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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Method of defeating opponent is KO/TKO" for the event "UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov" on the prediction market Polymarket has experienced a dramatic fluctuation, rising from 50% an hour ago to the current 90% (a fluctuation of 40%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

Russia's largest bank Sberbank plans to launch cryptocurrency trading infrastructure and digital custody services by December 1 to support the regulated financial system.New regulations for cryptocurrency trading, custody, and settlement in Russia will take effect on September 1, with requirements for licensed intermediaries applicable from July 2027. Public cryptocurrency trading in Russia will be limited to assets that meet strict liquidity and market capitalization thresholds, and the use of cryptocurrency assets for domestic goods and services payments remains prohibited.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $63,080.02 in a single transaction regarding the event "Israel and Iran ceasefire continues" on "July 25." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 96.97%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event of "Israel and Iran ceasefire lasting" on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "July 27" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation, soaring from 50.5% an hour ago to the current 70.5% (a fluctuation of 20%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

Well-known trader Killa (@KillaXBT) posted that the Bitcoin cycle is accelerating, with the last cycle taking only 476 days from the bottom to a new ATH, much faster than the previous two cycles. It is expected that this cycle will also reach a new high before the next halving.Killa, as a quantitative trader focused on BTC, predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025 and has over 200,000 followers on platform X. In mid-April, he shorted Bitcoin at $74,688 and switched to long during the market-wide decline on June 5.

Founder of Strategy, Michael Saylor, stated that digital credit is entering the mainstream allocation range for institutions. STRC has now become the largest holding in the three leading preferred stock ETFs in the United States, with a total related holding size reaching $756 million, involving BlackRock PFF, Virtus InfraCap PFFA, and VanEck PFXF.

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, DEXE reached an all-time high of $49.432 on July 12, began to decline on July 13, and on July 21, the maximum single-day drop reached 88%, with the price falling from $46.93 to $5.648; within 11 days, the decline reached 96.8%, with the price dropping from $49.423 to $1.56.Ai Yi stated that the large capital flows on-chain are primarily from CEX hot wallets, and no anomalies were found except for Ceffu. The custody platform Ceffu has cumulatively transferred 797,900 DEXE to Binance since July 13, divided into 6 transactions, with a total value of $6.15 million, making it the only entity outside of exchanges to transfer over a million dollars in this token.Ai Yi mentioned that due to the Ceffu MirrorX mechanism, DEXE held in Ceffu will generate a 1:1 mirrored position on the exchange, and on-chain asset transfers will be automatically settled afterward; if this mechanism is used for pre-trading, the 797,900 DEXE would correspond to an actual value of $39.44 million. Ai Yi further stated that public information does not show that the DEXE project party has entrusted the tokens to Ceffu, with most tokens stored in the DAO treasury and team-related lock-up contracts; in the official DEXE partnership list, Falcon has supported DEXE as collateral assets for the platform, and Falcon's asset custody institution includes Ceffu, and Falcon Finance is associated with DWF Labs, which is also on the DEXE partner list. Ai Yi stated that the above conclusions are drawn based on on-chain data and public clues, and does not rule out the possibility of related situations involving the project party or other market makers.

According to market news, American defense technology company Anduril is in talks for financing, with a valuation of approximately $100 billion. No decisions have been made regarding future financing yet.It is reported that the company may ask investors to commit to participating in the subsequent second round of financing at a higher valuation.

On-chain data shows that cryptocurrency theft suspect Dritan Kapllani Jr laundered 126.7 ETH again on July 22, worth approximately $239,000.Previously, on-chain detective ZachXBT revealed that Dritan Kapllani Jr is suspected of stealing assets from cryptocurrency holders through social engineering techniques, with a total amount involved reaching $19 million. Dritan Kapllani Jr has long showcased a lifestyle featuring luxury cars, high-end watches, and private jets on social media, and publicly displayed assets worth $3.68 million in his Exodus wallet during a Discord call on April 23, 2026.

A report jointly released by the Bitcoin collateral lending platform CoinRabbit and the computing power platform GoMining points out that managing Bitcoin is more important than mining it. As the block reward drops to 3.125 BTC and the overall network difficulty approaches historical highs, low electricity prices and high uptime only constitute a survival baseline. What truly differentiates mining companies is the method of handling Bitcoin after it is mined.The report suggests that mining companies are shifting from direct sales to collateralized lending to cover recurring expenses such as electricity, custody, and labor. This approach retains exposure to holding Bitcoin while generating cash flow, avoids taxable sales, and preserves the deduction space for operating expenses. The trade-off is that mining companies simultaneously bear the dual risks of price and liquidation when Bitcoin prices decline.Jeremy Dreier, Chief Business Development Officer of GoMining, stated that the miners who can succeed after the halving are those who operate efficiently and have set aside cash in advance for this purpose. The current decline in Bitcoin prices has actually lowered the cost of increasing computing power, creating a window of opportunity for investing in expanding mining machines.

