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According to CoinDesk, against the backdrop of continuous outflows of institutional funds in the United States, Bitcoin whales have accumulated over 270,000 BTC (approximately $16.7 billion) in the past two weeks, forming a clear divergence from the record outflows of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF.Analysis points out that this phase of divergence has historical cyclical characteristics: while institutional funds are withdrawing, long-term holders and whale accounts continue to accumulate, similar to the capital redistribution structure commonly seen at the bottom of previous cycles.On-chain data shows that although the spot premium remains negative, indicating that on-site buying is not strong, large wallets continue to accumulate Bitcoin, and the market is currently in a structural phase of "institutional deleveraging and long-term capital accumulation."

Tom Lee, Chairman of BitMine, the largest treasury in Ethereum, stated that there are ample reasons for the ETH/BTC exchange rate to strengthen in the second half of 2026. The core logic is that the narrative of ETH as a currency is gaining market attention. Tom Lee pointed out three major catalysts: the continuous growth of stablecoins, the wave of asset tokenization, and the increase in new forks and projects within the Ethereum ecosystem, all of which are reinforcing ETH's value storage properties and improving its performance relative to BTC.Tom Lee clearly expects the ETH/BTC exchange rate to continue rising throughout 2026 and emphasized that this is a key indicator worth ongoing attention. Tom Lee believes that macro factors also support the ETH/BTC exchange rate: the decline in oil prices alleviates inflationary pressures, cryptocurrencies remain downstream beneficiary assets of the AI narrative, and the advancement of the CLARITY Act and the GENIUS Act retains a favorable regulatory window.

According to CoinDesk, Wall Street investment bank Cantor Fitzgerald has released a report stating that the cryptocurrency market is entering the final stage of the current bear market cycle. Analysts pointed out that as of June 10, Bitcoin has been 252 days since its peak in 2025, with a decline of about 51%. In the previous three market cycles, Bitcoin typically reached its bottom 384 days after peaking; if history repeats itself, this round of decline may bottom out around the end of October. The report cautions that this model is not an accurate timing tool, and macroeconomic, regulatory, and geopolitical risks still exist, but the reflexive nature of the cryptocurrency market suggests that historical cycles may self-reinforce.Cantor suggests that investors shift their focus from speculative activities to networks with the ability to accumulate lasting value, identifying Hyperliquid as a typical case of fee-driven token economics. Bitcoin remains the benchmark currency asset, Ethereum is the dominant collateral layer for on-chain finance, and Solana, Sui, XRP, and Zcash each have differentiated advantages but still need to prove sustainable value. Cantor has also included digital asset treasury companies Forward Industries and Cypherpunk Technologies in its research coverage, giving them a buy rating, with target prices of $7.9 and $0.9, respectively.

Tom Lee posted on platform X, expressing his happiness to see the Ethereum Foundation carefully addressing key issues regarding the critical role of neutral blockchains like Ethereum in financial infrastructure, economics, and government and policy markets.

According to CoinDesk, the on-chain prediction market platform World has launched on Solana, allowing users to trade contracts linked to cryptocurrency prices, the 2026 World Cup, and other events using Solana wallets. It will later expand to sports, geopolitics, and macroeconomic markets.The platform is designed to be non-custodial, with user funds only moving when participating in the market. Positions, settlements, and payouts are all completed on-chain, using the CASH stablecoin launched by Phantom as the settlement asset, with data and settlement oracle infrastructure provided by Chainlink to reduce reliance on manual adjudication.

Bitget announced the expansion of the GetAgent Playbook, incorporating US stocks into the AI strategy system, providing users with AI stock selection and automatic order placement features. The GetAgent Playbook will launch in June 2026, allowing users to browse, subscribe to, and deploy preset strategies with one click.In the first week of launch, the product had over 30,000 unique users, with a total investment of over $100,000, and more than 600 users created personalized strategies, with the highest return rate for a single account reaching 145%.This new US stock segment adds multiple strategies, covering both selection and execution. Among them, the stock selection strategies include AI selection, quality business model screening, Beta growth investment, macro event-driven strategies, and analyst rating tracking; in terms of automatic order placement, it introduces QQQ intelligent dollar-cost averaging, supporting the execution of DCA strategies based on fixed amounts and fixed periods, helping users to diversify their entry costs.

