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Cryptocurrency analyst Marcel Pechman stated that after Bitcoin's failure to break above $82,000, it faced selling pressure and is once again testing the $76,000 level. In four days, the scale of long position liquidations reached $400 million, with prices dropping about 7% from recent highs. Nevertheless, analysts believe that the conditions for Bitcoin to return to $80,000 are accumulating, with three potential catalysts worth noting.First, Strategy (MSTR) invested $2 billion in Bitcoin over the past week, providing effective support amid market pressure. At the same time, the company repurchased $1.5 billion of convertible bonds maturing in 2029, and repaying part of its senior debt in advance helps reduce future dilution risks for existing MSTR shareholders, creating space for subsequent new stock issuance and continued Bitcoin purchases.Second, on a macro level, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond rose to 4.6%, a 16-month high, as investor confidence gradually shifts towards scarce assets. In 2026, $2 trillion in long-term debt will mature, and the Federal Reserve may need to continue purchasing bonds, which will further weaken the dollar's attractiveness. Gold saw a significant rise this January but has since given back most of its gains, while Bitcoin rebounded from $65,000 to $76,500 during the same period, indicating an increasing recognition of its safe-haven properties in the market.Third, if the situation in Iran sees a turnaround, risk appetite is expected to recover quickly. On Monday, Brent crude oil prices rose to $113, with negotiations in the Strait of Hormuz experiencing fluctuations; since the U.S. and Israel launched attacks on Iran in late February, oil prices have cumulatively risen over 50%. If an agreement is reached between the U.S. and Iran, a drop in energy prices will alleviate inflationary pressures, and Bitcoin is expected to return above $80,000. Currently, U.S. stocks are close to historical highs, while Bitcoin is still down about 39% from its peak.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong posted on the X platform that Coinbase is proud to collaborate with law enforcement to combat crime. Its investigation team identified an ongoing criminal activity and used blockchain forensics to track down the criminals, ultimately leading to 5 convictions.

Vitalik Buterin published an article discussing the application prospects of Formal Verification in the field of blockchain security.The article points out that a new paradigm is emerging in Ethereum's cutting-edge research and development, where code is directly written using EVM bytecode, assembly, or Lean, and its correctness is verified using automatically checkable mathematical proofs in Lean. Researcher Yoichi Hirai refers to this paradigm as "the ultimate form of software development."Vitalik believes that AI-assisted formal verification is expected to enhance both code efficiency and security, particularly suitable for security core modules such as STARK, ZK-EVM, quantum-resistant signatures, and consensus algorithms.The article also emphasizes that formal verification is not a panacea and may still fail due to issues such as incomplete proof coverage, specification errors, and hardware side channels; in the future, software may differentiate into "security cores" and "non-security edges," with Ethereum becoming one of the important security cores.

According to Decrypt, the cryptocurrency technology company Quantography Labs has announced the launch of the early access version of the cryptocurrency wallet Lock.com. This product uses "Isolated Signing" and an Air-Gapped architecture, enabling offline private key management without the need for dedicated hardware wallet devices.The official statement indicates that Lock.com separates the signing environment from the network broadcasting environment: private keys are always stored in a completely offline device, while transactions are created and broadcast on a connected device, thus avoiding private key exposure to the internet. The platform emphasizes that users can directly use existing devices without relying on third-party hardware manufacturers or supply chains. Additionally, Lock.com integrates post-quantum cryptography architecture, including ML-DSA digital signatures and ML-KEM key encapsulation mechanisms, to enhance security in future quantum computing environments.Quantography Labs stated that the current early access phase is mainly used to collect user feedback and prepare for a subsequent full launch.

The globally leading cryptocurrency trading platform Gate has completed a significant upgrade to its prediction market, with related features integrated into Gate App v8.19. This upgrade focuses on "smart money" identification and data insights, systematically optimizing the ranking system, event detail pages, and trading processes.The new ranking system introduces user tagging and note mechanisms, supporting refined identification of traders such as "smart money" and "whales," and adds profit and loss curves and historical position displays to enhance strategy reference value. In terms of data analysis, the platform strengthens the presentation of market participation structure and capital behavior, adding modules like "top positions" to help users quickly assess market competition patterns. Additionally, the platform introduces AI analysis and quick trading features to improve decision-making efficiency and execution speed in high-frequency scenarios, further optimizing the trading experience for sports events.Gate's prediction market ecosystem has achieved deep integration with Polymarket and consistently ranks among the top three in Polymarket's cooperative channels. Users can directly access Polymarket through the Alpha section on the Gate App homepage and participate in event trading using their USDT balance.This upgrade systematically enhances Gate's data analysis capabilities and trading execution efficiency in the prediction market. In the future, Gate will continue to expand its product architecture and market ecosystem, promoting the prediction market towards a more professional and efficient direction.

