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Bitcoin has retreated from around $86,000 at the beginning of October, fluctuating in the range of $81,000 to $84,000 in recent days, while the US dollar has strengthened and US Treasury yields remain high. Cloud, the chief analyst at Huobi HTX, believes that the likelihood of breaking down from the fluctuation range is greater.The ISM services price index rose to 74.0 in September, the highest since July 2022, and the one-year inflation expectation from the University of Michigan rose to 4.7% in October. The rise in price components and inflation expectations indicates that the probability of CPI exceeding expectations this Thursday is not low; if this materializes, the pricing for interest rate hikes at the end of the year will be further strengthened, and the lower bound of $81,000 will be tested first. Only if CPI is below expectations will the breakthrough of the upper bound of $84,000 have sustainability.The recent decline in chip stocks is mainly due to the repricing of AI capital expenditures and hardware profit expectations. The retracement of Bitcoin is smaller, indicating that its pricing is more aligned with macro liquidity, and its correlation with the AI narrative is weakening; however, this divergence is temporary. Once the US dollar and long-term interest rates regain dominance in pricing, the linkage will quickly strengthen, with the CPI announcement on Thursday evening serving as a recent testing window.

According to PR Newswire, NFT Limited (stock code MI, formerly known as Takung Art), a company listed on the NYSE American, announced the proposed technical agreement RWAIX in Hong Kong on October 13 and released an open-source reference implementation on GitHub under the MIT license. The company operates an online trading platform for international artworks and collectibles, stating that the agreement is intended to allow buyers, sellers, AI agents, and robots to verify identities, confirm agreements, and ensure that deliveries actually occur, with the existing digital art platform intended to serve as the first real-world scenario.The company claims that internally managed test records show 50 tests passed with no failures, and it plans to launch a limited live pilot within 90 days after completing an independent security review and other conditions, targeting the first quarter of 2027. The reference implementation includes core protocol logic in Node.js, 50 automated test cases with expected outputs, schema and API documentation, as well as a browser demonstration using synthetic data. The company also stated that RWAIX has not yet been integrated into the production environment, and the related timeline may still be adjusted.The existing digital art trading platform is operated by its wholly-owned Hong Kong subsidiary, Metaverse Digital Payment Co., Limited. The pilot aims to first upgrade the consent purchase, delivery, independent verification, payment, and dispute resolution processes for an existing NFT order, using existing banking channels. CEO Yanying Wang stated that the company already has customers, orders, and payments, and plans to verify within the next 90 days whether the agreement can be used for real customer orders.

Bitfinex Alpha's latest report indicates that whether Bitcoin can regain the $84,500 level this week will depend on whether the U.S. CPI data changes market expectations for interest rates and yields, as well as whether spot market buying can follow up.This round of correction is similar to multiple adjustments during the previous recovery phase, and investors with holding costs within the original trading range have not shown significant selling. However, spot buying remains a weak link in the current market, with Bitcoin ETF investors' average holding cost around $84,340, and the current price is below this level, leading some investors to potentially sell as the rebound approaches their cost level.Analysts believe that if this week's core CPI month-on-month increase is 0.2% or lower, it may reduce market interest rate hike expectations and drive yields down, providing room for BTC to rise; if the core CPI reaches 0.3% or higher, it may continue to suppress the performance of risk assets. BTC may fluctuate in the range of $81,300 to $84,500 in the short term.If the price breaks through and stabilizes above $84,500, while ETF fund flows are strong, the market may retest the year-to-date opening level of $87,722; if it falls below $81,300 with continued capital outflow, it may further dip to around $77,400, the true market average level.

Fidelity Digital Assets Vice President Chris Kuiper stated, "The bear market may not be over." He believes that the rebound since August could either be the starting point of a new rally or just a bounce within the bear market, "an upward price movement does not guarantee the end of the bear market"; according to a four-year cycle, November is a key window to observe (the last bear market bottom was in November 2022), but he also emphasized that historical cycles have never precisely repeated, and BTC may decline again, potentially setting a new low in November or later.A more positive signal is that during the period from June to mid-August, the volatility of digital assets rapidly increased after being low, resembling the end of previous bear markets, which may indicate that selling pressure is nearing exhaustion, while stablecoin transfers, RWA, and institutional participation continue to grow during the same period.

