quant

According to PR Newswire, the blockchain asset management firm CMCC Global announced the tokenization of its Crest Fund (Crest) and Liberty Bitcoin Accumulation Fund (LBAF), calling them the first tokenized master fund products issued under El Salvador's digital asset legal framework.The two funds will be issued using Tether's Hadron tokenization platform and will raise funds from qualified investors through the regulated Bitfinex Securities platform, with the subscription period ending on October 30, 2026. Both funds are multi-manager quantitative hedge funds that invest in market-neutral strategies in the digital asset market, including funding rates, cross-exchange and volatility arbitrage, market making, and DeFi strategies. Among them, Crest is denominated in USD, targeting returns above U.S. Treasury yields; LBAF is denominated in Bitcoin, targeting a net annualized return of 8% to 12%.BTCS S.A., a digital asset treasury company listed in Poland and Frankfurt, has agreed to act as a cornerstone investor and plans to allocate a three-digit number of Bitcoins to LBAF, with the specific amount not yet disclosed. The token issuance price is set at $10 per CREST and 0.0001 BTC per LBAF, with a minimum subscription of one token; eligible holders can also trade on the secondary market through Bitfinex Securities around the clock.

According to The Block, holders of Starknet (STRK) supported a research proposal with over 93.5% of the voting power, which aims to explore the transformation of Starknet from an Ethereum Layer 2 network to an independent Layer 1 network with quantum resistance.StarkWare plans to release a draft white paper in November to further investigate the relevant technological pathways. It is important to note that this vote only supports the initiation of transformation research and does not mean that the transformation plan has been officially approved. Further governance approval will still be required to advance the related transformation.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the "Elon Musk Tweet Count Prediction" event on the Polymarket market, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "320-339" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 45.05% an hour ago to the current 60.85% (a fluctuation of 15.8%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

NVIDIA (NVDA.O) has completed a record simulation of fault-tolerant quantum computing at the Leibniz Supercomputing Centre.

Ethereum research forum researcher Pierre proposed a faster, aggregatable, and quantum-resistant privacy pool solution.This solution ports a Tornado Cash-like privacy pool to the hash-based SNARK system Flock, which may possess post-quantum security, and uses SHA-256. The solution replaces large circuits with small "single compression" circuits.

CryptoQuant's latest analysis indicates that while Bitcoin has support, the recovery process is uneven. First, regarding exchange reserves, it has risen from about 2.67 million BTC at the beginning of October to about 2.68 million BTC, still far below January levels. Low reserves do not mean that supply is continuously shrinking; transfers may reflect custody changes, and the increase itself does not prove selling pressure. Secondly, the recovery of spot demand has been hindered, with 30-day spot demand once approaching zero before turning negative again. Perpetual contract demand is positive, supporting overall demand.Finally, the behavior of whales is diverging. Addresses holding 100 to 1,000 BTC have still net accumulated over the past 60 days, but this is below the peak at the end of September; the group holding 1,000 to 10,000 BTC has seen a net decrease approaching zero; and the group holding over 10,000 BTC is negative. Accumulation is not fully underway. CryptoQuant believes that conditions still exist to support Bitcoin's bottoming out. For a solid recovery to occur, sustained spot demand support is needed, buyers must be able to absorb the BTC flowing back to exchanges, and accumulation behavior should spread to more holding groups. Market expectations regarding the U.S. midterm elections and monetary policy must translate into actual buying behavior. The key is whether price increases can attract a growing and lasting group of buyers.

The Zakura team, which operates the Zcash network, released a technical article stating that they plan to allocate a unique viewing key for each ZEC exchange completed through NEAR Intents, in order to block future quantum computers from exploiting public refund addresses to piece together user payment histories. NEAR Intents supports cross-chain token exchanges, and when users exchange the privacy coin ZEC for USDC, the service will publish a Zcash address for the user on the NEAR public blockchain, which will be used to return any unused ZEC.The Zcash address contains a public key generated by the wallet's viewing key, which cannot be reverse-engineered by ordinary computers, but large quantum computers running Shor's algorithm could theoretically deduce the key from the address. Zcash wallets can generate multiple seemingly unrelated addresses, but they typically share the same viewing key. Once an attacker cracks it, they can associate all payments received by the account and read the amounts and notes. Zakura's solution allocates a unique viewing key for each exchange, while the spending key remains in the user's main account. Even if the future refund address is compromised, the attacker would only be able to see payments related to that specific exchange.This design also addresses a practical issue: wallets conducting hundreds of exchanges would generate hundreds of keys, requiring each key to scan the entire Zcash chain during backup recovery. Zakura's solution is a privately queryable database that uses private information retrieval technology, so when the wallet inquires about the refund destination, the database will not know the address being queried. Zakura claims that wallets built on its open-source library (including Vizor) will be able to add this feature in the coming weeks, and hardware wallets will follow after firmware support, ahead of the January quantum-resistant payment target set by Zcash developers this month.

