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Galaxy: The structural issues in strategy have not yet been fully resolved, and it is necessary to explore ways to generate income from its BTC holdings

Galaxy Research Director Alex Thorn stated that the capital management adjustments announced by Strategy on Monday mark an important turning point. In the weeks prior, the "digital credit" system of Strategy's preferred shares faced pressure, with the preferred share STRC falling below its $100 par value and hitting a historical low of $71.25 on June 26, leading the market to question how the company would pay the increasingly high preferred share dividends.Strategy subsequently announced a new digital credit capital framework, including a board-approved dollar reserve policy, a revised STRC dividend policy, a $1 billion preferred securities repurchase authorization, a $1 billion MSTR common stock repurchase authorization, and a BTC monetization plan. At the same time, the board raised the annual dividend rate of STRC from 11.5% to 12%, applicable to semi-monthly dividends for record dates on or after July 1. Following the announcement, MSTR rose 12.6% to about $92.70 on Monday, while STRC increased by 12.2% to about $83.70.Thorn believes that Strategy's approach is wise, but it may not permanently resolve structural issues. The company still has a large preferred share system and ongoing payment obligations, and it will face $6.7 billion in convertible bonds maturing in 2027 and 2028. The market is not truly concerned about Strategy's lack of assets, but rather whether it has sufficient dollar liquidity to pay dividends without harming BTC holders, MSTR common stock shareholders, or preferred shareholders. By raising over $1 billion in cash through the sale of common stock, setting a minimum cash reserve policy for 12 months, and increasing the current cash coverage ratio to about 17 months, Strategy has bought itself time.The most controversial aspect is the BTC monetization plan, which seems to clearly indicate that Strategy may sell BTC from time to time. Thorn does not want to see Strategy sell Bitcoin, as the company's identity and the MSTR premium are built on its narrative as a long-term BTC exposure tool, and selling BTC would undermine that story.However, he also believes that if selling a small amount of BTC can prevent a disorderly spiral in the capital structure, protect preferred shares, and wait for a better market environment, this path can be justified. Strategy should explore how to generate income from its BTC assets without directly selling spot BTC, including conservatively lending a small amount of isolated BTC or using options strategies to capture volatility gains.

Robinhood's second-quarter revenue is expected to reach $123 million, potentially surpassing cryptocurrency trading income

According to Dr. Crossroads' analysis, Robinhood's event prediction market revenue is expected to surpass its traditional cryptocurrency trading revenue as early as the second quarter of this year. Data shows that as of June 25, Robinhood has recorded approximately 12.3 billion event contract trades in the second quarter. Based on the usual 1 cent per contract revenue share, this is expected to contribute at least $123 million in single-quarter revenue, pushing the annualized revenue rate (ARR) of this business to $500 million. In comparison, due to the decline in institutional trading volume, its cryptocurrency business revenue in the second quarter is expected to fall below the first quarter's $134 million.At the same time, Robinhood's newly launched prediction market platform Rothera has surpassed 900 million contracts traded in its first week, bringing nearly 60% of potential contract trading increment to the company. Through Rothera's full-stack self-research and vertical integration, Robinhood plans to change the current fixed model where users pay 2 cents per contract (with the company and partner exchanges each receiving 1 cent), reducing the new fee rate to a minimum of 0.6 cents. This move aims to sprint into the top three in the industry through core price advantages while retaining the economic benefits of trade execution entirely within its ecosystem while passing savings on to users.

Fidelity refutes the argument that halving weakens Bitcoin's security: miners' average daily income has increased from $26,300 to $40,200,000

Fidelity Digital Assets recently released a research report that positively addresses concerns about the long-term impact of Bitcoin halving on network security. The report's author, Fidelity research analyst Daniel Gray, pointed out that Bitcoin network security relies not only on block rewards but also on transaction fees, market incentives, and other economic forces that continuously motivate miners to maintain network security, making the cost of sustained attacks prohibitively high.On the data front, Gray noted that despite the ongoing reduction in block subsidies, the rise in Bitcoin prices has significantly offset this impact. The average daily income of miners has increased from about $26,300 during the first halving cycle to over $40,200 today. He wrote, "Despite the decrease in issuance, miner incentives and the resulting network security have historically strengthened alongside the rise in Bitcoin prices."Since the fourth halving in April 2024, the block subsidy for miners has decreased from 6.25 to 3.125 Bitcoins per block. However, the optimistic conclusions of the report starkly contrast with the current realities faced by publicly traded mining companies. Several industry analysts describe the current environment as one of the most challenging for mining on record, due to the simultaneous decline in block rewards, rising operational costs, and increased competition.In response, several mining companies have begun to transition to the AI and high-performance computing sectors, leveraging existing power infrastructure to meet AI computing demands. VanEck estimates that publicly listed mining companies may need to raise up to $50 billion in additional funds to fully transition to AI infrastructure, but the requirements for AI data centers regarding facility standards, cooling, power redundancy, and networking are far higher than those of traditional Bitcoin mining operations, making the transition challenges significant.

Asset management company Baillie Gifford, in collaboration with BNY, launched an on-chain fixed income tokenized fund, deploying on both ETH and Solana chains

According to CoinDesk, the long-established asset management company Baillie Gifford from Edinburgh, Scotland (founded over 118 years ago) announced on Monday in collaboration with global custodian giant BNY the launch of a tokenized fixed income fund—Baillie Gifford Enhanced Yield Fund (BAGEY), deployed simultaneously on the Ethereum and Solana public chains.The fund is denominated in US dollars and operates under an open-ended investment company (OEIC) structure within the UK regulatory framework, targeting qualified investors from the UK, Switzerland, and the Cayman Islands. It offers an actively managed short-duration corporate bond portfolio, with a current yield of approximately 7%.Unlike most tokenized products on the market, Baillie Gifford's Head of Digital Assets Theo Golden emphasized that BAGEY is not a traditional fund wrapped in a token shell, but rather a fund issued directly on-chain, with the blockchain itself serving as the rights registry, allowing investors to directly hold shares and enjoy direct recourse.BNY will provide tokenization and wallet infrastructure for the fund, with NatWest acting as the custodian. The Global Head of Investor Solutions at BNY stated that this issuance marks the transition of tokenization from concept to real application, as regulated fund structures evolve towards a more digital and interconnected market.
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