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BTC $63,786.48 -0.56%
ETH $1,665.44 -0.62%
BNB $603.45 -0.62%
XRP $1.12 -0.96%
SOL $67.65 -0.55%
TRX $0.3182 +0.12%
DOGE $0.0864 -1.27%
ADA $0.1664 -3.23%
BCH $199.40 -3.70%
LINK $7.83 -1.76%
HYPE $60.63 +1.47%
AAVE $65.68 -0.96%
SUI $0.7508 -1.91%
XLM $0.1819 -2.42%
ZEC $425.56 +2.98%

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Bloomberg analyst: Bitcoin may be shifting from "leading risk assets" to "leading bearish signals."

According to Mike McGlone, Chief Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg, Bitcoin has significantly led risk assets in previous upward cycles, and this leading relationship may be reversing in the current phase. In his latest comments, he stated that Bitcoin has previously "driven risk assets upward," but now "may also drive them downward," and believes that based on its comparison chart with the S&P 500 scaled up by 10 times, the overall β assets may enter a downward year in 2026.He emphasized that since 2009, the annual total return of the S&P 500 has only declined in 2018 and 2022, both of which coincided with Bitcoin's downward cycles and corresponded to the U.S. midterm election cycles. He believes the difference in the current market is that structural pressures are accumulating: inflation has re-emerged as a core political issue, while stock market volatility has remained low for an extended period, but risk indicators for commodities like gold and oil have continued to rise. This combination of "low volatility stocks + high-risk commodities" is historically rare.Additionally, McGlone stated that since 2026, both Bitcoin and gold have shown signs of "mean reversion," which may indicate that the risk asset cycle is entering a repricing phase. He pointed out that Bitcoin and gold have retraced about 50% from their 2025 peak (around $126,000), while the total return index for U.S. Treasuries may be forming a phase bottom from a low area not seen since 1983.Currently, the market still lacks key confirmation signals: specifically, the S&P 500 to GDP ratio has fallen from near its highest level since 1928. If this indicator begins to turn, it may signify that a broader risk asset cycle is entering a structural adjustment.

Multiple states in the U.S. are advancing bans on cryptocurrency ATMs, driven by fraud and significant losses prompting tighter regulations

The states of Delaware and New Jersey are advancing legislation to comprehensively ban the installation and operation of Crypto ATM devices, citing that these devices are widely used for fraudulent activities. The Delaware House Economic Committee has passed a related bill that aims to prohibit the possession, installation, or operation of Crypto ATMs, requiring existing devices to be removed within 90 days after the bill takes effect; violations could result in fines of up to $10,000 and possible recovery of costs or inclusion in a consumer protection fund.Meanwhile, the New Jersey Senate Commerce Committee has also unanimously passed a similar bill, prohibiting business activities related to Crypto ATMs, with penalties for violations reaching up to $20,000. According to data from the FBI in May, complaints involving Crypto ATMs approached 13,500 in 2025, resulting in losses exceeding $388 million, a significant increase from the previous year, with more than half of the victims aged 50 and above. Currently, several states, including Indiana, Tennessee, and Minnesota, have fully banned Crypto ATMs, and some states and local governments have also imposed limits on transaction amounts.Under regulatory pressure, Crypto ATM operators are facing ongoing impacts, with industry leader Bitcoin Depot having previously filed for bankruptcy due to a deteriorating operating environment. Meanwhile, operators emphasize that they have set up risk warnings and transaction limits and deny direct responsibility for third-party fraud.
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