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TeraWulf finalizes a $19 billion AI lease; BitGo Holdings drops over 77% after going public, as the crypto IPO sector falls into systemic downturn

According to BBX data, last week the completion of the most significant contract for Bitcoin mining company AI transformation was announced, and data on the market performance of crypto-listed companies post-IPO further reveals the industry's valuation dilemma. The core dynamics are as follows:TeraWulf Inc. (NASDAQ: $WULF) disclosed last week through SEC 8-K that the company signed a 20-year AI infrastructure lease with AI leader Anthropic (privately held) ------ the lease subject is TeraWulf's Justified Data campus located in Hawesville, Kentucky, totaling approximately 401 megawatts of IT critical load, expected to generate about $19 billion in contract lease revenue during the initial 20-year lease term (supported by expected investment-grade credit), with the first capacity expected to be delivered in H2 2027, and full capacity of 401MW expected to reach production by early 2028. On the same day, TeraWulf sold its 50.1% stake in the AI data center JV in Abilene, Texas (168MW), with the buyer being a consortium of investors led by Fluidstack, for a total consideration of approximately $530 million (in three phases: $250 million down payment within 14 days, $150 million by the end of 2026, and about $130 million by the end of April 2027), realizing a premium on the original $450 million investment, with the proceeds reinvested into TeraWulf's wholly-owned AI infrastructure projects. CEO Paul Prager: "This milestone collaboration demonstrates our ability to provide large-scale, power-secure infrastructure for top AI clients." $WULF rose over 16% during the day, and after the announcement, several institutions raised their target prices: BofA (Buy, $34), Citi (Buy, $36), Needham (Buy, $33, up from $28), Rosenblatt (Buy, $30), with the average price from Wall Street analysts exceeding $33; the company's stock price has risen over 80% year-to-date, with Benzinga assessing the momentum score at 98.06 (extremely strong).According to INN data from July 8, BitGo Holdings (NYSE: $BTGO) has fallen about 77% since its listing at $22.43 in January 2026, becoming one of the worst performers in this round of crypto IPOs, marking a systemic downturn in the market for crypto asset companies post-IPO; during the same period, Bullish (NYSE: $BLSH) has dropped about 71% from its listing price of $90 in August 2025, eToro Group (NASDAQ: $ETOR) has fallen about 42% from its listing price in May 2025, Figure Technology Solutions (NASDAQ: $FIGR) has decreased about 14%, and only Circle Internet Group (NYSE: $CRCL) has dropped about 6% since its listing in June 2025, showing the smallest decline. The continued weak market performance has substantially frozen the pipeline for subsequent crypto IPOs: Kraken's parent company Payward suspended its listing process this spring, and Grayscale, Consensys, and Ledger have all postponed their IPO plans until market conditions improve.

Binance Co-CEO: After the suspension of services in the EU, about 70% of users have transferred withdrawals to self-custody wallets

According to The Block, Binance Co-CEO Richard Teng stated at the Reuters NEXT Asia summit in Singapore that after Binance suspended services to some EU users, about 70% of users' withdrawal assets flowed to self-custody wallets, with only 30% transferred to licensed platforms that comply with MiCA regulatory requirements.Richard Teng indicated that this data raises questions about the regulatory goals of MiCA. He pointed out that self-custody wallets are not subject to the anti-money laundering (AML) and KYC regulatory frameworks of regulated trading platforms, and the risk may actually increase once user assets are transferred to self-custody.Previously, Binance proactively withdrew its application for a MiCA license in Greece after it failed to be approved before the July 1 transition deadline, and suspended related services to affected EU users. Richard Teng stated that Binance has not given up on the European market, and several EU countries have invited it to reapply for local licenses, although he did not disclose specific countries.In addition, Richard Teng mentioned that Binance plans to continue accelerating its expansion in the Asian market, having already obtained relevant licenses or permissions in markets such as Japan, South Korea, Thailand, Indonesia, Australia, India, and Pakistan, and expects to gain more regulatory approvals this year. Currently, Binance's global user base has increased to approximately 323 million.

SpaceX was officially included in the Nasdaq 100 index this week, with historical warnings indicating volatility after the inclusion; TeraWulf's Q1 HPC leasing revenue first exceeded the annual high-margin mining revenue of $630 million

According to BBX data, yesterday marked a milestone for the global largest IPO completion index, with a historic turning point in the valuation logic of AI transformation in mining companies. The core dynamics are as follows:SpaceX, Inc. (NASDAQ: $SPCX) reported on July 7 that the company was officially included in the Nasdaq 100 index this week, becoming the first in history to have the largest single IPO ($75 billion) included in the Nasdaq 100. CoinDesk also issued a historic warning: "The last two largest new constituents added—Palantir ($PLTR) in December 2024 and Strategy ($MSTR) in early 2025—both experienced a phase decline after inclusion, rather than starting a new round of increases"; analysts pointed out that passive funds tracking the Nasdaq 100 complete "forced buying" at the time of inclusion, and if there are no new fundamental catalysts afterward, stock prices often pull back after technical buying subsides. Specific risks currently facing SpaceX include: a net loss of approximately $4.27 billion in Q1 2026 (mainly due to xAI integration expenses), a $2 billion bond issuance plan, and a 3.4% equity dilution from the $60 billion acquisition of Cursor/Anysphere; Morningstar maintains a fair value estimate of $62 per share, indicating about a 70% implied downside from the current market price. For the market holding SpaceX Bitcoin (18,712 coins, approximately $1.2 billion, held in Coinbase Prime), the inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 will trigger a larger scale of SPCX holdings by passive funds, further bridging the gap between traditional index investors and indirect exposure to Bitcoin assets.TeraWulf Inc. (NASDAQ: $WULF) according to the latest analysis, the company's high-performance computing (HPC) leasing revenue in Q1 2026 reached $21 million, accounting for about 62% of the total revenue of $34 million, surpassing Bitcoin mining revenue for the first time—this marks TeraWulf's first historic revenue structure reversal after transitioning to an AI/HPC infrastructure company, with a 117% increase from the $9.7 million HPC revenue in Q4 2025. The company has currently signed over 522 megawatts of AI/HPC leases with Core42 and Fluidstack, with an expected annual high-margin revenue of approximately $630 million; the energy structure consists of nuclear power + hydropower, with an average electricity cost of about $0.035 per kilowatt-hour, one of the lowest among similar mining companies. The company is also developing a new campus in Kentucky, adding approximately 480 megawatts of grid access capacity; analysts have significantly raised their target price ranges, with Keefe Bruyette & Woods raising from $23 to $37, Clear Street from $26 to $38, Jefferies initiating coverage with a Buy rating and a target price of $37, and BTIG raising at the same time. The company's stock price has increased by approximately 88% year-to-date in 2026, leading the gains in the mining sector.
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