The cryptocurrency exchange BitMEX accelerated the delisting of 65 derivative contracts and spot trading pairs in July, far exceeding the 19 that were delisted in the first six months of this year. The platform attributed the delisting to "insufficient trading interest" and stated that this move is related to its decision to close the exchange. Previously, BitMEX announced that it would officially cease operations on September 23, but did not disclose the specific reason for the closure.Restructuring advisor Roshan Dharia stated that the shutdown of BitMEX reflects the structural pressures faced by mid-sized centralized exchanges: liquidity continues to concentrate on leading platforms, while compliance costs are continuously rising. Earlier, the on-chain analysis platform Bubblemaps revealed that 75% of the total supply of BitMEX tokens BMEX (originally intended for employee incentives, ecosystem growth, and long-term reserves) was never allocated as planned, with the only claim occurring in November 2022. After the shutdown announcement, the price of BMEX dropped by approximately 95%.

Domestic DRAM storage IDM leader Changxin Technology will officially list on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board on July 27, with an issuance valuation of approximately 580 billion yuan and a total fundraising amount of 29.5 billion yuan, of which about 22.066 billion yuan is for equipment purchase and installation costs. Industry insiders believe that 2026-2027 is the golden window period for the introduction of domestic equipment.In terms of the supply chain, on the equipment side, North Huachuang has shipped a large volume of various categories such as etching and thin film deposition, Zhongwei Company continues to validate and mass-produce etching and thin film equipment, Huahai Qingshi CMP equipment has entered the core supply chain, and Jingce Electronics and Jingzhida testing equipment are benefiting simultaneously. On the materials side, Yake Technology precursor products cover advanced process needs, Guanggang Gas provides special gases and bulk gases, Jinhong Gas has a gas production order cycle of 15 years, Tongcheng New Materials ArF/KrF photoresists have entered mass production, Jingrui Electric Materials has a market share of over 40% in high-purity hydrogen peroxide, but high-end photoresists are still in the validation stage, and Debang Technology is in the sample testing stage. On the packaging and module side, Huatian Technology is a packaging supplier, Jiangbolong and Demingli have reached procurement agreements, while Maijie Technology is still in the introduction phase. On the distribution side, Shangluo Electronics has been authorized, and there are expectations for supply strategy adjustments after listing. Several listed companies hold shares indirectly through industrial funds, with Shangfeng Cement holding approximately 0.1517% of the equity before issuance.

According to the Korea Herald, the Financial Services Commission, the Financial Supervisory Service, and the exchange have decided that starting from July 31, the minimum deposit requirement for single stock leveraged ETFs and ETNs will be raised from 10 million KRW (approximately 51,000 USD) to 30 million KRW (approximately 153,000 USD), and only cash will be accepted; stocks, bonds, and other securities will no longer be recognized as collateral. The new regulations apply to both domestic and overseas listed products, and existing investors must also meet the requirements when making additional purchases, but there are no restrictions on selling. In addition, the funds from sales can only be counted as deposits after 2 business days following settlement, and loans secured by the sale proceeds will not count as deposits.The product was launched on May 27, involving 16 underlying assets, with an initial market value of approximately 4.4 trillion KRW, which has expanded to 11.9 trillion KRW as of July 15. Daily trading volume increased from 10.4 trillion KRW on the day of listing to about 13 trillion KRW. Previously, South Korea had suspended the listing of new products and prohibited related advertisements starting from July 16, tightening the discount rate management standard from 3% to 2%. Market rumors suggest that regulators are also considering reducing the number of liquidity providers, widening the bid-ask spread, and lowering the leverage ratio from 2 times to around 1.5 times.

According to a post from Odos's official X account, the operating company of the DeFi liquidity aggregation protocol Odos announced the closure of its business. The specific timeline is as follows: Starting from July 23, new account registrations, new wallet creations, and new limit order functions have been disabled, while existing users can still exchange and close positions normally; from July 27 to 30, the application will switch to read-only mode, allowing users to view historical transaction records and balances; on July 30, all Odos services will be permanently shut down.Odos is a non-custodial protocol, and user assets remain on-chain. Users who created wallets by logging in with social accounts or email must complete asset transfers or private key exports before July 30. In addition, the ODOS token exists independently on-chain, and the company's closure does not affect its on-chain mechanism. Odos DAO will announce subsequent plans separately.