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According to Gate market data, the US dollar index DXY has recently dropped nearly 20 points, currently reported at 99.06.

According to NADA NEWS, ReYuu Japan, a company listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange Standard Market, announced that, after mutual consultation, it has terminated the basic agreement reached with the Canadian investment company Universal Digital Inc. regarding a financing framework of up to $100 million (approximately 15 billion yen).The agreement was originally intended to promote external financing arrangements related to its cryptocurrency asset reserve (DAT) strategy, but it was not a formal loan contract, and the establishment of the financing framework or actual borrowing had not been completed. ReYuu Japan stated that the capital market environment for listed companies implementing cryptocurrency asset reserve strategies has changed, and investor attitudes have become more cautious; this termination does not mean that its cryptocurrency asset reserve strategy is halted, and it will continue to assess based on market conditions, financial stability, and shareholder value.

According to Cointelegraph, NYDIG research director Greg Cipolaro stated that if the U.S. Senate's cryptocurrency market structure bill does not pass before August, it may completely fail after the midterm elections. Cipolaro pointed out that the Senate Banking Committee passed the bill along party lines last week, but it needs 60 votes to pass in the Senate. Congress will be in recess from late July to early September, and then enter the pre-midterm election period, making it unlikely that Senate leadership will schedule a controversial 60-vote vote.If this window is missed, the most likely path is a post-election lame-duck session. If the Democrats control the Senate after the midterm elections, the current Republican-supported bill is unlikely to advance in the new Congress in January. Cipolaro stated that lawmakers face a choice: either accept an imperfect bipartisan framework or confront a drastically different legislative environment after the midterm elections. The White House's cryptocurrency advisors previously aimed to pass the bill by July 4, but Cipolaro believes a more realistic window is from June to early August.

On-chain data analyst Murphy stated that the change in the relationship between cost basis and price behavior is one of the best perspectives for observing BTC forming a bottom structure, and the "1-3 month short-term holder cost basis" (1-3m_RP) is the most effective reference.The formation of each round of bear bottom structures is accompanied by a gradual shift in the short-term holder cost basis (1-3m_RP, yellow line). Taking previous cycles as examples: in 2015-2016, BTC oscillated around the short-term holder cost basis for a long time after first breaking through it; in 2019-2020, BTC strongly broke through the short-term holder cost basis and then entered a small bull market; in 2022-2023, BTC broke through the short-term holder cost basis, then retested it a second time, and after gaining support, rebounded again.Since BTC broke through on April 15, it has remained above the short-term holder cost basis. However, regardless of how the trend develops next, a bottom will eventually form, and BTC will break through the yellow line and inevitably turn. Analysts believe that the important thing is not to predict the specific trend, but to prepare in advance and allocate positions reasonably. The trends from previous years are only examples and not investment advice.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that Bitcoin has recently attempted to break through the $82,000 level three times, but each time it faced a pullback. During each rebound, the STH-SOPR indicator rose to around 1 before weakening again, indicating that short-term holders are taking profits during the uptrend rather than continuing to hold.Currently, $82,000 is not only a key resistance level from a technical perspective but also an important selling pressure zone from a market behavior perspective, having formed a strong selling pressure area.

On-chain analyst Darkfost stated that the supply of Bitcoin held by long-term holders (LTH) continues to increase, currently rising to 15.26 million BTC, the highest level since August 2025.In the past 30 days, the LTH supply has increased by approximately 316,000 BTC, in stark contrast to a net decrease of 650,000 BTC over the 30 days at the end of November last year, when a large amount of Bitcoin flowed out of long-term holders' wallets.Darkfost indicated that this suggests that some investors who accumulated Bitcoin about six months ago are still continuing to hold.

According to Axios, American Republicans are increasingly dissatisfied with the flow of political donations in the cryptocurrency industry, demanding that the pro-crypto super PAC Fairshake, which holds about $165 million in funds, clarify its stance and focus on supporting Republican candidates in the 2026 midterm elections.Republicans pointed out that, against the backdrop of significant progress in promoting pro-crypto legislation such as the CLARITY Act, Fairshake has yet to announce specific election investment plans, which is disappointing. The points of contention include:Ohio Democratic Senate candidate Sherrod Brown: Fairshake spent over $40 million in 2024 to defeat incumbent Senator Brown, but Brown's attitude towards the cryptocurrency industry has noticeably softened in recent years.New Hampshire Congressman Chris Pappas: His Stand With Crypto rating rose from "F" to "A" within 8 months, and Republicans initially expected Fairshake to focus on his campaign.In response, Fairshake supporters stated that it is still too early to speak out and emphasized that the PAC is bipartisan in nature, aiming to "reward supporters and punish critics," rather than unconditionally supporting a particular party. Some pro-crypto Republicans (such as the Winklevoss brothers) have established separate independent groups specifically to support Republican candidates.

