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Coinbase Institutional stated that U.S. non-farm employment was far below expectations, but the escalation of conflicts in the Middle East has brought inflation risks back into focus for the market. The market is shifting towards pricing "higher interest rates for a longer duration," financial conditions are tightening further, long-term risk assets are under pressure, and the probability of another interest rate hike within the year is also increasing.Amid multiple negative factors, BTC only fell by about 2%, and this relatively resilient performance may indicate that the market is undergoing a bottoming process.

According to official social media news, the HTX Genesis Hackathon, hosted by HTX DAO and B.AI, and co-organized by OpenCSG and TinTinLand, has recently selected the Top 15 teams. These 15 developer teams will advance to the finals held offline on July 19 during the WAIC World Artificial Intelligence Conference in Shanghai. In addition, community voting will soon begin, and users can go to the HTX DAO official website to stake and vote for their favorite teams.It is reported that the total prize pool for the HTX Genesis Hackathon is 20,000 USDT, and it provides over $100,000 in computing power support. Participating teams will innovate around the application scenarios of $HTX, B.AI ecological applications and computing power services, AI Agent finance, on-chain asset management, trading infrastructure, DAO tools, and smart financial operating systems.

According to Jinshi reports, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard stated that the continued intervention by the United States in the Strait of Hormuz will lead to more serious incidents in the global oil and gas sector.

According to BLOCKMEDIA, the South Korean police are investigating a case of political interference in the competition of the cryptocurrency market. A former assistant to independent lawmaker Kim Byung-ki is accused of pressuring the Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) in February last year to force Upbit to terminate its fee waiver activities for $USDC and $USDT, in order to alleviate the financial pressure on its competitor Bithumb, which was suffering due to a zero-fee promotion.The suspicion arises from the fact that the assistant obtained an informal advisory position at Bithumb months after the interference, while at the same time, the lawmaker's son was also hired by the exchange as an intern. Bithumb denies any knowledge of political interference and insists that the fee adjustments were independent business decisions.

According to Cointelegraph, the launch of Robinhood's Layer 2 network, Robinhood Chain, has boosted market sentiment towards Ethereum. The network uses ETH as its native Gas token, and approximately $141 million worth of ETH has been bridged to the chain.Reports indicate that there are now over 500,000 wallet addresses holding ETH on the network. In the past 24 hours, the DEX trading volume on Robinhood Chain reached $877.56 million, surpassing Ethereum L1 and competitor Base. As an on-chain extension of the traditional financial trading platform Robinhood, it offers tokenized stock services to customers in 120 countries, further strengthening the EVM-compatible ecosystem.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the current Bitcoin price has been below the short-term holder cost basis (STH Cost Basis) for more than 9 consecutive months. Historically, this kind of prolonged loss phase for short-term holders is often highly correlated with bear market cycles.Currently, the short-term holder cost basis for Bitcoin is approximately $70,700, which continues to act as a resistance level. The market trend in May has reflected this pressure, as BTC quickly encountered a pullback after testing this area near approximately $82,000.

According to CoinDesk, the stablecoin market experienced its largest correction in recent years in June, with a total market value decrease of $7.7 billion, marking the largest monthly decline since the Terra-Luna collapse in May 2022.Since the peak in May, the stablecoin market has shrunk by approximately $10 billion, with two major stablecoin issuers being the main driving factors behind this round of correction: the market value of USDT issued by Tether has dropped from about $190 billion in May to $184 billion, a decrease of about $6 billion; USDC issued by Circle has fallen from a high of nearly $80 billion in March 2026 to about $73 billion, shrinking by about $7 billion.However, compared to the cumulative decline of over 26% in the stablecoin market during the crypto winter of 2022, this round of adjustment is still relatively mild. Wall Street institutions remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of stablecoins, with Citigroup previously estimating that the global stablecoin market could reach $1.9 trillion under a baseline scenario by 2030, and could rise to $4 trillion under an optimistic scenario.

According to Jinshi reports, Moon Ji-sung, an official from South Korea's Ministry of Economy and Finance responsible for exchange rate policy, warned on Friday that the current exchange rate of the dollar against the won is still inconsistent with economic fundamentals, and if necessary, his team has ample room to stabilize the market.He stated that he expects the supply and demand dynamics of the domestic foreign exchange market to change in the second half of 2026 and predicts that exporters' dollar holdings will bring in capital inflows through foreign exchange forward contracts.

