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Polymarket shows that the probability of "Powell resigning from the Federal Reserve Board before May 30" has plummeted to 9%, a 25% drop in 24 hours; the probability of "Powell resigning from the Federal Reserve Board before December 31" has fallen to 66%, an 11% drop in 24 hours. The event contract rules state that if Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is no longer a member of the Federal Reserve Board at any time during the specified date (11:59 PM Eastern Time), it will be determined as "yes"; otherwise, it will be determined as "no."If Powell no longer serves as Federal Reserve Chairman but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board, it does not meet the criteria for a "yes" determination. The determination is based on information released by the U.S. government, but consensus from credible reports can also serve as a basis. Powell stated at a press conference this morning that he will continue to serve as a Federal Reserve Board member "for a while" after stepping down as chairman and promised to "keep a low profile." U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen responded that "if Powell remains a Federal Reserve Board member, it would be unusual; for someone who has always emphasized norms, his unilateral decision runs counter to tradition."Polymarket continues to monitor the prediction market and sees changes before pricing.

Samsung Electronics' operating profit in the first quarter increased by 756.1% year-on-year, reaching 57.23 trillion won (approximately 38.5 billion USD), setting a new quarterly record. The chip business contributed the majority of the earnings, while revenue grew by 69.2% year-on-year, reaching 133.87 trillion won, and net profit increased by 474.3%, reaching 47.23 trillion won. The Device Solutions division (responsible for its semiconductor business) achieved revenue of 81.7 trillion won, with operating profit reaching 53.7 trillion won.These results far exceeded market expectations. According to data from financial data provider FnGuide, local brokerages had generally expected revenue of 117.13 trillion won and operating profit of 38.12 trillion won over the past month. Samsung Electronics' latest quarterly revenue and operating profit both surpassed the record highs set in the previous quarter (93.84 trillion won and 20.07 trillion won, respectively).

The probability of "Printr public sale raising over $4 million" on Polymarket has dropped to 63%, falling over 30% within the day, with a trading volume of nearly $3.26 million.Printr is a cross-chain token issuance platform that supports users and AI agents in issuing, trading, and staking tokens in a multi-chain environment. It has currently been deployed on 8 blockchains, including Solana, Base, BNB Chain, and Ethereum, and offers features such as customizable fee structures, cross-chain trading, and staking incentive mechanisms. Data shows that the project has currently raised over $2.46 million, with about 35 hours remaining until the fundraising ends.

According to Jinshi reports, Citic Securities' research report indicates that after Waller takes office as the Federal Reserve Chairman, the baseline scenario for the second half of the year is expected to include one rate cut of 25 basis points. The report emphasizes the need to closely monitor the speeches of the 12 current voting members, as the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path depends more on the balance of votes among FOMC members, and the guiding role of the Federal Reserve Chairman's personal speeches on the market has decreased compared to the past.

According to Jinshi reports, market pricing shows that after Federal Reserve officials issued some hawkish signals, Wall Street traders are betting that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this year has risen to 11%, up from 5% earlier that day and 0% on Tuesday. The possibility of a rate cut hovers around 2%.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the labor market may still be slightly cooling.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that he does not believe the labor market is the source of inflation.

According to Jinshi reports, the Federal Reserve has kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.5%-3.75%, marking the third consecutive meeting of inaction, which aligns with market expectations.

Coinbase and Glassnode's latest global investor survey shows that over 70% of cryptocurrency investors believe Bitcoin is currently undervalued, with 82% of institutional investors and 70% of non-institutional investors thinking the market is in the "late bear market" or "value retracement phase." The survey covered a total of 91 global investors, including 29 institutions and 62 non-institutional investors.The data indicates that about 75% of institutional investors and 61% of non-institutional investors believe BTC is undervalued, with only a few respondents thinking the price is overvalued. On-chain data also signals a tendency towards the bottom area. CryptoQuant analyst Woominkyu's Bitcoin Combined Market Index (BCMI) recently rose from 0.26 to 0.37; this index combines MVRV, NUPL, SOPR, and market sentiment, and historically corresponds to a phase of deep undervaluation for Bitcoin. Additionally, the realized market cap ratio of short-term holders from 1 week to 1 month has dropped to 3.91%, close to the level when Bitcoin was around $27,000 in October 2023. Analysts believe this indicates a significant decline in market speculation activity, suggesting that Bitcoin may be entering a "value accumulation range."

