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Bitget, in collaboration with Reality and Keyring, released a research report and plans to launch the first on-chain stock basis trading strategy

Bitget, in collaboration with Reality and Keyring, has released a research report exploring the synergy mechanisms of tokenized stocks, perpetual contracts, and decentralized lending, and evaluating the potential returns and risks of related strategies through simulation calculations. The report points out that the application of tokenized stocks is extending from traditional stock trading to more scenarios such as collateralized lending, asset management, and systematic investment strategies.The research is based on Reality's rToken, combined with stock perpetual contract hedging and on-chain lending mechanisms, to explore stock basis yield strategies. Historical simulation data shows that from December 15, 2025, to October 19, 2026, the annualized net return of the strategy index is approximately 7% and 4% for in-sample and out-of-sample, respectively, with a gross funding cost rate premium of about 11% to 14%. The report also notes that financing costs, transaction execution fees, market liquidity, and risk management are key factors affecting the actual returns of the strategy.It is reported that Bitget and Keyring plan to jointly develop a stock basis index and build an on-chain lending market based on Reality's rToken. Among them, Reality provides exposure to tokenized stock assets, while Keyring is responsible for developing the index methodology and constructing the related lending market. The index aims to capture funding rate and basis yield opportunities by combining rToken holdings with corresponding stock perpetual contract hedging positions, providing new strategic pathways for the application of tokenized stocks in on-chain financial scenarios.

Bloomberg BI: By 2030, China will lead the world in 8 key areas including AI large models

Bloomberg Intelligence released a report on October 28, stating that by 2030, China will be globally leading in 8 out of 17 key industries, including large language models (LLM), which are core to artificial intelligence. The report, led by Francis Chan, assesses that the U.S. and China are moving towards "AI joint leadership," with neither side likely to achieve a comprehensive advantage.The report lists the 8 areas where China is expected to lead: LLM, optical communication transceiver modules, humanoid robots, general commercial vessels, autonomous and connected vehicles, energy storage, green hydrogen, and biopharmaceutical CDMO. On the hardware side, China currently lags in chip design, foundry, memory, and device materials, but the report predicts that by 2030, it will be globally competitive, although complete self-sufficiency remains challenging. The report also notes that the U.S. may maintain a slight edge in model development, while China holds a favorable position in software optimization and low-cost AI implementation.The report also highlights risks: Chinese AI companies face intense price competition, and profitability will need to wait until pricing strategies become more rational. Additionally, trade barriers and export restrictions are more likely to alter the geographical landscape of China's industrial expansion rather than halt it.

Wintermute: Bitcoin has fallen for the third consecutive week, with $80,000 becoming a key support level

Market maker Wintermute stated that Bitcoin fell 2.43% last week, marking its third consecutive week of losses, dropping below the support level of $82,500 and testing the $80,000 mark again. Macroeconomically, rising energy prices and inflation concerns are replacing AI financing issues as the main risks in the market. Bitcoin's recent movements are highly correlated with the Nasdaq and AI-related stocks, and ETF fund flows have begun to fluctuate in both directions.Wintermute indicated that the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and policy statements will be important short-term catalysts. If it fails to hold above $80,000, the next key support level is $76,000; if it effectively breaks below this, the price may further explore the $70,000 range. In the short term, it needs to regain the $82,000 to $82,500 range to have a chance of restoring an upward trend. If the Federal Reserve leans hawkish, the market may reassess the expectations for a rate hike in December, raising investment yields and increasing downward pressure on Bitcoin; if it leaves room for a December decision, it may create conditions for a rebound.The institution stated that before the Federal Reserve's decision and the release of the U.S. third-quarter GDP and September PCE, market directional confidence is insufficient, and caution will be maintained. If the Federal Reserve leans dovish but the PCE is higher than expected, the market may sell off tech stocks due to inflation pressure, dragging down Bitcoin. Wintermute emphasized that it is not clearly bearish at the moment, but remains cautious until Bitcoin regains the $82,500 level.

Analyst: In each U.S. midterm election cycle, Bitcoin has shown a significant pullback, and attention should be paid to the key support level of $73,000

Cryptocurrency analyst Ali Charts stated that as the U.S. midterm elections on November 3 approach, investors may overlook the recurring phenomenon of Bitcoin pullbacks observed in previous election cycles. He believes that this election may once again be accompanied by significant volatility, and the downside risk is worth noting, with a key focus on the lower price level of $73,000. According to his statistics, during the U.S. midterm election cycles in 2010, 2014, 2018, and 2022, Bitcoin experienced pullbacks of 72%, 65%, 52%, and 27%, respectively.However, he emphasized that correlation does not imply causation; the election itself may not necessarily be the reason for the decline, as these pullbacks are also influenced by the overall market cycle of Bitcoin, liquidity conditions, and investor sentiment. Fourth-quarter returns also exhibit similar characteristics: in 2014, 2018, and 2022, Bitcoin fell by 16.7%, 42.16%, and 14.75% in the fourth quarter, respectively. The only exception was in 2010, when it rose by 391%, but Bitcoin was still in its early development stage at that time. Therefore, in the past four midterm election years, three of those years recorded negative returns in the fourth quarter.Regarding the subsequent trend, Ali Charts indicated that the area around $73,000 is close to the average purchase cost of current short-term Bitcoin holders, which can be used to observe the positions of recent investors entering the market. He pointed out that in an established bull market, Bitcoin often finds support near the cost of short-term holders after experiencing a significant pullback. He believes that if selling pressure accelerates after the election on November 3, pushing Bitcoin back down to around $73,000, that area will become an important position to test whether buyers are still willing to maintain the overall bullish trend. If the price continues to rebound from that area, it will strengthen the bullish judgment; in terms of operations, he will wait for signs of selling pressure exhaustion and renewed demand before considering establishing long positions.
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