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According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction on Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage," the "Match Winner" sub-market option "Spirit" has experienced a drastic fluctuation in win rate, dropping from 81.5% an hour ago to the current 40.5% (a fluctuation of 41%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to CoinDesk, Peter Hughes, founder and CEO of global financial services company Apex Group, stated that if the United States continues to delay cryptocurrency legislation or fails to establish a clear and definitive regulatory framework for digital assets, it may lead to related businesses shifting to Asia, the Middle East, and Bermuda.He believes that these jurisdictions are advancing more quickly and have the opportunity to fill the regulatory void left by the United States.Hughes also mentioned that Europe will not benefit from this, arguing that its Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) is evolving slowly and has many restrictions. The U.S. CLARITY Act did not receive the 60 votes needed to advance in the Senate in September due to controversies over ethical clauses and stablecoin rewards. The bill aims to clarify federal regulatory rules for digital assets and delineate the regulatory responsibilities of the SEC and CFTC.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction on Polymarket for the event "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage," the sub-market "Map 3 Round Spread: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)" has seen a drastic fluctuation in the winning probability of the "Aurora Gaming" option, dropping from 50% an hour ago to the current 22.5% (a fluctuation of 27.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Axios, a U.S. intelligence memorandum warns that Iran's plot to assassinate American officials overseas has entered a "high-level stage."

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Pelicans vs. Jazz" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 18.5" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win probability, dropping from 47.5% an hour ago to the current 30% (a fluctuation of 17.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction on Polymarket for the event "Gold Digging vs. Thunder," the sub-market "Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 7.5" has seen a dramatic fluctuation in the probability of the "Yes" option, soaring from 36% an hour ago to the current 53% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin has prohibited all Pentagon personnel from using non-public information to place bets on upcoming military operations, involving prediction market platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. In a memo sent to senior Pentagon officials and defense agencies on Tuesday, he stated that all Department of Defense personnel are prohibited from using non-public information for financial transactions, with the relevant restrictions covering both classified and unclassified information.Austin wrote in the memo that adversaries will observe movements in these markets, and the safety of U.S. military personnel often depends on the enemy not knowing what is about to happen. He also pointed out that, aside from operational security, financial betting can distort judgment: a logistics personnel betting on the date of an operation will be concerned about that date, and an analyst holding a position on the outcome will also be concerned about that outcome.Before this directive was issued, U.S. Army soldier Gannon Ken Van Dyke was charged in April for allegedly profiting over $400,000 on Polymarket by using classified information regarding the operation to capture Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro. Prosecutors claimed he participated in the planning and execution of the operation and used advance knowledge to bet on the outcome of Maduro's ousting; he pleaded not guilty to all charges. In February, Israeli authorities also arrested and charged a military reservist and a civilian for allegedly using classified information to bet on events related to Israeli strikes against Iran on Polymarket.

According to EU-Startups, the Barcelona venture capital platform Masia has announced the completion of a €18 million first-phase fundraise, which will invest in early-stage AI and cutting-edge technology companies associated with Barcelona. The fund has the support of over 70 limited partners, including tech founders, corporate executives, and seasoned investors, with two institutional investors also participating.Masia has also opened Masia House in the Gràcia district of Barcelona, covering an area of 1,000 square meters, consisting of four floors, providing office space, meeting rooms, accommodation for visiting investors, and a terrace event space.

According to Ramp's tracking of payment data from over 70,000 U.S. companies, approximately 80% of Anthropic and OpenAI's enterprise revenue comes from the top 1% of clients. In August and September, enterprise Token spending saw nearly zero growth for two consecutive months; although it reached a historical high at the beginning of October, it was only 1.5% higher than the peak in August.According to Ornn data, the actual Token price index for Anthropic fell from over $1.70 in mid-September to $0.83, a decline of more than 50%, while OpenAI's corresponding index was $0.45. According to YipitData, the top 1% of Anthropic's clients contributed 46% of revenue in August, up from 25% a year ago. Ramp data shows that the paid adoption rate for enterprise AI in September only increased by 0.62 percentage points to 55.9%. Ramp's chief economist Ara Kharazian believes that growth is shifting from expanding the paid user base to enhancing the depth of use among existing users.Goldman Sachs warns that the growth rate of Token demand must exceed the decline in prices to support sustained investment in computing power. Apollo's chief economist Torsten Slok pointed out that companies are highly sensitive to computing power prices, and price reductions may not necessarily lead to sufficient new demand. Goldman Sachs data also shows that the realized return on invested capital for Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle has dropped from 40% to 25%, the lowest since 2016.

