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first_img Standard Chartered Bank has postponed its prediction for the $20 trillion stablecoin market to 2030

According to a report by The Block, Standard Chartered Bank has postponed its prediction for the stablecoin market to reach a scale of $2 trillion from 2028 to 2030. Geoffrey Kendrick, the bank's global head of digital asset research, stated that the $2 trillion scale estimate remains unchanged, but he believes the market will need an additional two years to reach it. Over the past 12 months, the supply of stablecoins has remained in the range of $300 billion to $320 billion, currently around $309 billion. Kendrick believes this slowdown is cyclical rather than structural, as it occurs during a period of weak activity in the cryptocurrency market.Kendrick pointed out that despite the stagnation in supply growth, the use and trading activity of stablecoins continue to rise. The on-chain original transfer amount set a monthly record of $19 trillion in May, with an average monthly scale of nearly $10 trillion this year, higher than the $4 trillion expected in 2025.The monthly average circulation velocity, which measures the number of times each dollar of stablecoin is transferred, has doubled this year to about 30 times, compared to 15 times in 2025, with USDT maintaining around 7 times, while USDC has increased from 45 times to about 80 times. Kendrick stated that the differences stem from different uses, with USDT primarily used for dollar savings in emerging markets, while USDC is more used for payments, financial transactions, and early payments between AI agents.Kendrick expects that competition in stablecoin payments and trading in developed markets will be the most intense, with potential challengers including Open USD, stablecoin infrastructure provider M^0, and the A+ network, which plans to allow banks to issue shared stablecoins and retain reserve earnings.

first_img Author of "The Bitcoin Standard": Bitcoin will fluctuate less than gold and have a larger scale

In a post on platform X, Saifedean Ammous, the author of the 2018 academic work "The Bitcoin Standard," stated that Bitcoin already possesses monetary functions. Holding Bitcoin is equivalent to using Bitcoin as currency. Its limited use as a payment method does not prove that its monetization process will not continue to advance. He believes that as Bitcoin matures, its volatility will be lower than that of gold, and its market capitalization will surpass that of this largest precious metal globally.Ammous's viewpoint is a response to the relevant discussions in the work "Better Money: Gold, Fiat, or Bitcoin?" by American economist Lawrence H. White. White cited content from Chapter 6 of that book on platform X, stating that Bitcoin's supply is fixed and cannot respond to changes in demand, resulting in excessive price volatility, making it difficult to become the reliable medium of exchange that people need. This is also the reason why stablecoins have surpassed Bitcoin in trading volume.Similar judgments have been made in the industry previously. In May 2025, André Dragosch, the European research director at Bitwise, told Cointelegraph that their internal forecast predicts Bitcoin will reach $1 million by 2029, at which point its market capitalization could be comparable to gold. However, Bitcoin's current market capitalization of approximately $1.6 trillion needs to grow at least 18 times to exceed gold's nearly $29 trillion market capitalization and become the largest asset in the world.

Tencent's internal testing personal investment analysis assistant "Rena Lancaic", supports connecting to WeChat

According to "Du Jia," Tencent is conducting a small-scale test of its personal investment analysis assistant "Rena Lan Cai," which has a PC version and a WeChat mini-program, supporting connection to WeChat. This product is positioned as an AI assistant for individual investors, helping users obtain and understand market and company information, and is currently in a small-scale testing phase.The web version breaks down the investment research workflow into visual modules, with core features including market quick reads, individual stock tracking, and AI Q&A. The market quick read summarizes global market dynamics, continuously updated in the morning, noon, closing, and evening, and associates market information with the user's watchlist; the left sidebar allows users to customize stocks of interest and displays real-time market data, while the right side features an intelligent Q&A panel linked to the day's quick read content, supporting follow-up questions about industry rankings, cash flow in financial reports, and more. In addition to the PC version, Rena Lan Cai is also launched as a WeChat mini-program, with basic functionality aligned across both platforms and conversation records shared. The product also appears in the WeChat chat list as a WeChat ClawBot intelligent entity, allowing users to directly access investment research capabilities in the chat window.The report states that Alibaba is also internally testing its AI investment research product Qovest, and Baidu's previously released Kuku AI is also focusing on investment research, as major companies collectively enter the personal investor AI investment research space. Rena Lan Cai essentially serves as an investment research assistance tool, not providing investment advice and avoiding direct trading compliance red lines.

first_img Mysten reported the first native quantum-resistant Devnet transaction of Sui, with the mainnet target set for the first quarter of 2027

Mysten Labs reports that the Sui network has completed its first native post-quantum Devnet transaction. This Devnet implementation introduces the ML-DSA-65 account signature, allowing accounts to authorize transactions directly using this post-quantum signature scheme. ML-DSA-65 belongs to the ML-DSA series defined by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) FIPS 204 standard, and Sui uses it as the native protocol signature scheme for everyday accounts.Sui is also planning to introduce a hash-based SLH-DSA-SHA2-128s (FIPS 205) for high-value vaults in Move smart contracts. The two schemes are based on lattice-based and hash-based mathematical problems, respectively, so a weakness in one scheme will not affect the other. Since Sui keys are deterministically derived from seeds, users can migrate to post-quantum keys using existing mnemonic phrases; the already launched address aliases allow accounts to update authorization keys without transferring assets.Post-quantum accounts are being rolled out in an optional, incremental manner, following the online path of zkLogin and passkey. Sui states that the goal for the post-quantum vault is to go live on the mainnet within this year, with the native ML-DSA-65 accounts aiming to enter the testnet by the end of the year, and the mainnet native account authentication goal set for the first quarter of 2027, with the final timeline depending on independent audits and testnet feedback.
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