ace

Gate Direct IPO's first project officially launches SpaceX, providing users with a new option to participate in globally popular IPO investment opportunities. Through the Gate platform, users submit intention applications and receive corresponding spot stocks after the company officially lists, achieving a seamless connection from IPO application to stock trading. Compared to traditional IPO processes, Gate Direct IPO significantly lowers the participation threshold, eliminating the need for complex cross-border account openings and multi-platform operations. After the company completes its IPO, the platform will distribute stocks directly to users' spot stock accounts after the company officially goes public, realizing an investment experience of "immediate allocation upon listing, stocks delivered directly to accounts."As one of the most watched commercial space companies globally, SpaceX has long attracted attention from the capital market due to its reusable rockets, Starlink satellite internet, and future space economy layout. After the IPO allocation ends, stocks will be directly distributed to Gate stock accounts on June 12, allowing users to hold and trade real U.S. stocks without needing to open additional accounts. This launch also marks Gate's further integration of the complete investment chain from Pre-IPO, IPO to stock trading, providing users with more efficient and convenient global asset allocation services.

According to The Wall Street Journal, SpaceX's upcoming IPO is expected to bring substantial paper gains to the endowment funds of several universities in the United States. About 10% of the University of North Carolina system's endowment fund is invested in SpaceX, primarily stemming from early investments in Peter Thiel's Founders Fund. The University of Washington in St. Louis has a holding in SpaceX that exceeds 15%, with the fund having invested in SpaceX in 2018 alongside Vy Capital. Stanford University also holds a significant stake in SpaceX, indirectly through institutions such as Founders Fund, Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Thrive Capital, and Darsana.SpaceX has transformed from an initial rocket launch company into an internet provider, social media platform, and AI company, with its valuation soaring from $140 billion in December 2022 to approximately $1.77 trillion at this week's IPO pricing. Some schools have reduced their positions in the secondary market to lock in profits, such as the University of Washington, which has sold off part of its holdings to secure gains. Although the paper gains are considerable, the use of endowment funds is legally restricted, and schools may not be able to allocate them freely.

A Spanish La Liga football club faces the risk of relegation before the final match of the season. To avoid losses in ticket and broadcasting rights revenue due to relegation, the club's owner placed a bet of millions of dollars on the prediction market Kalshi against their own relegation.In the end, the club lost the last match 0 to 1 but still managed to avoid relegation. Sources revealed that the counterparty of this transaction was the quantitative trading firm Susquehanna, which profited over 1 million dollars from this deal. The transaction was facilitated by Game Point Capital, an agency that assists professional and college teams in managing risks, with intermediary services provided by Greenlight Commodities.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted on the Polymarket. A large whale sold a single bet of $64,003.62 regarding the "Permanent Peace Agreement between the U.S. and Iran" event on "December 31, 2023." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding probability for this bet is 67.34%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale sold a single bet for $68,865.78 regarding the "Permanent Peace Agreement between the U.S. and Iran" event on "December 31, 2023." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding probability for this bet is 59.56%.

Data shows that the market value of tokenized stocks has grown from $2.23 billion at the beginning of the year to $5.5 billion, an increase of approximately 147% in six months, and it has now become the fourth largest RWA asset class. This growth reflects the rising structural demand among crypto users for exposure to the stock market, with more users wanting to access stock-like assets through on-chain tools rather than relying on traditional brokerage accounts.Exchanges are also accelerating the layout of related products. Kraken and Bybit have provided access to SpaceX IPO-related entries within their platforms, allowing users to participate in the highly anticipated private company listing opportunities without leaving the crypto ecosystem. Binance has also launched stock perpetual contract products for non-U.S. users, further meeting the global retail demand for on-chain trading of U.S. stock markets.

According to Forbes, the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan in Canada is expected to gain substantial returns from the SpaceX IPO. The fund invested approximately $220 million in SpaceX in 2019 when the company's valuation was around $33 billion to $36 billion.If SpaceX goes public as planned at $135 per share, with an estimated valuation of about $1.75 trillion, the shares held by the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan would rise to approximately $11.6 billion, with potential paper gains exceeding $11 billion. As of the end of 2025, the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan manages assets of about $279.4 billion, covering 346,000 active and retired teachers.The fund's Chief Investment Officer Gillian Brown previously stated that an IPO does not necessarily mean an exit point, and they may continue to hold shares in the future to see if SpaceX can initiate a new growth cycle after acquiring xAI. Notably, the fund had invested about $95 million in FTX in 2022 and wrote down that investment to zero after FTX's bankruptcy. However, benefiting from strong performances from projects like SpaceX, its venture capital portfolio is still expected to achieve a 30% growth by 2025.Currently, some institutions are cautious about SpaceX's valuation. Morningstar believes its fair valuation is less than half of the IPO target. Based on a $1.75 trillion valuation, Elon Musk's wealth, holding about 41% of the shares, is expected to rise further, potentially making him the world's first trillionaire.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket. A large whale invested $72,254 in a single transaction regarding the "Permanent Peace Agreement between the U.S. and Iran" event on "June 15." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding probability for this target is 95%.