According to a report by the Korean News Agency, Lee Won-ik, Chairman of the Financial Services Commission, stated during a comprehensive inspection at the National Assembly's Political Affairs Committee regarding the taxation of virtual assets to be implemented next year, "Various circumstances need to be fully considered." On the same day, People Power Party member Song Yeon-sik questioned whether to abolish or postpone the taxation, stating that the nature of digital assets and policy direction have not yet been determined, and that the "Basic Law on Digital Assets" should be prioritized. Lee Won-ik responded that the relevant legislation on digital assets is in the final negotiation stage and discussions will be promoted as soon as possible; regarding taxation, opinions from various parties are diverse, and collection of opinions is still ongoing.The taxation of virtual assets in South Korea was introduced in 2020 through amendments to the Income Tax Act, having been postponed three times previously. The government is currently advancing administrative procedures according to the timeline for implementation in January next year, but some in the industry and even within the ruling party believe that due to unclear standards and insufficient infrastructure, the timing for implementation is not yet mature.

Vantage Bank and Rio Bank completed principal and interest payments for loan participants using the loan service platform Participate, utilizing tokenized deposits from Hazel Network. Participate stated that after Vantage submitted the payment, the platform completed the distribution of principal and interest, with tokenized deposits reaching the recipient's digital wallet in less than 3 minutes. The loan balance and payment notifications were automatically updated in sync, connecting the traditional processes that relied on wire transfers, spreadsheets, and email notifications. This payment was announced on October 19.This payment marks the first implementation of the collaboration between the two banks that began in April this year. Custodia CEO Caitlin Long confirmed that the transaction occurred on the Ethereum mainnet. Hazel was jointly developed by Vantage and Custodia: Participate (a subsidiary of BankLabs) provides loan workflows and payment instructions, Vantage offers banking services and reserves, and Custodia is responsible for wallets, blockchain operations, compliance, and reconciliation monitoring.According to the Hazel white paper, this settlement model includes both on-chain and traditional bank ledger records, with transactions permitted only for authorized participants, while customer identities and account information are kept off-chain. Participate plans to offer tokenized deposits and Fedwire payment automation services to 750 banks for loan participation and syndicate payments.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5" for the event "Hornets vs. Nets" on the prediction market Polymarket has experienced a sharp fluctuation, dropping from 73% an hour ago to the current 54.5% (a fluctuation of 18.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

South Korean JB Financial Group announced that it has invested in the artificial intelligence company Upstage through its subsidiaries Jeonbuk Bank, Gwangju Bank, and JB Woori Capital. The three institutions collectively invested 40 billion Korean won (approximately 30 million USD) in its C-2 round of financing, acquiring about 2% equity.Previously, Upstage co-founder and CTO Hwalsuk Lee revealed that the company is considering various capital market options, including an IPO, and is also contemplating initiating a Pre-IPO round of financing.

The Liquid Network officially announced the progress of the phased recovery, stating that the network recovery work has entered the final stage, focusing on strengthening security mechanisms, conducting independent audits, and gradually restoring the redeeming function of pegged assets.In terms of functional recovery, the network will first gradually open semi-automated BTC and LBTC exchange services, coordinating with participating exchange service providers to implement this service, which itself does not impose transaction volume limits at the protocol layer.In the next phase, the Liquid Network will restore the 1:1 Bitcoin reserve support for the network, and then gradually reopen the Federation redeeming function to authorized PAK key holders, but the full restoration of related functions still depends on the completion of remaining security checks and operational requirements.

