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coreweave

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AI cloud service provider CoreWeave's third-quarter revenue exceeded expectations

AI cloud service provider CoreWeave (CRWV.O) reported a 167% year-over-year revenue increase in the third quarter to $3.66 billion, exceeding market expectations of $3.55 billion, with a loss per share of $1.27, better than the expected loss of $1.46. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance from $12.4 billion to $13.2 billion to a range of $13 billion to $13.3 billion. According to MSX.COM data, after the earnings announcement, CoreWeave's stock price rose by as much as 8.7% in after-hours trading, following a cumulative decline of over 40% in the previous month and a year-to-date decline of 32%.As of the end of June, CoreWeave's debt exceeded $50 billion, with a bond yield of about 15.2% due in 2030. The company's CEO stated that investments are based on signed customer contracts, and customer prepayments also help support data center construction, with the existing order backlog sufficient to cover debt obligations. Microsoft previously stated that some emerging cloud service providers' data center projects have been delayed, tightening project oversight and exiting some high-risk projects. After the U.S. midterm elections, several newly elected officials indicated they would slow down or halt data center construction. CoreWeave stated that it plans to expand revenue by launching new services and expanding into the Asian market.

Next week, the U.S. CPI will be the market focus, CoreWeave and Nebius will announce their financial reports

Next week, the U.S. October CPI, PPI, and speeches from several Federal Reserve officials will become the market focus. Previously, the U.S. added 165,000 non-farm jobs in October, and the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, raising expectations for interest rate hikes. LSEG data shows that the implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has risen to about 80%, with the market expecting that this cycle may see two more rate hikes, each by 25 basis points.In terms of inflation data, the U.S. October CPI will be released at 21:30 Beijing time on November 10, and the PPI will be released at 21:30 on November 13. ING expects that the overall CPI and core CPI will both rise by 0.3% month-on-month, which is sufficient to support a high probability of a rate hike in December. Monex's macro research director Nick Rees believes that unless the October CPI is significantly lower than expected, or the November employment report released on December 4 shows a clear weakness, the market is expected to have almost fully priced in the 25 basis point rate hike by the time of next month's meeting. Officials such as Waller, Bowman, Barr, and Jefferson will speak or participate in discussions during the week.According to Eastern Time, CoreWeave will release its third-quarter results after the market closes on November 10, Nebius will release its third-quarter results before the market opens on November 12, and Cisco will release its first-quarter results for fiscal year 2027 after the market closes on November 12. Anthropic plans to officially launch its IPO roadshow as early as the week of November 9. Geopolitically, the U.S., Russia, and Ukraine plan to hold working-level negotiations in Abu Dhabi from November 10 to 11. The head of the Ukrainian president's office, Andriy Yermak, stated that he does not expect breakthrough results from this meeting but believes that the resumption of face-to-face talks itself is progress.

first_img Morgan Stanley: The adjustment of chip stocks has entered its final stage, with a year-end target of 8000 points for the S&P 500

Morgan Stanley's Chief Equity Strategist Mike Wilson stated that despite the cooling enthusiasm for artificial intelligence trading and recent pressure on U.S. stocks, he maintains his forecast for the S&P 500 index to close at 8000 points by the end of the year. Morgan Stanley has set a tactical downside target for the S&P 500 at 7100 to 7200 points, slightly below the 200-day moving average, while the basic year-end target remains at 8000 points. Wilson noted that several upcoming clearing events, including the midterm elections, should mark the end of the current stock market adjustment.Wilson is relatively cautious about the semiconductor sector, believing that support levels may be significantly lower than current levels, but selling pressure may ease next month. The strategy team stated that as the market questions the timing and scale of revenue realization related to artificial intelligence, the semiconductor and other capital expenditure beneficiary sectors have become the epicenter of financing concerns; there are new doubts about the cost of capital for some participants and whether the credit market can provide sufficient funds to support related expenditures, as governments and non-AI-related capital expenditures are also competing for funds. The team indicated that given the possibility of more financing plans in the future, it is normal for the market to focus on the supply side, but this concern will persist until financing is completed.The five-year credit default swaps of the highly leveraged new cloud service provider CoreWeave closed above 1100 basis points last week, implying a default probability of about 50% on its debt within five years. Wilson's team believes that the adjustment in the semiconductor sector has entered its final stage, expecting this round of adjustment to end by mid-November; however, based on technical analysis and comparisons with the once-hot silver market, the sector may decline another 10% to 15% from current levels, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index potentially dipping to around 9500 points. Last week, the Nasdaq Composite Index fell a cumulative 0.7%, with a total decline of over 5% in the past two weeks; on Monday, Anthropic's public IPO prospectus boosted the AI sector, leading chip stocks to rise, and the Nasdaq Composite Index increased by 0.82%, closing at 26169.38 points.

first_img Grayscale Research Director: The decline in computing power stocks, demand will still be maintained

Grayscale Research Director Zach Pandl stated in "The Stack" published on October 20, 2026: AI computing infrastructure stocks have recently declined due to investors' concerns about rising borrowing costs, while the financing needs of related companies are high. The stock index, which includes AI cloud service providers CoreWeave and Nebius, has fallen by approximately 27% since the end of September, according to data from Bloomberg and Grayscale Investments, based on the Indxx High-Performance Computing Index, as of October 19, 2026.Pandl noted: Most of these companies are in early stages and capital-intensive, with some neocloud capital expenditures being several times their current revenue. The top five holdings in the index have a capital expenditure to sales ratio exceeding 230% over the past 12 months, with data as of October 19, 2026. He believes that while stock prices are correcting, the demand and prices for computing power remain stable, with demand for computing power increasing rather than decreasing.He also anticipates: The decline in token prices and the increase in AI agent usage will lead to higher inference demand, thereby supporting the growth of computing power demand; if demand increases and computing power prices remain high, these companies may benefit. He also mentioned the slowdown in GPU depreciation, as well as the overlap between AI computing power and the Bitcoin mining industry, with the possibility of rising Bitcoin prices. Pandl believes: Higher borrowing costs have suppressed computing infrastructure stocks, but the fundamental trend of rising computing power demand remains valid, and this correction should be seen as an opportunity to increase exposure to the energized compute layer.
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