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Bitwise CIO: DeFi is expected to lead the crypto market out of the bear market

According to The Block, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan stated that decentralized finance is expected to lead the crypto market out of the current bear market. He pointed out that major DeFi protocols have shown substantial progress: Uniswap DEX's trading volume often exceeds that of centralized exchange Coinbase, and DeFi lending platform Aave has an annual revenue of over $100 million. Hougan believes that the next bull market will focus on fundamentals, and DeFi aligns with this trend.Hougan specifically mentioned Aave Labs' recent governance proposal, which aims to transfer all Aave brand product revenues to the DAO treasury while adjusting the incentive mechanisms between developers and the community. He believes this shift will help address the long-term misalignment between the protocol's success and the token's value; if Aave can achieve this, other DeFi assets may follow suit. He also noted signs of institutional participation, such as BlackRock investing in Uniswap and Apollo investing in Aave competitor Morpho.Additionally, Strategy co-founder and Executive Chairman Michael Saylor stated in an interview with Fox Business that the current crypto market is indeed in a bear market, but "it is much milder than previous cycles" and "will last a shorter time." He mentioned that the banking sector's support for Bitcoin is stronger than it was four years ago, with continuous capital inflow and ongoing technological advancements, and posted on X platform that "spring is coming, Bitcoin is winning."

Nimbus Capital and Chimera Wallet have reached a strategic cooperation of $15 million to expand Bitcoin DeFi infrastructure

According to Crowdfund Insider, Nimbus Capital announced a strategic partnership with the non-custodial wallet Chimera Wallet, built on Bitcoin's VTXO technology, worth $15 million. The aim is to expand decentralized finance (DeFi) capabilities within the Bitcoin ecosystem and promote the development of programmable financial tools on the Bitcoin network.Both parties stated that this collaboration will integrate the underlying security of Bitcoin with the programmable capabilities of the Arkade layer built on Bitcoin, providing users with DeFi-related services including asset exchange, lending mechanisms, liquidity features, fiat deposit channels, and payment integration, while maintaining control over self-custodied assets.Claudio Levrini, founder and director of Chimera, stated that this partnership combines financial expertise with the construction of Bitcoin infrastructure, aiming to enhance the practical application scenarios of Bitcoin while ensuring self-custody. Robert Baker, managing partner of Nimbus Capital, mentioned that this move will help further integrate Bitcoin in institutional and decentralized scenarios.It was introduced that Chimera plans to leverage this collaboration to accelerate product development, including the global promotion of the Chimera Visa card to support BTC and fiat conversion, integration of digital gift cards and merchant gateway systems, enhancement of liquidity and cross-chain interoperability, as well as the development of user-facing features including Swap, yield products, and portfolio management.

Wells Fargo: A massive tax refund is expected to boost Bitcoin prices, with $150 billion flowing into the market by the end of March

According to CNBC, Wells Fargo stated that some taxpayers may receive larger refunds this year compared to previous years, which could drive funds into risk assets such as stocks and Bitcoin. This is due to provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act passed last summer that are favorable to taxpayers in 2025.Additionally, the IRS did not update its withholding tax tables last year, so wage earners are less likely to face surprises from adjustments to taxes already withheld.Wells Fargo noted in its latest analyst report that these factors could lead to as much as $150 billion flowing into the market by the end of March, as over 60% of refunds are issued.The bank's analysts added that the expected liquidity injection could boost Bitcoin as well as stocks favored by retail investors, such as Boeing and Robinhood. Wells Fargo analyst Ohsung Kwon stated in a report on Sunday, "We believe the additional savings from tax refunds—especially for high-income consumers—will flow back into the stock market.""Increased savings will drive speculative sentiment... We expect the 'YOLO' mentality to return." The analysts pointed out that Bitcoin could serve as a proxy indicator for liquidity, signaling a shift in investment patterns. According to Wells Fargo data, domestic liquidity has decreased by $105 billion over the past four weeks, while Bitcoin has retraced about 29% in the past month.

Investment bank TD Cowen: If Trump agrees to fill the Democratic vacancies at the SEC and CFTC, the progress of the CLARITY Act may be effectively promoted

According to The Block, investment bank TD Cowen stated that filling the Democratic vacancies at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission could help advance negotiations on the U.S. crypto market structure bill.The investment bank pointed out that the biggest obstacle to the passage of this bill is not its core framework (i.e., whether digital assets should be regulated as securities by the SEC or as commodities by the CFTC), but rather a political dispute surrounding conflict of interest rules.Democrats are pushing for a ban to prevent senior government officials and their families from engaging in specific financial transactions involving digital assets. TD Cowen noted that, given Trump's involvement in the crypto project World Liberty Financial, this proposal would affect Trump and his family. Bloomberg estimated last month that Trump has made about $1.4 billion from his crypto project. The Trump family also holds a 20% stake in the mining company American Bitcoin.According to TD Cowen, it is unlikely that Democrats will abandon this demand, as the party has used Trump's crypto asset holdings as campaign material ahead of the midterm elections. Last month, no Democratic senators voted in favor of a bill in the Senate Agriculture Committee, citing concerns over Trump's crypto project. It remains unclear whether Democrats will support the Senate Banking Committee's bill.TD Cowen stated that Republicans oppose the proposal because they believe Trump would veto any legislation requiring his family to divest their crypto asset holdings. The report added that this disagreement has already caused a political stalemate, even as industry groups continue to negotiate the crypto regulatory framework.One possible path forward is for both parties to reach a compromise. In this scenario, Trump would agree to fill the Democratic vacancies at the SEC and CFTC. In return, Democrats would accept conflict of interest provisions that would only take effect after the next presidential inauguration.
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