expectation

4E: Expectations for interest rate cuts in June heat up, US stocks surge, and the crypto market fluctuates slightly

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, Federal Reserve officials have consecutively expressed support for an earlier rate cut, boosting market sentiment. The U.S. stock market continues its upward momentum, with all three major indices closing higher. The Nasdaq performed particularly strongly, rising by 2.74%, marking the first time since May 2001 that it has recorded three consecutive days of gains exceeding 2%. The S&P 500 rose by 2.03%, while the Dow Jones, affected by some blue-chip earnings reports, had a relatively modest increase of 1.23%. The technology sector led the gains, with the "seven sisters" of technology averaging an increase of about 3%.The cryptocurrency market is experiencing volatile consolidation, with Bitcoin hovering above $93,000. Spot ETFs have seen net inflows for four consecutive days, indicating a noticeable rebound in investor confidence towards risk assets. Ethereum has retreated from $1,800, with spot ETFs showing net outflows again. Other major altcoins have generally fluctuated slightly, with the layer 2 sector leading the gains. The continuous rise over several days has kept market sentiment soaring, re-entering the "greed" zone.The forex and commodity markets are showing a mixed performance. Under pressure from rate cut expectations, the U.S. dollar index fell by 0.47%; the weakness of the dollar boosted oil prices, with crude oil fluctuating upward, and WTI rising over 0.83%; gold prices rebounded, returning to above $3,300, with spot gold rising by 1.77%, reported at $3,346.As several Federal Reserve officials publicly hinted at a possible rate cut in June, the impact of Trump’s tariffs has temporarily faded, leading to a general market rise. The next Federal Reserve meeting is scheduled for May 6 to 7. According to CME Group's FedWatch data, investors generally believe that there will be no change in May, with the probability of a rate cut in June rising to 58%.

4E: Expectations of trade easing ignite the market, with US stocks and the crypto market soaring

ChainCatcher news reports that according to 4E monitoring, Trump made remarks on Tuesday indicating a softening of tariff policies, stating that the tariffs on China are too high and that a significant reduction in rates is expected. With optimistic expectations for China-U.S. tariff negotiations, global trade tensions eased, boosting risk sentiment and leading to a surge in U.S. stocks. The S&P 500 rose by 2.5%, the Dow Jones increased by 2.66%, and the Nasdaq climbed by 2.71%. Major tech stocks recovered from the previous day's losses, with the seven giants index rising by 2.84%.The cryptocurrency market saw a collective rise, with Bitcoin continuing its strong performance. After breaking through the $90,000 mark last night, it accelerated its rise and, following Trump's retraction of his earlier threat to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, it briefly approached $94,000 this morning, reaching a new high since early March, currently reported at $93,063, with a daily increase of 5.6%. Ethereum reversed its recent downturn, surging by 14% and breaking through $1,800. The altcoin market also rose collectively, with the total cryptocurrency market capitalization increasing by 5.4%.In the forex commodities market, the U.S. dollar index rebounded significantly by 0.65%, and international crude oil rose nearly 2%; as risk appetite improved, international gold prices, which had reached new highs for several consecutive days, retraced some gains, with spot gold down 1.25%.Trump's remarks on tariff softening and his moderate stance on Powell shifted the investment atmosphere from previous concerns to optimism. Moving forward, the progress of trade negotiations and the direction of Federal Reserve monetary policy will become the focus of attention.
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