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According to Bitcoin Magazine, Richard Byworth previously worked at Syz Capital, focusing his career on hedge fund structure design. In an interview with Bitcoin Magazine, he stated that the next round of Bitcoin's rise is just a matter of time.He pointed out that, based on data from on-chain analysis platforms like Glassnode, the current level of seller exhaustion has reached a historical high. Although the market does not exhibit an extreme bearish atmosphere, multiple on-chain indicators show that Bitcoin is strongly building a bottom. He mentioned that Bitcoin has been trading in the range just above $80,000 in recent weeks, and he believed that $58,000 was a bottom.Byworth also discussed Bitcoin yield strategies. He warned that using a covered call strategy during a bullish market could lead to significant losses of Bitcoin for investors, and advocated for earning low-volatility, market-neutral returns through basis trading collateralized by Bitcoin. He noted that Strive had bought three times the weekly issuance of Bitcoin in a single transaction within a week, believing that the next round of rise is just a matter of time.Regarding Bitcoin treasury companies, Byworth stated that the digital credit products designed by Saylor are putting pressure on the traditional bond market, as the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries is around 5.1% to 5.2%, and investors will see their returns eroded by the faster pace of currency depreciation. He mentioned followers like Strive and Metaplanet, and believes that Bitcoin could break its historical high again before the end of the year, and reaching $350,000 in about a year is not entirely impossible.

French government bond yields rose on Monday, widening the yield spread with German government bonds. France is facing weak economic growth and pressure from rising debt, with serious riots erupting over the weekend. The yield on France's 2-year government bonds briefly rose by 10 basis points, while the yield on 10-year government bonds climbed to 4.99% at the beginning of October. Deutsche Bank stated that the riots have increased the political risk in the market.

According to a report by Jinshi, Citic Securities' research report indicates that Harness is expected to become a key component for DeepSeek in transitioning from model supply to platform ecology, transforming open-source and engineering advantages into user base, ecological influence, and commercialization capabilities. As competition among Agents expands from model capabilities to stable and user-friendly task delivery, DeepSeek is expanding user and task coverage through plug-ins, scenario presets, and cross-Agent collaboration, extending its infrastructure advantages from hardware-software synergy to complete task execution.The research report states that its long-term value lies in the accumulation of demand through ecological expansion, enhancing product stickiness through configuration and process sedimentation, and supporting safe governance with traceability capabilities, collectively creating conditions for sustained use and enterprise deployment. Based on official model calls, the company can also explore platform services and ecological transactions, transforming ecological accumulation into more diverse revenue sources and supporting reinvestment in products and ecology. Citic Securities is optimistic about the continued rise of domestic large models.

Cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe stated that the price fluctuation range of Bitcoin is gradually narrowing, and volatility is decreasing, indicating that a significant market change may be coming. However, before that, there may be a "false move." He pointed out that this "false move" could bring the Bitcoin price down to below $80,000, into the "blue box" area marked on his chart.This area has been touched once before, and if it is retested, he would not be surprised and believes it would be an ideal entry point. Regarding the conditions for an upward movement, he stated that if Bitcoin breaks through the key resistance level of $82,000, the upward momentum will begin to accelerate and is likely to move towards $90,000.

According to the information displayed on the Qichacha page, Shanghai Solana Enterprise Management Co., Ltd. was registered in June this year, with a registered capital of 5 million yuan. Claire Du is the legal representative and co-head of Solana China.Additionally, in August this year, Shanghai Yaokun Qiusuo Digital Technology Co., Ltd. was established with a registered capital of 10 million yuan, and Shanghai Solana Enterprise Management Co., Ltd. holds 45% of the shares in Yaokun Qiusuo Digital Technology Co., Ltd. Even Jiang, the co-head of the Solana Foundation in China, serves as the chairman of Yaokun Qiusuo, while Claire Du serves as a director.Public information shows that Yaokun Qiusuo primarily engages in technical services, technical development, technical consulting, technical exchanges, technology transfer, and technology promotion; computer system services; information system integration services; information technology consulting services; data processing services; internet data services; Internet of Things technology services; wholesale of computer software and hardware and auxiliary equipment; information consulting services (excluding licensed information consulting services); business management consulting; financial consulting; and conference and exhibition services (exhibitions abroad must be approved by relevant departments).It should be noted that "Solana" is a name chosen by a sole proprietorship, and there is currently no equity evidence proving that these two companies belong to the Solana Foundation.This week, members of the Solana team shared photos announcing the establishment of an office in Shanghai, China.