Ondo's Ondo Private Markets announced that the OpenAI Private Markets Note is now available for trading on the Ondo Perps spot order book. Ondo Private Markets is dedicated to bringing the economic exposure of private companies on-chain, providing tokenized notes for qualified investors, designed to offer economic exposure linked to the performance of leading private companies. The value of the OpenAI Private Markets Note is calculated based on the realized value per share of the company's common stock, as specified in the note's issuance documents.This launch brings three core advantages. The first is the ability to buy and sell at any time: from the first day of launch, trading is available 24/7 on the Ondo Perps spot order book, without waiting for the company to go public. The second is self-custody and free transferability: users can store the tokens in their own wallets and transfer them freely among qualified holders. The third is mature infrastructure support: Ondo Private Markets is built on the same platform that created Ondo's tokenized stocks and tokenized U.S. Treasury products, with a total locked value (TVL) of $3.9 billion and over 1 million holders.The note does not represent shares or equity in OpenAI, and holders do not enjoy any shareholder rights in OpenAI. There is no affiliation, cooperation, or endorsement relationship between Ondo and OpenAI.

On Wednesday during the European trading session, U.S. stock index futures showed a lackluster performance, and U.S. Treasury yields rebounded, with the 10-year yield rising above 5.3% and the 30-year yield hovering around 5.69%. Concerns about inflation, an expanding fiscal deficit, and an increase in AI bond issuance have driven yields to high levels. The escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East has pushed up oil prices, intensifying inflationary pressures. CME FedWatch indicates that traders expect the probability of an interest rate hike in October to be only about 22%.

On October 6, GasFree will launch a lucky money-drawing interactive experience at Token2049 in Singapore on October 7. Attendees can shake and draw on-site for a chance to win lucky draws, limited merchandise, and surprise rewards.You are welcome to visit the GasFree booth to check in, shake the lucky money-drawing machine, try your luck, and take home exclusive good fortune, limited merchandise, and surprise rewards.

Bitcoin News posted on platform X that the Box 3 tax bill currently under consideration in the Dutch parliament proposes to tax the actual annual returns on investments, including the appreciation of unsold assets. The Dutch Tax Authority explicitly includes cryptocurrency assets held in personal wallets, exchanges, or third parties when calculating actual returns.The Dutch government is studying a shift to a capital gains tax system, which would tax the appreciation of assets when gains are realized, but stated that the existing proposal for 2028 remains the basis during the review of relevant adjustments.The bill has been passed by the House of Representatives and is still awaiting review by the Senate, with the final system potentially subject to adjustments before 2028.

Spot gold rose slightly on Tuesday but remained trading below $4,200 per ounce. This followed a sell-off in the precious metals market triggered by U.S. Treasury yields rising to multi-decade highs and an increase in oil prices. IG analysts stated that gold only rebounded slightly due to market expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain high interest rates for a longer period. Traders expect a 72.5% probability of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve in October. The market is focused on U.S. economic data, including the Consumer Confidence Index and job vacancy data.

Trader degentrading (@degentradingLSD) pre-market analysis shows the following major signals in the current market:Macroeconomic Level: The 10Y yield has risen to 5.2%, and the 30Y has risen to 5.5%, approaching historical highs; the South Korean stock market opened down 2.5%, with the memory and semiconductor sectors (SK Hynix, Samsung, MU, SNDK) generally down 2% to 5%. It is expected that price movements will continue to fluctuate before MU's earnings report is released.New Cloud Computing: The investment payback period for computing projects is now less than a year, and market perceptions are changing. It is expected that the new cloud sector will undergo rapid revaluation, and the issue of power bottlenecks is also receiving increasing attention.Tech Stocks: META is weak pre-market, focusing on buying at the 690 support level or opportunities for breaking historical highs. If the large-scale data center sector breaks through as a whole, META, MSFT, and others will face paradigm-level repricing.Cryptocurrency Market: Mainstream coins and altcoins are generally weak, with BTC possibly testing the 82K support level; last week, TAO and DOGE were reduced, and CRDO was taken for profit to release risk capital. During the KBW period, crypto sentiment is usually somewhat positive, and this week's strategy focuses on finding short-term bullish opportunities.

