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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "World Cup Golden Boot Winner" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Lionel Messi" has experienced drastic fluctuations, plummeting from 51.7% an hour ago to the current 30.9% (a fluctuation of 20.8%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Jurrien Timmer, Global Macro Director at Fidelity Investments, stated that Bitcoin is approaching the long-term Power Law model support level, or facing a critical technical test. Currently, the support line of this model is at $58,237, while $60,000 is seen as an important psychological and technical threshold. In addition, Jurrien also pointed out that due to the slowdown in global liquidity growth and speculative funds continuing to flow into technology stocks and other risk assets, Bitcoin currently lacks the macro catalysts necessary to drive a trend reversal. Although this model support level has historically become a market bottom multiple times, Bitcoin may still oscillate in this area for a while, waiting for a more favorable macro environment to drive a new round of increases.

According to CNBC, Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev stated in an interview that Agentic AI will soon possess capabilities comparable to human traders in the trading field. He pointed out that a significant amount of institutional trading has already been automated and driven by AI, and Robinhood's ultimate goal in developing AI agent trading is to enable ordinary retail investors to have the same computational power and trading tools as institutional high-frequency traders, breaking down technological barriers.It is reported that Robinhood launched tools in May of this year that allow AI agents to execute stock trades on behalf of clients. Additionally, the company just announced on Wednesday that it will launch cryptocurrency trading services in the UK to expand into the European market, and earlier this month announced a 10% reduction in staff to improve organizational efficiency.

According to Jinshi reports, the research report from CICC believes that since June, the market has begun a continuous adjustment, with the US dollar index breaking above the upper limit of the fluctuation range over the past year. The global capital markets are significantly influenced by AI prosperity and US dollar liquidity, leading to a general pullback, with style adjustments occurring within the US stock market. The research report reiterates that the Federal Reserve is "hawkish in name but dovish in reality" this year, and it is expected that the US dollar index may return to a weak fluctuation range, while physical assets, industrial sectors, and technology still maintain expansion potential.

According to Jinshi reports, the recent rise of technology stocks has slowed down, and traders' confidence in the market outlook has shaken. The volatility gap between the Nasdaq 100 index and the S&P 500 index has widened to the highest level since the 2008 financial crisis, mainly due to investors' increased willingness to buy Nasdaq put options, indicating rising concerns about potential pullbacks in technology stocks, especially in the AI sector. On Thursday, the semiconductor ETF (SMH) fell more than 5%, further reflecting the weakening momentum of previously popular technology stocks. Although enthusiasm for market call options has declined, it remains at a high level.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 68.5%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 31.5%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 35.7%, the probability of a 25 basis point hike is 49.2%, and the probability of a 50 basis point hike is 15.1%. By October, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 27.8%, the probability of a 25 basis point hike is 46.2%, the probability of a 50 basis point hike is 22.6%, and the probability of a 75 basis point hike is 3.3%.

According to Cointelegraph, Sei has released the Giga white paper version 2, which aims to bring finality under 250 milliseconds, pre-execution privacy protection, protocol-level MEV resistance, and a processing capacity of over 200,000 transactions per second.

According to Jinshi, EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Josep Borrell stated that today he will propose sanctions against more entities supporting the Russian military industry in response to Russia's attacks on Ukraine.

According to PR Newswire, American Bitcoin (NASDAQ: ABTC) announced today that as a "Bitcoin accumulation platform" focused on building Bitcoin infrastructure in the United States, the company plans to implement a 1-for-15 reverse stock split for its common stock, which will officially take effect on July 2, 2026, at 5:00 PM.The company expects that the Class A common stock, after the reverse stock split adjustment, will resume trading on the NASDAQ Capital Market on July 6, 2026, with the trading symbol remaining ABTC.At the effective time, every 15 shares of the issued and outstanding Class A common stock will automatically combine into 1 share of Class A common stock; every 15 shares of Class B common stock will also combine into 1 share of Class B common stock, and adjustments will be made according to the fractional shares rules. Currently, the company has no Class C common stock outstanding.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 66.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 33.7%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged drops to 33.1%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points rises to 50%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 16.9%. These figures are consistent with those released before the ADP announcement.

Lighter protocol released an update on token economics, announcing that all future repurchased LIT will be permanently destroyed to reduce the total supply of LIT. The first destruction will be executed within a few weeks after the end of Q2. Since the TGE, the protocol has programmatically repurchased approximately 15.5 million LIT using exchange revenue, accounting for about 6.3% of the circulating supply.Regarding staking, previously, staking rewards were supported by pre-TGE revenue, and starting today, they will shift to being supported by the remaining ecological tokens. The target staking yield is an annualized 6%, which, based on the current staking amount of approximately 125 million LIT, will allocate about 7.5 million LIT annually from the remaining 250 million LIT.The protocol stated that future treasury management will balance four priorities: rewarding long-term stakers, continuously reducing supply through destruction, reserving tokens for partnerships and growth plans, and maximizing the long-term value for token holders.

