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According to Cointelegraph, during the US-Iran conflict, UAE investors chose to buy the dip in AI and digital assets rather than reducing their overall positions.eToro data shows that in the first quarter, UAE users increased their holdings in several software and AI infrastructure stocks that had significantly pulled back in price. eToro market analyst Josh Gilbert stated that the behavior of UAE investors is driven by long-term themes rather than risk aversion, with the most obvious signals appearing in the AI infrastructure and software sector—ServiceNow (+125%), Super Micro Computer (+65%), Adobe (+54%), and Oracle (+38%) all saw significant increases in holdings against a backdrop of market pressure.In terms of crypto assets, Strategy Inc. remains the eighth highest held stock by UAE investors, indicating a continued allocation to crypto-related assets. Deutsche Bank's report on April 13 indicated that this conflict is more likely to strengthen rather than weaken the region's demand for AI, cybersecurity, and sovereign digital infrastructure; however, it also cited reports that the Amazon Web Services data centers in the UAE and Bahrain have been attacked, and the planned 1GW Stargate park in Abu Dhabi is also under threat.The report also noted that sovereign wealth funds in the Gulf region manage approximately $5 trillion in assets by 2025, with Abu Dhabi-related institutions being one of the most active sources of funding in the global AI sector. Local crypto businesses in Dubai are operating normally. HashKey MENA Managing Director Ben El-Baz told Cointelegraph that business remains normal, relying on cloud trading and custody systems; Binance also confirmed that the vast majority of employees chose to stay, but the Token2049 Dubai event has been postponed to 2027.The Dubai Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) continues to advance its activity-type regulatory framework. VARA Market Assurance Director Sean McHugh stated that during times of pressure, serious market participants seek the clearest regulatory environment rather than the most lenient jurisdictions.

According to Bloomberg, the top derivatives regulator in the United States is investigating a series of "exceptionally timed" crude oil futures trades that occurred before Trump's recent adjustments to Iran war policy. According to informed sources, the investigation has been initiated.The U.S. CFTC is leading the investigation into crude oil futures contract trades conducted on the CME Group and Intercontinental Exchange platforms. Informed sources stated that they requested anonymity due to the information not being public.Currently, both trading platforms have been asked to submit relevant trading data to the regulators to cooperate with the investigation.

According to Jinshi reports, market news suggests that the United States and Iran are reportedly considering extending the ceasefire for two weeks.

According to Xinhua News Agency, the spokesperson for the Iranian Foreign Ministry said that the United States proposed a package plan to Iran and hoped that Iran would "accept it in full." The U.S. knows very well that "this is impossible," and it does not conform to the logic of negotiation and dialogue. The spokesperson stated that Iran had previously submitted 10 ceasefire terms to the U.S. through Pakistan in response to the so-called U.S. ceasefire "15-point plan."The spokesperson said that with the participation of countries along the Persian Gulf, Iran is fully capable of ensuring the security of the Middle East, provided that the U.S. stops military intervention and war provocations. Any intervention from outside the region will only complicate the issues further. Many European countries are wise to "avoid falling into the U.S. military trap."

According to Jinshi citing CCTV reports, U.S. President Trump stated in an interview broadcast on April 15 local time that he believes the war with Iran is "about to end," but also warned that the war could last until the midterm elections in November.Trump again threatened to attack Iranian civilian infrastructure, but at the same time expressed that he "hopes it won't escalate to that point."

According to QCP Group analysis, BTC followed the overnight rebound of risk assets, rising to the mid-range of $74,000, triggered by the news of a preliminary framework agreement between the U.S. and Iran. However, long-term yields remained almost unchanged, gold maintained high levels, and the bond market did not follow suit, indicating that this rebound is merely a relief from headline risks rather than a substantive geopolitical resolution.The core contradiction lies in the uranium enrichment issue—Iran is currently enriching at 60%, while the U.S. demands a reduction to below 20%. Iran has yet to signal any compromise, and this issue has been unresolved since 2015. In terms of market structure, BTC spot is slowly rising against a backdrop of negative funding rates and low open interest, showing that shorts are still resisting and pushing for a short squeeze, but the options market has failed to confirm a breakout—short-term ATM volatility remains around 40, and one-month volatility is still lower than three-month volatility, with demand for downside protection still stronger than the willingness to chase upside.On the macro level, the Federal Reserve's net rate cut space for this year is close to zero, and liquidity conditions remain tight. QCP believes that this round of market activity is essentially a geopolitical-driven relief rebound rather than a fundamental shift in the macro landscape, and the market needs to be wary of the risk of a pullback after the rebound.