Analyst Axel Adler Jr posted on the X platform that Bitcoin was rejected again at $82,000, marking the third failure at this level. The short-term holder SOPR indicator has still not managed to stay above 1, indicating that short-term holders continue to sell during each rebound. Currently, crude oil is close to $106, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has dropped by 537 points, and interest rates face the risk of remaining high for a long time.

According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin recently fell below $79,000 after facing significant selling pressure around $82,000. Market analysis suggests that the current BTC trend is highly correlated with the U.S. small-cap stock index, indicating that it is still viewed by the market as a "risk asset" rather than a safe-haven tool. Analysts point out that the escalating situation in Iran, rising oil prices, and concerns about a global economic recession are continuously suppressing market risk appetite. Meanwhile, the funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual contracts has recently turned negative, indicating a significant lack of demand for leveraged long positions, and traders remain cautious about short-term increases. However, the report suggests that in the medium term, large-scale capital outflows from the fixed income market may actually be beneficial for BTC.As global government bond yields rise to decades-high levels, investors are gradually withdrawing from the bond market, and some liquidity may flow back into risk assets, including Bitcoin. Currently, the yields on 10-year U.S. and European government bonds have both reached multi-year highs, while Brent crude oil prices have also surpassed $100, exacerbating market concerns about inflation and economic pressure.

Cryptocurrency analyst Marcel Pechman stated that Bitcoin rapidly fell back after being rejected at $82,000 on Friday, dropping below $79,000. The movement is highly synchronized with the U.S. small-cap stock index, indicating that macro factors are the main driving force behind this round of decline. The Russell 2000 index, which covers small and medium-sized enterprises, has a higher capital cost and is more sensitive to interest rate trends. The high correlation between Bitcoin and this index suggests that the market currently characterizes Bitcoin as a risk asset rather than a safe-haven tool.The funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual contracts briefly turned deeply negative on Thursday and remained close to 0% on Friday, with continued absence of long leverage demand—this indicator has been below the neutral threshold of 6% for several weeks. Multiple attempts to breach $82,000 have failed to boost market confidence. Macro pressures have been piling up: the outcome of the U.S.-China summit disappointed the market, with no specific tariff agreements reached aside from a commitment to accelerate U.S. agricultural exports over the next three years; meanwhile, the ongoing war in Iran continues to weigh on market sentiment, with Brent crude oil prices jumping from $99 to $106 in the past week, further exacerbating inflationary pressures.Additionally, the inflation-adjusted Shiller price-to-earnings ratio shows that the S&P 500 index is currently only about 5% lower than its peak during the internet bubble in January 2000, indicating a significant contraction in overall market risk appetite. However, the massive sell-off in the fixed income market may provide mid-term support for Bitcoin. The yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds has risen to its highest level in over 20 years, while the yield on the Eurozone's 10-year government bonds has also surged to 3.18%, a 15-year high. Analysts believe that in response to recession risks, central banks may be forced to inject liquidity, and funds flowing out of fixed income may ultimately seek other asset allocations, with Bitcoin likely to benefit from this.

According to Gate market data, the US dollar index DXY has risen slightly in the short term, currently reported at 99.19. Meanwhile, the South African Rand has fallen by 1% against the US dollar.

According to The Block, Sharplink CEO Joseph Chalom stated that the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq are advancing 24/7 trading, and the U.S. Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation is promoting tokenized collateral, along with Bullish's acquisition of Equiniti, indicating that the public equity on-chain process may be faster than the market expects.Meanwhile, several Ethereum reserve companies have significantly retreated from their summer 2025 highs, with a noticeable contraction in the market value to net asset value ratio. Chalom mentioned that some companies are under pressure due to prematurely issuing preferred stock or convertible bonds; Sharplink focuses more on equity financing and staking yields while trying to keep the balance sheet simple.He also stated that over the past year and a half, Bitcoin and Ethereum have behaved more like risk assets, but as stablecoins, tokenized assets, DeFi, and AI applications expand on Ethereum, Ethereum may further differentiate from Bitcoin in the long term.

According to Jinshi News, the USD/JPY briefly plunged over 70 points, reaching a low of 157.57, and has now rebounded to 157.81.

According to Jinshi reports, the USD/JPY exchange rate briefly fell nearly 40 points to 157.74, currently reported at 157.98.

