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BCH $221.38 +4.67%
LINK $7.57 +4.94%
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AAVE $62.14 +4.37%
SUI $0.7518 +7.94%
XLM $0.2109 +9.51%
ZEC $378.38 +4.25%

riva

Next week's macro outlook: US CPI alongside the decisions of two major central banks, and the heavyweight arrival of SpaceX's IPO

According to market news, after the release of significantly better-than-expected non-farm data on Friday, market expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates within the year surged, causing spot gold to plummet sharply, nearly erasing all gains for the year, and marking a fourth consecutive week of declines. Silver's overall trend mirrored that of gold but with slightly stronger volatility, closing down 9.85% for the week. The U.S. dollar index, buoyed by the better-than-expected non-farm data, rose significantly to just above the 100 mark. Following the non-farm data on Friday, U.S. tech stocks suffered heavy losses. On that day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 1.35%, the S&P 500 index fell 2.65%, marking the largest single-day decline since October 2025; the Nasdaq dropped 4.18%, the largest single-day decline since April 2025. Goldman Sachs believes that the current market sentiment is clearly more greedy than fearful. Deutsche Bank pointed out that the market is highly sensitive to any negative news involving Iran.Here are the key points the market will focus on in the new week (all times are in Beijing time): Monday 23:00, U.S. May New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations; Tuesday 14:00, Germany April seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month, April seasonally adjusted trade balance; Tuesday 18:00, U.S. May NFIB Small Business Confidence Index; Tuesday 20:15, U.S. ADP employment change for the week ending May 23; Wednesday 20:30, U.S. May unadjusted CPI, May seasonally adjusted CPI/core CPI month-on-month; Wednesday 21:45, Bank of Canada announces interest rate decision; Thursday 20:15, European Central Bank announces interest rate decision; Thursday 20:30, U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending June 6, May PPI year-on-year/month-on-month; Friday 14:00, Germany May CPI month-on-month final value; Friday 14:45, France May CPI month-on-month final value; Friday 22:00, U.S. June 1-year inflation expectations preliminary value, June University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index preliminary value.In the coming week, the market will face a series of important events, but the most anticipated remains the potential initial public offering (IPO) of SpaceX. According to current arrangements, this transaction may kick off on Friday, and if it proceeds, it is expected to have a significant impact on overall market sentiment, although the specific direction is still difficult to determine. Besides SpaceX, the Apple Worldwide Developers Conference, earnings reports, and TSMC's May sales data may also become important factors influencing market volatility. Next week, U.S. stocks will enter a relatively calm phase of earnings season; although the overall number of reports is not large, heavyweight tech companies Oracle and Adobe will take the stage one after another, becoming the focus of the market.

State Council: Strictly prohibit private equity funds from engaging in illegal activities such as borrowing, disguised debt, etc

The General Office of the State Council has released guiding opinions on strengthening regulation, preventing risks, and promoting the high-quality development of private equity investment funds. The opinions mention adhering to goal-oriented and problem-oriented approaches, addressing issues such as the need to improve the access mechanism for the private equity fund industry, inadequate regulation, incomplete systems, insufficient coordination and cooperation among ministries, central and local governments, the failure to implement the responsibilities of some government investment funds and state-owned enterprise investment fund contributors, and the use of some private equity funds as tools for illegal activities, new forms of corruption, and hidden corruption. A system and long-term mechanism for strengthening regulation and preventing risks will be established to promote the development of the industry in a standardized manner and enhance it during development.Uphold functional positioning, coordinate the overall layout, optimize increments, revitalize existing resources, support the excellent and limit the inferior, improve quality and efficiency, and strictly prohibit private equity funds from engaging in illegal activities such as lending and disguised debt. Adhere to classified regulation, implementing "one policy for one category" regulation based on different dimensions such as contributor entities and product types. Insist on regulating both legal and illegal entities, with strict regulation for legal institutions, resolute prohibition of illegal institutions, and severe crackdowns on illegal activities.Promote the revision of the Securities Investment Fund Law. Push for the issuance of judicial documents related to criminal cases involving private equity funds. Formulate regulations for the supervision of private equity fund managers, information disclosure, fundraising, and mandatory custody rules. Introduce standardized arrangements for private equity fund betting agreements. Fully establish a regulatory system for private equity funds that is primarily based on administrative regulation and supplemented by self-regulation.

