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Analysis: Waller may release dovish signals at Jackson Hole, with US debt policy coordination becoming the market focus

The market is closely watching Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh's speech at the Jackson Hole annual meeting this Friday. As U.S. long-term Treasury yields continue to rise, the market generally expects Walsh to possibly release dovish signals to alleviate concerns about inflation and fiscal risks in the bond market.Mark Cabana, head of U.S. interest rate strategy at Bank of America, stated that the market has gradually lost sensitivity to Walsh's previous verbal statements about "fighting inflation," and investors currently hope to see a substantive policy path to address inflation. Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Basant has recently increased the repurchase of long-term U.S. Treasuries and financed the government through the issuance of short-term bonds, indicating some divergence between the Treasury and the Federal Reserve in managing the bond market.The article points out that Basant's shift of financing pressure to the short end effectively bets U.S. fiscal costs on future interest rate declines. If Walsh can promote interest rate cuts by controlling inflation and boosting productivity, the short-term financing model is expected to reduce government interest expenses; however, if long-term rates remain high, U.S. fiscal pressure may further intensify.The market also anticipates that the Federal Reserve may make adjustments to liquidity management and balance sheet policies. Michael Cloherty, head of U.S. interest rate strategy at CIBC, believes that quantitative tightening could begin as early as the end of 2027, provided that regulatory rule changes can reduce banks' demand for reserves.Currently, the Federal Reserve still holds about $1.6 trillion in long-term U.S. Treasuries. Walsh's statements at Jackson Hole regarding long-term yields, inflation, and the path of balance sheet reduction may become an important signal for assessing the degree of future policy coordination between the Federal Reserve and the Treasury.

According to the SpaceX stock unlocking arrangement, Gate will simultaneously support the unlocking of Pre-IPO (stock) shares

According to the SpaceX stock unlocking schedule, the first batch of shares for Gate Pre-IPOs project SpaceX (SPCX) will be unlocked on August 26 at 20:00 (UTC+8). The total amount of the first batch to be unlocked is 33,900 SPCX, with 20% of the shares being unlocked based on the actual holdings at the time of the user’s spot account snapshot, and the corresponding shares will be directly credited to the Gate stock account at a 1:1 ratio.Gate is the first platform in the industry to support Pre-IPO share unlocking and directly distribute listed company stocks to users. This unlocking includes SPCX that users previously acquired and held through Pre-IPOs, as well as SPCX purchased subsequently; SPCX that has been sold will not be included in this round of unlocking. Users need to check their SPCX holdings and open orders in advance to ensure that the SPCX used for this unlocking is in an available state.Gate will continue to provide users with an asset participation experience from Pre-IPOs subscription before listing, internal trading, to stock unlocking entering the U.S. stock market. This is the first 20% stock unlocking for SpaceX (SPCX), and the remaining portion will be processed according to the unlocking rules of the target company as soon as possible, subject to the official announcement from Gate.
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