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Gate Ventures: AI and prediction markets attract capital, institutional funds continue to increase investment in on-chain infrastructure

According to the latest weekly report from Gate Ventures, the global market experienced a corrective rebound last week driven by easing geopolitical tensions. The U.S. stock market recovered from its intra-week losses, but the Federal Reserve maintained a hawkish stance, with CPI rising to 4.2%, further strengthening market expectations for sustained high interest rates. The cryptocurrency market also warmed up, with BTC and ETH rising 3.8% and 2.1% respectively, but spot ETF funds continued to see net outflows.On the industry front, AI, prediction markets, and institutional-level infrastructure became the focus of market attention. The decentralized AI project Bittensor (TAO) rose 31.5% in a single week; the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) proposed a regulatory framework for sports event contracts, providing clearer regulatory expectations for the development of the prediction market industry; LG Group and Arbitrum jointly explored blockchain advertising network applications, further expanding Web3 commercialization scenarios.In terms of investment and financing, a total of 9 transactions were disclosed last week with a total financing amount of $584.6 million. Among them, Digital Asset completed $355 million in financing, accelerating the application of Canton Network in the capital market; Morpho secured $175 million in financing to promote the construction of on-chain credit networks; and prediction market infrastructure provider EDGE Markets completed $29.2 million in financing.

BlackRock stated that $9 trillion in cash is accelerating the return to risk assets, and multiple events this week may amplify market volatility

Rick Rieder, Chief Investment Officer of Global Fixed Income at BlackRock, stated that after the U.S. and Iran reached a peace arrangement, approximately $8 trillion to $9 trillion in funds sitting in money market funds are accelerating their return to risk assets, and he mentioned that this process could have an "explosive" effect. Driven by the return of funds, U.S. stocks and U.S. bonds rose simultaneously on Monday, while oil prices fell due to expectations of a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.Rieder believes that current liquidity is spreading from low-risk instruments to a broader range of assets, and he expects that the new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh may pay more attention to balance sheet and money supply management, rather than solely relying on short-term interest rate tools. Meanwhile, the derivatives market is set to face a busy event window. Due to the June holiday market closure, this week's "Triple Witching" has been moved up to Thursday, combined with the quarterly rebalancing of the S&P 500, increasing volatility risk in U.S. stocks. Additionally, options related to SpaceX are expected to begin trading on Tuesday. Market participants believe that driven by retail investor funds, related contracts may heat up quickly, potentially leading to a "gamma squeeze" triggered by concentrated buying of call options.Brent Kochuba, founder of SpotGamma, warned that against the backdrop of a continuous rise in U.S. stocks since April, the pressure on market makers to hedge is accumulating. If Warsh releases signals that exceed expectations during his first press conference, the market has almost no buffer space to absorb the shock. The quarterly adjustments to the S&P 500 index will also take effect after the close on Thursday, with Marvell Technology (MRVL) and Flex (FLEX) being added to the index, while Pool (POOL) and Campbell's (CPB) will be removed.

OmenX: Popular teams in the World Cup collectively lose points, the sports prediction market enters a risk management scenario

The World Cup group stage continues today, with several matches producing results that were unexpected in the pre-match market. Spain drew 0-0 with Cape Verde, Belgium drew 1-1 with Egypt, Uruguay drew 1-1 with Saudi Arabia, and Iran drew 2-2 with New Zealand. Many teams that were considered likely to win before the matches failed to secure victories, leading to significant fluctuations in the related prediction markets.Base's native leveraged prediction market OmenX indicates that as the World Cup schedule enters a dense phase, sports prediction markets are no longer just one-way bets on popular outcomes; in-match fluctuations, upset results, and position management are becoming important scenarios for user trading. For users who already hold high-probability positions on platforms like Polymarket, OmenX's leveraged prediction market can be used to open similar or opposite positions with smaller amounts of capital, allowing for hedging and risk management as uncertainty in the events rises.OmenX data shows that in the past 24 hours, the trading volume in World Cup-related prediction markets approached $8 million, with single match outcomes, championship titles, and popular team-related markets being the main trading directions. As several popular outcomes failed to materialize, the demand for trading around position protection, in-match adjustments, and result repricing continues to rise.
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