Renowned trader Killa recently released a video predicting market trends before and after the U.S. midterm elections. His analysis summarizes the timing relationship between previous midterm elections and Bitcoin's bottoming out (2014: bottomed out about 70 days after the midterm elections. 2018: bottomed out about 40-44 days later. 2022: bottomed out almost during the midterm elections), suggesting that Bitcoin may form a weekly level bottom before the U.S. midterm elections on November 3.He also presented two main scenario hypotheses: Early bottom scenario: BTC forms a low point before (or around) the midterm elections (possibly sweeping the current low or maintaining above 80k), then starts to rebound, first testing the 80k area, and may eventually surge to 95k. This would lead to a bullish fourth quarter, contrary to the common expectation of "risk-off after the elections." Classic risk-off scenario: first rises sharply (possibly sweeping the high point or even reaching 94-95k), then experiences a historically common sell-off/risk-off decline after the midterm elections (similar in 3 out of the last 4 occurrences).Killa advises investors to closely observe the price structure leading up to the midterm elections and react accordingly. If an early bottom is reached, they may hold bullish positions after the elections; if a high is reached and then starts to weaken, consider risk-off. Overall, he emphasizes that the pattern is accelerating in change and cannot simply replicate the historical experience of "must drop after the elections." Killa, as a quantitative trader focused on BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on platform X. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at 74,688 USD and turned bullish during the market-wide decline on June 5.

Tom Lee, Chairman of the Ethereum treasury company BitMine, stated in an interview with CNBC yesterday that if the fundamentals remain stable, cryptocurrencies, chip stocks, and neocloud company will be "a trigger-ready opportunity." They have all "pulled back to support levels."Tom Lee believes that when the fundamentals remain stable and the market becomes fearful, "this is actually a pretty good risk-reward scenario."

Fidelity Digital Assets recently released an analysis stating that the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond has recently risen to its highest level since the birth of Bitcoin, while the scale of U.S. federal debt has surpassed $40 trillion, with interest expenditures exceeding Medicare, becoming the second-largest expenditure item in the federal budget.Fidelity pointed out that the correlation between Bitcoin and the U.S. 10-year real interest rate has been low for a long time in the past, but has gradually turned positive in recent years, with the correlation rising above 0.6 in 2026, reaching a historic high. Over the past two months, Bitcoin has risen nearly 30%, while the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond has increased by more than 10% during the same period.Fidelity believes that as government debt rises, financing costs increase, and concerns over fiscal intervention intensify, Bitcoin's fixed supply limit of 21 million coins may enhance its appeal as a potential hedge against currency depreciation and a portfolio diversification tool. If the current trends in debt and interest rates continue, government interest expenditures may even become the largest expenditure item in the federal budget in the future.Data from the U.S. Treasury Department shows that the federal budget deficit for fiscal year 2026 has risen to $1.99 trillion, up from $1.78 trillion in fiscal year 2025, marking the highest level since the pandemic. Despite the Trump administration's commitment to cut spending, military expenditures, Social Security spending, and interest on national debt continue to rise, coupled with a decline in corporate tax revenue, further widening the fiscal deficit.

According to The Defiant, Coinbase is expanding its partnership with payment infrastructure company Marqeta to launch a stablecoin card product aimed at businesses, allowing companies to fund their card programs around the clock.According to the plan, Coinbase will be responsible for holding the relevant fund balances, while the Base network will provide on-chain settlement infrastructure.

According to Gate market data, U.S. stocks opened with the Dow Jones up 0.35%, the S&P 500 index up 0.1%, and the Nasdaq down 0.23%. Tesla rose 1.6%, and the "flying" Roadster was officially unveiled. Apple rose 1%, and the iPhone Duo sold out immediately after pre-sales began. The storage sector opened lower on all five days this week, with SK Hynix down 3.8% and SanDisk down 3.4%.

CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_ published an analysis indicating that the realized market cap of new whales in Bitcoin is $78.61 billion, while old whales stand at $159.15 billion. New whales account for 33.06%, compared to about 18% earlier in 2026.Since September, the realized market cap of new whales has continued to grow, while old whales have remained relatively stable, with the growth primarily coming from new whales. The realized market cap is calculated based on the price at the last on-chain transfer of the tokens and does not represent the proportion of BTC supply.In terms of cost, the overall cost basis of new whales has decreased from a previous high of around $110,000 to about $68,000 at the end of August, before rebounding to around $77,000. The current BTC price is $82,134, which is approximately 6.7% higher than the cost basis of new whales.The analysis suggests that the data shows large holders buying during the downturn and continuing to accumulate as prices rebound. However, the turnover of the holder group and transfers between addresses can also inflate the realized market cap, so the growth in realized market cap cannot be interpreted as an equivalent influx of new funds. If BTC continues to fall below around $77,000, new whales will incur losses again, increasing the likelihood of selling during a rebound. The inflow to exchanges and realized losses can be used to determine whether this is short-term pressure or if large holders are starting to sell off again.