U.S. President Trump told the New York Post that negotiations regarding Iran "may take place in Pakistan within the next two days," and we are more "inclined" to hold the negotiations on the Iran issue in Pakistan.

According to on-chain analysis platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), a newly created wallet (bullseye123) spent $40,000 betting on the prediction market Polymarket that Trump will announce the end of the US-Iran ceasefire agreement before April 15 or 18. Currently, this position has an unrealized loss of about $34,000, with a loss rate of 85%.

According to Jinshi reports, U.S. President Trump stated that the Iranian navy has sunk to the bottom of the sea, completely annihilated (a total of 158 ships). What we have not yet targeted are their few so-called "fast attack boats," because we believe they do not pose much of a threat. Warning: If any of these boats approach our blockade line, we will immediately eliminate them, using the same lethal methods we apply when striking drug trafficking vessels at sea.What we have not yet targeted are their few so-called "fast attack boats," because we believe they do not pose much of a threat. This will be

According to Jinshi reports, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu stated at a government meeting that the ceasefire with Iran may end soon.He claimed that U.S. Vice President Vance indicated that the main issue between the U.S. and Iran currently is the removal of enriched uranium.

On the 12th, Iranian Islamic Parliament member Seyyed Mahmoud Nabaviyan, who is participating in negotiations between the U.S. and Iran, posted on social media listing three "excessive demands" made by the U.S., which he later deleted.These three points are: the U.S. demands to jointly share the benefits of the Strait of Hormuz with Iran; the U.S. demands that all 60% enriched uranium be removed from Iran; the U.S. demands that Iran not engage in uranium enrichment activities for the next 20 years.

According to Jinshi reports, the failure of peace negotiations between the United States and Iran has led the bond market to focus on inflation issues and strengthened expectations that interest rates will remain high. Investors in the U.S. Treasury market face the risk that rising energy costs may exacerbate price pressures, delaying the Federal Reserve's rate cut actions.Last Friday, the monthly increase in the U.S. March CPI reached its highest level since 2022, prompting the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to exceed 4.3%, with yields further rising by 3 basis points on Monday to reach 4.35%.

According to CCTV news reports, Iran stated that the U.S. Navy destroyers "Frank E. Peterson" and "Michael Murphy" attempted to "infiltrate" the Strait of Hormuz the previous day, and indicated that the U.S. warships used the cover of the ceasefire conditions to create false propaganda of "successful passage" and to influence the ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations.Iran claimed that the two warships attempted to disguise themselves as Omani merchant vessels sailing off the southern coast of Oman, choosing a dangerous route that was very close to the coast and had a shallow draft, hoping to enter the Persian Gulf through "covert" movements and the "negligence" of the Iranian military during the ceasefire. The Iranian Navy ultimately intercepted them at the entrance to the Persian Gulf. The two destroyers were forced to withdraw to the Oman Sea without being able to enter the Strait of Hormuz.

According to CCTV news reports, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy released drone surveillance footage, emphasizing that all ship activities in the Strait of Hormuz are under the strict monitoring and complete control of its armed forces.The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning stating, "Any erroneous action will plunge the enemy into a deadly vortex in the strait."

According to Jinshi citing Xinhua News Agency, U.S. President Trump issued a new threat to Iran, stating, "At the appropriate time, we will be fully 'prepared,' and our military will end the remnants of Iran's forces."

Trump posted on Truth Social that the meeting went very smoothly, and most of the content reached a consensus, but the only truly important issue—the nuclear issue—was not resolved.Starting today, the most elite U.S. Navy will begin to blockade all ships attempting to enter or exit the Strait of Hormuz. We will eventually achieve a situation where "all ships can enter and exit," but Iran has obstructed this process by claiming "there may be mines somewhere," which only they know about. This is extortion on a global scale, and world leaders, especially U.S. leaders, will never yield to such extortion.I have instructed the Navy to search for and intercept all ships that pay tolls to Iran in international waters. Anyone who illegally pays tolls will not be able to safely navigate the high seas. We will also begin to destroy the mines that Iran has laid in the strait. Any Iranian who dares to fire upon us or peaceful vessels will be blown to smithereens! Iran knows better than anyone how to end this crisis that has already destroyed their country.Their navy is gone, their air force is gone, their air defense systems and radar are virtually non-existent, Khomeini and most of their "leaders" are dead, all stemming from their nuclear ambitions. The blockade is about to begin. Other countries will also participate. We will never allow Iran to profit from this illegal extortion. They want money, and more importantly, they want nuclear weapons. Furthermore, at the right moment, we are fully prepared, and our military will completely destroy what remains of Iran!