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CryptoQuant's latest analysis indicates that while Bitcoin has support, the recovery process is uneven. First, regarding exchange reserves, it has risen from about 2.67 million BTC at the beginning of October to about 2.68 million BTC, still far below January levels. Low reserves do not mean that supply is continuously shrinking; transfers may reflect custody changes, and the increase itself does not prove selling pressure. Secondly, the recovery of spot demand has been hindered, with 30-day spot demand once approaching zero before turning negative again. Perpetual contract demand is positive, supporting overall demand.Finally, the behavior of whales is diverging. Addresses holding 100 to 1,000 BTC have still net accumulated over the past 60 days, but this is below the peak at the end of September; the group holding 1,000 to 10,000 BTC has seen a net decrease approaching zero; and the group holding over 10,000 BTC is negative. Accumulation is not fully underway. CryptoQuant believes that conditions still exist to support Bitcoin's bottoming out. For a solid recovery to occur, sustained spot demand support is needed, buyers must be able to absorb the BTC flowing back to exchanges, and accumulation behavior should spread to more holding groups. Market expectations regarding the U.S. midterm elections and monetary policy must translate into actual buying behavior. The key is whether price increases can attract a growing and lasting group of buyers.

Crypto analyst Ali posted that the 10-minute cycle chart of Ethereum seems to be forming an "Adam and Eve bottom" pattern. The key resistance level currently being watched in the market is the neckline around 2520 USD. If ETH can consistently close above this level, it may confirm a bullish breakout and further open up upward space, with the target area focusing on 2640 USD.

According to Glassnode data, long-term holders of BTC have remained in profit throughout this cycle. This has never happened in previous bear markets since at least 2015.In each previous bear market, the long-term holder MVRV (LTH-MVRV) indicator would drop below 1 at the bottom of the cycle, causing this group to fall into a loss. However, this time, the indicator bottomed out above 1 and is currently rising again.

Cryptocurrency analyst Ali pointed out in a post that during the overall sideways movement of the cryptocurrency market in the past week, there has been a significant divergence in the holdings of different assets by whales. Data shows that Bitcoin whale holdings decreased by about 30,000 BTC, valued at approximately $2.52 billion, indicating that large holders are reducing their Bitcoin exposure.In contrast, Ethereum whales increased their holdings by about 60,000 ETH during the same period, valued at approximately $162 million. Regarding XRP, whale holdings remained relatively stable, with total holdings maintaining around 3.9 billion XRP over the past week, showing no significant changes. Ali further stated that the current market presents a divergent pattern of "Bitcoin whales reducing holdings, Ethereum whales buying, and XRP whales observing," which is worth paying attention to.

Cryptocurrency analyst Ali Charts posted on platform X that the last breakout of the triangle pattern drove Ethereum up 31% in just three days.Ali Charts stated that a new triangle pattern is forming now. If ETH breaks out again, a similar trend could push it up to $3000.

Crypto analyst Ali Charts posted on platform X that Bitcoin's current trend is highly similar to the bottoming pattern in 2023. In 2023, Bitcoin broke the downward trend and tested the previous high in August, then retraced to around $20,000 before starting to rise.It seems that a similar structure is forming now, with a key observation level near $83,000 around the high in May 2026.

Famous trader and chart analyst Peter Brandt, who successfully predicted the Bitcoin crash in 2018, stated yesterday that Bitcoin was originally in an inverted head and shoulders pattern and was overall in a downtrend, thus bearish. However, the recent surge has caused the Bitcoin pattern to ultimately turn into a valid bottom. Brandt candidly mentioned that he "bought in at the breakout, regardless of good or bad."On July 20, Peter Brandt indicated that he expects the current market cycle for Bitcoin to bottom out on October 4, 2026, and believes that investing in Bitcoin for the next two to three years may outperform investing in AI stocks.

According to reports from China News Service, multiple South Korean media outlets believe that the recent sharp decline in the stock market is interpreted as a shock from the listing of China's largest semiconductor company, Changxin Technology. The market is worried that Changxin Technology will use the funds raised from its stock market listing to catch up with semiconductor companies like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, and this concern has spread, leading to a setback in investor sentiment.According to a previous report by CNBC, Z-Ben Advisors analyst Peter Alexander believes that, referencing the development paths of the steel and new energy vehicle industries, Changxin Technology will quickly seize market share in the low-end memory chip market and ultimately shake the monopoly positions of Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron Technology in the global memory industry.