Cryptocurrency market analyst Darkfost expressed the view that the Bitcoin market is currently in a stage of insufficient investor confidence, with both buyers and sellers hesitant. The current profit supply ratio has fallen from a previous brief breakthrough of 60% to 53.8%, approaching the breakeven line of 50%. This indicator excludes Bitcoin held for more than 10 years to better reflect the current state of the circulating market.It is not uncommon for this situation to occur at the end of a bear market. After the market experiences a phase of sell-off and capitulation, and the profit supply ratio falls below 40%, it usually takes some time to regain the 50% level. The restoration of investor confidence and the formation of new demand require time, and the market still needs to wait for investor behavior to gradually stabilize, driving continuous improvement in profit status.

According to FNNews, South Korea's JB Financial Group announced that it is investing in the artificial intelligence company Upstage through its subsidiaries Jeonbuk Bank, Gwangju Bank, and JB Woori Capital. The three institutions collectively invested 40 billion Korean won (approximately 30 million USD) in its C-2 round of financing, acquiring about 2% equity.Previously, Upstage co-founder and CTO Hwalsuk Lee revealed that the company is considering various capital market options, including an IPO, and is also contemplating launching a Pre-IPO round of financing.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays" on Polymarket, the "Over" option in the sub-market "O/U 6.5" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 53.5% an hour ago to the current 37.5% (a fluctuation of 16%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

White Whale Labs released a study titled "The Audit Of The Memecoin Casino," stating that since late August, it has recorded all Pump.fun and Stonk new coin transactions on Solana, covering over 1 million liquidity pools and 7.7 million wallets with 384 million exchanges, with data exceeding 56 GB and 820 million rows. This dataset adds 18 to 25 million transactions daily, with up to about 1 million wallets and over 60,000 newly issued projects.The study claims that among the coins that have had real transactions, about one-tenth will double within the following 24 hours. Among 22.8 million first purchases within two weeks, 17% doubled before a 40% drop; using a doubling take-profit and a 40% drop stop-loss while accounting for costs, the average loss per transaction is about 19%. Clusters consisting of 450 to 2000 wallets often concentrate their purchases within one to two minutes after going live, with the doubling ratio for related coins being 28% to 46%, and their entry doubling before a 40% drop is 50% to 60%, higher than the 17% of other wallets. The daily count of groups tracked is between 9 and 33.Copy trading tests show that entering two minutes behind large clusters results in a single coin loss of 41% for 93 coins, with a median drop of 95%; tracking groups with positive records still shows a single coin loss of 11%, and backtesting a single wallet shows a single transaction loss of 20%. A few tight-knit groups made about 10% profit on 16 coins. Neural networks increased the doubling ratio from about 10% to 26%, but out of 771 selections over 8 days, daily results were negative, with an average loss of about 11%, a median drop of 45%, and 55% triggering stop-loss within 24 hours. White Whale Labs stated that after spending thousands of dollars on API, VPS, and model costs, no monetizable advantage was found, and they believe that meme coin trading is almost entirely driven by cluster wallets.

According to Bloomberg, Spencer Applebaum, General Partner and Co-Head of Venture Capital at Multicoin Capital, stated that unlike institutions such as Paradigm, Framework Ventures, and Haun Ventures, which are expanding their investment scope beyond the crypto space, Multicoin will not extend its investment scope to pure AI projects, as its strengths lie in the crypto field, and believes that many investors are "forcing" a search for intersections between crypto and AI.The $422 million venture capital fund raised by Multicoin in 2022 has been deployed slowly due to the decline in valuations of startup projects following the collapse of FTX. Spencer Applebaum also mentioned that HYPE remains the largest position in Multicoin's hedge fund. Currently, Multicoin's assets under management stand at $2.7 billion.

According to Bloomberg, Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson stated that as the three-month stock market correction enters its final stage, investors should be prepared to buy on dips.Historically, in similar situations, high-quality stocks typically outperform by 7.5% in the following year.