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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs. Quentin Halys," the option "Alexander Bublik" in the sub-market "Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs. Quentin Halys" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 57.5% an hour ago to the current 38.5% (a fluctuation of 19%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to South Korean media Daily NK, North Korean authorities arrested an elite hacker group on July 12, which is suspected of infiltrating the internal networks of the North Korean central bank and foreign trade bank, stealing national trade funds and laundering money through cryptocurrency. Sources say the group's leader is a veteran from the cyber warfare unit under the North Korean Reconnaissance General Bureau, who recruited talented IT graduates from Kim Chaek University of Technology and Pyongyang University of Science and Technology, using encrypted communications and wireless devices to commit crimes.They split the stolen funds into small amounts and transferred them to overseas cryptocurrency wallets, exchanged them for cash through intermediaries, and then converted them into dollars and other currencies in border areas. Pyongyang officials launched an investigation after discovering anomalies in foreign currency payment approvals and records of overseas IP access, ultimately raiding a safe house and arresting suspects who were laundering money, seizing equipment worth hundreds of thousands of dollars. This case has caused a stir among the elite and military circles in Pyongyang, with senior officials in the Reconnaissance General Bureau and the science and education sector worried about being implicated. North Korea has long been accused of stealing billions of dollars in cryptocurrency assets through hacker organizations like the Lazarus Group, but this incident rarely shows that its own financial system has also become a target of internal attacks.

According to The Block, Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson stated that quantum computing could pose a significant challenge to Bitcoin's governance capabilities. If the Bitcoin network cannot coordinate the necessary upgrades, BTC may lose its status as the largest cryptocurrency asset globally.Hoskinson mentioned that the problem with Bitcoin is that it is "frozen in time," making any changes very difficult. He believes that the early disappointment with Bitcoin's lack of flexibility was one of the reasons that led to the birth of Ethereum.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 62.1%, while the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 37.9%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 15.1%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 56.2%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 28.7%.

Well-known trader Killa (@KillaXBT) posted that the Bitcoin cycle is accelerating, with the last cycle taking only 476 days from the bottom to a new ATH, much faster than the previous two cycles. It is expected that this cycle will also reach a new high before the next halving.Killa, as a quantitative trader focused on BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on platform X. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at $74,688 and switched to long during the market-wide decline on June 5.

Coinbase is undergoing the largest executive reshuffle in recent years. Chief Talent Officer Lawrence Brock has stepped down and transitioned to an advisory role, while co-head of the institutional division Greg Tusar has moved to a policy position; previously, General Counsel Paul Grewal planned to leave, and Jesse Pollak has stepped down as head of the Base app. After laying off 14% of its workforce in May, Coinbase is accelerating its transformation into a comprehensive trading platform that includes stocks and prediction markets.

Fang Xinghai, former member of the Party Committee and Vice Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, is suspected of serious violations of discipline and law, and is currently undergoing disciplinary review and supervisory investigation by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and the National Supervisory Commission.

Web3 asset data platform RootData announced the completion of the stock perpetual contract leaderboard feature upgrade. This upgrade significantly enhances the weight ratio of trading volume and position amount, and adds dimensions of leverage multiples and market share for each exchange, aiming to provide more refined data references for the market.The latest data shows that Binance, Hyperliquid, OKX, MEXC, and Bitget rank among the top five exchanges in the stock perpetual contract market share, collectively accounting for 74.8%. RootData stated that the leaderboard currently includes data from nearly 30 exchanges, welcoming listed exchanges to supplement and完善 information, and also inviting unlisted exchanges to proactively submit data for inclusion in the ranking system.

According to market data, the current on-chain total value of the tokenized stock market has approached 2 billion dollars, with over 471,000 on-chain holders. The report selected four assets—NVIDIA, Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla—that have effective two-way order books across various testing platforms for horizontal comparison.The research results show that Bitget rToken achieved optimal execution performance in both the $10,000 and $50,000 order tests, presenting the most balanced order book liquidity within a price range of ±50 basis points. Among them, the slippage for the $50,000 order was 58% lower than that of other tokenized stock products. This is mainly attributed to Bitget rToken's 1:1 alignment with the liquidity of traditional markets such as the NYSE and NASDAQ, providing more efficient execution for large transactions.

According to informed sources, SoftBank Group is considering acquiring Gravis Robotics AG, as SoftBank is targeting the artificial intelligence sector that supports robotics technology. SoftBank plans to make a significant investment in this European startup and incorporate it into its newly established company, Roze.SoftBank may complete the transaction in phases, achieving this through gradual acquisition of existing shares and injecting new funds. Informed sources say that this deal could ultimately value the Zurich-based Gravis company at over $500 million. They stated that no final decision has yet been made regarding the scale or structure of the transaction.

The European Union has further tightened restrictions on cryptocurrency assets related to Belarus, prohibiting Belarusian citizens and residents from owning, controlling, or managing cryptocurrency service providers regulated by the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA). According to the Council Decision (CFSP) 2026/1847 passed by the EU Council, this measure is an extension of the EU's sanctions framework against Belarus's involvement in the Russia-Ukraine conflict.The new regulations will officially take effect on July 24, with the expanded restrictions on the cryptocurrency industry set to be implemented from August 25. According to MiCA, the affected services include operating cryptocurrency trading platforms, cryptocurrency exchanges, executing and transmitting customer orders, cryptocurrency issuance services, asset transfer services, investment consulting, and portfolio management.This restriction comes as the MiCA transition period ends on July 1. The EU had previously required unauthorized cryptocurrency businesses to cease related operations, or face regulatory enforcement. The EU stated that this expansion of restrictions is part of its efforts to combat the use of cryptocurrency platforms to evade sanctions against Russia. Previously, in the 21st round of sanctions against Russia, the EU had expanded the trading ban to 14 cryptocurrency-related service platforms outside the EU and established a mechanism to prohibit future transactions with any foreign cryptocurrency service providers identified as helping Russia evade sanctions. Market participants noted that as the MiCA regulatory framework is fully implemented, the EU is further strengthening its regulatory control over the cryptocurrency industry through licensing systems and sanction mechanisms.

