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According to on-chain research conducted by Dune Analytics for the DEX aggregator 1inch, an average of 85% of concentrated liquidity funds in decentralized exchanges were underutilized in the first half of 2026, with 29.5% completely outside the active price range, resulting in approximately $542 million in idle funds each week.Dune estimates that liquidity providers outside the range lose about $150 million in fee income annually. The study covers around 200 of the most active pools on Uniswap v3, PancakeSwap v3, Aerodrome Slipstream, and Uniswap v4, spanning seven chains with a total of 26 weekly snapshots, with an average TVL of approximately $1.84 billion.Data shows that idle funds are mainly concentrated in personal wallets, and automated management tools and bots tend to keep positions within the range. On Base Uniswap v3, personal accounts account for 82% of idle funds. About one-third of idle funds have not been adjusted for over 90 days. Dune attributes the main cause of idleness to asset pairs and their volatility rather than the trading platform, even though about 30% of stablecoin pairs are also outside the range.

According to BBX data, yesterday global traditional capital and financial consortiums intensively disclosed their latest strategies in digital asset treasury construction and Web3 ecosystem investment, with the core dynamics as follows:ORANGE JUICE launches a "real industry blood generation + coin hoarding" dual-wheel strategy: American capital company ORANGE JUICE officially announced the completion of a $40 million financing. The raised funds will be used to establish a holding company that integrates "long-term ownership, operational optimization, and Bitcoin reserves." The company plans to initially acquire stable and profitable American domestic enterprises with annual cash flows between $1 million and $10 million, and clearly stated that the business cash flows generated from these industries will be continuously reinvested for acquisitions or directly supplement its Bitcoin treasury.South Korea's KB Financial Group establishes a 100 billion won cryptocurrency special fund: South Korea's top financial giant KB Financial Group (KRX: 105560) announced the establishment of an AI and digital asset fund with a scale of 100 billion won (approximately $67.29 million). The fund is jointly funded by KB Kookmin Bank, KB Securities, KB Insurance, KB Kookmin Card, and KB Life under the group, and managed by KB Investment, focusing on investments in early-stage South Korean cryptocurrency companies, AI models, data reasoning, and on-chain analysis and other underlying technology companies.

ORANGE JUICE announced the completion of a $40 million financing round, with Mexican billionaire Ricardo Salinas participating as an anchor investor.The project was founded by Ego Death Capital partners Jeff Booth, Lyn Alden, and others, primarily focusing on acquiring profitable U.S. businesses with annual cash flows between $1 million and $10 million, holding them long-term and improving operations, while also building Bitcoin reserves and planning to establish an internal AI operations team to enhance the productivity of the invested companies.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that it is reasonable to consider setting an inflation target range.

According to Bitcoin News, analyst @gaah_im reported that the Bitcoin miner cycle pressure composite index has fallen to a new low for 2026, entering the historically "undervalued" range. This indicator combines the Puell Multiple and the inverse miner capitulation index, both of which measure the dynamics of miner income and costs, and their synchronous signals have historically been strong indicators of Bitcoin cycle bottoms.Previously, this composite index has synchronized crashes that occurred near major Bitcoin bottoms in 2015, 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024. The only previous time this composite index touched 0 was during the capitulation period in 2015, when Bitcoin fell from about $300 to $160 within a week. This indicator is exhibiting similar behavior in 2026, marking that miner pressure has once again reached a historically rare level.

Cryptocurrency analyst Darkfost published an on-chain indicator interpretation on the X platform, analyzing the current profit and loss structure of Bitcoin positions in the market through the core economic indicator TMM (True Market Mean) and the AVIV ratio. The TMM indicator excludes long-term untransferred and partially permanently lost dormant Bitcoins, only accounting for the average holding cost of actively traded chips in the market, with the current value around $76,700. This level has become a significant price resistance, as during the May market, when the price reached this point, many investors exited to break even.The accompanying AVIV (Active Value / Investor Value) ratio currently hovers around 0.8, within the valuation discount range, indicating that the average floating loss for all active BTC investors is 20%. Historically, at the bottom of bear markets, this indicator has dropped to 0.5 to 0.6, corresponding to investor losses of 40%-50%. The current loss magnitude has not yet reached extreme bear market levels.The analyst also pointed out that even with a large influx of institutional funds and Bitcoin ETFs injecting massive liquidity in this cycle, Bitcoin still follows its own cyclical patterns. In the short term, there is no need to wait for the indicators to drop to historically extreme low levels before a rebound occurs, but it is necessary to acknowledge the current pressured environment of widespread losses among market participants.