According to BBX data, the two largest publicly listed reserve companies for Ethereum issued a counter-cyclical buy signal yesterday, with the core dynamics as follows:SharpLink, Inc. (NASDAQ: $SBET) (one of the largest publicly listed reserve companies for Ethereum, founded by CEO Joe Lubin, formerly known as SharpLink Gaming, transitioning to Ethereum Treasury in May 2025) released an official press release on June 30: the company purchased an additional 10,000 ETH at an average price of $1,611 per coin, raising its total holdings to 886,725 ETH; during the same period, it repurchased 2,132,773 shares of common stock (average price $4.69), bringing the total repurchased since the buyback program started in August 2025 to 4,071,223 shares. This ETH purchase was funded by the company's previously completed $75 million targeted issuance (registered direct offering). CEO Joseph Chalom stated that this fundraising "provides capital support for proactive ETH treasury management strategies." The company's average purchase cost for 886,725 ETH is approximately $3,609 per coin, and with the current price around $1,611, the paper loss is about $1.77 billion; however, the company earned approximately 18,800 ETH in staking rewards in Q1 (equivalent to about $30 million per quarter at current prices), with revenue of $12.1 million during the same period (a 16-fold increase compared to $742,000 in the same period last year). The company has officially been included in the Russell 2000 and Russell 3000 indices, which will trigger passive buying from active and passive funds tracking these two indices, potentially broadening the institutional shareholder base and increasing access to capital markets.Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. (NYSE: $BMNR), as of June 26, according to the latest data cited by CoinDesk, the company's ETH holdings have risen to approximately 5.67 million coins (an increase of about 280,000 coins compared to the 5.39 million disclosed in the SEC 8-K on May 26), with a net increase of about 52,203 coins in the previous week (equivalent to about $82 million); the company's chairman Tom Lee stated on June 26: "We are maintaining a steady accumulation pace throughout 2026, and we believe we are in the early stages of a Crypto Spring." At the current price of about $1,610, the market value of 5.67 million ETH is approximately $9.13 billion; during the same period, Bitmine jointly funded the Ethlabs nonprofit research organization with SharpLink and Ethereum co-founder Joe Lubin (founded by former Ethereum Foundation researchers, focusing on Ethereum infrastructure and institutional research), further strengthening the institutional narrative support for the ETH ecosystem through the endorsement of the three organizations.

The crypto wallet Phantom announced that it has hired three core members of the Ventuals team, Alvin Hsia, Emily Hsia, and Aris Samad, to join its trading and data department. Ventuals was a decentralized perpetual contract trading platform built on Hyperliquid, focusing on pre-valuation trading of private companies, and it processed over $650 million in trading volume before shutting down in mid-June this year.Phantom CEO Brandon Millman stated that over the past year, Phantom has become the largest distribution partner in the Hyperliquid ecosystem, with open markets and perpetual contracts being its current focus for development. The introduction of the Ventuals founding team, which has deep experience in open market development, aims to further accelerate Phantom's product expansion in the native derivatives trading and related infrastructure fields.

According to Livecoins, the Chilean Financial Market Commission (CMF) announced the cancellation of the registration qualifications of the cryptocurrency platform Plusspay, due to its investigation revealing connections with the Venezuelan criminal organization "Tren de Aragua," which was used to provide financial support to the gang.In addition to Plusspay, several other institutions, including Pixeltec and Iuinvest, that failed to submit complete information on time as required by the Financial Technology Law (Lei Fintec) have also had their qualifications to provide services in the Chilean market revoked. These institutions are prohibited from expanding their customer base and may only conduct operations related to clearing services and returning frozen funds to existing users. Regulators emphasized that payment and cryptocurrency service providers must enhance transparency to prevent money laundering and illegal fund flows.

According to CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_, the current reading of the Bitcoin UTXO profit and loss ratio model has fallen into a historically low range, indicating that the market is undergoing a deeper internal cleanup.However, the analyst emphasizes that this does not mean the bottom has been confirmed— the 365-day moving average needs to decline further to prove that the market's long-term profit structure has been fully reset, rather than just a short-term oversold reaction. Although a brief rebound may occur due to a short squeeze, it should not be seen as a structural recovery signal if the profit and loss ratio fails to sustain its reconstruction.Overall, signs of internal cleanup in BTC are beginning to emerge, but historical patterns suggest that the market may still need to endure more pressure before fully emerging from this bear market.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua posted that the current Bitcoin trend represents the third wave of decline since the peak of 1011. According to volatility theory and cyclical patterns, this may be the final major drop.Yi Lihua pointed out that the main influencing factors for this round of decline include the performance of the U.S. stock market and Strategy, while closely monitoring the Federal Reserve's response to CPI data to see if it will change interest rate cut or hike expectations, which could trigger a continued pullback in the U.S. stock market. Additionally, black swan or explosive events often occur at the tail end of past bear markets, which have not yet appeared and still require ongoing observation.He believes that based on Bitcoin's peak of $126,000, a 60% drop would bring it down to about $51,000, and a 66% drop would bring it down to about $43,000. Regardless of where the final bottom lies, July and August may be the last bottoming area of this cycle and the most noteworthy time window for bottom fishing in the next three years.

According to Cointelegraph, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the Bitcoin unspent transaction output (UTXO) data shows that the proportion of loss transactions to profit transactions in the current market has dropped to the lowest level of this bear market cycle, indicating that investors are entering a clear "surrender" phase.This indicator has previously triggered multiple times at historical cycle bottom areas. The last similar low occurred during the mid-2023 deep phase of the bear market, when the Bitcoin price briefly fell to around $26,000. Analysts believe that such phases usually correspond to extremely low market sentiment, with long-term investors gradually starting to accumulate again.Darkfost pointed out that this is the first time this signal has been triggered since the start of the current correction, indicating that the number of UTXOs sold at a loss is significantly increasing, reflecting a broader sell-off and surrender behavior that has begun. He also added that the spent output profit ratio (SOPR) of long-term holders' Bitcoin is gradually entering negative territory.

