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4E: BTC slightly retraced, Cathay obtaining a license is positive for market structure

ChainCatcher message, according to 4E observations, as of June 27, 2025, 4:00 PM (UTC+8), Bitcoin (BTC) is currently priced at $107,328, fluctuating in the range of $108,084 to $106,708 over the past 48 hours. The overall technical outlook is neutral; although volatility has slightly narrowed, there is still no clear breakout trend. Major cryptocurrencies are performing steadily, with Ethereum (ETH) hovering around $2,430, while Solana and Cardano have dropped about 2%. The total market capitalization of the crypto market has slightly decreased, with investors returning more to mainstream assets and tending to adopt a wait-and-see approach.On June 24, Guotai Junan International was approved to upgrade its securities trading license to provide virtual asset trading and consulting services. This is the first Chinese-funded brokerage to receive such an upgrade, and its stock price surged nearly 200% in response. This licensing move provides a model for traditional financial institutions to enter the crypto market and enhances confidence in industry compliance.The latest report emphasizes that while crypto assets have the potential to improve cross-border payments and liquidity, they have not yet entered the realm of central bank reserve assets. This statement serves as a reminder to the market that although crypto assets have potential, it will take time for them to be widely recognized as sovereign reserves.The concentration of leverage has put pressure on short-term volatility due to the expiration of a large number of BTC/ETH options, with "Crypto.ro" noting that these options are concentrated around the price "pain point" of $102,000. Meanwhile, Federal Reserve officials mentioned that interest rate cuts need to wait for data support, which continues to put pressure on risk assets in the short term.Overall, the market over the past 48 hours remains influenced by regulatory advancements, macroeconomic data, and geopolitical factors. In the context of compliance processes and institutional entry, the crypto market may experience short-term fluctuations, but the structural driving momentum for the medium to long term continues to grow. 4E reminds investors: short-term volatility is increasing, please pay close attention to regulatory changes and the impact of options expiration, and be sure to control positions and set reasonable stop-losses.

4E: BTC rises to $106,200, the crypto market rebounds, supported by favorable macro and regulatory developments

ChainCatcher message, according to 4E observations, as of June 25, 2025, 14:00 (UTC+8), Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at $106,200, up about 0.8% in the past 24 hours, slightly rising compared to yesterday, showing signs of a rebound. The intraday high reached $106,790, while the low fell to $104,800, maintaining an overall range of $105,000--$107,000. The performance of mainstream coins is mixed, with Ethereum (ETH) rising about 2% to $2,470, and Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA) increasing by 1.5% and 1.2%, respectively. The overall market capitalization of crypto assets has risen to about $3.28 trillion, with trading activity warming compared to the previous day.On the international front, the global financial market is mainly influenced by three key factors:Fed officials leaning dovish: The Fed Vice Chair mentioned in public that "we will wait for inflation and employment data to confirm before deciding on the next steps," which has raised market expectations for a rate cut in July, providing support for risk assets.Stability in the Middle East: Although conflicts earlier this month had heightened market risk aversion, recent reports indicate that parties have reached a preliminary peace agreement, leading to a return of risk-averse funds to the stock, bond, and crypto markets.Stablecoin reform nearing a critical juncture: The U.S. GENIUS Act has received renewed support for advancement in the Senate, while the EU's MiCA has completed revisions to relevant implementation regulations, gradually clarifying the crypto regulatory framework and providing policy support for industry development.The favorable compliance and macro environment continue to improve short-term market sentiment. On-chain data shows a return of long-term funds to Bitcoin holdings, with a noticeable increase in institutional entry trends. Overall, the crypto market has shown a moderate recovery in the past 24 hours, and attention should continue to be paid to the constraints of macro policies and geopolitical dynamics. 4E reminds: although the market is warming moderately, volatility remains high, and it is advisable to control positions, set reasonable stop-losses, and closely monitor risks from macro and policy changes.

