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JPMorgan Chase: For the first time, includes Bitcoin in long-term return forecasts, with potential returns surpassing gold and bonds

J.P. Morgan Asset Management has first included Bitcoin in its long-term capital market expectations, forecasting an annualized return of about 10% for Bitcoin over the next decade, which is expected to outperform stocks, bonds, and gold. However, this prediction also assumes that Bitcoin's annualized volatility could reach as high as 55%, more than three times that of U.S. large-cap stocks.J.P. Morgan believes that the gradual improvement of the regulatory framework, along with the continuous enhancement of market liquidity and price discovery mechanisms, may further promote Bitcoin's recognition in traditional financial markets. Looking ahead to the next decade, technological innovations in fields such as artificial intelligence, robotics, healthcare, and space, as well as a global capital expenditure growth of approximately $15 trillion, are also expected to drive economic growth and asset returns. Analysts point out that the correlation between Bitcoin and other assets is unstable, making it currently unsuitable as a diversification asset in balanced investment portfolios; therefore, the institution has not yet included it in its main investment portfolio model. If Bitcoin's volatility continues to decline in the future and its correlation with other assets stabilizes, its portfolio allocation value is expected to increase.

X-Agent on-chain data is growing rapidly, x402 payments have surpassed 680,000 transactions

X-Agent's latest Dune data shows that as of October 20, the platform's related on-chain activities have reached 1,268,897 transactions, with the number of Agentic Wallets reaching 39,649. At the same time, a total of 680,285 x402 payments and 233,188 AI Activity Syncs have been generated.From the Dune trend data, X-Agent's on-chain activity saw significant growth in October, with Transactions rapidly increasing in volume for the month, and x402 Payments also experiencing notable growth recently. Compared to traditional AI products that mainly measure user numbers, conversation volume, and model invocation counts, what is more noteworthy in this data set is that AI Agents within the X-Agent ecosystem are gradually generating real, verifiable on-chain economic activities.Through the infrastructure of Agentic Wallet, x402 payments, and AI Activity Sync, Agents are evolving from mere information exchange tools to economic participants capable of executing tasks, using wallets, initiating payments, and generating on-chain records. This further validates the path of the Agent Economy that X-Agent is promoting: Build → Act → Pay → Verify. From "creating AI Agents" to "enabling Agents to truly execute and transact," X-Agent is attempting to connect Agent capabilities, on-chain execution, and payment settlement into a complete closed loop.As the scale of x402 payments and Agentic Wallet continues to grow, the Agent Economy is gradually transforming from a concept into real network activities that can be directly observed and measured by on-chain data.

Bybit CEO: By the end of last year, the stolen losses have been compensated, and the golden period of global expansion has passed

Bybit CEO Ben Zhou recently stated in an interview with Wu Shuo that Bybit has covered the losses caused by previous attacks from North Korean hackers through operational income such as transaction fees by the end of last year. He believes that there will still be trading platforms that encounter hacker attacks in the future, and the security system should be designed with the premise of "assuming it will definitely be hacked."Regarding competition, Ben Zhou believes that the golden period for the expansion of global trading platforms has passed, and the industry will further consolidate. Regional trading platforms with licenses and local operational capabilities still have opportunities. He revealed that Bybit's profits have declined year-on-year this year, and traditional asset trading businesses such as stocks are currently not enough to offset the impact brought by the cryptocurrency business.In terms of the U.S. market, he stated that Bybit is still waiting for the right opportunity to enter and is more inclined to cooperate with local institutions that have a retail user base. The core strategy for the next year will focus on regional development and deep localization. He also discussed the differences between the Bitget security incident and the Bybit theft incident, as well as the data security challenges brought by the large-scale application of AI within the platform.