According to The Block, Bitcoin fell below $77,000 on Sunday night Eastern Time, reaching a low of $76,593. Analysts pointed out that the main trigger was U.S. President Trump threatening Iran in a post on Truth Social, stating that military action would be taken if the peace agreement continued to be delayed, raising geopolitical risks.Meanwhile, Brent crude oil rose 1.78% to $111.2 per barrel, and WTI crude oil increased 2.2% to $107.7 per barrel, as the market worries that rising oil prices will increase inflation and prompt the Federal Reserve to resume interest rate hikes. Additionally, Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of $1 billion last week, ending a six-week streak of net inflows, and the Fear and Greed Index fell back to a "fear" range of 27.Analysts stated that in the short term, Bitcoin will be highly correlated with the macro market, with $74,000 being a key support level. Attention should be paid to the policy statements of the new Federal Reserve Chair, Waller, and the progress of the "Cryptocurrency Clarity Act."

Analyst Axel Adler Jr posted on the X platform that Bitcoin was rejected again at $82,000, marking the third failure at this level. The short-term holder SOPR indicator has still not managed to stay above 1, indicating that short-term holders continue to sell during each rebound. Currently, crude oil is close to $106, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has dropped by 537 points, and interest rates face the risk of remaining high for a long time.

According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin recently fell below $79,000 after facing significant selling pressure around $82,000. Market analysis suggests that the current BTC trend is highly correlated with the U.S. small-cap stock index, indicating that it is still viewed by the market as a "risk asset" rather than a safe-haven tool. Analysts point out that the escalating situation in Iran, rising oil prices, and concerns about a global economic recession are continuously suppressing market risk appetite. Meanwhile, the funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual contracts has recently turned negative, indicating a significant lack of demand for leveraged long positions, and traders remain cautious about short-term increases. However, the report suggests that in the medium term, large-scale capital outflows from the fixed income market may actually be beneficial for BTC.As global government bond yields rise to decades-high levels, investors are gradually withdrawing from the bond market, and some liquidity may flow back into risk assets, including Bitcoin. Currently, the yields on 10-year U.S. and European government bonds have both reached multi-year highs, while Brent crude oil prices have also surpassed $100, exacerbating market concerns about inflation and economic pressure.

According to The Block, sovereign wealth funds, universities, and banks have recently disclosed their 13F holdings reports for the first quarter of 2026. On the sovereign wealth fund side, the Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund Mubadala increased its holdings in BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (ticker IBIT), raising its share count from 12,702,323 to 14,721,917, adding over $90 million in holdings, with a total holding value of nearly $660 million. Mubadala's Abu Dhabi Investment Council (ADIC) maintained its IBIT holdings unchanged, holding 8,218,712 shares valued at $315.8 million.Several university endowments reported that their cryptocurrency ETF holdings remained largely stable. Harvard University's endowment reported holding 3,044,612 shares of IBIT, valued at approximately $117 million. This is a 43% decrease from the 5.35 million shares held at the end of 2025, after Harvard had already reduced its holdings by 21% in the fourth quarter. IBIT is no longer its largest holding (overtaken by TSMC, Alphabet, Microsoft, and SPDR Gold Trust). Harvard also completely liquidated its previously established position in BlackRock's Ethereum spot ETF valued at $86.8 million from the previous quarter.Dartmouth College reported holding 201,531 shares of IBIT, valued slightly above $9 million, unchanged from the previous quarter. The college transferred its Ethereum ETF holdings from Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust to Grayscale's Ethereum Staking ETF, keeping its 178,148 shares unchanged. Dartmouth also disclosed a new holding in Bitwise Solana Staking ETF, holding 304,803 shares, currently valued at nearly $3.67 million. This is the first time an institutional endowment fund has expressed interest in expanding its investment scope beyond Bitcoin or Ethereum into other cryptocurrencies.Meanwhile, Brown University maintained its holdings of 212,500 shares of IBIT, while Emory University simplified its Bitcoin fund holdings from two to one. The school liquidated its 4,450 shares of IBIT while increasing its holdings in Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust from slightly over 1 million shares to 1,354,148 shares.Traditional financial institutions are also actively rebalancing positions and hedging. Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) increased its direct holdings in IBIT and enhanced the use of put and call options for hedging. Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) increased its holdings by 214,370 shares of IBIT after liquidating its previously held Trump-related U.S. Bitcoin stocks. Barclays also disclosed its IBIT positions, including approximately 4.46 million shares of spot stock and a significant number of put and call option positions related to the ETF. Hong Kong-based Laurore has reduced its IBIT holdings from 8,786,279 shares to 6,846,279 shares.