According to Bitcoin.com, the developers of Bitcoin BLAKE2b plan to restrict miners from unlocking newly mined tokens, with a waiting period set at 45 days. The relevant changes are scheduled to be implemented at block height 973440.This chain was forked from Bitcoin on August 8. Its native token BTCB2 is also labeled by some trading platforms as Bitcoin BLAKE2b, Bitcoin BIP-110, or XBT.BTCB2 has dropped 84% from its September peak of $1799, with recent trading prices around $270 to $315. Developer Luke Dashjr stated that some BLAKE2b mining pools are "attacking" the network. After the fork, the chain continued to use Bitcoin's difficulty, mining only about 8 blocks in the first 22 days, and then resumed operation by enabling BLAKE2b hashing and adjusting the difficulty.Currently, this chain is not listed on most trading platforms, nor on CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap. The trading platform Neoxa has expressed support for the upcoming soft fork.

The founder of the Liebit Mining Pool, Jiang Zhuoer, stated that the Bitcoin trend aligns with one of the expected scenarios he previously published, which is: "Touching the high resistance zone of 83~84k, then starting a significant correction."Jiang Zhuoer also believes that "this pattern indicates that this is not the highest point; let's wait and see, do not short. Hold a full position of ETH spot and wait for the rise."

TypeSafe AI announced that Jev is officially open to everyone, removing the waiting list. Users can now directly register and use the official Console without needing to apply for Early Access.Jev does not handle chatting or writing code; it only performs classification, scoring, and judgment. Developers provide candidate options in advance, and it directly returns selections, probabilities, and confidence levels, allowing the program to continue execution with the results. Currently, the official price remains at $0.042 per million input tokens, with output being free.Before the opening, Jev had rapidly spread on third-party platforms. Vercel stated that within 24 hours of integrating the AI Gateway, it was used by nearly 13% of paid teams, becoming the fastest adopted new model in the history of AI Gateway, with an adoption rate more than double that of the GPT-5.6 series during the same period.

Coinbase co-founder and CEO Brian Armstrong stated that the CLARITY Act did not advance in the Senate today, which is disappointing. Although bipartisan dialogue may continue and the bill still has potential for follow-up, we can no longer wait for Congress.Armstrong indicated that the SEC and CFTC already have the tools to establish clear rules under their existing authority and are expected to seriously move forward; clear rules in the crypto space will still come. GENIUS is already the current law in the stablecoin sector, with more lenient rewards. CLARITY made some concessions that were difficult to accept, and perhaps this is better.He stated that crypto cannot be canceled once it has been invented, and as regulators bring clear rules, the financial system will continue to be updated.

According to Wintermute OTC trader @Jjay_dm, the BTC ETF experienced a net outflow of $463 million, marking the first negative value since the low in June, with ARK and Grayscale accounting for a combined outflow of $371 million, while BlackRock remained flat. As a result, BTC fell 4.4% over the week, closing at $76,838, making it the worst-performing asset, while Ethereum dropped 1.5%, and altcoins overall rose by 1%.On a macro level, the U.S. August CPI recorded a month-on-month increase of 0.4% (core 0.3%), higher than the expected 0.2%, and the PPI annual rate reached 5.4%, prompting Goldman Sachs to change its September forecast from "hold steady" to "raise interest rates." The market's expectation for a 25bp rate hike on Wednesday has risen to 87%. Meanwhile, the situation in the Middle East continues to escalate, with Brent crude oil surpassing $105 per barrel, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hitting a 20-year high.Wintermute stated that after the ETF fund outflow turned negative, it tends to hold a neutral rather than bullish stance on the market. This week has two key events: ① On Tuesday, the U.S. Senate will conduct a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act (the cryptocurrency market structure bill), which requires 60 votes to pass; ② On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, with the rate hike itself already priced in, but subsequent hawkish statements (especially signals regarding continued rate hikes in the first quarter of 2027) may pose downward pressure on the cryptocurrency market.

According to a report by Sina Finance, Lin Junxian, a former client manager of China Construction Bank (Asia) Corporation Limited, admitted to conspiring with an employee of a financial technology company and his accomplices to accept bribes, totaling over 470,000 US dollars in cryptocurrency "Tether." They illegally certified multiple false documents without the bank's authorization to secure several insurance-related investment transactions.An internal investigation by China Construction Bank (Asia) uncovered the incident, which was subsequently reported to the Independent Commission Against Corruption (ICAC) along with full cooperation. Judge Lin Jianhong has postponed the sentencing of the case to September 18, during which the defendant will remain in custody under the Correctional Services Department.