Web3 security company CertiK has released the "Skynet North Korea Cyber Threat Report." The data shows that since 2016, North Korean hacker groups have plundered approximately $6.75 billion in digital assets. In 2025 alone, the losses from thefts they orchestrated reached as high as $2.06 billion, accounting for nearly 60% of the total losses in the global cryptocurrency industry for the entire year (including the $1.5 billion Bybit theft case). As of early 2026, this threat trend continues, with losses accounting for about 55%.The report emphasizes that the attack patterns of North Korean hackers have undergone a fundamental shift, evolving from simple code vulnerability exploitation to a national-level attack system that combines social engineering, deep supply chain attacks, and "physical infiltration." In the recent Drift protocol incident, attackers even spent six months lurking at offline industry conferences, establishing trust through real funds and interpersonal interactions before executing their attack.CertiK security experts warn that in the face of such systemic attacks, simple technical defenses have become weak. Cryptocurrency institutions urgently need to fully implement a "zero trust" hiring model, strengthen third-party supply chains, establish fund circuit breaker mechanisms, and collaborate with professional security organizations to build a comprehensive lifecycle defense system covering code audits, round-the-clock risk monitoring, and on-chain anti-money laundering/KYT (Know Your Transaction) fund tracking.

The AI infrastructure platform B.AI announced on May 7 that its user base has officially surpassed 1.7 million. As an innovative force dedicated to building the core infrastructure for privacy protection, intelligent routing, and the agent economy, B.AI is accelerating the execution layer of autonomous intelligent large-scale development through significant benefits such as zero markup on all models, a gift of 500,000 free points upon new user registration, and a limited-time 1:1 recharge with a cost reduction of 50%. B.AI will continue to drive technological innovation and extreme cost-effectiveness as dual engines, working with millions of users to build an efficient and secure autonomous intelligent execution layer, and jointly advance into a new ecosystem of agents.

According to Gate Ventures' latest weekly report, as the situation in the Middle East has temporarily eased and energy prices have fallen, global risk appetite has marginally improved, stock indices have reached new highs, and both the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields have declined. However, gold remains strong, indicating that while the market is flowing back into risk assets, the demand for safe-haven assets has not completely faded. Against this backdrop, the cryptocurrency market has seen a slight rebound overall, with BTC and ETH rising 4.3% and 3.3% respectively. ETF funds continue to see net inflows, but market sentiment remains cautious. Mainstream assets have performed relatively steadily with institutional support, while the recovery in the altcoin market remains limited.At the industry level, regulatory advancements and infrastructure development continue to deepen. France supports promoting the euro stablecoin plan under the MiCA framework to enhance the competitiveness of the local currency system; Circle has launched USDC Bridge to further improve the cross-chain liquidity structure of stablecoins; the X platform has introduced the Cashtags feature to accelerate the integration of trading and social scenarios. In terms of investment and financing, a total of 12 financing deals were disclosed this week, with a total amount of $41.8 million, among which Paxos Labs completed a $12 million financing focused on compliant DeFi infrastructure development, reflecting that capital is still continuously laying out around compliance and underlying capability upgrades.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced the repeal of the "pattern day trader" rule, eliminating the requirement for day trading accounts to maintain a minimum balance of $25,000.This rule was originally intended to restrict frequent trading behavior and aimed to reduce investor risk. This adjustment is expected to affect the trading thresholds of various financial products, including cryptocurrencies and Web3-related assets, providing more flexibility for individual investors. The SEC's move marks a further relaxation of the U.S. financial regulatory environment, which may promote increased market activity.

Bitfinex released a report indicating that BTC ETFs recorded net inflows of $69.4 million and $114 million, ending a previous two-week trend of outflows. However, structurally, ARK Invest and Fidelity remain the main players, while the capital inflow for BlackRock's IBIT is limited, reflecting that institutional demand remains cautious.In addition, the funding rates in the derivatives market remained negative for most of the first quarter, indicating a continued dominance of short positions, with traders still inclined to pay for downside risk. Currently, there is a liquidation cluster below Bitcoin's price of about $66,500; if the price rises, it may trigger a short squeeze. However, overall, the market's confidence in this round of rebound remains insufficient.

According to independent analyst Markus Thielen, Ethereum has broken through a key technical support level and is currently showing a bearish flag pattern, with prices touching around $2004. This pattern is highly similar to this year's trend, and caution is advised as this pattern may reoccur.On the funding side, market trading volume remains sluggish, with insufficient participation willingness. Ethereum ETFs have continued to see net outflows since last year, with no recent improvement. On the fundamental side, the new cycle of DeFi has not yet started, and there are no obvious signs of recovery in on-chain activity. Recently, the minting volume of USDC has significantly slowed down and turned into net outflows. The improvement in liquidity within the ecosystem is still not stable, and structural demand support remains limited.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr stated on social media that the current price of Bitcoin has risen above its fair value, and the market structure has significantly changed compared to two weeks ago.Axel Adler Jr pointed out that two weeks ago, the market was in a bearish dominant phase, with the price of Bitcoin below its fair value, and the model he used was also in a "Bear Regime" state. As of now, this structure has completely reversed—prices have risen above fair value, and the bears' control over the market has come to an end.