4E: Bitcoin fluctuates at a high level, with risk aversion and hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve suppressing the market

ChainCatcher message, as of June 19, 2025, 14:00 (UTC+8), Bitcoin is at $105,124, with limited fluctuations in the past 48 hours, maintaining between $103,000 and $108,000. The market continues to watch the developments in the Middle East. Bloomberg reports that the U.S. may be preparing to intervene in the conflict between Israel and Iran, triggering a rise in risk-averse sentiment, putting slight pressure on crypto assets.Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates in its latest policy statement and lowered the expectation for rate cuts in 2026. Chairman Powell emphasized a "data-driven" approach and remained cautious about short-term easing expectations, which the market generally interpreted as a hawkish stance. As a result, risk assets came under pressure, gold rose, and the crypto market followed with a correction.Ethereum is at $2,525, down about 0.5% over the past 48 hours; Cardano and Solana both fell over 2.5%, while meme coins like Dogecoin and $TRUMP also declined. Overall market risk appetite has decreased, and trading volume has shrunk.On the policy front, Trump expressed support for the stablecoin regulation bill GENIUS and urged the House of Representatives to pass it as soon as possible. Although this news boosted crypto-related stocks like Circle, overall market sentiment remains conservative. 4E reminds that the current crypto market is at the intersection of macro uncertainty and regulatory transition, with short-term trends still dominated by policy and geopolitical risks. Investors should pay attention to risks and respond cautiously to market fluctuations.

4E: Bitcoin is experiencing a downward fluctuation, with macro pressures and risk sentiment continuing to affect the market

ChainCatcher message, according to 4E observations, as of June 16, 16:00 (UTC+8), Bitcoin (BTC) is currently priced at $106,380, having retreated from a high of $110,300 over the past four days, with a low of $103,700, overall remaining in a weak consolidation range. Although there was an attempt to rebound above $107,000 in the short term, the upward momentum is weak, and bearish sentiment still dominates.The cryptocurrency market is also under pressure. Ethereum (ETH) has fallen below $2,800, and mainstream coins like SOL and AVAX have at one point retraced over 8%, with the total market capitalization dropping to about $3.18 trillion, indicating a continued low risk appetite. On-chain data shows that retail trading activity has weakened, and institutional fund inflows have also slowed.On the macro level, the U.S. reported last week that both CPI and PPI were below expectations, but the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates and released hawkish signals, expecting only one rate cut this year, which triggered market adjustments. The dollar has strengthened in the short term, and U.S. Treasury yields have risen, putting pressure on risk assets.Additionally, there remains uncertainty in the geopolitical situation. The tensions in the Middle East are unresolved, gold continues to rise, while Bitcoin's response has been limited, raising further questions about its safe-haven properties.In terms of regulation, the EU's MiCA regulatory guidelines have entered a substantive implementation phase, with several compliant platforms being approved, which is expected to improve the industry fundamentals in the medium to long term. However, in the short term, the market is still dominated by macro expectations and fund sentiment. 4E reminds investors to pay attention to risks and respond cautiously to market fluctuations.

4E: The cooling of CPI has not changed the oscillating pattern, Bitcoin holds steady at key support

ChainCatcher news, as of June 12, 2025, 14:00 (UTC+8), Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at $107,745, down about 2.3% from the 48-hour high of $110,277. The price has temporarily stabilized after testing the support at $107,500, and is still in a high-level consolidation range. Ethereum (ETH) is hovering around $2,800, and the overall trading volume in the crypto market has slightly decreased, with funds becoming more cautious.The latest U.S. CPI for May showed a month-on-month increase of 0.1% and a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, with core CPI year-on-year at 2.8%, all below market expectations, reflecting a continued moderate decline in inflation. Following the data release, U.S. Treasury yields fell, the dollar weakened, gold prices rose, and risk assets received a short-term boost, but the reaction in crypto assets was relatively mild, indicating that the market has partially priced in expectations of slowing inflation.Despite the favorable data for easing expectations, the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain interest rates at the upcoming rate meeting. Analysts generally believe that the window for rate cuts may be pushed back until after September. Policy uncertainty continues to constrain the market's willingness to take long positions.In addition, Société Générale announced that it will issue a dollar stablecoin in July, and the G7 summit will also discuss multinational regulatory cooperation on crypto assets. The ongoing involvement of traditional finance and regulatory agencies is driving the crypto industry towards compliance and institutionalization, laying the foundation for medium- to long-term development.

