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According to The Block, after conducting on-chain analysis of the Polymarket account dubdubdub2, which was questioned by The New York Times, it was found that the trader has been engaging in large-scale speculation and DeFi trading for a long time, holding relevant election positions until settlement, rather than profiting immediately after the polls were released.Transaction records also indicate that the trader may have continued to place bets 10 minutes after the Nebraska poll was released. Two interviewed experts believe that the existing evidence does not strongly indicate wrongdoing, but it cannot be completely ruled out. Polymarket previously stated that it is investigating.

According to a report by The New York Times, researchers at Vanderbilt University found that a Polymarket user bet nearly $200,000 on October 31, believing that Nebraska Senator Pete Ricketts would win re-election. About an hour later, a poll released jointly by The New York Times and Siena College showed Ricketts in the lead. The report stated that it is currently unclear whether the user had insider information, but their profit exceeded $77,000.The report also mentioned that the user made similar large bets in other markets, including Kalshi. Brett Goldstein from Vanderbilt University's National Security Research Institute stated that this series of events is difficult to consider as random occurrences and requires further investigation. Polymarket stated that it has identified related transactions and is investigating, while Kalshi declined to comment.In April of this year, Cointelegraph reported that a U.S. Army soldier was sued for profiting over $400,000 from bets in a prediction market, allegedly using non-public information related to U.S. actions against Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. The U.S. Department of Justice stated that Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke was involved in the planning and execution of "Operation Absolute Resolve," which captured Maduro at a residence in Caracas, Venezuela, in January of this year. He is accused of using that information to buy "yes" shares of related Polymarket contracts, including "Maduro will resign before January 31."

According to The Information, Nvidia (NVDA.O) is in talks with Apollo to transform Brightspeed's assets into AI data centers.

Goldman Sachs Group and Apollo Global Management are in talks with Wall Street investors to begin selling a portion of a roughly $40 billion SpaceX (SPCX.O) chip financing deal.

According to CBS News, preliminary exit polls for the 2026 U.S. midterm elections show that Trump's approval rating is at 38%, potentially setting a record low for a president in midterm elections. This figure is lower than during his first term and lower than the level of George W. Bush in 2006 when the Republicans simultaneously lost both houses of Congress. About 60% of voters indicated that Trump was a factor in their decision to vote for House representatives. This is primarily driven by Democratic voters, most of whom are voting out of opposition to Trump. Among Republican voters, only a majority of the MAGA camp indicated they were voting to support Trump, while non-MAGA Republicans mostly believe he is not a factor.In terms of the Senate elections, CBS News has predicted that Democrat Roy Cooper will win the North Carolina seat, marking the first time since Kay Hagan in 2008 that the state has elected a Democratic senator. Cooper performed better among independent voters and white women compared to Harris in 2024, with most voters believing his opponent, Republican Michael Whitley, is too supportive of Trump. Democrat Jon Ossoff was predicted to win within 40 minutes after voting ended in Georgia, defeating Republican Congressman Mike Collins. Ossoff performed strongly among Black voters, with a vote share roughly comparable to his 2021 runoff, and made breakthroughs among white voters as well. The competition between South Carolina Republican Senator Lindsey Graham and Democrat Annie Andrews is still considered too close to call.

On October 26, a mining machine running on the FutureBit Apollo Solo solution mined Bitcoin block 973,262, receiving a complete block reward of 3.154 BTC and collecting transaction fees from 2,477 transactions within that block. Multiple block explorers, including mempool.space, marked the discoverer of this block as "FutureBit Apollo Solo," with its coinbase transaction containing text mentioning FutureBit and Apollo.FutureBit stated on X that the Apollo device or Solo Node assembles block templates, allocates work, and submits complete blocks using its built-in solo pool. This is at least the fourth block attributed to FutureBit Apollo Solo, with the previous three being 867,760, 881,423, and 888,737. FutureBit designs Apollo hardware for users who wish to run a full Bitcoin node and mine independently at home, with the latest model, Apollo III, achieving a maximum hash rate of 18 TH/s in turbo mode and integrating a full node.Solo mining is often referred to as "lottery-style mining" due to the extremely low probability of winning relative to block rewards. Against the backdrop of the Bitcoin network's hash rate recently being around 1,070--1,087 EH/s, the expected time for home devices with 10--18 TH/s to mine a block is still measured in centuries at current difficulty levels, but verified successful cases of solo mining continue to appear on-chain. Additionally, the next day, another miner successfully mined a solo block through CKPool Solo.

According to Eleanor Terrett, a joint survey by the DeFi Education Fund and Ipsos shows that 35% of American respondents believe political candidates should support the development of the next generation of financial technology. However, when the question specifically pointed to blockchain, cryptocurrency, and DeFi, this percentage dropped to 13%.The survey also revealed that 74% of respondents believe the financial system needs reform so that individuals can have more control over their assets. Meanwhile, only 9% of respondents reported being very or extremely familiar with cryptocurrency, and just 5% have high trust in decentralized platforms.Among those who are intentionally trying DeFi, the leading uses are for savings and domestic transfers within the United States, rather than speculation. Cryptocurrency ownership has increased by 4 percentage points, while usage over the past year has remained steady at 13%.