According to QCP Capital analysis, BTC is currently consolidating around $82,000, close to the 200-day moving average, with $80,000 support holding steady, but the $84,000 resistance above has not yet been broken. The core CPI for April year-on-year is 2.8%, slightly above expectations, mainly driven by housing costs (owner's equivalent rent), while core goods inflation remains sluggish, and the transmission of tariffs has not yet fully spread.Core services (excluding housing) inflation has accelerated for three consecutive months, combined with China's PPI turning positive for the first time in 41 months, the global commodity deflation dividend may be fading, and the threshold for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates has been raised further. The market is currently focused on three major catalysts: the meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping in Beijing (involving trade, rare earths, and Middle East issues), the release of PPI data, and the Senate Banking Committee's review process of the CLARITY cryptocurrency regulatory bill. Before these catalysts materialize, spot prices may continue to fluctuate within a range, with volatility remaining low.

According to The New York Times, the venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) and its co-founders Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz have disclosed a total of over $115 million in federal donations during this midterm election cycle, surpassing George Soros ($102.9 million), Elon Musk ($85 million), and Jeff Yass ($81.8 million), making them the largest known political donor in this election cycle.Compared to the approximately $63 million in donations for the 2024 election cycle, this round of donations has seen significant growth. Notably, on November 6, 2024 (the day after the election), a16z injected over $23 million into a major super PAC in the cryptocurrency industry, indicating that its political strategy has a clear long-term intention.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that despite the challenges posed by the US-Iran conflict and inflationary pressures on the market, there have been recent signs of recovery in the altcoin market. He pointed out that after experiencing an overall correction of over 50%, the altcoin sector is gradually regaining activity. This round of adjustment is influenced not only by the BTC correction but also by the dilution of market tokens. Currently, there are approximately 51 million altcoins in the market, with 46% deployed on Solana, 36% on Base, and 10% from the BSC chain.He noted that the overall performance of altcoins listed on Binance has returned to levels seen since September 2025. Currently, about 21% of altcoins listed on Binance have regained their position above the 200-day moving average, while only 2% of tokens maintained above this key technical level in February of this year.Darkfost believes this indicates that market interest in altcoins is gradually rising, which is an important signal for investors looking to allocate to altcoins. However, he also emphasized that it is still too early to determine if the "altcoin season" has begun, as market liquidity remains limited.

The Gate market shows that the gold contract underlyings XAU and PAXG have both fallen below the 4700 USD mark, currently reported at 4698.9 USD and 4694.5 USD respectively. The 24h price changes are -0.59% and -0.45%.Against the backdrop of short-term volatility, Gate continues to be active in contract trading. According to Coinglass data, the 24h trading volume for Gate XAU contracts reached 203 million USD, with a price increase of 10.86%, and an open interest of 114 million USD; the 24h trading volume for Gate PAXG contracts was approximately 3.4214 million USD, with an open interest of about 11.0763 million USD.Gate has pioneered the metal contract trading sector, providing 24/7 uninterrupted trading, offering users greater strategic flexibility and asset management efficiency in volatile markets. Gate contracts cover various traditional financial assets including stocks, metals, foreign exchange, indices, and commodities, supporting trading of core underlyings such as gold, silver, and globally popular stocks. Gate continues to build a more efficient and professional multi-asset one-stop trading platform for global users.

According to a report by Cryptopolitan, a market report released by Wintermute indicates that Bitcoin's breakthrough of $80,000 is primarily driven by a short squeeze in the perpetual futures market, rather than by spot demand. Over the past month, Bitcoin futures open interest has increased by about $10 billion to $58 billion, while spot trading volume has dropped to a two-year low. When Bitcoin surpassed $70,000, a large number of shorts were forced to close their positions, triggering a buying spree that pushed prices higher. Wintermute warns that the rally, lacking support from spot demand, is fragile, and the market may face a sharp reversal.In the long term, recent net inflows into spot ETFs have reached $623 million, and the exchange's Bitcoin inventory has fallen to a seven-year low, but these factors are not enough to offset short-term risks. The U.S. CPI data being higher than expected and the uncertainty surrounding the nomination of the Federal Reserve Chair may also exacerbate market pressures. Wintermute states that $85,000 is still a possibility, but the risk-reward ratio for buying at the current price level is poor.

Glassnode data shows that Bitcoin long-term holders (LTH) experienced an unrealized loss of 15% at the beginning of April, while in previous deep bear markets, this indicator exceeded 75%. This indicates that despite the recent significant pullback in Bitcoin, the pressure faced by long-term holders is only a small fraction of historical cycle lows, and their belief in holding has not been tested to the same extent.