Filecoin announced that three advancements have been made this month: the new reward mechanism Solstice will allocate more block rewards to services that bring paying customers to the network, while the rewards solely for consensus mining will be correspondingly reduced, and the unearned portion will be destroyed; the release period for the genesis token is about to end, and the daily new FIL circulation is expected to decrease by approximately 75%.In addition, Filecoin has launched new products aimed at enterprises and AI Agents, including the Filecoin-based storage cloud Integral Spacetime, S3 compatible object storage Fil One, and tools that support AI Agents to directly store files, obtain public links, and make on-chain payments.

In an interview with Bitcoin Magazine, Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards stated that for Bitcoin to break through its historical high, substantial changes need to occur. Possible catalysts include significant advancements in quantum computing, a shift in Federal Reserve policy, the U.S. government directly purchasing Bitcoin, or a new round of stimulus events. He also pointed out that institutional buying through ETFs continues to provide strong support for the market.Edwards mentioned that AI-driven unemployment could change the Federal Reserve's policy path, thereby affecting Bitcoin's trend; the continuous rise in computing power constitutes a bullish signal on the Hash Ribbons indicator, and he discussed whether this computing cycle is different in the AI era. Additionally, he assessed whether Bitcoin is still undervalued from the perspectives of production costs, energy value, and MVRV, and talked about the unknown territory Bitcoin occupies in a global liquidity environment with a 5% interest rate.Regarding quantum computing, Edwards believes that a clear roadmap for quantum computing could instead become an upward catalyst for Bitcoin. He also discussed the crypto security risks brought about by superintelligent AI and what factors might trigger the next historical high for Bitcoin.

Well-known trader Doctor Profit stated that after Bitcoin previously bottomed out and rose significantly above the 50-day moving average, it has not retraced to that moving average until now, and it has now tested this support level. He believes that this support will hold, and Bitcoin will continue to rise from the current level.

The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for September will be released at 20:30 Beijing time on October 15. Oxford Economics expects the September PPI to rise by 0.6% month-on-month, higher than the market expectation of 0.5% and August's 0.4%. In August, U.S. diesel prices increased by 24% month-on-month and 77% year-on-year. According to the American Automobile Association, the retail price of diesel reached a historic high of $6.528 per gallon on September 22.As of Wednesday, the U.S. retail price of diesel remained at $6.30 per gallon, over 70% higher than the same period last year. Analysts say that diesel is an important input for road freight, rail transport, and agricultural production. Rising prices will first push up production and transportation costs for businesses, and then gradually transmit through fuel surcharges, transportation contracts, and retail pricing, with cost pass-through potentially lagging. The Trump administration has temporarily relaxed some restrictions on agricultural fuel use and stated that Russia will supply diesel to the global market. Industry insiders believe these measures are unlikely to resolve refining capacity and finished oil supply bottlenecks in the short term.

According to the Gulf Times, Sharjah police have dismantled four interconnected cross-border crime gangs, involving 33 individuals and enterprises.The four gangs are suspected of network attacks and data theft, money laundering using virtual assets, stealing digital wallets through social engineering attacks, and violently coercing victims to hand over wallet passwords. After reviewing hundreds of pieces of digital evidence, the police identified the suspects and launched raids.

According to Bloomberg, data shows that the total open interest of perpetual contracts on mainstream trading platforms has decreased from $81 billion to about $67 billion over the past year, while the open interest of contracts linked to real-world assets (RWA) has increased from nearly zero to $9 billion, accounting for 14% of the total. This indicates that the enthusiasm for leveraged trading in the crypto market has not yet returned to previous levels, and the related trading infrastructure is gradually expanding to traditional assets such as stocks and commodities.During the same period, the open interest of Bitcoin perpetual contracts decreased by about $8 billion, Ethereum by about $5 billion, and other tokens collectively decreased by about $10 billion, with the growth of traditional asset contracts only partially offsetting the aforementioned declines.

Senior Crypto Research Strategist Matt Mena from cryptocurrency investment product issuer 21Shares stated that Bitcoin may regain $85,000 after macroeconomic uncertainties subside and further rise towards $90,000. If there is a pullback, the price could still drop to around $81,000. The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) will be released, and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 27 to 28.Mena believes that last week's drop of Bitcoin below $85,000 has reflected some downside risks brought by higher inflation data, and after subsequent macro data is released, it may test the $85,000 resistance level again. The core Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September rose 0.3% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year, higher than economists' expectations of a 0.2% month-on-month increase. Since 2023, Bitcoin has averaged a 1.21% increase within 7 days after the core CPI exceeded expectations; Mena expects ETH to consolidate around $2,500 in the short term, then attempt to rise to $2,800 to $3,000, with a potential target of $130 for SOL by the end of this quarter.