dropped

According to Binance spot market data, the market has experienced significant fluctuations. COTI has dropped 16.4% in the last 24 hours, while TURTLE has risen 5.83% and reached a new high for today.In addition, LAYER and EUL have also shown a "high and then low" state, with declines of 5.57% and 13.18% respectively in the last 24 hours. STORJ, VIC, and SOXSB have all reached new lows for today, with declines of 5.66%, 5.3%, and 33.19% respectively.On the other hand, GPS has shown a "bottoming rebound" state, with an increase of 5.28%. Meanwhile, BROCCOLI714 and SNXXB have slightly risen within 5 minutes, with increases of 3.08% and 3.13% respectively.

According to Binance spot market data, the market has experienced significant fluctuations. COTI has dropped by 30.12% in the last 24 hours, while EPIC has risen by 13.12%, showing signs of a rebound after hitting a low.In addition, MOVE, VANA, and NIL have all reached new lows today, with declines of 5.07%, 5.11%, and 6.89%, respectively. Meanwhile, ZRO, LPT, and ATOM have also hit new lows for the week, with declines of 13.81%, 11.11%, and 9.22%, respectively.

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged until September is 36.8%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 63.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 0% (before the Federal Reserve's decision, these were 17.8%, 60.2%, and 22% respectively).By October, the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 26.2%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 55.6%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 18.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 75 basis points is 0% (before the Federal Reserve's decision, these were 11.9%, 46.1%, 34.7%, and 7.3% respectively).

According to Gate market data, the S&P 500 index fell by 0.3%, and the Nasdaq index dropped by more than 1%.

According to the latest ranking of stock derivatives exchanges released by RootData, Binance, Hyperliquid, and OKX are in the top three. The list is based on comprehensive scoring of exchanges supporting stock derivatives trading, considering dimensions such as trading volume, open interest, spreads, depth, trading costs, and data collectability. Among them:Binance scored 95.7, with a position size of approximately $2.844 billion, a 24h trading volume of approximately $19.879 billion, and a market share of 48.46%.Hyperliquid scored 94.9, with a position size of approximately $1.708 billion, a 24h trading volume of approximately $5.668 billion, and a market share of 13.82%.OKX scored 92.6, with a position size of approximately $528 million, a 24h trading volume of approximately $4.752 billion, and a market share of 11.58%.Compared to the same period last week, Hyperliquid rose from seventh to second place; OKX rose from sixth to third place; Gate rose from eighth to sixth place. MEXC fell from second to fifth place, and Bybit fell from third to seventh place.

According to data from RootData's stock perpetual contract exchange rankings, nearly 30 exchanges that have launched stock perpetual contracts still significantly adhere to the trading rhythm of traditional stock markets: trading volume drops sharply on weekends, and the morning session on Monday warms up as the traditional market approaches recovery, but has not yet returned to the intensity of a full trading day.Comparing trading days with non-trading days, the 24h trading volume of stock perpetual contracts dropped from approximately $39.078 billion to $4.896 billion, a decrease of about 87.5%. However, during the same period, the open interest slightly increased from $10.139 billion to $10.262 billion, indicating that positions have not been withdrawn on a large scale; what has truly decreased is active trading and turnover. A snapshot taken on the morning of Monday, July 27, shows that the 24h trading volume rebounded to $10.617 billion, an increase of about 116.8% compared to Sunday, indicating that market activity is recovering.In terms of liquidity, the weighted market depth (±2%) decreased from approximately $58.92 million to about $47.83 million, a decline of about 18.8%; it rebounded to around $55.68 million on Monday morning, nearing trading day levels. This indicates that the speed of order book recovery is faster than that of actual trading recovery, and market depth has not plummeted as sharply as trading volume.From the performance of exchanges, leading platforms such as Binance, OKX, and Bitget maintained relatively narrow spreads and strong depth on Monday morning; Hyperliquid performed well in rankings, but its trading volume was still below trading day levels; some long-tail platforms still face issues with excessively wide spreads, making it temporarily impossible to assess true liquidity.RootData Research believes that the most prominent value of these stock perpetual contract exchanges is to allow stock risks to be traded, priced, and hedged even on non-trading days of the traditional stock market. The traditional stock market is closed on weekends, with official prices remaining at the previous trading day's closing price, while stock perpetual contract exchanges still have trading, open interest, order books, and spreads on Sundays, indicating that crypto exchanges have broken through the "trading time" limitations of stocks.However, from the current data, they are participating in expected pricing rather than official pricing, making them more suitable for expressing events, emotions, macroeconomic changes, and risk preference shifts on non-trading days. Due to decreased trading volume over the weekend, widened spreads, and some platforms having abnormal data metrics, they currently resemble a "stock pre-opening price discovery layer," having participated in stock pricing but not yet obtaining the primary pricing power of the traditional stock market, nor have they surpassed the liquidity of the traditional stock market.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. posted on the X platform that the Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score has dropped to about 0.42, which is approximately four times lower than the historical average of 1.7, indicating that Bitcoin is currently in an undervalued range. However, this indicator has not yet fallen into negative territory, which means that the market has not yet experienced the "capitulation" typically associated with cycle bottoms.Meanwhile, the Bitcoin 7-day realized profit and loss (Realized P/L) has turned positive from negative, currently at about $239 million, showing that on-chain selling pressure has eased. Analysts believe that the market is currently in a phase of undervaluation and short-term stabilization, but there are no signs of capitulation needed to confirm a cycle bottom, nor is there a clear new round of demand-driven momentum.