According to Decrypt, nine blockchain organizations including Quantus, Postquant Labs, Midnight Foundation, Keystone, Abelian, and Hacken have jointly established the Quantum Alliance, aiming to develop "quantum-ready" open standards and establish a unified approach to test the quantum resistance of blockchain networks, wallets, and infrastructure.The Quantum Alliance stated that currently, approximately 6.04 million BTC, accounting for about 30% of the Bitcoin supply, are at potential risk of quantum attacks due to the exposure of elliptic curve signature public keys. The organization will focus on promoting blockchain migration, post-quantum zero-knowledge systems, wallet security, and cross-chain compatibility, citing recent predictions that practical quantum attack windows may appear as early as around 2028.

According to a post by Ki Young Ju, the founder of CryptoQuant, the team behind TRUMP made a profit of between 779 million to 1.16 billion dollars from holders, while buyers lost 97%.

Arthur Hayes recently stated in an interview with The Rollup that the threat of quantum computing to cryptocurrencies is exaggerated, being a known and manageable risk rather than a reason to sell.Hayes believes that the truly practical protection lies in address hygiene, which means avoiding address reuse, using updated signature types, and so on. Most risks are concentrated among those who manage their addresses poorly. Hayes does not believe that quantum computing is a catalyst for panic or selling Bitcoin at this time.

Google stated that its Willow quantum chip reduces the error rate in preparing the special states (Magic States) required for quantum computing by about 40 times through a method called "Cultivation." The related research was published this week in Science, which is expected to lower the hardware costs of future large-scale quantum computers and draw more attention to the potential threat of cracking Bitcoin wallets.Magic States are a key resource needed to perform certain quantum computing operations, and their preparation process consumes a significant amount of hardware. Google's experiment achieved about 99.99% state fidelity, but only about 8% of attempts passed the screening. Researchers indicated that future experiments need to be scaled up and issues such as real-time operation and error correction need to be addressed. In March of this year, Google estimated that under specific hardware assumptions, future quantum computers might only need fewer than 500,000 physical qubits to crack the cryptography used in Bitcoin and Ethereum wallets.For Bitcoin, some early wallets' public keys have been public since their mining, theoretically making them targets for future quantum attacks; while wallets with undisclosed public keys may face different attack conditions. However, this breakthrough does not mean that quantum computers are capable of cracking Bitcoin. Google's previous cost estimates for attacks assumed the use of efficient Magic States preparation schemes, so this result cannot simply be understood as a 40-fold reduction in the cost of cracking Bitcoin. Research is still in the advancement stage of quantum hardware and error correction technology, and the complete equipment and engineering capabilities required for actual attacks have not yet been realized.

LayerZero Labs, in collaboration with the a16z Crypto research team, Carnegie Mellon University, and Imperial College London, has released new research results called Aerie, aimed at enhancing the aggregation efficiency of post-quantum cryptography signatures. According to the introduction, Aerie is built on the previously launched lattice-based polynomial commitment scheme Akita.On a MacBook Pro equipped with the Apple M4 Max chip, using 16 CPU cores without GPU acceleration, it can aggregate 32,768 Falcon-512 signatures in 0.65 seconds, with peak memory usage of approximately 2.1 GiB. LayerZero states that compared to the previous Orthus scheme, Aerie's proof generation speed has improved by about 1.5 times, verification speed has increased by 38 times, and proof size has been reduced by about 1.7 times. Additionally, Aerie supports the aggregation of ML-DSA signatures standardized by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), with specific performance data to be announced later. This research aims to provide a technical path for achieving low-latency, post-quantum secure consensus on blockchain without the need for dedicated hardware.

CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_ published an analysis indicating that the realized market cap of new whales in Bitcoin is $78.61 billion, while old whales stand at $159.15 billion. New whales account for 33.06%, compared to about 18% earlier in 2026.Since September, the realized market cap of new whales has continued to grow, while old whales have remained relatively stable, with the growth primarily coming from new whales. The realized market cap is calculated based on the price at the last on-chain transfer of the tokens and does not represent the proportion of BTC supply.In terms of cost, the overall cost basis of new whales has decreased from a previous high of around $110,000 to about $68,000 at the end of August, before rebounding to around $77,000. The current BTC price is $82,134, which is approximately 6.7% higher than the cost basis of new whales.The analysis suggests that the data shows large holders buying during the downturn and continuing to accumulate as prices rebound. However, the turnover of the holder group and transfers between addresses can also inflate the realized market cap, so the growth in realized market cap cannot be interpreted as an equivalent influx of new funds. If BTC continues to fall below around $77,000, new whales will incur losses again, increasing the likelihood of selling during a rebound. The inflow to exchanges and realized losses can be used to determine whether this is short-term pressure or if large holders are starting to sell off again.

CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju posted on X that despite the market's attention on the adjustments to MSCI-related rules, Wall Street analysts remain generally bullish on Strategy. He noted that Citigroup, Barclays, and B. Riley have set target prices for MSTR at $240, $175, and $195 respectively, with an overall upward trend in target prices.He believes that the impact related to MSCI is primarily at the level of capital flow and has already been priced in by the market. He further stated that what is more noteworthy is that the market capitalization of Strategy compared to the net asset value of Bitcoin (mNAV) is about 1 times, the STRC price remains near par value, and the company holds $3.75 billion in reserve funds to cover dividend payments.

According to CoinDesk, nine cryptocurrency companies announced the establishment of a Quantum Alliance on Thursday, planning to develop universal security standards for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other blockchain networks to address the threats posed by future quantum computers.The alliance estimates that about 6.4 million Bitcoins, or 30.2% of the supply, have their public keys exposed, and future quantum computers could reverse-engineer wallet public keys to recover private keys and steal assets. The alliance explained that since no quantum computer currently has sufficient computing power, these Bitcoins cannot be stolen in this manner for the time being. Members include Hacken, Midnight Foundation under Charles Hoskinson, the quantum-resistant layer one blockchain Quantus, and Postquant Labs.There are significant differences in the industry regarding when the quantum threat will arrive. Bryn Bennett, Chief Revenue Officer of The Vault, stated that no one knows the exact date, but estimates are continuously being revised downward, and this risk can be planned for in advance. The question for custodians is not whether the threat will appear in 2028 or 2035, but whether they can complete the migration if it arrives earlier.Richard Carback, Chief Technology Officer of Postquant Labs, believes that it is realistic for machines capable of breaking existing cryptography to emerge by 2028. Recent research has lowered the estimates of the computing power required to attack Bitcoin and Ethereum, but currently, no existing machines can break their cryptography, and related predictions remain controversial.The question of whether to freeze vulnerable Bitcoins has also sparked debate. Bennett pointed out that no one is responsible for this issue; custodians only protect client assets, not abandoned assets. Freezing tokens is a governance decision of the Bitcoin network, and any freeze would set a precedent of exchanging quantum risk for property rights and neutrality. Carback prefers to transfer vulnerable tokens and suggested placing them in a trust, allowing holders who can prove ownership to reclaim their funds.Binance founder Changpeng Zhao once suggested that if quantum technology advances and Satoshi Nakamoto's approximately 1.1 million Bitcoins remain untouched, they should be frozen; Bitcoin developer Jameson Lopp also proposed limiting vulnerable tokens to prevent theft, but critics argue that freezing someone else's Bitcoins contradicts the promise that no one can confiscate Bitcoins. Achieving quantum resistance requires replacing the digital signatures that authorize transactions, which necessitates consensus among developers, miners, wallet service providers, exchanges, and users. The new signatures may also occupy more block space, increasing transaction fees or reducing the number of transactions Bitcoin can process.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Elon Musk Tweet Count Prediction" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "340-359" experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 57.6% an hour ago to the current 73.4% (a fluctuation of 15.8%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the market prediction event "Elon Musk Tweet Count Prediction" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "320-339" has experienced significant fluctuations, dropping from 45.3% an hour ago to the current 29.25% (a fluctuation of 16.05%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.