On-chain data shows that cryptocurrency theft suspect Dritan Kapllani Jr laundered 126.7 ETH again on July 22, worth approximately $239,000.Previously, on-chain detective ZachXBT revealed that Dritan Kapllani Jr is suspected of stealing assets from cryptocurrency holders through social engineering techniques, with a total amount involved reaching $19 million. Dritan Kapllani Jr has long showcased a lifestyle featuring luxury cars, high-end watches, and private jets on social media, and publicly displayed assets worth $3.68 million in his Exodus wallet during a Discord call on April 23, 2026.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that there has been a noticeable increase in on-chain activity from the oldest group of Bitcoin holders recently. Data shows that the daily UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) movement for BTC holders with holding periods of 5 to 7 years and 7 to 10 years has exceeded 5000 BTC multiple times.Darkfost pointed out that the spending of UTXOs does not necessarily mean selling. Long-term holders typically move Bitcoin for two main reasons: one is for security considerations, such as changing wallet addresses which leads to the transfer of UTXOs from the original address; the other is to sell assets. However, current on-chain data does not show a significant flow of funds to exchanges, indicating that these long-term holders are not currently engaging in large-scale selling of BTC. It is noteworthy that this behavior occurs as Bitcoin tests the $60,000 mark again, similar to market trends observed from February to March this year. The market will continue to monitor whether the activities of long-term holders will further impact the supply and demand dynamics of BTC.

According to Jinshi reports, Morgan Stanley strategists stated in a report that recent data indicates the Federal Reserve will remain steady at the July meeting and may keep interest rates unchanged for the remainder of the year. They noted that the inflation trend in the coming months is crucial, and inflation is expected to decline as anticipated; otherwise, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates later this year.Currently, the money market has priced in expectations for nearly two rate hikes by the Federal Reserve before the end of the year, but the trend of slowing inflation may prompt the Federal Reserve to maintain the federal funds rate in the range of 3.5% to 3.75%.

According to GMGN data, the top 5 tokens with net inflow of KOL in the past 24 hours are as follows:Jimothy (Ge87....ump): Net inflow of $7,000, with a 24-hour change of -32.7%, currently priced at $0.0248.SAKURA (EWiV....ump): Net inflow of $1,000, with a 24-hour change of 49.2%, currently priced at $0.0003.Terp (ALvN....ump): Net inflow of $807, with a 24-hour change of -65.5%, currently priced at $0.0001.Terp (G2rk....ump): Net inflow of $399, with a 24-hour change of 12.1%, currently priced at $0.0001.Lambocheesi (7W2q....ump): Net inflow of $252, with a 24-hour change of 1065.7%, currently priced at $0.0001.

The Shanghai Branch of Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) has collaborated with ICBC Singapore Branch to successfully implement the country's first cross-border payment business between China and Singapore based on the digital renminbi cross-border settlement comprehensive service platform "Digital Currency Express" (CBETS). This transaction, involving nearly ten million yuan in import shipping fees, was fully paid using digital renminbi, with funds arriving in the Singapore recipient's account on the same day, achieving "zero time difference" and "high transparency" in cross-border fund transfers. The service targets subsidiaries of central enterprise group trade platforms that regularly need to procure iron ore from abroad and pay for shipping fees, with high frequency and large amounts of cross-border settlements."Digital Currency Express" is a cross-border settlement infrastructure built by the International Operation Center of Digital Renminbi under the guidance of the People's Bank of China's Digital Currency Research Institute. Overseas participants can access services through the Hong Kong access point "One Point Access", compatible with both centralized and blockchain systems, and the message standards comply with ISO20022. On June 16, 2026, the first batch of 26 financial institutions signed direct participant service agreements. This business marks a significant breakthrough for ICBC in leveraging the infrastructure of the International Operation Center of Digital Renminbi to establish an integrated cross-border clearing system for domestic and foreign branches, achieving comprehensive coverage of two-way digital renminbi payment and receipt services with Singapore and Laos.

According to the analysis by the crypto venture capital firm 1kx (@1kxnetwork), on-chain fees in the second quarter of this year decreased by 33% year-on-year, with DEX fees dropping by $625 million (-57%), mainly dragged down by Meteora, Raydium, and PancakeSwap, which together generated $1.5 billion in fees in the first half of last year; blockchain and MEV fees decreased by $362 million (-40%); launch platform fees fell by 57%, with Pump.fun contributing nearly half of the decline.Some sectors achieved counter-cyclical growth: perpetual contract and prediction market fees increased by 22% year-on-year, led by edgeX and Hyperliquid, with Polymarket contributing nearly $100 million in a single quarter; the lending and asset management sectors continued to grow, with Morpho, USDai, and Maple Finance each increasing by $9 million to $19 million; Canton Network added $179 million in L1 fees, but most of this was driven by incentives. Despite the overall decline in industry fees, token holder distribution returns remained stable, with Binance burn still accounting for a significant share, and protocols like Hyperliquid have incorporated buybacks and burns into their regular policies.