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Waller refused to predict the remaining interest rate decisions for the year, with the probability of an interest rate hike in October dropping to about 17%

During the IMF meeting in Bangkok, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh stated that he would not predict the outcomes of the remaining two interest rate meetings this year and was unwilling to disclose potential actions in advance. He said, "This is a new chapter for the Federal Reserve; we no longer do this." Regarding the recent signals from colleagues indicating "no urgency to raise interest rates this month," he neither explicitly supported nor refuted them. Walsh reiterated that the Federal Reserve will achieve price stability and noted that the global economy has largely aligned with central bank expectations since the interest rate hike in September, while describing the recent actions of various central banks as a synchronized tightening of monetary policy in most regions of the world.In September, the Federal Reserve unanimously raised interest rates by 25 basis points, increasing the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75% to 4%. At that time, most officials expected at least one more rate hike this year. Despite the core CPI rising by 0.33% month-on-month in September, marking a strong increase for the second consecutive month, and the latest producer price data also being robust, Walsh hardly mentioned this week's inflation report and did not significantly attempt to change market expectations for the October meeting. Reports indicated that during his speech, the dollar weakened, and market bets on an interest rate hike in October dropped from about 30% to around 17%.Additionally, Walsh believes that the U.S. is experiencing significant investment growth and holds an optimistic view on economic resilience and the productivity boost brought by AI, but he warned that the development path will be "very bumpy," and the short-term impact of AI on employment remains unclear. DBS Bank macro strategist Wei Liang Chang stated that Walsh reiterated that artificial intelligence will improve productivity in the medium term, which may help ease inflation expectations and alleviate concerns about the Federal Reserve's consecutive rate hikes. Saxo Markets Chief Investment Strategist Charu Chanana noted that Walsh's refusal to commit to another rate hike led to some bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes falling flat, and related comments did not help the dollar following the release of strong inflation data.

first_img The largest cryptocurrency exchange in the Philippines, Coins.ph, is reportedly facing regulatory action from the central bank

According to two informed sources, the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the Philippines, Coins.ph, is facing punitive actions from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP). The alleged violations reportedly involve providing services to offshore betting companies, with a severity that could lead to the revocation of the operating license for this 12-year-old company. One source stated that this would trigger an "earthquake" in the Philippine crypto ecosystem.Coins.ph has over 18 million customers and a 24-hour spot trading volume of approximately $50 million, controlling about 75%-80% of the liquidity of pesos and stablecoins in the Philippines. Earlier this month, the BSP reportedly imposed restrictions on deposits made through Coins.ph's main wallet company, DCPay Philippines. Previously, several compliance executives from the exchange left, including Chief Compliance Officer Lexi Herrera, Head of Anti-Money Laundering Transaction Monitoring Chris Beaño, and Money Laundering Reporting Officer Irish Calagui.A year ago, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas restricted the use of e-wallet applications for gambling, requiring regulated entities to cut off access to gambling websites within the apps. Subsequently, several betting entities migrated to Coins.ph. This restriction is not a temporary measure and no reasons have been provided. Coins.ph is one of the earliest crypto wallets and exchanges in the Philippines, acquired by Indonesian tech company Gojek for $95 million in 2019, and later sold to former Binance CFO Wei Zhou. Neither Coins.ph nor the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas responded to requests for comment.

first_img A man in London was sentenced to two and a half years in prison for a SIM card swapping scam involving nearly £200,000

According to the City of London Police report, 25-year-old London man Ajay Shinjin (also known as AJ Marley Cruz) was sentenced to two and a half years in prison by the Inner London Crown Court for his involvement in a SIM swap fraud case. He pleaded guilty on September 28 to two charges of conspiracy to commit fraud by false representation and transferring criminal property. The case involved the theft of cryptocurrency worth nearly £200,000 (approximately $265,000).In early November 2021, British telecom operator BT discovered unauthorized activity in its systems, where customers' phone numbers were transferred to SIM cards controlled by criminals, who intercepted one-time verification codes sent by banks and cryptocurrency platforms. The police identified several suspects based on device data provided by BT, and Shinjin was linked to four of the devices. He profited over £44,000, which he used for a vacation in Dubai, a luxury apartment in Canary Wharf, and a gold-plated dental grill.Details of the case revealed that one victim lost approximately £40,000 in cryptocurrency on November 2, 2021, with about £27,000 flowing into Shinjin's personal crypto account; a second victim had approximately £17,000 entirely transferred to his wallet; he also assisted in stealing about £8,000 from a third victim's Coinbase account and around £130,000 from a fourth victim. Shinjin was first arrested at his residence in 2021 and was re-arrested at Heathrow Airport upon returning from Dubai in October 2023.
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