According to CoinDesk, in just the month of June, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net outflow of $4 billion, led by BlackRock's IBIT, as funds shifted towards opportunities in AI trading and the SpaceX IPO. Bitcoin fell about 14% in the second quarter, dropping below $60,000, marking its third consecutive quarter of losses. However, this outflow pales in comparison to the $2 trillion private credit market. Redemption requests in private credit reached $15.6 billion in the second quarter, with 10 out of 16 business development companies exceeding the 5% quarterly cap, and most investors receiving only partial payouts. Fitch expects redemptions to continue in the coming months, and unmet requests will keep several companies under pressure.Bitcoin ETFs have strong liquidity, and outflows directly impact BTC prices; in contrast, private credit BDCs are illiquid long-term instruments. The simultaneous redemptions of both reflect widespread market concerns about liquidity and risk. The energy market is also sending signals of risk aversion, with the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve at its lowest level since 1983. QCP Capital summarized: "Different sectors, same pattern: the market's buffer space is narrowing." It pointed out that the Strategic Petroleum Reserve has bottomed out, Strategy has sold BTC for the first time to pay dividends, and private credit redemptions have surpassed thresholds, all indicating that risk assets face a more challenging environment.

Blockchain analysis company Elliptic announced that it has received a strategic investment from Circle Ventures. Previously, the company completed a $120 million Series D funding round in May this year, led by One Peak, with participation from Nasdaq Ventures, Deutsche Bank, and the British Business Bank.At the same time, Circle officially joined Elliptic's Agentic Design Partner Program, which brings together infrastructure providers, compliance agencies, and technology teams to collaboratively develop compliance solutions for AI agents. Elliptic pointed out that AI agents are different from traditional bots, as they can autonomously set goals and make independent decisions. Their operational speed and scale have far exceeded the carrying capacity of human compliance systems, necessitating specialized solutions to address this.

According to Fortune, DeFi asset management and risk analysis company Gauntlet has completed a $125 million financing round, exclusively invested by Japanese financial group SBI Holdings. The financing was completed in June of this year, and the specific valuation has not been disclosed.This is Gauntlet's largest financing round since its establishment in 2018, far exceeding its $24 million Series B financing round led by Ribbit Capital in 2022, which had a valuation of $1 billion.Gauntlet was founded by former Wall Street quantitative trader Tarun Chitra, initially focusing on providing stress testing and vulnerability analysis services for DeFi protocols. As the DAO governance model declined, it gradually transformed into a "vault curation" business—evaluating yield strategy risks through quantitative analysis to help institutional investors manage digital asset allocation. Its current clients include asset management giant Apollo, Coinbase, and stablecoin issuer Circle.

Gate recently released a detailed verification statement regarding the security item changes and fund loss incident reported by customer 9****6. After an internal review, the platform confirmed that the applicant submitted materials highly matching the customer's account, including Email, phone number, real-name information, transaction records, and Alipay screen recordings. The platform pointed out that the Alipay screen recording required access to the customer's Alipay account and successfully passed multiple identity verifications, indicating that the applicant not only possessed account information but also obtained the customer's external real-name information, Alipay account, and device permissions in advance.The platform emphasized that its security unbinding review implements a four-fold verification process of "multi-channel advance notification + system risk control preliminary screening + manual multi-layer review + time protection." After notifying the customer through dual channels, the application was processed only after waiting two days without objections, and a 24-hour withdrawal prohibition protection was imposed after modification. Upon investigation, there were no information leakage logs within the platform, and some sensitive identity information provided by the applicant was external information previously unknown to the platform.Regarding fund recovery, the platform has sorted out the flow of funds and collaborated with multiple departments to conduct on-chain analysis and asset tracking, currently coordinating with third parties like Tether to advance the freezing process, and will cooperate with judicial investigations in the future. The platform advises customers to conduct comprehensive security reinforcement on their devices and expresses regret that the customer did not contact the platform within the three-day notification period.