Strategy Investor Relations Director Chaitanya Jain stated that STRC is gradually recovering after a brief fluctuation.He mentioned that the company's goal is to maintain STRC's long-term trading price in the range of $99 to $100, and it will support this through variable dividend rates, continuous increases in dollar reserves, improving Bitcoin ratings, removing convertible bonds, implementing stock buybacks, and functional upgrades.

According to Jinshi reports, the research report from CICC believes that since June, the market has begun a continuous adjustment, with the US dollar index breaking above the upper limit of the fluctuation range over the past year. The global capital markets are significantly influenced by AI prosperity and US dollar liquidity, leading to a general pullback, with style adjustments occurring within the US stock market. The research report reiterates that the Federal Reserve is "hawkish in name but dovish in reality" this year, and it is expected that the US dollar index may return to a weak fluctuation range, while physical assets, industrial sectors, and technology still maintain expansion potential.

According to Jinshi reports, Chris Turner from ING stated in a report that the euro against the dollar may continue its recent downward trend in the coming weeks, with an expected rebound later this year. He pointed out that although the decline in energy prices is a positive factor for the euro, the anticipated interest rate hikes in the U.S. will dominate the market. If the market reflects expectations of a 50 basis point rate hike, the euro may attempt to fall below 1.13 dollars. Turner expects that based on current judgments, the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates, and the euro will return to the range of 1.16 to 1.18 dollars in November or December.

According to Jinshi reports, Chris Turner of ING stated in a report that if Federal Reserve Chairman Waller focuses on price stability during his speech at the European Central Bank forum in Sintra, Portugal, the dollar should remain strong. Waller emphasized the necessity of bringing the inflation rate back to the 2% target during his first meeting after taking office as Federal Reserve Chairman in June. Turner expects that, influenced by Waller's speech, the dollar index may rise to the range of 101.7-101.8.

According to CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_, the current reading of the Bitcoin UTXO profit and loss ratio model has fallen into a historically low range, indicating that the market is undergoing a deeper internal cleanup.However, the analyst emphasizes that this does not mean the bottom has been confirmed— the 365-day moving average needs to decline further to prove that the market's long-term profit structure has been fully reset, rather than just a short-term oversold reaction. Although a brief rebound may occur due to a short squeeze, it should not be seen as a structural recovery signal if the profit and loss ratio fails to sustain its reconstruction.Overall, signs of internal cleanup in BTC are beginning to emerge, but historical patterns suggest that the market may still need to endure more pressure before fully emerging from this bear market.

According to Jinshi reports, Neuberger portfolio manager Joseph Purtell stated that in the short term, the dollar may continue to strengthen due to rising real interest rates in the United States. He believes the dollar is likely to break through the range of the past six to nine months, but added that in the long term, considering structural issues such as the sustainability of U.S. government finances, the dollar may weaken.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the market prediction event "Dota 2 Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine European Qualifiers" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Both Defeat Roshan" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win rate, soaring from 50% an hour ago to the current 90% (a fluctuation of 40%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. released a report indicating that Bitcoin's realized net profit and loss (90-day MA) has been negative for the fifth consecutive month, with the current reading at -203.2 million USD. This means the market is systematically locking in losses, consistent with the early stages of past bear market cycles.However, the cost basis of the holder group shows that the core support is in the range of 48,000-56,000 USD. From the cost basis of various groups, whales (over 10,000 coins) are at 48,100 USD, small addresses (10-100 coins) are at 47,800 USD, and large wallets (1,000-10,000 coins) are at 56,500 USD, all still below the current price. Only the 100-1,000 coin group (65,700 USD) is in a loss position, which is the main source of current loss selling.Adler pointed out that this contrasts with the complete capitulation in 2022, when almost all groups fell below their cost basis. The current market shows a controllable decline rather than a capitulation pattern, with the main risk being a breakdown of the 48,000-56,000 USD support range. If this range is lost, it will push more holders into losses, opening up deeper downward space.