4E: BTC strongly rebounded to $109,240, the crypto market is warming up, focusing on Federal Reserve policy and Circle's listing

ChainCatcher news, according to 4E observations, as of June 10, 2025, 14:00 (UTC+8), Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at $109,240, up 3.6% in the past 24 hours, with an intraday high of $110,290, approaching the year's high. Technical indicators show that bullish momentum is regaining control, with the $105,000 support proving to be significantly effective. Mainstream cryptocurrencies such as ETH, SOL, and LINK also recorded gains of 1%-4%, and the total market capitalization of the crypto market has risen above $2.5 trillion, indicating a gradual recovery in investor sentiment.On-chain data shows that institutional funds are continuously flowing into crypto funds. Circle plans to list on the NYSE this week, with a valuation potentially reaching $7.2 billion, combined with expectations for stablecoin legislation, providing medium-term positive support for the market. Although some BTC ETFs still show signs of net outflows, mainstream products like IBIT continue to attract significant capital, indicating stable long-term allocation demand.On the macro front, the U.S. May CPI and non-farm payroll data are about to be released, and the market generally expects that if the data is weak, it will strengthen expectations for a rate cut in September, benefiting risk assets like crypto; the European Central Bank will also hold a policy meeting, and if it releases dovish signals, it will further alleviate global financial pressure.4E reminds that the crypto market is at the intersection of technical rebounds and macroeconomic games, and may continue to perform strongly in the short term. Investors are advised to pay attention to the Federal Reserve's dynamics, the progress of stablecoin legislation, and changes in ETF fund flows, while reasonably controlling their positions to guard against high-level volatility risks.

4E: BTC stabilizes at $105,000, market cautiously awaits signals from the Federal Reserve

ChainCatcher message, as of June 9, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently around $105,596, with a slight increase over the past 24 hours, and a daily fluctuation range of $105,110 to $106,368. The price remains above key support but has failed to effectively break through the $106,500 resistance, indicating that the market is still in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.The overall cryptocurrency market has seen a mild rebound, with a total market capitalization maintaining around $3.3 trillion. Ethereum (ETH) is oscillating around $2,500, while Solana (SOL) and Avalanche (AVAX) have increased by about 1%-2%. Major cryptocurrencies are showing weak trends, and trading volume has not significantly increased, reflecting low investor risk appetite.On the macro front, the market is focused on the upcoming U.S. May non-farm payroll and CPI data to be released this week. If the data is weak, it will strengthen expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, providing support for crypto assets. Conversely, if inflation or employment is higher than expected, it may suppress market upward momentum in the short term.Additionally, there has been some outflow of funds from certain Bitcoin ETFs recently, indicating a cautious sentiment among institutions, which may limit price upside in the short term.Overall, Bitcoin's short-term trend has entered a technical consolidation phase, with the market awaiting guidance from Federal Reserve policy. Investors are advised to pay attention to key macro data, manage their positions wisely, and be cautious of false breakouts and sudden volatility.

4E: BTC breaks key support, the crypto market overall pulls back, waiting for US employment data

ChainCatcher news, in the past two days, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has continued to weaken, retreating from a high of $105,000 to around $101,500, a decline of over 3%. Although there was an attempt to rebound earlier this week, it failed to successfully break through the key resistance level of $107,500, leading to a more conservative market sentiment.The entire cryptocurrency market has also seen a pullback, with the market capitalization dropping to about $2.3 trillion, down over 5% in 24 hours. Ethereum (ETH) has fallen below $3,700, and mainstream coins such as Solana (SOL) and Avalanche (AVAX) have also experienced varying degrees of decline. Analysts believe that the current market lacks clear catalysts for an upward movement, and funds are tending to be cautious.Meanwhile, the international financial market is also full of uncertainties. U.S. Treasury yields rose slightly on June 5, reflecting market divergence regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy direction. Investors are closely watching the non-farm payroll data for May, which is set to be released this Friday. If the number of new jobs falls short of expectations, it may strengthen the market's bets on interest rate cuts within the year, thereby providing support for risk assets.Additionally, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's recent remarks did not clearly address the economic outlook, raising concerns about "dovish expectations falling short." If the employment data is weak, it may reignite expectations for a rate cut in September, which could affect the short-term performance of assets like Bitcoin.4E reminds that the cryptocurrency market is at a critical juncture of macroeconomic games and technical adjustments, and advises investors to remain patient and wait for further clarity from the Federal Reserve and economic data.

