total amount of Bitcoin held by the publicly listed companies included in the statistics (excluding mining companies) is 1,081,576 Bitcoins, an increase of 3.28% compared to last week, with a current market value of approximately $8.165 billion, accounting for 5.4% of the circulating market value of Bitcoin.

JPMorgan: Bitcoin outperforms gold and silver, with capital flows and momentum showing resilience

JPMorgan stated that under the backdrop of ETF fund outflows, deteriorating liquidity, and institutional deleveraging, gold and silver are under pressure, while Bitcoin shows greater resilience and relatively stable capital inflows.Gold ETFs recorded nearly $11 billion in net outflows in the three weeks leading up to March, and there was also a significant withdrawal of funds related to silver. Coupled with rising interest rates and a strengthening dollar, this has pushed precious metal prices lower. Meanwhile, Bitcoin funds continue to maintain net inflows, and market momentum is gradually improving. In terms of price performance, Bitcoin initially fell to the $60,000 range alongside risk assets at the onset of geopolitical conflicts but quickly stabilized thereafter, currently oscillating between $68,000 and $70,000, indicating that long-term capital is re-entering the market to support prices after the panic. Additionally, position and momentum data have also diverged, with institutional positions in gold and silver futures significantly declining since the beginning of the year, while Bitcoin futures positions have remained stable overall. Trend-following funds have shifted from "overbought" in precious metals to below neutral levels, exacerbating their downward pressure; Bitcoin, on the other hand, has rebounded from the oversold range, with selling pressure easing. Liquidity indicators show that the breadth of the gold market has fallen below that of Bitcoin, and silver liquidity has further weakened. JPMorgan believes that this change highlights Bitcoin's gradually emerging performance characteristics that differ from traditional safe-haven assets in the current macro and geopolitical environment.

Glassnode: The recent decline of Bitcoin from its peak reflects a weakening momentum rather than a deterioration of the trend

According to the market analysis weekly report released by Glassnode on Monday, the fund flow of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has sharply reversed, showing strong capital inflows, indicating that institutions are re-accumulating positions.Although ETF trading volume has risen accordingly, the increase in holder profits also brings short-term profit-taking risks. Bitcoin has retreated from a recent high of $98,000 to just over $90,000, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) declining but still above neutral levels, indicating it is in a consolidation phase rather than a trend deterioration phase.Spot trading volume has risen moderately, and the net buying and selling imbalance has broken through the upper limit of the statistical range, showing a significant reduction in selling pressure, but demand still appears weak. The slight increase in open interest in futures reflects cautious rebuilding of speculative activity, while the sharp drop in funding rates indicates a decrease in urgency among bulls.The options market continues to price in higher uncertainty, with ongoing demand for downside protection. On-chain activity has stabilized, with the number of active addresses and transfer volumes showing improvement trends, and network fees have risen slightly. The supply from short-term holders remains high, keeping the market sensitive to price fluctuations.Overall, Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase, but the strengthening buying power and the return of institutional interest are gradually pushing the market structure towards a more constructive direction.
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