BTC $78,359.83 +0.37%
ETH $2,446.38 -0.42%
BNB $685.83 -0.90%
XRP $1.37 -1.26%
SOL $102.83 -1.97%
TRX $0.3358 -1.35%
DOGE $0.0827 -2.45%
ADA $0.1959 -2.71%
BCH $247.55 +0.87%
LINK $11.27 -1.00%
HYPE $81.81 -1.91%
AAVE $123.41 -0.96%
SUI $0.7219 -2.56%
XLM $0.1765 -1.60%
ZEC $830.02 -0.81%
BTC $78,359.83 +0.37%
ETH $2,446.38 -0.42%
BNB $685.83 -0.90%
XRP $1.37 -1.26%
SOL $102.83 -1.97%
TRX $0.3358 -1.35%
DOGE $0.0827 -2.45%
ADA $0.1959 -2.71%
BCH $247.55 +0.87%
LINK $11.27 -1.00%
HYPE $81.81 -1.91%
AAVE $123.41 -0.96%
SUI $0.7219 -2.56%
XLM $0.1765 -1.60%
ZEC $830.02 -0.81%

sign

Sign usually refers to digital signature technology in the fields of blockchain and cryptocurrency. A digital signature is a cryptographic technique used to verify the authenticity and integrity of digital information. It encrypts and decrypts data using public and private keys, ensuring that only users holding the private key can generate a valid signature, thereby providing authentication and data integrity assurance. Digital signatures play a key role in smart contracts, transaction verification, and identity authentication.
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Analysis: The Bitcoin "Realized Market Value Momentum Indicator" has turned positive after 93 days, signaling a recovery in on-chain capital flow

The "Realized Cap Impulse" indicator for Bitcoin has recently ended a continuous 93-day negative state and has turned positive for the first time, marking the longest reversal signal after a capital contraction cycle since the bear market of 2022.This indicator measures the momentum of changes in the realized market capitalization by tracking the changes in realized cap, combined with factors of Bitcoin supply and price, to assess whether the flow of tokens with actual economic significance in the market is driving capital base expansion. The positive shift in the indicator does not merely reflect a price increase but indicates that the flow of funds within the Bitcoin network is changing.Data shows that the indicator broke above the zero axis on August 20 when the BTC price was around $73,000 and has maintained positive values for 8 consecutive days. Currently, the BTC price has risen to about $78,900, an increase of approximately 8% during this period.As of the latest, the indicator reading is 0.198, below the peak of 0.226 reached on August 26. Historical data indicates that similar signals at the end of bear markets have been accompanied by significant rebounds in Bitcoin: after the indicator turned positive in September 2015, Bitcoin rose about 160% within a year; after March 2019, it increased about 173% in 90 days; and after January 2023, it rose about 45% in 90 days, with a yearly increase of 104%.However, the realized cap momentum indicator is not an absolute signal of a cycle bottom. Similar positive shifts occurred in early 2018 and 2022, but the market did not immediately enter a sustained upward phase afterward. Analysts believe that the indicator's continued positive value, confirmed by price trends, is more valuable than a single-day breakthrough above the zero axis.

Zhao Changpeng: If Hyperliquid enters the United States or opens up market space for more decentralized products, it will be a significant boost for the entire cryptocurrency industry

At the 2026 Wyoming Blockchain Conference, Zhao Changpeng stated that Trump mentioned Hyperliquid and that Mike Selig, the chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), will seek a path for the platform to enter the U.S. market.Zhao Changpeng believes that if this progress can be realized, it will be a significant boon for the entire cryptocurrency industry. Zhao stated that the outside world tends to view him as a supporter of centralized trading platforms due to his holdings in Binance, but the fundamental reason he entered the cryptocurrency industry is his belief in decentralization.He pointed out that some users choose Hyperliquid because the platform can be used through wallets without the need for traditional accounts and KYC processes; if Hyperliquid can operate in the U.S. in a compliant manner, it will open up space for perpetual contracts and more decentralized services to enter the U.S. market.He believes this is not only related to Hyperliquid itself. "Hyperliquid is just the tip of the iceberg; once this tip enters, other projects can follow suit." Related developments will benefit more decentralized products and their portfolio companies, and will also bring more liquidity to international centralized trading platforms, allowing U.S. users to obtain more competitive prices when buying and selling crypto assets.Zhao Changpeng stated that the current cryptocurrency market is far from saturated, so competition between platforms is not the main issue. Hyperliquid's entry into the U.S. will not only benefit itself but will also expand the market size of the entire industry, "what is beneficial for them will also be beneficial for us."

Analysis: Waller may release dovish signals at Jackson Hole, with US debt policy coordination becoming the market focus

The market is closely watching Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh's speech at the Jackson Hole annual meeting this Friday. As U.S. long-term Treasury yields continue to rise, the market generally expects Walsh to possibly release dovish signals to alleviate concerns about inflation and fiscal risks in the bond market.Mark Cabana, head of U.S. interest rate strategy at Bank of America, stated that the market has gradually lost sensitivity to Walsh's previous verbal statements about "fighting inflation," and investors currently hope to see a substantive policy path to address inflation. Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Basant has recently increased the repurchase of long-term U.S. Treasuries and financed the government through the issuance of short-term bonds, indicating some divergence between the Treasury and the Federal Reserve in managing the bond market.The article points out that Basant's shift of financing pressure to the short end effectively bets U.S. fiscal costs on future interest rate declines. If Walsh can promote interest rate cuts by controlling inflation and boosting productivity, the short-term financing model is expected to reduce government interest expenses; however, if long-term rates remain high, U.S. fiscal pressure may further intensify.The market also anticipates that the Federal Reserve may make adjustments to liquidity management and balance sheet policies. Michael Cloherty, head of U.S. interest rate strategy at CIBC, believes that quantitative tightening could begin as early as the end of 2027, provided that regulatory rule changes can reduce banks' demand for reserves.Currently, the Federal Reserve still holds about $1.6 trillion in long-term U.S. Treasuries. Walsh's statements at Jackson Hole regarding long-term yields, inflation, and the path of balance sheet reduction may become an important signal for assessing the degree of future policy coordination between the Federal Reserve and the Treasury.
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