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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Counter-Strike: BIG vs. Nemiga - IEM Beijing Global Qualifiers" on the prediction market Polymarket, the win probability for the sub-market "Match Winner" option "BIG" has experienced significant fluctuations, dropping from 85.5% an hour ago to the current 62.75% (a fluctuation of 22.75%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Tom Lee stated during his appearance on CNBC: "I believe that there are actually very few people who truly hold cryptocurrencies. Because of this, I think Bitcoin can easily break through six figures (like over $100,000), but it may also be affected by interest rate hikes. As for how cryptocurrencies will perform, I think this will be a good test, but we have already seen long-term yields (interest rates) rising. So, if we see the Federal Reserve raising interest rates while long-term yields actually decline, that would essentially mean monetary easing. Therefore, the key may be how long-term yields respond to the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes."He also added: "I think this is just the first wave of the rise because this round of cryptocurrency market has caught many people off guard. Well, I believe institutional investors are buying stocks related to cryptocurrencies, and this is very obvious—trading volume has surged significantly, which signals that they are betting on a big market in the fourth quarter. I think $150,000 is still possible, well, it's actually not that far from now."

Famous trader Killa posted that Bitcoin will reach a new historical high next year, and ultimately, it won't matter if it is bought at $100,000. As time goes by, these barriers will be left behind. The biggest mistake is to stay on the sidelines.

According to Mobile Payment Network, Lu Lei, a member of the Party Committee and Vice President of the People's Bank of China, stated at the 15th China Payment Clearing Forum that intelligent agent payments must not blur the boundaries of responsibility between consumers, operating institutions, and algorithm systems. Lu Lei believes that the essence of payment is the transfer of fund ownership, which objectively requires that the results of transactions are predictable, responsibilities are definable, and traces are traceable. Large models and autonomous intelligent agents have characteristics such as output randomness and insufficient transparency of logic. If transaction decision-making authority is blindly or excessively granted to intelligent agents, it will affect the trust foundation of fund transactions. The current governance rules of the payment industry and dispute resolution mechanisms are built around "humans as the final decision-makers in transactions." The new model of intelligent agents automatically initiating and assisting in transactions easily blurs the boundaries of responsibility, and the existing governance rules need to be optimized and improved.Regarding the issue of insufficient compatibility of protocol standards in the field of intelligent agent payments, Lu Lei emphasized that the dispute over protocols is essentially a dispute over business rules and technical standards, as well as a struggle for dominance in the era of artificial intelligence. The People's Bank of China continues to strengthen its tracking research on technological innovation, especially intelligent agent payments, guiding the Payment Clearing Association to leverage its advantages in industry self-regulation. Based on extensive soliciting of opinions, they will formulate and publish the "Self-Regulatory Convention for Intelligent Agent Payment Applications," and will continue to work on coordinating protocols and standards, as well as innovating risk governance. Lu Lei proposed three hopes to market institutions: actively respond to and implement the industry self-regulatory convention, with payment security and risk prevention as the bottom line, and consumer rights protection as the focal point; continuously track the trends of cutting-edge technologies such as large models and intelligent agents both domestically and internationally, and build technical reserves and application capabilities; adhere to the principle of rules and standards first, strengthen coordination and compatibility among different protocols and standards, and cooperate with regulatory authorities to promote the construction of a foundational protocol and technical standard system for intelligent agent payments.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring on-chain data, there is a prediction of significant capital movement in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $194,480 in the event "Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 52.6%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "BIG" option in the sub-market "Match Winner" has experienced significant fluctuations in win probability, dropping sharply from 40.5% an hour ago to the current 19.5% (a fluctuation of 21%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Caixin, the UAE investment firm Aqua 1 Foundation has invested $100 million to purchase WLFI tokens issued by World Liberty Financial, a cryptocurrency project of U.S. President Donald Trump's family, surpassing the total investment of $75 million by Sun Yuchen, becoming its largest buyer. The actual controller of Aqua1 was previously a mystery, but recently Zhou Guren, born in Shanghai, China in 1984, has come to light as the largest financier of WLFI tokens, with many questions surrounding the source of the funds.Zhou Guren is still listed as a dishonest person subject to enforcement on China's information disclosure website, with a total debt amounting to tens of millions across six cases. A recent indictment provided by the UK Crown Prosecution Service shows that Zhou Guren is also involved in a money laundering case that occurred in the UK. A Shanghai timber company for which he serves as the legal representative was also involved in a smuggling case in China.

According to AI Aunt (@ai_9684xtpa), "Set 10 big goals first" has stopped losses and exited the market. The additional short positions added by the relevant account have all been closed; thus, the total of the three trades after this "comeback" is in a loss state, but it is just a profit withdrawal (it was previously disclosed that the total profit was around 70 million USD).In terms of specific gains and losses, the long position made a profit of 20 million USD; the first short position incurred a loss of 6.283 million USD; the first half of the second short position had a certain loss of 10.158 million USD, while the loss amount for the second half is unknown, expected to be around 9 million USD.

Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor posted on the X platform, stating that the most profound innovation of Bitcoin is its ability to convert economic energy into digital form and securely bind it to individuals, families, businesses, machines, and even nations.Michael Saylor pointed out that Bitcoin is not only a digital asset but also a brand new mechanism for value storage and economic coordination, allowing wealth to be preserved in digital form for the long term and verified and transferred globally. Bitcoin achieves secure control over digital value through decentralized networks and cryptographic technology, providing individuals and organizations with a form of economic asset that does not rely on traditional financial systems.

