pmi

According to reports, Google DeepMind co-founder Demis Hassabis recently predicted that artificial general intelligence (AGI) could be achieved in just a few years, with its transformative impact reaching ten times that of the Industrial Revolution, and its development speed accelerating tenfold. He pointed out that as the potential risks of cutting-edge models in areas such as cybersecurity, nuclear energy, and biology become increasingly prominent, the industry urgently needs to establish robust security protections for future AI systems that possess autonomy and self-improvement capabilities.To balance technological innovation and security risks, Hassabis called for the United States to take the lead in establishing a "Frontier AI Standards Agency" similar to the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA). This agency is proposed to operate under a public-private partnership or self-regulatory organization model, managed by independent technical experts and representatives from the open-source community, primarily funded through industry contributions. Its core function is to develop dynamic scientific assessment protocols, initially requiring frontier laboratories to voluntarily submit for review 30 days prior to the release of models, with plans to eventually transition to mandatory market entry testing, while non-frontier models from startups or academic institutions would be exempt. This framework aims to address unknown crises through a technology-driven review mechanism and to promote a global consensus on AI risk management within the international community.

According to Jinshi News, Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, stated that the preliminary PMI index survey data for March indicates concerns over the slowdown in U.S. economic growth and rising inflation. Businesses report that uncertainty from conflicts and the cost of living have affected demand, while instability in financial markets and limitations on purchasing power have exacerbated the situation. The survey shows that consumer price inflation has risen to around 4%, suggesting that the U.S. may face the risk of stagflation, and the Federal Reserve needs to weigh the risks of rising inflation against weakening economic growth momentum.

The January ISM Manufacturing PMI data in the U.S. broke above 50, ending the contraction trend for the entire year of 2025 and reaching the highest level since 2022.Andre Dragosch, Head of Research at Bitwise Europe, stated that the surge in PMI data aligns with the logic of a re-inflation trade, a macro environment that has historically been associated with Bitcoin bull markets. Michaël van de Poppe noted that the PMI returning above 50 marks the end of a long-term bear market, and he expects the cryptocurrency market to experience its final bull market in the next 1 to 3 years. Titan of Crypto mentioned that although Bitcoin has risen after the PMI exceeded 50 in 2013, 2016, and 2020, there is currently a bearish divergence between the PMI and Bitcoin prices, suggesting that this outcome may be different.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jin10, the US September ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI is 50, expected 51.7, previous value 52.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi Data, the latest PMI data from Japan supports Capital Economics' view that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates sooner than expected.Japan's composite PMI rose to 51.4, a four-month high in June. Both manufacturing and services PMIs saw a slight increase in June. Capital Economics economist Abhijit Surya noted that the manufacturing output index indicates a re-acceleration of industrial production, while new export orders suggest moderate growth in sales. The services PMI is well above the historical average, consistent with substantial growth in consumer spending.In summary, the Bank of Japan is expected to have reasons to raise interest rates in October, rather than in early next year as many anticipate.

