Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered Bank's Head of Digital Asset Research: Bitcoin's rebound will depend on two major catalysts, namely a recovery in risk assets overall or favorable news such as sovereign purchases

ChainCatcher news, according to The Block, Standard Chartered's Head of Digital Assets Research Geoff Kendrick stated that the recent decline in Bitcoin's price is primarily influenced by the pressure from broader risk assets, rather than issues within the cryptocurrency itself. "From a volatility-adjusted basis, Bitcoin's performance is highly correlated with the 'seven tech stocks plus Bitcoin' portfolio," Kendrick noted in an email on Tuesday, "Tesla performed the worst, while Meta and Apple performed the best, with the rest being similar to Bitcoin."Kendrick believes that Bitcoin's rebound will depend on two main catalysts: a recovery in risk assets overall or Bitcoin-specific positive news (such as sovereign purchases). He pointed out that clearer tariff policies or a rapid rate cut by the Federal Reserve would help boost the market, "the probability of a rate cut in the May meeting rising from the current 50% to 75% could trigger a rebound." Although Bitcoin may quickly test the $69,000 support level if it falls below $76,500 in the short term, he still maintains a target forecast of $200,000 by the end of 2025.Next week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be a significant test for Bitcoin. Rohit Jain, Managing Director of CoinDCX Ventures, stated that if the Federal Reserve maintains the current interest rates as expected, it could lead to Bitcoin testing the $70,000 support level.

Standard Chartered Bank: The U.S. recession theory is exaggerated, expecting two more rate cuts this year

ChainCatcher news, according to Jin Shi reports, Standard Chartered Bank's Global Head of G10 Foreign Exchange Research and North American Macro Strategy, Steven Englander, stated that despite the slowdown in economic growth, market concerns about a U.S. economic recession may be overstated. Although high interest rates and government spending issues continue to raise worries, he believes that economic data does not fully support the most pessimistic scenarios.Englander pointed out that in the coming months, falling energy prices and improved weather conditions may boost consumer spending, thereby supporting economic growth. Englander expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice this year, in the second and third quarters, respectively. However, due to ongoing fiscal policy support for government spending, the likelihood of further rate cuts is low. In contrast, given stable inflation and wage growth, the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates twice, which would allow the yen to perform better than other major currencies.The recent wave of U.S. tariffs may push up inflation, but the impact is manageable. Englander believes that although tariffs may lead to price increases, the overall impact will still be within a controllable range. He also predicts that the U.S. government will use fiscal policy to support economic growth, which may strengthen the dollar in the second half of the year.
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