Jiang Zhuoer, the founder of the Liebit mining pool, stated that the current mNAV of Strategy has fallen to 0.72, close to the low of 0.7 set during the last bear market in May 2022. Based on recent market sentiment events such as the decoupling of STRC, it is judged that we are currently in the bottom area of the mNAV for this cycle. mNAV often leads BTC prices to bottom out by about 6 months, and based on the "four-year cycle" and the decreasing volatility model, this round of Bitcoin bear market may bottom out between October and December 2026, with a target price range of $42,000 to $44,000. Jiang Zhuoer indicated that his recent short-term strategy remains focused on selling spot and shorting, and will switch to buying spot and going long once the expected bottom arrives.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin, seen as a "rival" to the US Dollar Index (DXY), is facing ongoing pressure as the market focuses on the imminent breakout of the Dollar Index from a 13-month trading range. Data shows that Bitcoin has weakened for the third consecutive trading day, hovering around $63,900, with the overall cryptocurrency market also under pressure.Meanwhile, the DXY rose 0.26% to 100.66, continuing the previous trading day's increase of 0.8%, and is nearing the edge of a key breakout range. Analysts point out that if this structural breakout is confirmed, it typically triggers trend-following funds to further boost the dollar's performance. Historical data shows a clear negative correlation between Bitcoin and the Dollar Index, with a stronger dollar usually exerting pressure on dollar-denominated risk assets. The market believes that the Fed's hawkish stance has strengthened the logic of dollar support and may further drive funds towards safe-haven assets and dollar-denominated assets.

Bitcoin, seen as the "rival" to the US Dollar Index (DXY), is facing ongoing pressure as the market focuses on the imminent breakout of the DXY from a 13-month trading range.Data shows that Bitcoin has weakened for the third consecutive trading day, hovering around $63,900, with the overall cryptocurrency market also under pressure. Meanwhile, the DXY rose 0.26% to 100.66, continuing the previous trading day's increase of 0.8%, and is nearing the edge of a key breakout range.Analysis indicates that if this structural breakout is confirmed, it will typically trigger trend-following funds to further boost the dollar's performance. Historical data shows a clear negative correlation between Bitcoin and the US Dollar Index; a stronger dollar usually suppresses risk assets priced in dollars. The market believes that the Fed's hawkish stance has reinforced the logic of dollar support and may further drive funds towards safe-haven assets and dollar-denominated assets.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin, seen as the "rival" to the US Dollar Index (DXY), is facing ongoing pressure as the market focuses on the imminent breakout of the Dollar Index from a 13-month trading range.Data shows that Bitcoin has weakened for the third consecutive trading day, hovering around $63,900, with the overall cryptocurrency market also under pressure. Meanwhile, the DXY rose 0.26% to 100.66, continuing the previous trading day's increase of 0.8%, and is nearing the edge of a key breakout range.Analysis indicates that if this structural breakout is confirmed, it typically triggers trend-following funds to further boost the dollar's performance. Historical data shows a significant negative correlation between Bitcoin and the Dollar Index, with a stronger dollar usually exerting pressure on dollar-denominated risk assets. The market believes that the Fed's hawkish stance has reinforced the logic supporting the dollar and may further drive funds towards safe-haven assets and dollar-denominated assets.

Trader Ansem posted that Warsh and the hawkish FOMC may put pressure on risk assets, expecting that risk assets will generally decline, while BTC has shown relative weakness compared to most assets. He believes that BTC's failure to break through the weekly resistance across multiple time frames may lead to another test of the range's low point.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that the Bitcoin Sell-Side Risk Ratio (SSRR) entered the red zone for the first time when BTC dropped to $60,000, with the volume of losses exceeding the volume of profits, reflecting the deep pressure on holders. Historically, when this indicator enters the red zone, it often coincides with the formation of a bottom.Meanwhile, the CVDD valuation model shows that the structural bottom is around $48,300, a level that has almost never been closed below in Bitcoin's history. Currently, Bitcoin has rebounded to $66,000, and the smoothed SSRR has begun to turn upward. Analysts believe that $60,000 is a behavioral pressure zone, while $48,000 is the boundary for structural risk. The subsequent confirmation of recovery signals is when the smoothed SSRR exits the red zone and the price stabilizes above $60,000; the main risk is the emergence of new red signals at lower levels and testing the $48,000 support. Overall, the market is gradually shifting towards an accumulation pattern.