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The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China plans for intelligent computing power to reach 9800 EFLOPS by 2030

The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China released the "14th Five-Year Plan for the Development of the Information and Communication Industry," setting the national intelligent computing power target at 9800 EFLOPS by 2030. According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, as of the end of July, the national intelligent computing scale was approximately 2450 EFLOPS (FP16), indicating that it needs to expand by about 4 times in the next four years based on this standard.The plan proposes an orderly deployment of intelligent computing clusters with tens of thousands and hundreds of thousands of cards, building inference computing power for different scenarios, and increasing the adaptation of domestic computing power chips. Currently, 52 intelligent computing facilities with more than ten thousand cards have been established nationwide. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology disclosed that the intelligent computing power scale at the end of June was 2185 EFLOPS, a year-on-year increase of 177%. The plan uses 1590 EFLOPS in 2025 as a benchmark, aiming to reach 9800 EFLOPS by 2030, which is an expansion of about 6.2 times. During the same period, the cumulative investment target for information infrastructure in the information and communication industry is 3.8 trillion yuan, which also includes communication networks and is not all allocated for AI computing power.

Anthropic signed at least 14.8GW of computing power in the past 11 months, with a potential cost of up to 517 billion USD

According to statistics from The Information, Anthropic has signed at least 14.8GW of computing power in the past 11 months, which can be gradually utilized in the coming years. Based on currently public contracts, the potential total cost could reach up to $517 billion, with most expenditures occurring over the next decade. In addition to the 1-2GW already secured before October last year, the total computing power signed by Anthropic is approximately 16GW.This round of expansion is primarily driven by the demand for Claude. This year, the growth of Claude Code and Cowork has exceeded Anthropic's expectations, prompting the company to focus on acquiring computing power. The new agreement with Amazon provides up to 5GW, while Google and Broadcom offer another 5GW, and Microsoft and NVIDIA provide approximately 1GW. Anthropic has also rented all computing power from SpaceX's Colossus 1, acquiring over 220,000 NVIDIA GPUs, including H100, H200, and GB200.Anthropic has secured about 16GW, with many contracts extending beyond 2030. OpenAI has set a target for investors to reach 30GW by 2030, expecting to invest approximately $750 billion in computing power by that year. The $517 billion figure is the potential maximum cost estimated by The Information based on existing cloud services, chip, and data center contracts, with some computing power potentially being delayed or unused, and some contracts allowing for early cancellation.

first_img Jensen Huang stated at the G20 that computing power has become a national-level infrastructure, with an investment of about 50 to 60 billion dollars for 1 GW

On Wednesday, local time in the United States, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang appeared at the G20 Innovation Ministerial Meeting and engaged in a fireside chat with U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo. Huang stated that AI is evolving into a national economic infrastructure similar to electricity and the internet, and the biggest risk countries face is not sufficiently investing in and adopting AI, ultimately being left behind by the industrial revolution.Huang mentioned that currently, building 1 gigawatt of AI infrastructure requires an investment of about $50 billion to $60 billion, and he expects that from now until the end of this decade, the scale of related construction will reach approximately 100 gigawatts. He also referenced the "five-layer cake" model of energy, chips, infrastructure, models, and applications, indicating that every country needs to build AI infrastructure and decide which aspects they wish to participate in.Huang anticipates that in the coming years, AI will essentially achieve AGI, and the next phase will transition from large language models to intelligent agents and embodied intelligence. He believes that AI is more likely to replace tasks rather than completely replace jobs, with operational tasks such as writing and information processing potentially becoming gradually automated.

Hut 8's Texas data center included in Anthropic's $35 billion AI computing power procurement agreement

According to CoinDesk, AI company Anthropic has reached a $35 billion computing power procurement agreement with Lambda, an AI cloud service provider supported by NVIDIA, part of which will be provided through Bitcoin mining company Hut 8's Beacon Point facility located in Nueces County, Texas.Hut 8 previously disclosed that the facility has signed two long-term leases for 15 years, covering 704 MW of IT capacity, with a total contract value of $19.6 billion, but the identity of the tenants had not been disclosed earlier. The facility spans 525 acres and has a maximum power access capacity of 1 GW with ready grid connections.According to the currently disclosed transaction structure, NVIDIA holds the lease for the facility, Lambda will deploy NVIDIA chips, and Anthropic will procure the computing power generated from this. Hut 8 has not confirmed how much of the 704 MW capacity is related to Lambda and Anthropic, nor has it confirmed whether NVIDIA is the previously undisclosed tenant.As the demand for power and computing resources in AI data centers surges, Bitcoin mining companies with ready power and grid access capabilities are accelerating their transformation into AI infrastructure. Mining companies including Hut 8, TeraWulf, IREN, and Bitdeer have all entered the AI data center market by selling or leasing computing power and power infrastructure.Hut 8's revenue for the second quarter of this year was $74.93 million, a year-on-year increase of 81%; its two leases at Beacon Point have a total value of $19.6 billion, and the facility is expected to generate approximately $1.31 billion in operating profit annually once fully operational.

SemiAnalysis Founder: By 2028, most of the new AI computing power will belong to two companies

In the latest podcast, SemiAnalysis founder Dylan Patel predicts that by 2028, OpenAI and Anthropic may account for 70% to 80% of the world's new AI computing power, with the total computing power scale potentially exceeding 100GW. Patel stated that the two companies currently account for about 30% of the world's annual new computing power, and this proportion is still rising rapidly.Patel pointed out that the business model of leading AI laboratories is changing, with a significant increase in the efficiency of AI computing power output. Currently, Anthropic's revenue per megawatt of computing power has reached about $50 million and may further rise to $100 million. This allows OpenAI and Anthropic to procure or lease computing power at high prices ranging from $25 million to $50 million per megawatt.Patel expects that global AI-related capital expenditures will reach about $11 trillion from 2024 to 2029, with over $5 trillion needing to be financed through debt. Due to the potential return on investment of AI infrastructure being far higher than that of traditional industries, tech giants may accept higher financing costs, thereby pushing up overall credit rates and squeezing the valuations of traditional assets and highly leveraged economies. Additionally, Patel believes that the new computing power may not primarily be used for providing model inference services externally, but may instead flow more towards internal research and development and self-improvement of models within AI laboratories.
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