The chief economist of the American asset management firm Apollo, Torsten Sløk, released five charts, believing that AI has not yet brought significant financial returns to large American companies outside of the tech giants. The per capita revenue and profit margins of the seven tech giants continue to rise; excluding them, the 493 companies in the S&P have seen these two metrics remain basically stagnant, and the data on total factor productivity in the U.S. has not shown significant signs of AI-driven growth.Apollo cited data from the corporate payment platform Ramp, stating that among its clients, the top 10% of companies by spending contributed 99.5% of the model hosting and inference costs. Among the top 1% of companies with the highest AI spending, about 80% have venture capital backgrounds; for companies at the median spending level, this ratio is only 13%. A large amount of AI computing power consumption is concentrated in a few companies, many of which rely on venture capital support.Previous statistics from Apollo indicated that during the second quarter earnings season of 2026, 69% of S&P 500 companies had disclosed that they were actually using AI, but only 2% reported metrics for ongoing tracking of effectiveness. Another NBER study updated in October this year surveyed nearly 9,000 corporate executives from seven countries, with respondents estimating that over the past three years, AI has only improved the annual growth rate of labor productivity in companies by about 0.2 percentage points.

The U.S. SEC filings show that SpaceX has signed a binding primary financing lease commitment with Apollo Global Management.According to the agreement, Apollo will purchase GPU clusters and related equipment and lease them to SpaceX, with the total principal payments under the related lease arrangements expected to reach $40 billion.

Apollo Global Management's Chief Economist Torsten Slok stated that despite companies investing heavily in artificial intelligence, AI has not yet brought tangible returns to U.S. businesses outside the technology sector. Slok pointed out that the per capita income of employees in 493 companies in the S&P 500 index remains flat, and corporate profit margins have not seen growth.

According to Cointelegraph, a recent poll conducted by Reuters/Ipsos shows that a majority of American respondents oppose betting on U.S. elections and other government actions through prediction markets. The survey indicates that 69% of Democratic respondents and 61% of Republican respondents oppose using prediction markets to bet on election outcomes. The survey was conducted from September 30 to October 5, covering 4,506 adults nationwide.Aside from elections, even regarding betting on professional sports events, 43% of respondents expressed opposition, while only 29% indicated support. The prediction market industry is currently dominated by platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi, which allow users to bet on U.S. elections, government policy trends, and sports events, and has sparked multiple lawsuits regarding regulatory authority.The Trump administration is pushing for federal regulation of the industry through the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), while several states have expressed opposition to this. Previously, on October 8, Cointelegraph reported that 39 states and the District of Columbia submitted an amicus brief, indicating that the conflict between the CFTC and state authorities over prediction market issues has created a "national turf war" that cannot be resolved without a Supreme Court ruling.

Synthra Finance posted on X that it has directly repurchased nearly 2 million POLL from the market and completed the destruction.Synthra Finance stated that after this operation, the total amount destroyed is close to 7% of the total supply of POLL, and mentioned that the related repurchase comes from protocol revenue, marking another round of repurchase and destruction.

According to Bloomberg, global alternative asset management company Apollo Global Management will provide financing support for a $15 billion AI infrastructure project in Japan, further expanding its investment layout in the field of artificial intelligence.Apollo will act as a strategic investment and financing partner, participating in the project jointly promoted by UK developer RHAELM Holdings, Japan's largest power company Jera, and Dell Technologies. The project is located in Chiba Prefecture, Japan, and aims to build infrastructure to support AI computing needs.

Blockworks co-founder Jason Yanowitz shares the judgment of Apollo's chief economist: agents may trigger bank runs by aggregating household cash.The chief economist stated that agents could transfer household cash from accounts with a national average interest rate of 0.1% to accounts paying 3% to 5%, causing banks to lose a significant portion of their cheap deposits.

Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management, warned that record diesel prices could pose an inflation threat greater than the Federal Reserve expects. Slok stated that the impact of diesel-related transportation costs differs from that of gasoline prices, as it is crucial to economic activity, and price increases will be passed on to businesses and consumers. Currently, inflation levels remain above the central bank's 2% target, and Slok believes the Federal Reserve cannot view the rise in diesel prices as a temporary phenomenon.

Base person in charge Jesse Pollak posted a call for "Venice," which may have influenced VVV to surge briefly, breaking through 32 dollars, currently reported at 32.53 dollars, with a 24-hour increase of 18.64%.

Market news indicates that Apollo is considering raising a $9 billion loan from SoftBank to invest in OpenAI.

Base co-founder Jesse Pollak clarified in a post on platform X that his account was attacked, and the attacker published a scam token ticker through third-party applications connected to the account. Jesse stated that the related posts have been deleted, all third-party application connections have been removed, and he has regained full control of the account, reminding users to be cautious about security.According to a screenshot of the deleted post, after gaining control of Jesse Pollak's account, the attacker published a token named BASEMEME and described it as "the first meme coin with actual utility," along with the trading entry and contract address for o1.exchange. The market value of this meme coin is currently reported at $257,000.

Uber launches Baidu's fully driverless Apollo Go in Dubai, marking the birth of the world's first multi-party cooperative autonomous driving network.