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The "Contract Whale" updated its position by stating "Set 10 big goals" and that its previously established 4x leveraged BTC long position has triggered the trading invalidation zone and exited with a stop loss.Previously, this address opened a position at around $64,940, holding 2,933.635 BTC, with a position value of approximately $447 million and a margin of about $47.48 million. It stated that it remains optimistic about Bitcoin in the medium to long term, believing that around $60,000 is an important support area. If there are no significant changes in market structure, Bitcoin still has a high probability of challenging $100,000 before March next year.

The contract whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" shared on social media a 4x leveraged short position on Bitcoin, currently showing a floating profit of over $980,000, with a return on investment of 2.19%. It stated, "This position is a short-term short on Bitcoin."Previously, the contract whale "Set 10 Big Goals First" closed its long position on Bitcoin in the early hours of today, realizing a profit of $6.019 million. It stated, "The trend remains bullish, this position has been closed for profit, securing gains, and taking a two-day break."

Jeff Yan, co-founder of Hyperliquid, recently stated in the VALR podcast that one of the biggest challenges currently facing the cryptocurrency and fintech sectors is the failure to attract enough top entrepreneurial talent.Jeff Yan believes that, influenced by factors such as the AI boom and social prestige, many of the best young people are unclear about which fields they should engage in to create the most value, resulting in very few choosing to enter the cryptocurrency industry.He stated that reconstructing the financial system from first principles and transforming academic theories into scalable market designs is a highly meaningful endeavor, and he urged young entrepreneurs not to focus solely on the surface value of things but to concentrate on the real problems facing the world and participate in the development and innovation of on-chain finance.

The contract whale "Set 10 big goals first" recently shared three trades on social media: On June 25, opened a long position on BTC at $59,837.99 and closed it at $58,592.06, ultimately losing $4.88 million; on July 6, opened a long position on BTC at $62,590.4 and closed it at $64,022.01, ultimately gaining $4.54 million; on July 13, opened a long position on BTC at $63,064.4 and closed it at $64,287.08, ultimately gaining $4.27 million.

According to Jinshi, renowned economist Nouriel Roubini warned that inflation remains the biggest risk facing the market. Factors driving inflation include geopolitical tensions, de-globalization, and increased government spending. He stated that if the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) reaches 5% - 6%, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond could be "close to" 8%, which would be the highest level since 1994, a significant increase from the current level of about 4.58%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $128,693.03 in the "England vs Argentina - More Markets" event, specifically on "Both Teams to Score." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this bet is 51%.

Bitget's head of Greater China, Xie Jiayin, posted on the X platform stating that the AUM of rToken has reached 115 million USD in 5 weeks since its launch, and pointed out that "many teams overlook the core demands of Wall Street institutions when dealing with RWA: risk control convenience and capital utilization."Xie Jiayin emphasized that the biggest underlying driving force of rToken is the unified account mechanism, which truly realizes "simultaneous operation and unified risk control" of crypto assets and US stock assets. In extreme market conditions, users can use unrealized gains from US stocks to supplement their crypto positions, or use long-term holdings in the crypto space as leverage to unlock more trading opportunities, breaking the asset isolation between traditional crypto exchanges and US stock brokers.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $59,360.85 in the "Spain vs. Belgium - More Markets" event, specifically targeting the "Advancing Team." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 73.75%.

According to The Block, JPMorgan analysts pointed out that Strategy's recent sell-off of Bitcoin and its BTC monetization plan may bring temporary selling pressure, but it is not the main structural risk for Bitcoin. The greater risk lies in blockchain applications (including payments, clearing, RWA, etc.) increasingly shifting towards bank-built or regulatory-friendly permissioned chains and unified ledgers, rather than public chains.If tokenized deposits, SWIFT blockchain projects, central bank digital currencies, etc., are implemented within traditional financial infrastructure, and settlements adopt more private or delayed netting models, the activity, liquidity, and capital flow of public chains and tokens may be weakened, and the demand for stablecoins may also be partially replaced by bank tokenized deposits, thereby suppressing Bitcoin's performance. Analysts stated that a hybrid architecture, favorable regulation for public chain stablecoins, or a strengthened "digital gold" narrative may correct the above judgment.