According to market data disclosed by Hyperliquid, as the SpaceX IPO approaches, the current quote for the SpaceX prediction market on Hyperliquid is approximately $166 per share, corresponding to an implied valuation of about $2.15 trillion. The data shows that there are currently 4,528 traders holding open positions, of which 3,865 are long and 663 are short, with a long-short ratio of about 85:15.The market's open contract size is approximately $66.6 million, with a cumulative trading volume exceeding $450 million, and the number of contracts traded reaching 2.333 million, with over 917,000 trades executed in three weeks. In terms of profitability, among the 4,528 users with positions, 1,001 are in profit, accounting for 22%; 3,527 are in loss, accounting for 78%.In terms of nominal positions, the current largest short position holds approximately 27,100 SPCX, with a position value of about $4.5 million; market maker Cumberland ranks as the second-largest short, holding approximately 18,700 SPCX short positions, valued at about $3.1 million.

Although the market is currently generally concerned that the buying strength of Strategy may decline, there are two rules that are always important in the cryptocurrency market: follow the trend and follow the flow of funds. When liquidity reverses, it usually means that the market environment is switching, and the risk of prematurely bottom-fishing is extremely high. During this bull market, the monthly changes in stablecoin supply had previously remained positive, but the market is currently experiencing a second round of stablecoin outflows.In the past 30 days, the net outflow has reached approximately 5 to 6 billion dollars. The slowdown in capital inflow combined with rising volatility has significantly weakened the liquidity environment's support for the market. This not only puts pressure on crypto assets but also affects stablecoin issuers. Therefore, the current period of consolidation may continue until the flow of funds recovers.

According to today's on-chain analyst monitoring, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes' associated address purchased 33,979 HYPE, to which he responded, "There has been no buying activity."

Bybit announced the official launch of its on-chain US stock IPO subscription product, Bybit IPO Express, and partnered with xStocks to introduce the first phase of the SpaceX tokenized IPO subscription service.It is reported that this product is open to eligible Bybit VIP and Pro users, allowing users to subscribe to stock assets at the issue price directly in the primary market without the need to open a traditional brokerage account. The tokenized SpaceX shares issued this time are fully backed by xStocks, pegged 1:1 to real equity, and comply with institutional-level regulatory standards.The specific timeline for the SpaceX tokenized subscription is as follows:Registration and subscription period: June 7 to June 11Quota phase: June 11 to June 12Spot trading launch: June 12The official statement indicated that the Bybit platform will continue to expand its on-chain US stock and RWA ecosystem in the future to provide more diversified investment opportunities.

According to Bloomberg, large IPO candidates including SpaceX may have to wait several years to be included in the S&P 500 index.The reason is that S&P Dow Jones Indices has refused to relax the criteria for inclusion of constituent stocks, maintaining the requirement for companies to achieve positive net income over the past year (including the most recent quarter). This decision was made by its index committee after a month of discussions, meaning that large newly listed companies that have not yet met the conditions for sustained profitability will still find it difficult to enter the index in the short term.

According to analyst Darkfost's data, Bitcoin has retraced and fallen below the 4% percentile of the Power Law model, entering an extremely undervalued range, a valuation level that has historically been present only 4% of the time. Darkfost emphasizes that this is a suitable time for long-term position building, not a short-term price prediction.

According to official news, the AI native trading platform WaterX on the Sui blockchain completed its first round of SpaceX (SPCX) Pre-IPO quota sales on May 27 last week, using a first-come, first-served basis, and sold out completely within 50 minutes. This is the first real private placement market company's Pre-IPO quota sale on the Sui blockchain. The first round was quickly filled, showing strong demand for scarce assets in the market. This means that private placement market assets are becoming a new category that this public chain can support within the Sui ecosystem. Subsequent rounds and assets will be announced through WaterX's official channels.WaterX is an AI native trading platform built on Sui, integrating three major engines: perpetual contracts, prediction markets, and tokenized RWA. Recently, WaterX announced its selection for the Sui Foundation Moonshots Program. The WaterX prediction market will also officially launch soon, covering all FIFA World Cup event markets in its first wave. To celebrate the launch, WaterX is simultaneously launching the "2026 World Cup Blind Box" event: users can choose a supported team and invite friends to join, and on the launch day, they can open the World Cup exclusive blind box.

According to Jinshi reports, Guotai Junan's research report points out that the non-farm data in May continued to exceed expectations, signaling a stabilization and recovery in the U.S. job market, which catalyzed market expectations for interest rate hikes and led to significant adjustments in asset prices. The U.S. dollar strengthened, U.S. Treasury rates surged, U.S. stocks fell sharply, and gold weakened. Guotai Junan believes that there are still differences within the Federal Reserve, and there may not be an interest rate hike within the year, but the market in June may be affected by liquidity shocks, and U.S. stocks may face at least one to two months of volatility.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale has made a single purchase of $100,000 on the "World Cup Champion" event for "Portugal." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 90.22%.