According to CoinDesk, investment bank Jefferies stated in its latest report that the U.S. CLARITY Act still faces significant legislative hurdles in the Senate, and related legislative progress in the coming weeks may exacerbate volatility in the cryptocurrency market.Jefferies pointed out that although the bill previously passed the Senate Banking Committee with a bipartisan vote of 15 to 9, there are only about 20 legislative days left before the August congressional recess. The Senate still needs to complete the bill's consolidation, procedural voting, coordination with the House version, and submission for presidential signature, making the timeline very tight.Polymarket data shows that the probability of the bill passing by the end of 2026 has dropped from 70% in mid-May to 48%. Jefferies believes that if the bill passes smoothly, it will establish a clear regulatory framework for digital assets, prompting banks, asset management institutions, and exchanges to accelerate their layout in tokenized assets, custody, staking, lending, and other businesses, as well as facilitate more cryptocurrency ETFs and IPOs of cryptocurrency infrastructure companies. If the legislation is delayed, it may prolong regulatory uncertainty, causing traditional financial institutions to slow down their blockchain business advancement.The report predicts that the progress of the bill will continue to affect the market performance of cryptocurrency concept stocks such as Circle (CRCL), Coinbase (COIN), Bullish (BLSH), and some cryptocurrency assets.Jefferies also noted that in the long term, compared to regulatory changes, the greater challenge faced by stablecoin issuer Circle still comes from competition with banks, fintech, and payment companies.

According to Cointelegraph, the on-chain capital market platform Theo announced an investment of $20 million into Fidelity International's dollar digital liquidity fund (FILQ) through the Swiss digital asset bank Sygnum, becoming the first crypto-native platform to allocate to this tokenized fund.The fund is a tokenized dollar liquidity product that primarily invests in a diversified portfolio of short-term money market instruments. Data shows that Theo's allocation represents a significant proportion of the current on-chain managed assets of the fund, reflecting that institutional funds are continuously flowing into tokenized U.S. Treasury and cash management products.

AI Agent Economic Settlement Agreement AEON announced its expansion into the Zambian market, achieving real-time fiat settlement of cryptocurrency assets with the Zambian Kwacha (ZMW) by integrating with local mainstream mobile wallets Airtel Money and MTN Mobile Money.AEON has covered over 50 million merchants globally. This integration not only opens up Web3 retail channels for over 70% of local e-wallet users but also builds the underlying payment infrastructure for global AI agents in the programmatic high-frequency settlement of the African real economy. AEON will also expand its AI agent settlement network to emerging markets in Latin America, Africa, and Southeast Asia.

According to the latest data from CertiK Skynet, Websea has maintained a security rating of over 80 in the A-grade high score range after completing its third round of professional penetration testing, with its overall ranking showing a steady upward trend, continuing to rank among the top in the global exchange security list.This assessment covers core dimensions such as smart contract security, system architecture stability, risk control mechanisms, and asset protection capabilities. The comprehensive assessment results further confirm that Websea has a highly mature and robust security system, with overall security performance at a high level within the industry. As a mainstream third-party security organization in the industry, CertiK's continuous audit and penetration testing results further strengthen Websea's long-term industry endorsement in terms of security transparency and credibility among global exchanges, and also enhance market recognition of Websea's security and credibility.

Recently, metal market prices have declined, with both gold and silver prices adjusting downwards. According to market data from the Gate platform, gold (XAU) reached a 24-hour low of $3950, currently reported at $3975.53, with a 24-hour drop of 2.35%; silver (XAG) reached a 24-hour low of $56.66, currently reported at $57.48, with a 24-hour drop of 2.13%. According to CoinGlass data, the open interest for Gate XAU contracts reached $204 million, and the open interest for XAG contracts reached $64.8941 million, both firmly ranking in the top two in the industry.

Binance will launch trading pairs for bStocks Lumentum (LITEB), Meta (METAB), Microsoft (MSFTB), Palantir (PLTRB), and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQB) on June 30, 2026, at 21:30. The trading pairs will be LITEB/USDT, METAB/USDT, MSFTB/USDT, PLTRB/USDT, and QQQB/USDT, with zero maker fees during the event, ending on September 1, 2026, at 07:59. Deposit and withdrawal services will open on the same day at 22:30.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 70.1%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 29.9%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged drops to 37.2%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points rises to 48.8%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 14.1%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the market prediction event "2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Champion" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Jannik Sinner" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win probability, dropping from 58% an hour ago to the current 43% (a fluctuation of 15%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, Galaxy Research has lowered the probability of the passage of the CLARITY Act in 2026 from 60% three weeks ago to 50%, due to the increasingly tight Senate schedule, the lack of a published merged text for the bill, no scheduled votes, and no public commitment from leadership. The bill has been listed as item 423 on the legislative calendar since it passed the Senate Banking Committee on May 14 with a vote of 15-9, but no motion to advance it has been scheduled to date.The report indicates that the Senate must announce a schedule by early July to complete voting before the August recess; otherwise, it will be postponed until September, when the upcoming midterm elections will make controversial votes harder to arrange. Priority legislation such as FISA Section 702 and the NDAA occupies a significant amount of time, and Trump's veto of the housing bill further exacerbates scheduling pressures.The substantive content of the bill has not yet been fully resolved, and ethical provisions remain a core controversy, with at least two Republican senators expected to vote against it, making Democratic support essential. The report suggests that if leadership clarifies a commitment to vote in July within the next two weeks, the probability of passage will rise to 60% or higher; if there is continued lack of progress, it will be further lowered.