4E: Bitcoin price fluctuates and adjusts, U.S. stocks achieve their best performance in May in 30 years, market sentiments are mixed

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, at the beginning of June, the Bitcoin price briefly dipped to $103,700, reaching a recent low, which has attracted market attention. Analyst Captain Faibik pointed out that the current BTC market is fiercely contested, with key support and resistance levels at $103,500 and $107,500, respectively. A breakthrough or breakdown will determine the next phase of the trend. If it can stabilize above $107,500, it is expected to challenge a new high of $117,000; however, if it falls below $103,500, it may return to bear control. Another analyst noted that BTC needs to quickly return above $106,500 to avoid further declines. As of now, the Bitcoin price is approximately $105,435, showing an upward trend in the past 24 hours.Meanwhile, despite facing tariff uncertainties and soaring federal deficits, the U.S. stock market has rebounded strongly. The S&P 500 index rose 6.3% in May, marking the best performance for the same period since 1990, and has increased 1.74% year-to-date, rebounding nearly 20% from April's low. Tech stocks are leading the charge, but funds are also quietly flowing into defensive sectors such as consumer staples, utilities, and healthcare, indicating that the market remains cautious even amid optimism.On the economic fundamentals front, investors are closely watching the May employment report set to be released this Friday. Several economists predict that non-farm payrolls will increase by only 125,000, or below the "break-even growth rate" of 153,000. Continued weakness could trigger a rise in the unemployment rate and intensify bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates within the year.According to 4E, investors should remain vigilant and respond cautiously to short-term market fluctuations until trade policies, employment data, and Federal Reserve dynamics become clearer.

4E: Expectations for interest rate cuts in June heat up, US stocks surge, and the crypto market fluctuates slightly

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, Federal Reserve officials have consecutively expressed support for an earlier rate cut, boosting market sentiment. The U.S. stock market continues its upward momentum, with all three major indices closing higher. The Nasdaq performed particularly strongly, rising by 2.74%, marking the first time since May 2001 that it has recorded three consecutive days of gains exceeding 2%. The S&P 500 rose by 2.03%, while the Dow Jones, affected by some blue-chip earnings reports, had a relatively modest increase of 1.23%. The technology sector led the gains, with the "seven sisters" of technology averaging an increase of about 3%.The cryptocurrency market is experiencing volatile consolidation, with Bitcoin hovering above $93,000. Spot ETFs have seen net inflows for four consecutive days, indicating a noticeable rebound in investor confidence towards risk assets. Ethereum has retreated from $1,800, with spot ETFs showing net outflows again. Other major altcoins have generally fluctuated slightly, with the layer 2 sector leading the gains. The continuous rise over several days has kept market sentiment soaring, re-entering the "greed" zone.The forex and commodity markets are showing a mixed performance. Under pressure from rate cut expectations, the U.S. dollar index fell by 0.47%; the weakness of the dollar boosted oil prices, with crude oil fluctuating upward, and WTI rising over 0.83%; gold prices rebounded, returning to above $3,300, with spot gold rising by 1.77%, reported at $3,346.As several Federal Reserve officials publicly hinted at a possible rate cut in June, the impact of Trump’s tariffs has temporarily faded, leading to a general market rise. The next Federal Reserve meeting is scheduled for May 6 to 7. According to CME Group's FedWatch data, investors generally believe that there will be no change in May, with the probability of a rate cut in June rising to 58%.

4E: Trade tensions ease, US stocks and cryptocurrency markets continue to rise

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, expectations of easing trade tensions have boosted market sentiment. On Wednesday, U.S. stocks opened higher, but towards the end of the morning session, the U.S. Treasury Secretary stated that a comprehensive trade agreement between the two major economies might take two to three years, and Trump will not unilaterally lower tariffs. This suppressed the upward momentum of U.S. stocks, which retraced more than half of their gains. By the close, the S&P 500 rose 1.67%, the Dow Jones increased by 1.07%, and the Nasdaq climbed 2.5%. Tech stocks led the gains, with Tesla and Intel both rising over 5%.The cryptocurrency market's upward momentum has slowed. Bitcoin reached a high of $94,696 yesterday before slightly retreating, reporting $93,576 before the deadline, with a daily increase of 0.64% and a market cap of $1.86 trillion, once again ranking as the eighth largest asset globally. Bitcoin spot ETFs have seen net inflows for four consecutive trading days. Most other major tokens rose, with Ethereum striving to hold above $1,800. The TRUMP coin surged over 40% due to news that Top 25 holders could have dinner with Trump.In the foreign exchange and commodities market, the easing of tariffs stimulated a 0.96% rise in the U.S. dollar index; OPEC+ may further increase production, causing oil prices to drop nearly 2%. International gold prices fell sharply, with spot gold in New York down 2.69% at the close.News about tariff policies continues to disrupt global financial markets, with any slight progress triggering significant volatility. Market trends have deviated from fundamental logic, and policy uncertainty has disrupted traditional signals. Although U.S. stocks have risen for two consecutive days, market sentiment has not truly improved.