The RWA tokenization protocol KAIO officially announces the launch of its governance token KAIO, with a fixed total supply of 10 billion tokens, and simultaneously establishes the KAIO Foundation, responsible for ecological governance, treasury management, and protocol development.KAIO is incubated by Nomura Group's digital asset division Laser Digital and has received strategic investments from institutions such as Tether (the world's largest stablecoin issuer), BH Digital Assets, and Further. The platform currently has 5 institutional-grade funds launched, with a TVL of approximately 100 million USD, spanning over 10 blockchains. The supported asset managers include BlackRock, Brevan Howard, Hamilton Lane, and Laser Digital, with a collaboration with Mubadala Capital set to be announced soon.In terms of token distribution, the community and liquidity incentives account for the highest proportion at 37.5%; the foundation holds 17%; the team, investors, and Pre-TGE sales collectively account for 45.5%, with a lock-up ratio of zero on the day of TGE. Unlocking has a cliff period of 6 to 12 months, followed by monthly linear releases, with a maximum period of up to 60 months.The core uses of the token include: access to protocol products, participation in staking to earn rewards, and governance voting rights on key protocol decisions and treasury allocations. The protocol will generate revenue by charging basis points on tokenized assets, but token holders do not have statutory rights to fee distribution. The KASH product aimed at retail users is planned to launch in the second quarter of 2026, aiming to provide ordinary users with exposure to RWA returns.

According to Crowdfund Insider, Ripple and the digital asset trading platform Bullish announced an expansion of their long-term partnership, with Bullish's Bitcoin options market opening to Ripple Prime institutional clients.According to the announcement from both parties, this integration will allow Ripple Prime users to directly access Bullish's regulated BTC options market. Bullish stated that its platform is currently the second largest cryptocurrency settlement Bitcoin options market in the world by open interest and supports spot, perpetual contracts, and futures trading.In addition, both parties revealed that OKX has reached a strategic partnership with Ripple to introduce the stablecoin RLUSD (Ripple USD) in the compliant market. Ripple Prime, as one of the largest non-bank prime brokers globally, has exceeded a clearing scale of $30 trillion in 2025 and can provide multi-asset brokerage, clearing, and financing services.

According to Jinshi reports, Kalshi's prediction market pricing shows that the market currently believes there is only about a 50% chance of the Federal Reserve making a rate cut before 2027, a significant drop compared to the 80%-90% probability earlier this year. As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds its meeting, the market is actually pricing in a "high interest rate maintained for a longer time" rate environment, indicating a lack of confidence in recent monetary policy easing.

According to The Block, Bitcoin maintained a volatile consolidation above $77,000 on Wednesday, with the market adopting a cautious stance ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. This FOMC meeting is seen as a critical juncture, with the market generally expecting interest rates to remain unchanged, but the real focus is whether Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will signal a "higher-for-longer" hawkish stance. Additionally, this meeting may also be his last as Chairman of the Federal Reserve, with the market pricing in uncertainties regarding policy and potential power transition.Overall, Bitcoin remains in a "low liquidity + high event risk" structure, and is likely to oscillate within the $72,000 to $80,000 range in the short term, awaiting further clarity on the Federal Reserve's policy path.

According to CoinDesk, Securitize, a tokenization platform supported by BlackRock, announced a partnership with global stock transfer agent giant Computershare, allowing U.S. listed companies to issue on-chain tokenized equity (Issuer-Sponsored Tokens, ISTs) outside of the existing stock system.Under the plan, investors will have the option to hold shares through traditional securities accounts or directly hold corresponding on-chain equity assets through digital wallets. Computershare will continue to act as the transfer agent, responsible for managing shareholder registries, dividend distributions, and handling corporate actions such as stock splits.Reports indicate that the core of this structure is to avoid the common "wrapped shares" model found in the traditional crypto market. Unlike derivative tokens that only represent a claim to shares, ISTs will directly represent real equity ownership, rather than a mapping certificate of off-chain stocks.Carlos Domingo stated that ISTs are not derivatives built on existing stocks, but rather allow U.S. issuers to create real equity directly in token form.Data shows that Computershare currently serves over 25,000 companies and acts as the transfer agent for about 58% of S&P 500 companies. The market believes that this collaboration signifies that blockchain infrastructure is gradually entering the backend system of the core U.S. securities market, which may further promote the on-chain settlement, equity registration, and asset circulation of U.S. stocks.

According to The Block, Standard Chartered's latest report points out that the theft of KelpDAO's rsETH, while causing a severe impact on the DeFi ecosystem, is not enough to change the long-term growth trend of real-world asset (RWA) tokenization.Geoffrey Kendrick, head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered, stated that this incident is more like DeFi being "bent, not broken," and may even become an important turning point for the industry towards a more resilient structure.Standard Chartered maintains its forecast: by the end of 2028, the RWA tokenization market size will grow from $35 billion in October 2025 to $2 trillion, with the core driving force still coming from the continued expansion of the DeFi banking system and stablecoin liquidity.