According to unfolded citing ARK data, the one-year actual volatility of Bitcoin was close to 42% at the end of the second quarter. Despite the weak price, it is still near multi-year lows.This indicates that the asset is maturing or that volatility is being suppressed; low volatility typically signals a surge in volatility after a catalyst appears.

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, DEXE reached an all-time high of $49.432 on July 12, began to decline on July 13, and on July 21, the maximum single-day drop reached 88%, with the price falling from $46.93 to $5.648; within 11 days, the decline reached 96.8%, with the price dropping from $49.423 to $1.56.Ai Yi stated that the large capital flows on-chain are primarily from CEX hot wallets, and no anomalies were found except for Ceffu. The custody platform Ceffu has cumulatively transferred 797,900 DEXE to Binance since July 13, divided into 6 transactions, with a total value of $6.15 million, making it the only entity outside of exchanges to transfer over a million dollars in this token.Ai Yi mentioned that due to the Ceffu MirrorX mechanism, DEXE held in Ceffu will generate a 1:1 mirrored position on the exchange, and on-chain asset transfers will be automatically settled afterward; if this mechanism is used for pre-trading, the 797,900 DEXE would correspond to an actual value of $39.44 million. Ai Yi further stated that public information does not show that the DEXE project party has entrusted the tokens to Ceffu, with most tokens stored in the DAO treasury and team-related lock-up contracts; in the official DEXE partnership list, Falcon has supported DEXE as collateral assets for the platform, and Falcon's asset custody institution includes Ceffu, and Falcon Finance is associated with DWF Labs, which is also on the DEXE partner list. Ai Yi stated that the above conclusions are drawn based on on-chain data and public clues, and does not rule out the possibility of related situations involving the project party or other market makers.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the fund flow of spot Bitcoin ETFs over the past 30 days has seen a net outflow of approximately $2.1 billion, and the new demand from Strategy and other Bitcoin treasury companies has been close to zero for several weeks.He estimates that the monthly demand from treasury companies reached about $6.6 billion in August 2025, when BTC was around $115,000, while the current BTC is about $65,000, and the related demand has basically disappeared.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that Bitcoin's current MVRV percentile is around the 5th percentile—meaning that historically, 95% of the time, this metric has been higher than it is now. This indicates that the Bitcoin price is currently in a very low range relative to its historical levels. MVRV is an indicator that measures the relationship between Bitcoin's market capitalization and its "realized value" (the price at which each BTC last moved).The method used by Darkfost does not simply look at raw values but ranks the current MVRV within historical data to assess the current price's relative position in history. Previously, in February, when BTC fell below $60,000, this metric dropped below 10%, and it has entered a similar range again since June. Historical data shows that these periods often correspond to long-term bottom ranges.

According to Jinshi reports, the Iranian Fars News Agency quoted sources on the 19th stating that the shipping volume in the Strait of Hormuz has dropped to zero, and as long as the United States continues its provocative actions, the strait will remain closed.Currently, no vessels are passing through the Strait of Hormuz, and any attempts to cross the strait will be met with Iranian retaliation.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the Bitcoin bear market has lasted for about 9 months, affecting both short-term and long-term holders. The cost basis of short-term holders has fallen below that of long-term holders and has been confirmed for 3 days, triggering a "bear market nearing its end" signal. This indicator excludes BTC held for more than 7 years when calculating the cost basis of long-term holders to more accurately reflect the economically active long-term positions.Darkfost emphasized that this signal does not mean the bear market is immediately over, nor does it indicate that the market bottom has been established; rather, it suggests that the market may be entering the final phase of the bear market, during which adopting a dollar-cost averaging strategy may be more reasonable. He stated that if the cost basis of short-term holders subsequently breaks back above the cost basis of long-term holders, it can be seen as a confirmation signal for the beginning of a bull market phase and can serve as a reference for ending dollar-cost averaging. Currently, the cost basis of short-term holders has fallen from $112,500 to $69,000.