According to the Financial Times, due to the failure to obtain a license under the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation, Binance will stop providing services to certain customers in the EU starting next week and has notified customers in Poland, Italy, Spain, and France to withdraw their funds.

Crypto KOL Ansem posted a bullish outlook on the SOL/ETH exchange rate for trading. Ansem stated, "The bottom for Solana has been reached, I was the first to say it! Now everyone is extremely pessimistic about SOL, just like when it dropped to $8 in 2023. I think buying SOL at the current price with a holding period of over 6 months is a good deal."

With the current price of Bitcoin at $59,291 and a 200-day dollar-cost averaging (C200) of $75,821, the Bitcoin Ahr999 "bottom-fishing" indicator is currently at 0.285. The previous low this year was 0.27 on February 6.According to statistics, an Ahr999 below 0.3 is a rare case of extreme undervaluation, mainly occurring during significant market crashes or moments of panic. Historically, there have been the following major instances of falling below 0.3:In November 2011, when the price of Bitcoin was only in single digits and had not yet reached widespread consensus;The bottom of the bear market in 2018 (lowest around 0.24);The "March 16 flash crash" in 2020 (COVID panic);In June 2022, during the ETH liquidation crash and the FTX crash in November, it touched around 0.27 multiple times;In February 2026, it reached 0.27-0.29, close to historical lows.It is reported that this indicator assists Bitcoin dollar-cost averaging users in making investment decisions in conjunction with timing strategies. This indicator implies the short-term yield of Bitcoin dollar-cost averaging and the deviation of Bitcoin prices from expected valuations. Historically, the Ahr999 index has been below the bottom line (0.45) for 655 days.

Renowned analyst PlanB stated that Bitcoin is likely to bottom out only after falling below the realized price (around $53,000), just like what happened in previous bear markets. Currently, the curve representing the realized price has been almost overlapping with the black curve representing the 200-week geometric moving average since 2023.

During the 2026 New York Tech Week, Zack Anderson, Chief Data and Analytics Officer of J.P. Morgan Payments, shared the latest applications and strategic outlook of AI in payment infrastructure at a seminar. He stated that the application of AI in the banking industry is becoming increasingly mature, with most AI agents currently operating invisibly in the background, significantly enhancing the efficiency of payment flows and risk management capabilities.Anderson pointed out that with the proliferation of Agentic AI, the core challenge facing the payment sector lies in the governance and auditability of "machine authorization" (especially for high-value payments). He emphasized that leveraging AI to handle complex cross-border payment compliance rules is an important opportunity in the near term, which is expected to significantly reduce payment rejection rates. Furthermore, although current corporate AI investments are largely focused on the customer front end, "Agentic Treasury" will be an important early opportunity for the future, and its large-scale application will still rely on further improvement of underlying data and governance infrastructure.

Jiang Zhuoer, the founder of the Liebit mining pool, stated that the current mNAV of Strategy has fallen to 0.72, close to the low of 0.7 set during the last bear market in May 2022. Based on recent market sentiment events such as the decoupling of STRC, it is judged that we are currently in the bottom area of the mNAV for this cycle. mNAV often leads BTC prices to bottom out by about 6 months, and based on the "four-year cycle" and the decreasing volatility model, this round of Bitcoin bear market may bottom out between October and December 2026, with a target price range of $42,000 to $44,000. Jiang Zhuoer indicated that his recent short-term strategy remains focused on selling spot and shorting, and will switch to buying spot and going long once the expected bottom arrives.

The password management tool LastPass announced that its third-party market intelligence platform Klue experienced a security incident, where hackers stole multiple OAuth tokens held by Klue for various clients (including LastPass) and used these tokens to access LastPass's Salesforce CRM system, potentially leading to the leakage of business contact information and CRM data, including some customers' names, phone numbers, email addresses, home addresses, and support cases.The official reminder: LastPass's products, services, infrastructure, and customer vaults have not been affected, and Gong system data has not been accessed. LastPass has immediately taken measures, including stopping employee access to Klue, rotating exposed API tokens, conducting a detailed investigation, and collaborating with Klue, Salesforce, and law enforcement, while also sharing threat intelligence with the security community through the TIME team and strengthening future protections. Users should remain vigilant against potential phishing emails, calls, or social engineering attacks that may exploit the leaked information, and remember that LastPass will never ask for the master password; all official communications are sent through trusted channels.

According to Jinshi, Qualcomm's stock in the U.S. night market once rose over 4%, and the current increase has narrowed to 3%. The news states that Qualcomm is in talks with ByteDance to provide customized chip design services.