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first_img Research institution Sage Road Research stated that the stock price of the AI company has dropped 20% from its peak in June

The research institution Sage Road Research released an executive summary of "The AI Trade," stating that since the beginning of this year, the Magnificent Seven has underperformed the Russell 3000 index by about 8 percentage points and the MSCI ACWI by nearly 9 percentage points. In July, the CBOE NDX volatility index relative to the VIX reached its highest point since the internet bubble, and after entering a correction, the Nasdaq index saw a 5% rebound over four days. As of the writing of the report, AI company stock prices have dropped 20% from their 52-week highs in June.Companies are struggling to achieve returns on investment amid soaring AI costs, with Uber, Amazon, Meta, and Walmart implementing restrictions on employee AI usage. Model homogenization limits pricing power, and Chinese open-source models have become a cheap alternative to OpenAI and Anthropic. AI capital expenditures have exceeded expectations, with the consensus for 2026 rising from $527 billion at the end of 2025 to about $800 billion by mid-year. Capital expenditures for hyperscale cloud providers in 2027 are expected to account for 3% of U.S. GDP, more than double the peak of 1.2% during the late 1990s telecom fiber construction. Allianz Research calculates that there is nearly a 46% growth gap between AI investment and sales, worse than the 32% during the 2001 telecom bubble.As of June, hyperscale cloud providers and related entities like Nvidia issued $225 billion in bonds, a year-on-year increase of 973.7%. The off-balance-sheet liabilities of tech giants have increased eightfold over four years to $1.65 trillion.

first_img Strategy net leverage ratio has dropped to nearly zero, and cash reserves are close to the scale of convertible bonds

The dollar assets of Bitcoin Treasury Company Strategy have reached $6.69 billion, nearly equivalent to its $6.75 billion outstanding convertible bonds, with the net leverage ratio dropping to nearly zero. Driven by ongoing buybacks and the rebound of Bitcoin prices to around $80,000, its preferred stock STRC has rebounded over 35% since the low in June, currently reported at $97.23, still below the $100 par value.Executive Chairman Michael Saylor stated that USD Cash has enhanced the company's digital credit capital framework, specifically for the general purposes of Bitcoin Treasury Company, including increasing BTC holdings, paying preferred stock dividends and interest, repurchasing MSTR/preferred stock, repaying convertible bonds, and increasing dollar reserves. In May, Strategy repurchased $1.5 billion of convertible bonds maturing in 2029 to alleviate its debt burden.Competitor Strive Asset Management eliminated all debt earlier this year, and its preferred stock SATA has rebounded to the $100 par value, with shares issued last week through an ATM program. Analysts pointed out that eliminating debt will strengthen STRC's position in the capital structure, but ongoing buybacks, ample dollar liquidity, and the rebound in Bitcoin prices may provide more direct support for the preferred stock to return to par value.

first_img Fluid Q2 TVL dropped to 3.4 billion USD, with revenue decreasing by 29% quarter-on-quarter

According to a report by Token Terminal, the DeFi protocol Fluid, developed by the Instadapp team, released data for the second quarter of 2026. The average TVL for the quarter was $3.4 billion, a decrease of 21.1% quarter-on-quarter, but an increase of 84.9% year-on-year; active loans were $1.5 billion, down 15.1% quarter-on-quarter, but up 92.9% year-on-year; trading volume was $18.1 billion, down 37.3% quarter-on-quarter; fees were $9.5 million, down 21.5% quarter-on-quarter; protocol revenue was $1.8 million, down 29.3% quarter-on-quarter, but up 9.8% year-on-year; monthly active users were 70.7 thousand, down 43.8% quarter-on-quarter.The capital structure continues to lean towards Jupiter Lend, which collaborates with Solana, with an average TVL of about $1.7 billion, accounting for nearly half and achieving quarter-on-quarter growth, becoming the largest lending deployment. At the beginning of the quarter, there was an outflow influenced by third-party events such as Resolv, but the Fluid contract was not attacked, and related bad debts were covered by the treasury and others, with no loss of user funds. During this period, Bitwise began managing the USDe market on Jupiter Lend, Liquidity-as-a-Service was launched with approximately $100 million in sUSDai liquidity facilities, and RWA-related assets such as Huma PST were also integrated into Fluid.The team stated that they will continue to promote institutional-level deployments, Jupiter DEX, and Sui expansion, introducing incremental capital and improving revenue efficiency through vertical products and institutional collaborations.
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