4E: Expectations of trade easing ignite the market, with US stocks and the crypto market soaring

ChainCatcher news reports that according to 4E monitoring, Trump made remarks on Tuesday indicating a softening of tariff policies, stating that the tariffs on China are too high and that a significant reduction in rates is expected. With optimistic expectations for China-U.S. tariff negotiations, global trade tensions eased, boosting risk sentiment and leading to a surge in U.S. stocks. The S&P 500 rose by 2.5%, the Dow Jones increased by 2.66%, and the Nasdaq climbed by 2.71%. Major tech stocks recovered from the previous day's losses, with the seven giants index rising by 2.84%.The cryptocurrency market saw a collective rise, with Bitcoin continuing its strong performance. After breaking through the $90,000 mark last night, it accelerated its rise and, following Trump's retraction of his earlier threat to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, it briefly approached $94,000 this morning, reaching a new high since early March, currently reported at $93,063, with a daily increase of 5.6%. Ethereum reversed its recent downturn, surging by 14% and breaking through $1,800. The altcoin market also rose collectively, with the total cryptocurrency market capitalization increasing by 5.4%.In the forex commodities market, the U.S. dollar index rebounded significantly by 0.65%, and international crude oil rose nearly 2%; as risk appetite improved, international gold prices, which had reached new highs for several consecutive days, retraced some gains, with spot gold down 1.25%.Trump's remarks on tariff softening and his moderate stance on Powell shifted the investment atmosphere from previous concerns to optimism. Moving forward, the progress of trade negotiations and the direction of Federal Reserve monetary policy will become the focus of attention.

4E: Trump criticizes Powell again, US stocks plunge, Bitcoin rises against the trend

ChainCatcher news reports that, according to 4E monitoring, Trump has once again launched a fierce attack on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and issued threats to the independence of the Federal Reserve, raising concerns in the market about the decline of the dollar's credibility and a potential downturn in the U.S. economy. On Monday, U.S. stocks faced a "Black Monday," with all three major indices suffering significant losses: the Dow Jones fell 2.48%, the Nasdaq dropped 2.55%, and the S&P 500 declined 2.36%. Tech stocks were hit hard, with Tesla down over 5%, Nvidia down over 4%, and the total market value of the "Big Seven" in U.S. stocks evaporating by $404.6 billion.The cryptocurrency market decoupled from U.S. stocks and rose against the trend. Bitcoin has been rising since yesterday morning, and in the evening, Strategy announced the purchase of 6,556 bitcoins for $556 million (average price $84,785), boosting market sentiment, maintaining stability at $87,000 despite the sharp decline in U.S. stocks. This morning, Bitcoin surged again, reaching a high of $88,877, marking a new high in a month, with a 24-hour increase of 1.42%. Bitcoin is draining the crypto market, with altcoins generally under pressure; Ethereum fell below $1,600, down 3.%; SOL reported at $138.75, with a nearly 24-hour decline of 1.72%.In the foreign exchange bulk market, the dollar index plummeted 0.94% to around 98, hitting a new low in the last 16 months; oil prices fell, with U.S. oil down 2.06%; spot gold rose 2.90%, reaching a new high.Trump's continued attacks on the Federal Reserve have left investors worried. While low interest rates may benefit the stock market in the short term, damage to the independence of the Federal Reserve could weaken its long-term ability to control inflation, threatening the dollar's status as the world's safest asset and undermining the foundation of the U.S. economy. The market is highly vigilant, with risk-averse sentiment surging.
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