According to South Korean media Digital Asset, the total trading volume of the top 5 digital asset exchanges in South Korea dropped to approximately 8.06 trillion won from 2 PM on July 9 to 2 PM on July 16, further declining from the previous week and reaching the lowest level in nearly 3 years and 2 months.Data shows that the weekly trading volume of the top 5 exchanges in South Korea has been declining for several weeks, dropping from 17.7 trillion won from June 5 to June 12, to 15.4 trillion won, 14.6 trillion won, 13.4 trillion won, and 9.97 trillion won, with the latest week further falling to 8.06 trillion won, the lowest since 8.44 trillion won recorded from May 11 to May 18, 2023.In terms of exchange market share, the rankings have not changed, with Upbit continuing to hold the top position at 63.57%, but down 0.63 percentage points from the previous week; Bithumb rose to 29.18%, Coinone rose to 6.41%, while Korbit and Gopax accounted for 0.76% and 0.07%, respectively.

According to The Defiant, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has changed his X platform avatar to a newly purchased CryptoPunk, after which the meme coin BRIAN, driven by the change in his avatar, significantly retraced. In the past 24 hours, the market capitalization of this token has dropped by about 86%, falling to approximately $1.5 million; during the same period, its trading volume in about 30 Uniswap liquidity pools was approximately $13.2 million, with total liquidity around $561,000.The report pointed out that Brian Armstrong had changed his X avatar to the "Coinbase Man" image corresponding to BRIAN on July 16, and posted "New profile photo - who dis," which the market initially interpreted as a signal of interest in the token, driving BRIAN to rise rapidly. The report emphasized that BRIAN is a community-created token, and Brian Armstrong is not the issuer and has not claimed any official association with it.

According to the Dune dashboard, competition among token launch platforms on the Robinhood Chain is intensifying. On July 16, the total number of new tokens added across the entire chain reached 42,709, with pons.family leading at 11,547 tokens, followed closely by flap.sh with 9,935 tokens, and hood.fun launching 6,471 tokens.In terms of trading volume, as of July 15, noxa.fun held a 43.0% market share among launch platforms on the Robinhood Chain, followed by pons.family at 37.4%, flap.sh at 5.8%, and clanker.world and bankr.bot at 3.3% and 2.3%, respectively.From the current data, the launch platforms on the Robinhood Chain are forming a pattern where "pons.family leads in the number of tokens launched, and noxa.fun dominates in trading volume."

According to the latest stock derivatives exchange ranking data from RootData, as of the time of publication, Binance, MEXC, and Bitget are in the top three. This list is based on comprehensive scoring of exchanges supporting stock derivatives trading, considering dimensions such as trading volume, open interest, spreads, depth, trading costs, and data collectability. Among them:Binance scored 91.6, supports 130 contracts, with an open interest of approximately $2.326 billion (-51.55%), and a 24h trading volume of approximately $16.392 billion (-22.63%), with a funding rate of +0.0003%.MEXC scored 91.3, supports 43 contracts, with an open interest of approximately $109 million (-0.55%), and a 24h trading volume of approximately $304 million (+18.93%), with a funding rate of +0.001%.Bitget scored 90.6, supports 233 contracts, with an open interest of approximately $733 million (-35.27%), and a 24h trading volume of approximately $1.711 billion (-34.64%), with a funding rate of +0.001%.Compared to yesterday, MEXC's ranking has jumped to second place, Binance's open interest has decreased by 51.55%, and Bitget's open interest has decreased by 35.27%.

According to the latest stock derivatives exchange ranking data from RootData, Binance, Bitget, and Bybit are in the top three. This list is based on a comprehensive scoring of exchanges supporting stock derivatives, considering dimensions such as trading volume, open interest, spreads, depth, trading costs, and data collectability, among others:Binance scored 91.7, supporting 130 contracts, with a position size of approximately $4.733 billion, a 24h trading volume of approximately $20.863 billion, and a funding rate of +0.0002%.Bitget scored 90.7, supporting 233 contracts, with a position size of approximately $1.128 billion, a 24h trading volume of approximately $2.507 billion, and a funding rate of 0%.Bybit scored 90.2, supporting 98 contracts, with a position size of approximately $80.4994 million, a 24h trading volume of approximately $767 million, and a funding rate of +0.0001%.In the past week, OKX's ranking has dropped two positions, from second to fourth; Bitget has risen from third to second and maintained that position; Bybit has risen from fourth to third.

According to Jinshi, the Bank of America fund manager survey shows that cash levels have dropped from 4.1% to a "very low" level of 3.6%, triggering a sell signal under Bank of America's cash rule.

According to GMGN market data, the Meme coin CASHCAT on the Robinhood Chain has dropped 30.47% in the last 24 hours, with a current market value of 147 million USD.