Bitcoin recently rose to a monthly high, with Bitfinex analysts stating that this round of market activity is primarily driven by spot buying and short covering, rather than new leveraged funds, thus providing a longer duration compared to typical short squeeze scenarios. As investors who bought Bitcoin in the past five months are currently in a profit state, the main risk of the current upward trend comes from profit-taking chips flowing into trading platforms.Bitfinex believes that the U.S. Treasury's announcement on August 19 to expand the scale of long-term bond repurchases is an important factor driving the recent market activity. The initial phase of this rise was indeed driven by short liquidations. On the same day, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF recorded an inflow of $297.6 million. However, the subsequent price increase mainly came from spot buying. From the position structure, while Bitcoin prices rose by 10% to 11%, open interest (OI) only increased by about 4%, indicating that spot demand and short covering played a major role, while the impact of leveraged funds was limited.Bitfinex pointed out that the $68,000 to $69,000 range is currently an important support level, close to the average cost of buyers over the past five months. If Bitcoin maintains above this level, it will keep these investors in a profitable state, reducing the pressure of previously trapped chips selling during rebounds. In terms of funds, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF saw an inflow of $606.29 million on August 20, the largest single-day inflow since May 1, with BlackRock's IBIT contributing about 82%. Bitfinex stated that if fund inflows continue for a week, it will further strengthen the market demand structure.However, Bitfinex warns that the current biggest risk is a large amount of profitable Bitcoin flowing into trading platforms, which could trigger the largest profit-taking market since 2026. Analysts indicate that if real yields rise again to levels that previously suppressed Bitcoin from falling below $65,000, macro factors could still quickly impact the market.

ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood stated in an interview, "Bitcoin is preparing for a new round of surge, and I am bullish on Bitcoin eventually reaching $1.5 million."Cathie Wood has consistently maintained her target price of $1.5 million for Bitcoin, even when most people initially thought she had "lost her mind." The core of this ARK Invest founder's bullish logic on Bitcoin is primarily based on three pillars: institutional adoption, fixed supply, and Bitcoin gradually becoming a true digital store of value asset. She has also repeatedly mentioned that a specific catalyst could significantly accelerate the realization of this goal: the U.S. government buying Bitcoin.

The "whale" has set "10 big goals" and will continue to update its trading trajectory and insights on the X platform tonight. It stated that at the position of 72500, it had considered re-entering a long position and had placed a limit order between 70500 and 71500, but it did not get filled. "I wanted to re-enter the long position that I had previously closed. At that time, I placed a long order in advance between 70500 and 71500, while also placing a short order near 76000. My expectation was that if it first retraced to 70500–71500, I would re-enter the long position; if it did not retrace and quickly surged to around 76000, I would make a correction after a round of upward movement. In the end, the long orders below did not get filled, and after the short order at 76000 was filled, the price continued to rise to above 79000.So looking back, the real mistake in this segment was not the medium to long-term direction, but underestimating the strength of this upward trend and trying to bet on a correction too early."Despite the recent loss on a short position, this whale still stated, "Currently, there is still a profit of around 70 million."

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi (@ai_9684xtpa), well-known trader @Jason60704294 ("Set 10 big goals" ) recently completed a round of long and short operations and once again opened a 5x leveraged short position of 83.866 BTC at the price of $74,553.27, worth approximately $6.25 million. According to his usual practice, this should be the initial position, and he may continue to add to the position later.

On August 20, the Bitcoin market suddenly rebounded, with prices rising nearly 8% at one point, briefly breaking through $70,000, reaching a new high since early June, and triggering the largest short liquidation wave since 2021. Over $1 billion in Bitcoin short positions were liquidated within about an hour, as months of bearish trades concentrated on closing positions, driving a rapid rebound in BTC. Analysts pointed out that this increase reflects an overly crowded short position in the market, and as prices turned upward, forced buying to cover further amplified the rally.This rebound was driven by multiple factors. U.S. President Trump met with executives from crypto companies such as Coinbase, Kraken, and Blockchain.com at the White House, and the market expects the U.S. government to continue promoting a more friendly regulatory framework for digital assets. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) proposed new rules for crypto asset issuance this week, intending to exempt certain digital asset issuance from registration requirements. On the macro front, the U.S. Treasury announced an expansion of long-term Treasury bond repurchase operations, at least doubling the scale of repurchase operations for 10 to 30-year Treasury bonds to enhance market liquidity and alleviate pressure on long-term U.S. Treasury yields, further boosting sentiment for risk assets.The rebound spread throughout the entire crypto market, with Ethereum rising 19% at one point, marking the largest single-day increase since March. Crypto-related stocks also surged, with Coinbase rising about 10%, Bitcoin reserve company Strategy increasing about 13%, and stablecoin issuer Circle rising nearly 10%. Analysts stated that Bitcoin's next key step lies in whether it can convert this short squeeze into real buying pressure and break through the resistance area above $70,000.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs," the "Yes" option win rate for the sub-market "Both sides kill Baron Nashor" has experienced a sharp fluctuation, soaring from 50.5% an hour ago to the current 90% (a fluctuation of 39.5%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

The contract whale "Set 10 big goals first" shared on social media a 5x leveraged long position of 3425.239 BTC, with a margin of about 46.52 million USD, currently showing a floating profit of over 13.04 million USD, achieving an investment return rate of 28.04%.