Chainalysis posted on the X platform that before the theft of THORChain, wallets suspected to be associated with the attacker had been transferring funds through Monero, Hyperliquid, and THORChain for several weeks. The attacker-associated wallets had already deposited into Hyperliquid positions via the Hyperliquid and Monero privacy bridge as early as the end of April. The funds were then exchanged for USDC and transferred to Arbitrum, and later bridged to Ethereum, with some ETH subsequently transferred to THORChain to become staked RUNE for newly added nodes, which are believed to be the source of the attack.Afterward, the attacker bridged some RUNE back to Ethereum and split it into four pathways, one of which went directly to the attacker. After being transferred through intermediate wallets, 8 ETH was sent to the final wallet receiving the stolen funds 43 minutes before the attack. The funds from the other three pathways flowed in the opposite direction. These wallets bridged ETH back to Arbitrum, deposited it into Hyperliquid, and transferred it into Monero through the same privacy bridge, with the last transaction occurring less than 5 hours before the attack began.As of Friday afternoon, the stolen funds have not yet been used, but the attacker has demonstrated their skilled cross-chain money laundering capabilities, and the Hyperliquid to Monero path may become the next move.

According to CoinDesk, on-chain analysis firm Arkham Data shows that over the past year, wallets associated with Bhutan have seen outflows of approximately $1 billion in Bitcoin, with funds flowing to multiple trading platforms and trading institutions, reducing their holdings from about 13,000 BTC to around 3,100 BTC.Arkham speculates that there may be ongoing selling behavior, and if the trend continues, the relevant addresses may be cleared of holdings before October 2026. However, Bhutan's sovereign fund Druk Holding and Investments (DHI) stated that "they do not recall any recent Bitcoin sales," did not respond to specific changes in on-chain addresses, and did not confirm the current holding size, only emphasizing that there are no additional comments.The report points out that some of the fund inflow paths are related to institutions such as Galaxy Digital and OKX, leading the market to interpret this as selling or over-the-counter trading behavior, but there are also possibilities of transfers into custody, collateralization, or structured trading that do not involve selling. Additionally, some trading institution personnel stated that there has been no clear selling recently.Furthermore, Bhutan's previous commitment to a reserve of 10,000 BTC for the "Gelephu Mindfulness City" project has also been questioned due to potential sell-offs. Currently, there is still significant disagreement regarding its actual holdings and mining operations.

According to Cointelegraph, after the U.S. stock market opened, Bitcoin quickly fell, briefly dropping below the $79,000 mark, with a daily decline of about 3%, reaching a low not seen since May. The market generally believes that this round of correction is closely related to the sell-off of risk assets triggered by the surge in U.S. Treasury yields. Data shows that the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury rose above 4.55%, reaching a nearly one-year high, raising concerns in the market about tightening liquidity and the reassessment of risk assets.Analysts pointed out that this level had previously triggered adjustments in U.S. stocks and policy expectations last year, and it has now become a key pressure signal again. Trading firm The Kobeissi Letter stated that the "crisis-like rise" in the U.S. Treasury market is intensifying, with long-term high interest rate expectations heating up. The market has begun to factor in the possibility of future rate hikes, leading to a rapid cooling of the previous "euphoric sentiment" in risk assets.From a technical perspective, analysts believe that after multiple rejections of resistance above $82,000, the support structure for Bitcoin is weakening, and it may retest the $75,000--$77,000 range in the short term, as the market enters a phase of range-bound fluctuations and directional choices.

According to Decrypt, the price of Bitcoin remains around $80,350, with a short-term increase of only 0.8%, continuing to face pressure after multiple attempts to break through the $82,000 resistance level failed. This range is seen as a combined resistance level of the ETF cost line, the 200-day moving average, and the CME gap filling area. Although the U.S. CLARITY Act has passed the Senate Banking Committee, bringing positive expectations for crypto regulation, institutional funds continue to withdraw.Data shows that the net outflow of the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has decreased to an average of -$88 million per day over the past seven days, marking the largest outflow since mid-February. Analysts believe that this round of selling pressure is more about "profit-taking" rather than panic selling. On a macro level, rising U.S. Treasury yields have become a core source of pressure. The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond has risen to about 4.52%, reaching a 10-month high, while the April CPI has increased by 3.8% year-on-year, the highest level in three years, further delaying market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.Analysts point out that geopolitical conflicts are driving up energy prices, exacerbating inflationary pressures, thereby weakening the appeal of risk assets. From an institutional perspective, some analysts believe that the current outflow of ETF funds is part of portfolio rebalancing rather than a trend-based withdrawal.The options market shows that Bitcoin faces significant resistance in the $82,000-$84,000 range, while $77,000 is a key support level. If the price falls below this range and leverage does not cool down, the market may enter a deleveraging phase, increasing the risk of a correction.