According to a post by the cryptocurrency venture capital fund Pantera Capital, Hyperliquid's potential addressable market size is approximately $100 trillion in nominal daily trading volume, which includes about $200 billion in 0DTE options and leveraged ETF trading, around $2 trillion in commodity derivatives trading, and approximately $8 trillion in foreign exchange derivatives trading, which is currently almost entirely off-chain.Pantera stated that if Hyperliquid can consistently capture a low single-digit share of the aforementioned comprehensive trading volume, its revenue potential could reach up to five times the current level. It is estimated that if the HIP-3 market is calculated at an annualized nominal trading volume of $36.5 trillion and captures a 1% market share, under the assumption of a 2 basis points comprehensive fee rate and a 50% Hyperliquid economic split, Hyperliquid could generate approximately $3.7 billion in revenue.However, Pantera also pointed out that regulation is the biggest risk facing Hyperliquid. Perpetual contracts are not yet fully open in the United States, and if the U.S. pushes for the legalization of related products and launches regulated platforms in the future, Hyperliquid may face more intense competition, and some U.S. user trading volume may also shift to compliant venues. Pantera also believes that Hyperliquid may eventually launch a regulated version for the U.S. market, similar to other platforms.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $142,431.6 in the "Portugal vs. Spain - More Markets" event, specifically on "O/U 2.5". Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding win rate for this target is 53%.

According to DefiLlama data, Kalshi's trading volume in June reached nearly $9.4 billion, setting a new historical high, a significant increase from about $5.3 billion in May. Polymarket International's trading volume during the same period also rose from about $3.5 billion to approximately $4.3 billion. The 2026 FIFA World Cup will kick off on June 11, expanding to 48 teams for the first time, and according to CNBC, it has become the biggest driving force behind June's prediction market trading. Trading activity during the knockout stage is particularly active; as of the time of writing, the Round of 16 match between Canada and Morocco generated over $48 million in trading volume on Kalshi, and over $26.8 million on Polymarket.Meanwhile, prediction markets in the United States face ongoing legal and regulatory disputes, with nearly a dozen states taking action against Kalshi and Polymarket. CFTC Chairman Selig has accused the states of illegal enforcement actions against federally regulated exchanges. In Europe, ESMA reminded companies last Friday that many event contracts may be subject to existing binary options restrictions.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG XSE Professional League Group Stage" on the prediction market Polymarket, the option "B8" in the sub-market "Map 2 Winner" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 55.5% an hour ago to the current 11.5% (a fluctuation of 44%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Michael Saylor stated that the biggest evolution of Bitcoin in the next decade will come from fewer changes at the protocol layer and a greater role in other areas. He believes that the foundational layer of Bitcoin will become more solid, capital markets will continue to deepen, applications will expand, institutions will enter, and the world will build on Bitcoin. Bitcoin is not a tech stock, a payment company, or a software platform competing to add features, but a monetary network whose purpose is not to act quickly and disrupt things, but to move slowly and remain unbroken.Saylor indicated that Bitcoin has won the first important battle, and the world is increasingly understanding that Bitcoin is digital capital, possessing attributes such as scarcity, durability, portability, divisibility, programmability, and global transferability. The strongest version of Bitcoin is not to "replace all payment rails," but to become a neutral, global, scarce asset around which capital, credit, and commerce are organized. The foundational layer is not optimized for coffee payments, but designed for final settlement, reserve assets, collateral settlement, and ultimate ownership transfer.He believes that the four-year cycle of Bitcoin is still important, but no longer the dominant model. In the next decade, Bitcoin's price movements will be driven less by miner issuance and more by capital flows from ETFs, corporate treasuries, sovereign reserves, bank credit, derivatives, insurance, collateral, and global savings. Halving will tighten supply, while capital flows will determine the growth trajectory. Digital credit will accelerate Bitcoin adoption, connecting Bitcoin capital with the broader financial system.Saylor stated that the main question in the next decade is not whether Bitcoin can survive, but whether economic exposure is still connected to real Bitcoin or if too much "paper Bitcoin" is being formed. Custodial transparency, proof of reserves, risk management, capital structure, and counterparty risk will all become important.He expects that by 2036, Bitcoin will be more widely held, more deeply institutionalized, more politically significant, and become an important collateral asset in the digital credit market; while the foundational protocol itself may change less than everything built around it.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $72,000 in the "England vs. Democratic Republic of the Congo - More Markets" event, specifically on "O/U 2.5". Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding win rate for this target is 48%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $118,177.82 in the "England vs. Democratic Republic of the Congo - More Markets" event, specifically targeting "England (-1.5)." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 52%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $99,952.06 in the "Jordan vs. Argentina - More Markets" event, specifically targeting "Argentina (-2.5)". Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 44%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $71,059.75 in the event "Uruguay vs. Spain," specifically targeting "Spain." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 59%.