Analysis: The cryptocurrency derivatives market is turning bearish; if Bitcoin falls below $60,000, it may trigger a larger-scale liquidation

The cryptocurrency market experienced a new round of selling and liquidation on Thursday, with Bitcoin briefly dropping to $61,300 before rebounding to $64,680, currently reporting around $62,500. Over the past two days, the total market leverage liquidation scale was about $3 billion. Data shows that in the past 24 hours, futures trading volume rose to $305 billion, but open interest fell by 8.5% to $111.4 billion, indicating that the market is primarily deleveraging rather than adding new positions.Bitcoin's open interest fell from yesterday's historical high of over 800,000 BTC to 766,000 BTC. Investors seem to be leaving the cryptocurrency market and turning towards AI narratives in traditional markets. The derivatives market has clearly shifted to a bearish stance. The skew of BTC and ETH put options has strengthened, showing that investors are willing to pay higher premiums for downside protection. The nominal open interest of BTC put options with a strike price of $60,000 on Deribit exceeds $1 billion, while the most actively traded options contracts in the past 24 hours were the $55,000 put options.Altcoins have seen deeper declines, with NEAR, ZEC, JUP, DASH, ENA, and FET all dropping over 10%, and HYPE falling 12% after reaching a new high this week. The subsequent performance of altcoins largely depends on whether Bitcoin can hold above $60,000; if it falls below this level, it may trigger more liquidations and put greater pressure on trading pairs with weaker liquidity.

Aleo releases a white paper on privacy stablecoins, proposing a permissionless institutional-level privacy stablecoin architecture

Aleo released the privacy stablecoin white paper "Stablecoin Privacy," stating that the privacy layer is the key infrastructure missing for blockchain payment rails to be adopted by mainstream institutions. Aleo indicated that as the GENIUS Act provides opportunities for the widespread adoption of stablecoins, the issue of permanently public transaction information on public blockchains may still hinder institutions from using stablecoins in scenarios such as payroll, fund management, and vendor payments.Aleo claims that existing solutions do not adequately meet the needs of institutions in terms of privacy protection and risk management. The white paper proposes a permissionless private stablecoin architecture based on Aleo, which introduces programmable risk mitigation mechanisms while protecting transaction privacy through zero-knowledge technology and programmable smart contracts, allowing institutions to conduct private transactions without sacrificing compliance and risk control.It is reported that the team members behind this white paper have long been dedicated to research at the intersection of cryptography, policy, and financial systems. Aleo's Global Policy Director Yaya J. Fanusie, member of the Crypto Innovation Council and former Global Financial Crimes Compliance Officer at Coinbase Valerie-Leila Jaber, and cryptographer and Johns Hopkins University Computer Science Professor Matthew Green possess rare practical experience in private payments, financial regulation, and zero-knowledge cryptography.

Solana officially stated that it will vigorously promote the construction of fully on-chain perpetual contracts, aiming to become the world's strongest on-chain financial derivatives infrastructure

Solana's official announcement "Building Fully On-Chain Perpetual Contracts on Solana" aims to vigorously promote the ecological construction of fully on-chain perpetual contracts (Perps) in the future, with the goal of making Solana the world's strongest on-chain financial derivatives infrastructure. Currently, the trading volume of crypto derivatives is mainly concentrated on centralized trading platforms or hybrid models that rely on off-chain matching engines, which Solana believes is a transitional phase. It hopes to make a truly fully on-chain derivatives market a reality through the characteristics of high-performance blockchain—where all processes such as order submission, price updates, matching, and clearing are completed on-chain, while maintaining institutional-level speed and low costs.The Solana Foundation will provide funding, technical support, and resource allocation, focusing on supporting projects that meet the following criteria: fully on-chain execution, price discovery based on real bilateral liquidity (rather than purely pool pricing), Solana priority with revenue flowing back on-chain, teams with derivatives experience, and core code being open source. It also welcomes the co-construction of surrounding infrastructure such as front ends, aggregators, vaults, and market-making tools.