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, Trump's policies continue to be at the forefront of market narratives, with tariff uncertainties continuing to pressure U.S. stocks. The three major indices fell for the third consecutive week last week, with the Dow Jones down 2.66%, the S&P 500 down 1.5%, and the Nasdaq down 2.62%, led by declines in tech stocks.The cryptocurrency market has shown resilience and performed relatively independently. Bitcoin stabilized last week around $84,000. On Monday morning in Asia, driven by a significant drop in the U.S. dollar index and a 2% surge in gold futures, Bitcoin quickly surged past $87,000, closing at $87,415 before the deadline, up 2.5% in 24 hours. Altcoins rebounded broadly, with the AI sector leading the way, rising by 7%, while other sectors saw increases of 1% to 2%, indicating a more optimistic market sentiment.In the forex commodity market, the U.S. dollar index fell below the 99 mark on Monday morning in Asia, reaching its lowest level since April 2022, down 0.24% for the day. Over the weekend, progress was made in U.S.-Iran negotiations, easing supply concerns, and U.S. oil fell by more than 1%. Trump posted insights about the negotiations, stating, "The golden rule of negotiation and success: those who have the gold make the rules," leading to a 1.61% surge in spot gold, hitting a historic high of $3,380.Tariff uncertainties loom over the market, with investors focusing on upcoming negotiations between the U.S. and several countries in the coming weeks to further understand the scale and scope of tariffs. This week, the U.S. and Europe will simultaneously release the preliminary manufacturing and services PMI for April, which will reflect the first wave of impacts from Trump's tariffs. Additionally, the market is paying attention to the upcoming earnings reports from tech giants like Google and Tesla, as investors seek market anchors from corporate profit guidance.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the U.S. March S&P Global Manufacturing PMI preliminary value recorded at 49.8, a new low in three months.The U.S. March S&P Global Services PMI preliminary value recorded at 54.3, a new high in three months.The U.S. March S&P Global Composite PMI preliminary value recorded at 53.5, a new high in three months.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the U.S. February S&P Global Manufacturing PMI preliminary value is 51.6, expected 51.5, previous value 51.2;The U.S. February S&P Global Services PMI preliminary value is 49.7, expected 53, previous value 52.9.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the U.S. December ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI is 54.1, expected 53.3, previous value 52.1.The U.S. December ISM Non-Manufacturing Price Index is 64.4, expected 57.5, previous value 58.2.The U.S. December ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment Index is 51.4, expected 51.4, previous value 51.5.The U.S. December ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders Index is 54.2, expected 54.2, previous value 53.7.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the U.S. December ISM Manufacturing PMI is 49.3, expected 48.4, previous value 48.4, marking the second consecutive month of increase since last December. Orders and production have both rebounded, indicating that the clouds hanging over the manufacturing sector may begin to dissipate.According to output indicators, the rebound in demand has helped achieve the first month of production growth since May. Meanwhile, the survey shows that more manufacturers are laying off workers at a faster pace. The employment index for December fell to 45.3, down nearly 3 points, the largest drop since July of last year. Among the five indicators that make up the overall PMI index, the remaining indicators have all improved.Timothy Fiore, chairman of the ISM Manufacturing Business Survey Committee, stated: "Demand is improving, production performance has reached November's levels and the company's targets; layoffs are still ongoing, but should end soon, and price growth is minimal."

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the final value of the U.S. December S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is 49.4, expected 48.3, previous value 48.3.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the Chicago PMI for December is 36.9, expected 42.5, previous value 40.2.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the U.S. December S&P Global Services PMI preliminary value is 58.5, expected 55.7, previous value 56.1;The U.S. December S&P Global Manufacturing PMI preliminary value is 48.3, expected 49.8, previous value 49.7;The U.S. December S&P Global Composite PMI preliminary value is 56.6, expected 55.1, previous value 54.9.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the final value of the U.S. October S&P Global Services PMI is 55, previous value 55.3.Canada's October S&P Global Services PMI is 50.4, previous value 46.4.

ChainCatcher news, after the UK Purchasing Managers' Index preliminary value fell short of expectations, UK government bond yields declined slightly. The UK October composite PMI preview dropped from 52.6 in September to 51.7, below the consensus forecast of 52.4 by economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal. A weak economy may lead the Bank of England to cut interest rates more than previously anticipated.Data from LSEG Refinitiv shows that the UK money market reflects a high likelihood of interest rate cuts in November and December. According to Tradeweb, after the data release, the 2-year UK government bond yield was 4.111%, down from 4.123% prior. The 10-year UK government bond yield was 4.228%, lower than the 4.235% before the data was published. (Jin Ten)

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the U.S. September ISM Manufacturing PMI recorded 47.2, marking the largest decline since May 2023, with an expectation of 47.5 and a previous value of 47.2.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, the final value of the U.S. September S&P Global Manufacturing PMI recorded 47.3 (expected 47, previous value 47), the lowest since June 2023.