According to Theblock, despite Robinhood's first-quarter performance falling short of expectations, Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani's team maintains an outperform rating on HOOD with a target price of $130.Analysts pointed out that the weak performance in the first quarter has already been reflected in the stock price. They highlighted that several core metrics of Robinhood remain strong: the margin loan balance reached a record $17 billion (up 93% year-over-year), event contract trading was active in April, predicting the market size is moving towards $3 billion, and Robinhood Gold subscription users increased by 36% year-over-year to 4.34 million.However, the current market shows that Robinhood (HOOD) is down over 10% in pre-market trading.

Caixin published an article titled "SpaceX's $1.75 Trillion IPO is Coming: Who Can Buy and Is It Worth It?" which pointed out that Wall Street has never encountered an IPO of such a massive scale that is also so intricately linked to the U.S. government.Previously, Nasdaq had approved a new rule for "Fast Entry," allowing newly listed companies to be quickly included in the Nasdaq 100 if their market capitalization ranks in the top 40 of the Nasdaq 100 index within 15 trading days after listing. This rule will officially take effect on May 1, 2026, and is considered to be designed with the upcoming SpaceX listing in mind, while also paving the way for potential listings of OpenAI and Anthropic within 2026 or 2027.Assuming SpaceX lists with a valuation of $1.75 trillion and a free float ratio of 25% to 30%, the free float market capitalization on the first day of the IPO would be approximately between $440 billion and $530 billion. Based on the weight calculations for the Nasdaq 100, SpaceX would directly enter the top ten weighted stocks. Market news indicates that S&P 500 is also evaluating some form of "Fast Entry" plan, with details yet to be disclosed.

According to Cointelegraph, Polymarket is in communication with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to seek the reopening of its main platform to U.S. users. If approved, this could mean that the restrictions on U.S. users, which have been in place since its settlement with the CFTC in 2022, may be lifted.The report states that Polymarket has previously made a limited return to the U.S. market through the regulated QCEX framework, and if a full return is achieved, it will further intensify the competitive landscape of prediction markets in the U.S.

The token CAS issued by the Base ecosystem AI project Caspius has been continuously rising since its launch yesterday afternoon, reaching a market cap high of $18 million, currently reported at $16.6 million, with a 24-hour increase of 220%.It is reported that Caspius is an embodied AI data infrastructure project focusing on robot training data.ChainCatcher reminds users that meme coin trading is highly volatile, largely relying on market sentiment and conceptual speculation, with no actual value or use case; investors should be aware of the risks.

Web3 asset data platform RootData has compiled a list of 20 business partners for Kalshi, covering key aspects such as blockchain infrastructure, oracle data, market-making liquidity, compliance and regulation, and transaction distribution. On-chain, Kalshi supports network assets such as Solana, Base, Bitcoin, and BNB Chain, and provides data support through oracles like Pyth Network and RedStone. At the liquidity layer, it brings in traditional market makers like Jump Trading and SIG to participate in price discovery. Simultaneously, Kalshi expands its trading and distribution capabilities through platforms like Coinbase and Robinhood. However, compared to its Web3 partner network, Kalshi's more substantial off-chain capabilities lie in its core competencies built upon compliance, risk control, and financial infrastructure. For example, it facilitates fund access and payment compliance through Plaid and Aeropay, receives market monitoring and risk control support from Solidus Labs, and collaborates with Birches Health to establish a responsible trading mechanism. Overall, Kalshi's structure is not typical of a crypto application, but rather resembles an "event exchange" operating within a regulatory framework: first building financial infrastructure, then selectively integrating Web3 capabilities. This gives it a stronger "traditional financial attribute" compared to other prediction market projects. Related compilation: [Kalshi Web3 Partner Network Compilation (Continuously Updated)] Crypto projects proactively showcasing their partner networks has become a key way to improve transparency and market trust. RootData welcomes Web3 projects to submit their information and continuously tracks and opens more channels for disclosing project business relationships. The platform has already released multiple editions of crypto project ecosystem maps, nominating Web3 ecosystem partners serving upstream clients such as Visa, Mastercard, and Coinbase. If you wish to nominate your project in future ecosystem maps, please fill out the [RootData 2026 Industry Ecosystem Mapping] form to add your key clients and partners.