The U.S. Senate Banking Committee recently advanced the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act with a bipartisan vote of 15 to 9, marking a step forward in the regulatory framework for the U.S. crypto market. Research institution HashKey Group pointed out that if the bill is enacted, it will significantly enhance compliance certainty for institutional investors participating in the crypto market and strengthen the core position of the U.S. dollar stablecoin in the global digital financial system.Analysts believe that a clearer U.S. regulatory framework will encourage banks, asset management institutions, and sovereign funds to more widely adopt compliant stablecoins for cross-border payments, settlements, and fund management, especially with more evident demand in the Asian market. However, at the same time, the U.S. restrictions on "yield-bearing stablecoins" may create structural spillover effects. HashKey researcher Tim Sun stated that if the U.S. strictly limits the stablecoin yield mechanisms, capital may flow to the Asian market or indirectly seek higher yields through "wrapped products."The report noted that the Asian market (such as Hong Kong and Singapore) features active cross-border trade, frequent capital flows, and local currencies that are more susceptible to external shocks. In an environment of high U.S. dollar financing costs, U.S. dollar stablecoins will become an important liquidity tool. However, the analysis also emphasized that this competition is not a zero-sum game. As the CLARITY Act progresses, the global competitive focus may shift from "trading platforms and token issuance" to "stablecoin liquidity channels and control over financial infrastructure," meaning who can more efficiently connect U.S. dollar liquidity, regional assets, and compliant financial channels.

According to BIT analysis, if Bitcoin could keep up with the Nasdaq's rise, the current price should be close to $140,000. The relative underperformance of Bitcoin may be related to the resurgence of inflation since the third quarter of 2025. Overall, Bitcoin had generally followed the fluctuations of the Nasdaq, but since October 2025, the divergence between the two has begun to widen significantly. At that time, the latest CPI reading had risen back to 3%, which is 100 basis points above the Federal Reserve's target, and the interest rate market also began to gradually retract some pricing for rate cuts in 2026. This is precisely the source of the pressure on Bitcoin; its upward logic relies on expectations of Federal Reserve easing, and once the market starts to retract pricing for rate cuts, performance often comes under pressure. Subsequently, this logic continued to influence Bitcoin's trend.Stocks, on the other hand, are completely different. As long as the market still views inflation as mild and temporary, a rise in inflation can actually be beneficial for stocks: even if sales do not increase significantly, it can boost nominal corporate income, reduce real debt burdens, and enhance the attractiveness of stocks as a hedge against purchasing power. The latest U.S. inflation data seems to have caught some market participants off guard, although the agency's model had previously indicated that price pressures might rise again. The current key question is whether this round of inflation expectation repricing will weaken the ongoing positive fundamentals for Bitcoin; and how investors should adjust their positions in this context.

According to Cointelegraph, Tezos ecosystem developers have launched a prototype of a private blockchain payment testnet called TzEL, aimed at resisting future quantum computing attacks.This prototype uses post-quantum cryptography and zk-STARK proofs to protect transaction data and encrypted payment metadata, preventing "collect then decrypt" type attacks. TzEL leverages Tezos's data availability layer to handle the larger proof sizes brought by post-quantum cryptography (approximately 300 KB), which has been one of the main technical obstacles to building scalable quantum-resistant privacy systems on-chain. TzEL is currently running on the Tezos testnet and is still in the development stage, with the transition of the Tezos ecosystem to quantum-resistant cryptography still in its early stages.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve's Williams stated that considering inflation remains above target, background factors are crucial.

According to Jin Shi reports, Federal Reserve's Schmid stated that persistent inflation is the most pressing risk facing the economy, and the level of inflation is clearly still too high.

According to Cointelegraph, CryptoQuant pointed out in a report that Bitcoin faces a risk of correction after reaching the 200-day moving average of $82,400. The agency stated that the 200-day moving average was a major resistance level during the 2022 bear market, and Bitcoin resumed its downward trend after hitting that level in March of that year.The report noted that traders' unrealized profit margin reached 17.7% on May 5, the highest level since June of last year, indicating potential selling pressure from profit-taking. Last week, daily realized profits surged to the highest level since early December, with traders cashing out 14,600 Bitcoins (worth nearly $1.2 billion) on May 4. CryptoQuant stated that such a peak magnitude often signals a local price top during a bear market rebound.If Bitcoin declines, the current support level is around $70,000, which is the average price of all Bitcoin's last trades and has historically been a key resistance turning into support during bear markets.