agreement

According to Jinshi reports, U.S. President Trump stated on social media: "Iran must agree that they will never have nuclear weapons or nuclear bombs. The Strait of Hormuz must be opened immediately in both directions, with no tolls, allowing shipping traffic to pass unrestricted. All mines (bombs)------if any------will be cleared (we have previously utilized our excellent underwater mine-sweeping ships to clear a large number of such mines by detonation. Iran will be responsible for immediately clearing and/or detonating any remaining mines------there shouldn't be too many!).Those ships that have been stranded in the strait due to our astonishing and unprecedented naval blockade------given that the blockade has now been lifted------can begin to "set sail for home"! The concentrated materials that are buried deep underground------sometimes referred to as "nuclear dust"------are currently being pressed under a mountain that has nearly collapsed (this is due to the powerful B-2 bomber airstrikes we launched 11 months ago); these materials will be excavated by the United States and will be thoroughly destroyed in close coordination and cooperation with Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency. Until further notice, there will be no financial transactions between the two parties.In addition, the two sides have reached a consensus on other issues that are far less important than the above matters. I am now heading to the "situation room" for a meeting to make the final decision." AXIOS reporters interpret that Trump hinted at an imminent approval of the Iran agreement.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $59,739 in the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" on "May 31." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 91.35%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $99,999 in the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" on "May 31." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 90.84%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $72,551 in the event "Will the U.S. announce a new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension before..?" for the date "May 28." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding probability for this target is 95.07%.

Despite reports that negotiations between the U.S. and Iran have reached a 60-day ceasefire and a draft memorandum for discussions on the nuclear program, the cryptocurrency market remains under pressure, with Bitcoin falling below $73,000, down about 2.7% in 24 hours. The U.S. stock and bond markets were boosted, with the Nasdaq rising 0.6%, while WTI crude oil prices dropped below $90 per barrel.On a macro level, the first inflation report under the new Federal Reserve Chair Warsh shows that the U.S. core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index rose to 3.8% year-on-year in April, the highest level in nearly three years, up from 2.8% in February. Olu Sonola, the U.S. economy director at Fitch Ratings, stated that inflationary pressures may persist in the coming months, making it difficult for the Federal Reserve to ignore supply shocks that drive potential inflation.Market analysis indicates that in the short term, macroeconomic favorable factors have significantly boosted the stock market and oil prices, but the cryptocurrency market lacks similar direct stimuli, and Bitcoin and other digital assets still face selling pressure.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $103,282.44 in the event "Will the U.S. and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before..?" on "May 31." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding win rate for this subject is 89%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "The United States announces a new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension until __?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "May 30" experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 9% an hour ago to the current 37% (a fluctuation of 28%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk stated on Thursday that SpaceX has only agreed to lease the Colossus AI training data center cluster to Anthropic for six months, but he added that the agreement "has the potential" to be extended for several years. "SpaceX has not committed to leasing Colossus for many years, although that could indeed happen."Earlier this year, SpaceX reached an agreement with Anthropic, which pays $1.25 billion per month to use the computing power of the Colossus and Colossus II data center clusters located in Memphis, Tennessee, with the agreement valid until May 2029. SpaceX stated in regulatory filings last week that either party could terminate the agreement with 90 days' notice. The document did not mention the six-month lease agreement.Musk stated that the agreement is a 180-day lease contract, after which either party can terminate with 90 days' notice, "We won't put them in a bind and will provide a reasonable exit plan, but if computing resources become extremely tight, I have indicated that we may need to reclaim those resources at some point."According to SpaceX's IPO filing, the company's AI business unit generated $818 million in revenue for the quarter ending in March, with an operating loss of approximately $2.5 billion.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $199,645.45 in the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" on "May 31." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding probability of this subject is 89%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale sold $67,706.41 in a single transaction regarding the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" on "May 31." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 17%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "The U.S. announces a new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension to...?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option's probability in the sub-market "May 30" experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 29.5% an hour ago to the current 44.5% (a fluctuation of 15%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $72,917 in the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" for the date "May 31." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 79%.

On the 27th local time, a member of the Iranian National Security Council, Broujerdi, stated that according to the preliminary draft agreement reached between Iran and the United States, the U.S. side will commit to a comprehensive ceasefire for 60 days on all fronts in the first phase, especially within Lebanon.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $57,934.89 in the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" on "May 26." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 97.48%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $56,544.54 in the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" on "May 26." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 97.99%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $65,800 in the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" on "May 26." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 94%.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the event "Will a permanent peace agreement between the United States and Iran be reached on...?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "May 26" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 9.5% an hour ago to the current 33% (a fluctuation of 23.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Will the U.S. announce a new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension on __?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the "Yes" option in the submarket "May 28" has experienced drastic fluctuations, dropping from 50% an hour ago to the current 30.5% (a fluctuation of 19.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $81,133 in the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" for the date "May 26." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 86.76%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $59,817.6 in the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" on "May 26." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 91%.