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LINK $8.38 +0.43%
HYPE $57.67 -1.94%
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Data: The selling pressure on Bitcoin is easing, with losses down 56% from the peak, but the recovery in demand is still insufficient

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that the current bear market phase of Bitcoin has seen the highest historical scale of holder realized losses, with the 30-day moving average (30DMA) of realized losses reaching $1.37 billion in February 2026, which is 19% higher than the cycle peak of $1.15 billion in 2022. Data shows that since the February peak, Bitcoin realized losses have decreased by 56.5%, currently down to about $597 million; meanwhile, the scale of realized profits has only slowly recovered to $257 million.Axel Adler pointed out that the sell-off pressure driven by losses has significantly weakened, but the market has not yet seen a sustained recovery in demand, with the rate of loss decline still outpacing the rate of profit recovery. Historically, on February 20, 2026, realized losses reached $1.37 billion, setting a historical high for this metric; the highest realized loss in the 2022 cycle was $1.15 billion, occurring on June 30, 2022. In terms of realized profits, as of July 23, the 30DMA of Bitcoin realized profits was $257 million, a decrease of 92.7% from the peak of $3.51 billion set on December 10, 2024; it was also down 77.7% from when Bitcoin hit its historical high of $124,710 on October 6, 2025. This metric had previously hit a low of $191 million on June 14, 2026, and has since rebounded by 34.7%.Axel Adler indicated that the selling pressure from profits has significantly decreased, and the amount of coins sold for profit is still at a low level in this cycle, but this does not mean that sellers have completely exhausted themselves, nor does it indicate that market demand has recovered. If realized profits continue to rise above $400 million to $500 million, it would further confirm a sustained improvement in the market. Additionally, the Bitcoin realized profit/loss ratio has rebounded from a low of 0.26 in June to 0.43, but it is still below the level of 1. Analysts noted that although the absolute scale of realized losses in the current cycle exceeds that of 2022, the relative market pressure remains lower than in 2022. Since Bitcoin's historical peak, there have been 190 days out of the past 291 days where realized losses exceeded realized profits. Axel Adler warned that if the profit/loss ratio falls below 0.26 again, accompanied by a price drop below the cycle low of $58,535 set on June 30, it could indicate further intensification of market pressure.

Morgan Stanley missed the lead underwriting qualification for SK Hynix's $26.5 billion IPO, having previously released multiple bearish reports on the South Korean semiconductor industry

According to South Korean media outlet Chosun Ilbo, Morgan Stanley was not selected as the sole lead underwriter for SK Hynix's American Depositary Receipts (ADR) listing. The transaction size is approximately $26.5 billion (about 40 trillion Korean won), making it the largest IPO for foreign capital in the U.S. The commission, calculated at a 0.5% underwriting fee rate, is about $130 million. The final underwriting syndicate consists of Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan Chase. Industry insiders generally believe that Morgan Stanley's exclusion is related to its repeated issuance of bearish reports on South Korean semiconductors.The report's author is Korean-American Managing Director Shawn Kim, who has repeatedly downgraded the stock ratings of memory stocks such as Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron in research reports published in 2017, 2021, 2024, and on June 6 of this year, with the 2021 report titled "Memory, Winter is Coming." Additionally, Morgan Stanley has recently faced setbacks in South Korea: as a co-underwriter for the SpaceX IPO, Korea's Mirae Asset applied for $1.14 billion in subscriptions but received zero allocation; the sale of IGIS Asset Management, promoted in conjunction with Goldman Sachs, also ended in failure. Morgan Stanley's largest shareholder is Japan's Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG), which holds approximately 24% of the shares.

The US stock earnings season focuses on AI realization, and Gate continues to strengthen its global asset allocation service capabilities

As the second quarter earnings season for US stocks enters a phase of intensive disclosure, the performance of the AI industry chain has become the focus of market attention. Investors are particularly focused on the capital investments of tech giants in AI, the growth of cloud computing, and commercialization progress. The market's focus is gradually shifting from expectations of AI development to the ability to realize profits. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks continue to disrupt global markets, with safe-haven assets such as energy and gold drawing attention, and the demand for cross-asset allocation and risk management among investors further increasing.In response to changes in the global market structure, Gate has continuously strengthened its institutional-level infrastructure and comprehensive service capabilities. Relying on a multi-asset trading system covering stocks, indices, foreign exchange, commodities, and digital assets, it provides professional users with market insights, trade execution, and asset management support. In the second quarter of 2026, the scale of Gate's institutional OTC Loan lending increased by 43.61% year-on-year, and the scale of leveraged lending rose by 14.33% quarter-on-quarter; at the same time, the SBE market service was launched, supporting public and private data channels, and a new contract Book Ticker real-time market push capability was added, further enhancing trading efficiency and quantitative strategy execution capabilities.In the future, Gate will continue to deepen its global institutional ecosystem layout, improve its trading, liquidity, and asset management service system, and assist professional users in more efficiently responding to market changes and seizing cross-asset trading opportunities.
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