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BTC $66,071.28 -1.41%
ETH $1,946.53 -3.99%
BNB $613.11 -1.88%
XRP $1.42 -4.56%
SOL $81.67 -4.53%
TRX $0.2795 -0.47%
DOGE $0.0974 -3.83%
ADA $0.2735 -4.22%
BCH $468.27 -4.53%
LINK $8.64 -2.97%
HYPE $28.98 -1.81%
AAVE $122.61 -3.42%
SUI $0.9138 -6.63%
XLM $0.1605 -4.62%
ZEC $260.31 -8.86%

stre

Data: BTC and ETH options with a nominal value of 8.9 billion dollars will expire tomorrow, and options market data shows that bottom-fishing strength is beginning to emerge

According to data from Greeks.live, 116,000 BTC options will expire this Friday, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.76, a maximum pain point of $75,000, and a nominal value of $7.9 billion. 206,000 ETH options will also expire this Friday, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.77, a maximum pain point of $2,200, and a nominal value of $980 million.Greeks.live analyst Adam stated that the current cryptocurrency market remains sluggish, with the entire February trend weakly oscillating above $60,000. Tomorrow, options representing 20% of the total open interest will expire, totaling nearly $9 billion, with Bitcoin's open interest reaching a peak in recent years. Thanks to a rebound in the past two days, the implied volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum has increased this week, with BTC's main expiry IV at 47% and ETH's main expiry IV at 65%. The downward price trend has eased somewhat, but market confidence is still lacking.In terms of trading, large bullish options dominate the market, with a significant amount of medium to long-term bullish trades following yesterday's rebound. From the main options data, the Skew has also rebounded comprehensively, indicating a bottom-fishing force in the market. Adam added that the market is still in a bear phase, with no new funds entering the cryptocurrency space and no obvious hotspots, while pessimistic sentiments are prevalent on social media, suggesting that bottom panic may not have arrived yet.

Jane Street's questioning escalates: After being sued, the "10-point crash" of Bitcoin disappears

According to the WSJ, on February 24, the court-appointed bankruptcy administrator of Terraform Labs has sued Jane Street in the federal court in New York, accusing it of engaging in front-running trades and profiting from non-public insider information provided by Terra insiders during the Terra collapse. The lawsuit reveals that Jane Street established a secret communication channel with Terraform Labs employees through former intern Bryce Pratt to obtain non-public confidential information. On May 7, 2022, Terraform Labs withdrew 150 million TerraUSD (UST) from the Curve liquidity pool without prior announcement, and Jane Street followed suit by withdrawing approximately 85 million UST through affiliated wallets in less than 10 minutes, completing the "front-running" trade before a massive market panic and the complete de-pegging of UST, which not only resulted in illegal profits but also accelerated the collapse of Terraform Labs and the Terra ecosystem.A spokesperson for Jane Street responded to the accusations from the Terraform Labs bankruptcy administrator, stating that the lawsuit is an attempt to extract money from Jane Street, and that Jane Street will vigorously defend its rights against "baseless and opportunistic allegations." In addition to the Terraform lawsuit, Jane Street was accused of market manipulation in India last year, resulting in the freezing of assets worth approximately 4.843 billion rupees (about 565 million dollars) and a ban on trading in the Indian securities market. There are also rumors that Chinese regulators are reviewing Jane Street's trading patterns in the Chinese ETF market.The crypto community has noted that since Jane Street was sued, the daily "10 AM crash" of Bitcoin (Eastern Time) has suddenly disappeared, with Bitcoin rising by 10% and its market capitalization increasing by approximately 120 billion dollars, marking the first green weekly candle for BTC after five consecutive red ones. During the same period, the total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market also increased by nearly 200 billion dollars. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stated, "This 'threat' has disappeared, which is the atmosphere felt today in CT and price movements. I also understand that the previous significant intraday drops nearly destroyed every rebound and undermined everyone's confidence. But is simply eliminating it enough to support a sustained rebound? We shall see."Speculation surrounding Jane Street has reignited discussions about the trading mechanism of Bitcoin spot ETFs. Analysts point out that the share creation and redemption of spot ETFs can be completed by authorized participants (APs) under a regulatory exemption framework, and does not necessarily require immediate buying and selling of Bitcoin in the public market; in cases of futures contango, APs may also hedge and protect through derivatives such as futures, leading to a time lag between ETF fund inflows and spot buying and short-term price performance.As a leading global quantitative trading giant, Jane Street has a broad presence in the cryptocurrency sector, primarily focused on infrastructure, DeFi, and crypto mining. Public information shows that Jane Street has invested in several crypto-native projects, including: ZetaChain, Arbitrum, 1inch, Euler Finance, Membrane Labs, Kaito, Vest Exchange, and others.In terms of equity, Jane Street significantly increased its holdings in several crypto mining companies through the secondary market between 2024 and 2026, including: approximately 5.4% of Bitfarms (BITF); approximately 5% of Cipher Mining (CIFR); and approximately 5% of Hut 8 (HUT). Additionally, Jane Street participated in multiple rounds of Kraken financing last year. Jane Street is also one of the main liquidity providers and stockholders of Coinbase.
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