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BTC $64,140.40 -1.07%
ETH $1,744.87 -1.41%
BNB $590.28 -1.76%
XRP $1.18 -1.51%
SOL $71.80 -0.89%
TRX $0.3209 +0.37%
DOGE $0.0850 -1.09%
ADA $0.1670 -1.26%
BCH $209.72 -1.99%
LINK $8.02 -1.84%
HYPE $71.81 -1.56%
AAVE $74.62 -1.39%
SUI $0.7519 -4.76%
XLM $0.2405 +9.77%
ZEC $470.20 -7.91%

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Jiang Zhuoer interprets MSTR's capital structure, stating that BTC reserves can cover years of dividend expenses, but market sentiment is cautious

Jiang Zhuoer stated that MicroStrategy (MSTR) currently holds approximately $55 billion in Bitcoin assets, corresponding to an annual dividend expenditure of about $1.7 billion for its STRC preferred shares, which theoretically could cover about 32 years of dividend needs by selling BTC. STRC is a preferred stock rather than a debt instrument, so there is no traditional pressure for mandatory repayment. From a financial structure perspective, MSTR does not face "forced liquidation-style leverage risk" or short-term repayment crises.However, the related statements reflect that market concerns about its long-term cash flow and the volatility of crypto assets are rising. Currently, STRC has shown significant discount fluctuations, and its refinancing ability is limited. In addition, MSTR has recently relied more on methods such as issuing common stock to increase its BTC holdings (which may dilute the per-share Bitcoin amount when mNAV is below 1), and this strategy is difficult to sustain in the long term.Jiang Zhuoer indicated that even if the actual scale of MSTR selling BTC to pay dividends is relatively small compared to the entire market, its symbolic significance may be more important, potentially putting pressure on market confidence and causing investors to reassess the possibility of "long-term passive selling of coins." The market's understanding of this structure is not consistent, and this cognitive difference itself may become an important factor influencing expectations and sentiment.

Gate Ventures: AI and prediction markets attract capital, institutional funds continue to increase investment in on-chain infrastructure

According to the latest weekly report from Gate Ventures, the global market experienced a corrective rebound last week driven by easing geopolitical tensions. The U.S. stock market recovered from its intra-week losses, but the Federal Reserve maintained a hawkish stance, with CPI rising to 4.2%, further strengthening market expectations for sustained high interest rates. The cryptocurrency market also warmed up, with BTC and ETH rising 3.8% and 2.1% respectively, but spot ETF funds continued to see net outflows.On the industry front, AI, prediction markets, and institutional-level infrastructure became the focus of market attention. The decentralized AI project Bittensor (TAO) rose 31.5% in a single week; the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) proposed a regulatory framework for sports event contracts, providing clearer regulatory expectations for the development of the prediction market industry; LG Group and Arbitrum jointly explored blockchain advertising network applications, further expanding Web3 commercialization scenarios.In terms of investment and financing, a total of 9 transactions were disclosed last week with a total financing amount of $584.6 million. Among them, Digital Asset completed $355 million in financing, accelerating the application of Canton Network in the capital market; Morpho secured $175 million in financing to promote the construction of on-chain credit networks; and prediction market infrastructure provider EDGE Markets completed $29.2 million in financing.

a16z Crypto Operating Partner: Capital flow is the moat, and there are plenty of opportunities for crypto entrepreneurs

a16z Crypto Operating Partner Jason Rosenthal posted on the X platform that cash flow is the moat. The best companies often establish themselves by placing themselves in the "cash flow," and cryptocurrency is the first modern technology born for this purpose. If your startup has not designed its products and business models around these principles, you will miss a great opportunity. Thanks to stablecoins, funds and value can now flow at the speed of the internet—global settlement, 24/7 uninterrupted, with end-to-end programmability.Railway companies do not make money from locomotives, but from every ton of goods that pass through the tracks; companies like Visa and Jane Street are all part of the cash flow. Cash flow combined with network effects is one of the most enduring business structures in history. There is a lot of profit margin in traditional financial services, and processes such as payments, custody, lending, foreign exchange, settlement, and market making can all be compressed. Crypto entrepreneurs have the opportunity to build the next generation of cash flow businesses that are programmable, instant, and global.This model can also be extended to computing, GPU markets, AI training data, energy, robotics, space, rare earth metals, and other fields. Founders should ask themselves: Are you in the cash flow? When the value of product activities grows tenfold, does your revenue grow accordingly? In your target market, where are the segments with the highest profit margins relative to the value created?

first_img Analysis: Cryptocurrencies lack verifiable return stories and are continuously losing to AI in the competition for institutional capital

According to research by CointelegraphMT, traditional financial markets are absorbing institutional capital at a pace that cryptocurrencies find hard to match by 2026. The main reason is that AI has clear and measurable returns, while cryptocurrencies currently lack a similar narrative.Data shows that the S&P 500 index rose only 3.5% after excluding AI stocks in 2026, while AI-related indices saw an increase of nearly 50%. The five major tech companies in the U.S. are expected to reach $72.5 billion in capital expenditures for AI infrastructure this year, with Nvidia's quarterly revenue reaching $81.6 billion.The research points out that AI spending can be directly validated through revenue, capital expenditures, and profit margins, while the value proposition of cryptocurrencies is difficult to quantify for traditional allocators. Currently, while the supply of stablecoins is at a historical high, more funds are flowing into tokenized government bonds rather than risk assets.Additionally, in May, the net outflow from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs was $2.3 billion, marking the worst single month of the year. However, long-term holders continue to buy in the over-the-counter market, with market makers like Wintermute reporting stable buying around $72,000. The research concludes that unless cryptocurrencies can provide a measurable and repeatable institutional-level return story similar to AI, they will be at a significant disadvantage in competing for the same institutional funds.
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