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Analysis: Bitcoin's rebound faces fourfold pressure, as rising U.S. Treasury yields intensify market risks

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler released a weekly analysis indicating that the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond has recently risen to about 4.7%, approaching the upper limit of the range over the past five years. The high interest rate environment is tightening financial conditions, increasing financing costs and asset discount rates, and putting more pressure on risk assets. Currently, the futures market expects a roughly 38% probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates at its next meeting, but a survey of 104 economists by Reuters generally expects rates to remain unchanged.In terms of the Bitcoin market, Axel Adler pointed out that BTC rebounded about 11% from a low of around $59,000 in June to nearly $66,000, but has now fallen back to about $64,300. The market is currently facing four potential risks: first, volatility has significantly compressed, with actual volatility in July dropping 31%, falling to the 8th percentile of the historical range, suggesting that more extreme market movements may occur; second, demand in the U.S. spot market remains weak, trading at a discount for about two and a half months, with no sustained inflow of funds; third, there is insufficient buying liquidity in the market, with stablecoins continuously flowing out of exchanges and new fund activity nearing annual lows; fourth, investors are still realizing losses, and some positions are choosing to exit during the profit recovery phase, putting pressure on prices.Additionally, Adler mentioned that MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor has not continued to make large-scale Bitcoin purchases recently, but instead published a lengthy article recommending 38 books on civilization, currency, energy, and technological development, attempting to construct a theoretical framework for Bitcoin as a result of long-term financial evolution. Adler believes that the market is currently still in a critical observation phase, requiring attention to changes in liquidity, the recovery of U.S. demand, and whether investor behavior improves.

OKX, in collaboration with Elliptic, SlowMist, and OttoSec, released the Web3 Security and Risk Control Report for the first half of 2026

According to official news, OKX, in collaboration with Elliptic, SlowMist, and OttoSec, has released the "Web3 Security and Risk Control Report for the First Half of 2026." The report points out that the focus of Web3 attacks is gradually shifting from smart contract code to more complex scenarios such as signature processes, user devices, operational infrastructure, and AI Agents.Data shows that in the first half of 2026, the OKX risk control system intercepted over 5.7 million high-risk transactions, including approximately 2.41 million transactions related to hacking and theft, about 1.48 million transactions related to phishing, and around 990,000 transactions related to fraud. The OKX Web3 on-chain intelligence label library currently has over 1 billion labels, covering more than 420 chains, and has integrated capabilities such as address screening, transaction monitoring, and sanction address control into infrastructures like DEX and Exchange OS.In addition, in terms of user protection, OKX has intercepted over 7 million visits to risky websites, completed over 200,000 device risk assessments, identified over 60,000 high-risk apps, and intercepted or alerted on over 4 million high-risk signature operations. The report also introduces the "risk control pre-positioning" design in scenarios such as Exchange OS, Outcomes, RWA, and Agentic Wallet.

Gate Ventures: As risk aversion rises, predictions indicate that the market, stablecoins, and infrastructure sectors will accelerate the release of potential

According to Gate Ventures' latest weekly report, influenced by the escalation of geopolitical risks and changes in the AI competitive landscape, all three major U.S. stock indices fell last week, energy prices rose significantly, and the trends of safe-haven assets like gold and U.S. Treasuries diverged. The cryptocurrency market continued its structural trend, with Bitcoin and Ethereum rising by 1.5% and 3.6%, respectively, while both spot BTC and ETH ETFs maintained net inflows.In terms of industry development, regulation and real-world applications continued to be the focus this week. Japanese convenience store giant Lawson, in collaboration with Netstars, is advancing a stablecoin payment pilot, further promoting the use of stablecoins in everyday consumption scenarios; South Korea plans to officially incorporate digital assets into its national asset management framework and explore the tokenization of government bonds and state-owned assets, with the construction of RWA infrastructure continuing to accelerate. In Europe, after the transition period of MiCA ended, the total number of licensed institutions increased to 294, although the number of new licenses has slowed down, institutional participation remains strong.In terms of investment and financing, the cryptocurrency industry recorded a total of 16 financing events last week, highly concentrated in the infrastructure sector: among them, Alpaca completed a $135 million financing to enhance tokenized securities and AI financial infrastructure; Flex completed a $70 million financing to further expand its stablecoin cross-border payment network, continuously confirming the capital market's long-term optimism towards digital financial infrastructure. Gate Ventures believes that as the global regulatory framework gradually improves and the integration of traditional finance and blockchain deepens, the digital asset ecosystem is expected to enter a more mature and diverse development stage.

Slow Fog Cosine: Claude Code exposes high-risk security vulnerabilities, malicious configuration files may silently execute commands

The founder of Slow Fog, Yu Xian, retweeted a tweet on the X platform regarding the potential poisoning attack risks of Claude Code and published an analysis of the poisoning attack details targeting Grok Build CLI and Claude Code CLI.It pointed out that the security mechanisms of Grok Build CLI are not unified, with different code paths having different trust assumptions, creating gaps that serve as channels for attackers. Attackers may execute arbitrary commands through malicious project configuration files without the user's knowledge, thereby stealing API keys, cloud credentials, or controlling local devices.Researchers constructed a testing environment and found that on Mac systems, if Claude Code is affected, executing specific test commands can trigger the local calculator to launch, proving the existence of potential command execution risks.If the attack is successful, attackers may further steal API keys from AI services like Claude and OpenAI, resulting in account cost losses, gain access to servers and data by obtaining cloud service credentials from AWS, Alibaba Cloud, Tencent Cloud, modify code repositories to implant backdoors, and use local devices as jump points to attack corporate internal networks. It is reported that the related vulnerabilities have existed for a year.
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