Strategy sells 32 BTC for the first time in history to pay interest, CME crypto derivatives officially launch 24/7 trading

According to BBX data, yesterday global giant listed companies experienced a historic turning point in the operation of digital asset treasury and compliance derivatives infrastructure, with the following core dynamics:Strategy's historic first sale of Bitcoin: Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ: $MSTR) officially disclosed that from May 26 to May 31, the company sold 32 BTC, with net proceeds of approximately $2.5 million (average net $77,135), to pay its preferred stock dividends. This marks the company's first sale of its held Bitcoin since establishing its Bitcoin treasury strategy in August 2020. After this adjustment, its remaining holdings are 843,706 BTC, with a total cost of $6.387 billion, average $75,699.CME officially announces the launch of 24/7 crypto futures and options: CME Group Inc. (NASDAQ: $CME) officially announced today (June 1) that its crypto futures and options officially launched 24/7 trading starting May 29. In the first weekend, over 7,200 contracts were recorded across the network, with a nominal value of $50 million, and Bitcoin volatility futures (BVI) launched simultaneously. Data reveals that the nominal trading volume of its crypto derivatives reached $30 trillion for the entire year of 2025, while the average daily trading volume from 2026 to date has surged by 46% year-on-year.Capital B continues to buy spot: French-listed company Capital B confirmed yesterday that its treasury has recently increased its holdings by 4 more Bitcoins, steadily raising its total holdings to 3,139 BTC.

Coinbase receives CFTC exemption to access global derivatives, JPMorgan CEO criticizes compliance legislation

According to BBX data, the global competition between crypto compliance infrastructure and traditional financial capital entered a heated stage yesterday, with brokerage giants and old money on Wall Street clashing over the advancement of legislation. The core dynamics are as follows:Coinbase receives CFTC 16-page no-action letter authorization: Coinbase Global, Inc. (NASDAQ: $COIN) officially announced that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued a 16-page "no-action letter" to its subsidiary CFM. This authorizes CFM to officially offer perpetual contracts and options for "digital commodities" such as BTC, ETH, SOL, and DOGE to U.S. institutional clients through the foreign exchange Deribit FZE, which it previously acquired for $2.9 billion. The letter also allows clients to directly transfer digital assets and stablecoins to Deribit FZE as collateral.Dimon publicly declares war on the CLARITY Act: Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: $JPM), publicly expressed strong opposition to the CLARITY Act currently advancing in the Senate during a Fox Business program. Dimon warned that the act allows crypto companies to pay users "yield rewards" in stablecoins, effectively bypassing the capital and compliance standards of traditional banking. He formed a coalition with the American Bankers Association, publicly committing to "fight to the end" against this legislation.

Gray Scale: Hyperliquid or evolve into a giant in on-chain financial infrastructure, challenging the traditional derivatives market

According to CoinDesk, digital asset management company Grayscale pointed out in its latest report that the decentralized trading platform Hyperliquid is rapidly evolving from a cryptocurrency perpetual contract exchange into a blockchain financial infrastructure platform, and may even challenge traditional derivatives trading and exchange systems in the future, growing into a "financial services giant."The report shows that Hyperliquid is expected to achieve approximately $800 million in revenue by 2025, with an annual perpetual contract trading volume of about $2.9 trillion and an open interest size of around $7 billion, occupying a significant share of the cryptocurrency derivatives market. Grayscale believes that the platform is no longer limited to cryptocurrency trading but is expanding into tokenized stocks, commodities, and prediction markets through the HIP-3 and HIP-4 systems, gradually building an all-weather on-chain trading infrastructure.FalconX also pointed out in another report that Hyperliquid is competing with traditional derivatives exchanges such as CME Group and prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, making progress in new markets such as Pre-IPO. The report also emphasizes that regulation remains a key variable. Although Hyperliquid currently restricts access for U.S. users, as the regulatory framework becomes clearer and institutions like Coinbase, Robinhood, and Kraken explore perpetual contract products, this sector may welcome broader growth opportunities in the future.
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