Strive CEO: The long-term performance of Bitcoin is expected to surpass gold, maintaining a high exposure to Bitcoin is key to obtaining excess returns

Matt Cole, the CEO of Bitcoin Treasury Company Strive, stated on the X platform that the long-term trend of currency depreciation will continue to drive the appreciation of scarce assets. Bitcoin, as digital gold, is still in its early stages of development, and as the market matures, its long-term performance is expected to surpass that of gold.Cole pointed out that over the past 55 years, gold has had a compound annual growth rate that exceeded the growth rate of the U.S. M2 money supply during multiple periods. Specifically, since 1970, the rates have been 9% and 6.7%, respectively; since the global financial crisis, they have been 9.5% and 6.3%; and since the COVID-19 pandemic, they have been 18.3% and 6.5%. Cole believes that as the debt crisis continues to worsen, the long-term outperformance of scarce assets relative to the dollar may further expand.For Strive, the key to outperforming Bitcoin lies in maintaining a high Bitcoin exposure multiplier and sufficient liquidity, rather than simply reducing financing costs. He emphasized that establishing and maintaining high Bitcoin exposure while avoiding financial risks is extremely challenging, and the market currently underestimates Strive's competitive advantages in Bitcoin exposure amplification and liquidity management. Its core investment philosophy is to reduce dollar exposure in the long term and increase Bitcoin allocation.

first_img Latvia plans to allow cryptocurrency tax payments in 2027, parliament passes related bill

Latvia may allow residents to pay personal taxes with cryptocurrency by 2027, aiming to attract crypto businesses and investors. Prime Minister's strategic planning and new economy advisor Didzis Dejus told CoinDesk at the UN:BLOCK Fintech conference in Riga that he believes this arrangement will be realized next year. The country's Ministry of Finance has agreed to the plan, which still needs to complete technical integration with payment service providers.The plan builds on a proposal announced in May 2025, when Latvia proposed accepting cryptocurrency for tax payments and promoting the tokenization of assets such as real estate. Dejus stated that Latvia is not afraid to be the fastest-moving country and hopes to attract more crypto businesses beyond licensing. He did not disclose specific payment service providers or specify which cryptocurrencies could be used for tax payments.Meanwhile, the Latvian parliament passed legislation on October 15, changing the taxation of withdrawals from crypto investment accounts to apply to amounts exceeding the deposited amount, rather than taxing each transaction. The law introduces a one-time reporting mechanism, allowing holders to settle past tax obligations by declaring 10% of the asset's market value by the end of 2026, with the reporting period from April 1 to May 31, 2027, and taxes due by July 23. Dejus stated that this measure will help those who purchased cryptocurrencies years ago but lack cost records. The timing of the tax payment plan may depend on the next government, as the United List led by Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs won the parliamentary elections on October 3 and is expected to be nominated again, but still needs coalition partners.

first_img Open source AI reverse engineering tool REA surpasses 100,000 stars on GitHub in one week

The free and open-source tool REA (Reverse Engineer Anything) saw its star count on GitHub rise from less than 10,000 on October 6 to over 100,000 by October 12, with more than 30,000 added in a single day on October 11. This tool integrates AI programming assistants like Claude Code and OpenAI Codex with professional reverse engineering suites like Ghidra, bridging the model context protocol MCP launched by Anthropic. Since its creation in April of this year, REA had long gone unnoticed; its readme file states that the tool does not claim to restore original source code or automatically clone applications, nor does it come with a decompiler.REA has been used for various reverse engineering attempts on software and games: players have made Spider-Man swing through Gotham City in "Batman: Arkham City," someone stuffed about 1,600 items from "Minecraft" into "Elden Ring" to battle Boss Malenia, and mod authors have brought firearms and menus from "Escape from Tarkov" into "The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim." Old console exclusives are also breaking free from their platforms; in September, enthusiasts used open-source AI models and recompilation tools to bring "Fable 2," which had never been released on PC, to Windows, with AI completing the startup in about an hour, followed by a long manual fix; another developer has made "GTA 5" run natively and smoothly on iOS.
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