According to a report by the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists (ICIJ), the stablecoin issuer Circle has been criminally charged by the Wisconsin state prosecutor for refusing to comply with a court order to assist in recovering funds for fraud victims.A victim in Wisconsin was defrauded of approximately 381,000 USDC, and the court issued a warrant last December requiring Circle to transfer frozen assets to law enforcement wallets, but Circle refused to comply, citing "technical inability to destroy and reissue tokens."The New York state prosecutor had previously sent a letter to the U.S. Senate, accusing Circle of repeatedly refusing asset freeze requests without a warrant and questioning its motives—Circle currently holds at least 119 million frozen USDC, which can continuously earn interest.In response, Circle denied the allegations, stating that the Wisconsin court lacks jurisdiction, and indicated that it has reached a preliminary agreement with federal prosecutors regarding a compensation mechanism for victims. Cryptocurrency tracking experts pointed out that Circle could fully implement token destruction and reissuance by updating its code, casting doubt on its claim of technical incapacity.

According to Arkham monitoring, SpaceX marked an address for the first time in 6 months with an on-chain Bitcoin transfer. Data shows that a wallet controlled by SpaceX sent a small BTC test transaction to a wallet controlled by another company.Arkham stated that such small test transfers sometimes occur before companies make larger-scale treasury asset movements, but it does not necessarily indicate that a large transfer will follow. Currently, there are no signs that SpaceX has begun to adjust its Bitcoin reserves.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that since July 7, the Bitcoin futures market has been continuously dominated by sellers. The cumulative volume delta (CVD) shrank nearly 70% from +800 million dollars to +230 million dollars within two days, while the price fell from about 64,000 dollars to 62,000 dollars during the same period. On July 8, there was a brief buying pulse, recording +22 million and +48 million dollars in buying over two consecutive hours, but the price remained almost unchanged around 62,100 dollars, only to be completely erased by a selling wave of 92.7 million dollars within a single hour.The analyst pointed out that the positive CVD still indicates that buyers have an accumulation advantage since the beginning of the month, but the speed of contraction and the simultaneous price decline suggest that momentum has shifted to sellers. This is not a panic washout, but rather a continuous shift in capital flow. If the CVD falls below the zero axis, it would mean that sellers not only dominate the current capital flow but have also completely erased the buyers' accumulation advantage, confirming a more sustained bearish pattern. The current 62,000 dollar area has become a resistance level rather than a demand support zone.

According to KPMG's latest survey report involving 2,145 executives from 20 countries, as technology companies like Anthropic, OpenAI, and GitHub recently shifted some of their AI services from fixed subscription models to usage-based billing, businesses are facing challenges in cost forecasting and management during the scaling of AI deployment.The report indicates that 29% of corporate executives find it difficult to understand and control operational costs when scaling AI deployment, and one-third of executives believe that insufficient understanding of AI economics hinders the deployment of AI entities. Due to costs exceeding expected value, nearly half (about 49%) of corporate organizations have chosen to delay or readjust their AI deployment plans; meanwhile, low-cost, high-fidelity large models are accelerating their impact on corporate AI strategies.In addition, tech giants are increasing capital expenditures to build AI capacity. Amazon plans to spend about $200 billion on capital expenditures this year and is investing $1 billion in its AWS frontline engineering organization to assist customers in adopting AI entities; Microsoft's total capital expenditure is expected to reach $190 billion this year, with $2.5 billion allocated to the new entity Microsoft Frontier Company. KPMG emphasizes that, in addition to cost pressures, accountability in AI governance, employee engagement rules, and the prevention of system "hallucinations" remain core challenges faced by businesses today.

According to Cointelegraph, the U.S. stock market has grown by 68% over the past five years, adding about $6 trillion in market value this year, with 58% of Americans holding stocks. Analysts warn that if the stock market experiences a significant correction, the Federal Reserve may break decades of precedent by supporting the market through methods such as purchasing stock ETFs.Alvin Kan, Chief Operating Officer of Bitget Wallet, stated that once the Federal Reserve intervenes (by lowering interest rates, expanding the balance sheet, or even purchasing ETFs), the cryptocurrency market typically enters a medium to long-term upward trend in its history, due to the restoration of risk appetite and the flow of funds back into high-beta assets. Tim Sun, a senior researcher at HashKey, pointed out that the macro pricing of crypto assets is still linked to U.S. dollar liquidity, real interest rates, and stock market risk sentiment. Once the market is convinced of a policy bottom, the risk premium for high-volatility assets will compress, benefiting Bitcoin and mainstream crypto assets.