recovery

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that the 30-day change rate of Bitcoin's realized market capitalization turned positive on August 24 after being negative for 87 consecutive days, and rose to +0.88% on September 6. The realized market capitalization reached $1.068 trillion, increasing by $9.36 billion over the past 30 days, indicating an improvement in the on-chain cost basis after a long-term contraction, and continued to rise during the period when Bitcoin's price fluctuated around $80,000.

Vitalik recently updated EIP-8141 "Frame Transaction" proposal, with core improvements including atomic batch execution of up to 64 operations, social recovery (similar to Google account recovery, without the need for a mnemonic phrase), P256 quantum-resistant signatures, and the ability for anyone to pay gas fees for users, significantly enhancing the usability of Ethereum wallets.It is reported that the improvement proposal was co-authored by Vitalik, lightclient, and 10 other experts, and is planned to be included in the 2027 Hegotá upgrade, marking a significant native implementation of Ethereum account abstraction.

U.S. Attorney General Todd Blanche posted on the X platform that this week cybercriminals launched password recovery attacks against hundreds of thousands of X users. The X platform successfully thwarted this attack to prevent user accounts from being hijacked, and the Department of Justice is working closely with X to track down the attackers.

The "Realized Cap Impulse" indicator for Bitcoin has recently ended a continuous 93-day negative state and has turned positive for the first time, marking the longest reversal signal after a capital contraction cycle since the bear market of 2022.This indicator measures the momentum of changes in the realized market capitalization by tracking the changes in realized cap, combined with factors of Bitcoin supply and price, to assess whether the flow of tokens with actual economic significance in the market is driving capital base expansion. The positive shift in the indicator does not merely reflect a price increase but indicates that the flow of funds within the Bitcoin network is changing.Data shows that the indicator broke above the zero axis on August 20 when the BTC price was around $73,000 and has maintained positive values for 8 consecutive days. Currently, the BTC price has risen to about $78,900, an increase of approximately 8% during this period.As of the latest, the indicator reading is 0.198, below the peak of 0.226 reached on August 26. Historical data indicates that similar signals at the end of bear markets have been accompanied by significant rebounds in Bitcoin: after the indicator turned positive in September 2015, Bitcoin rose about 160% within a year; after March 2019, it increased about 173% in 90 days; and after January 2023, it rose about 45% in 90 days, with a yearly increase of 104%.However, the realized cap momentum indicator is not an absolute signal of a cycle bottom. Similar positive shifts occurred in early 2018 and 2022, but the market did not immediately enter a sustained upward phase afterward. Analysts believe that the indicator's continued positive value, confirmed by price trends, is more valuable than a single-day breakthrough above the zero axis.

According to Cointelegraph, Bernstein analysts believe that USDC shows signs of "digital dollar re-inflation," with its supply surging by $2 billion in seven days.The institution maintains an outperform rating on Circle (CRCL), setting a target price of $140, and points out that USDC's trading volume share has surpassed that of USDT.

Geoff Kendrick, the Global Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered Bank, stated that Bitcoin could approach its historical high of $126,000 by the end of the year, with a related recovery potentially accelerating after October 6. He remarked, "For the first time this year, there is a risk that my prediction of $100,000 by the end of the year may be too low."Kendrick pointed out that the recent rise has been primarily driven by short liquidations, but inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs have also begun to recover. The current open interest is low, which may leave room for more investors to re-enter the market as prices rise.In February of this year, Kendrick had lowered Standard Chartered's Bitcoin year-end target from $150,000 to $100,000 and the Ethereum target from $7,500 to $4,000. At that time, he expected Bitcoin to drop to around $50,000 and Ethereum to around $1,400, before recovering over the remainder of the year.

The "whale" has set "10 big goals" and will continue to update its trading trajectory and insights on the X platform tonight. It stated that at the position of 72500, it had considered re-entering a long position and had placed a limit order between 70500 and 71500, but it did not get filled. "I wanted to re-enter the long position that I had previously closed. At that time, I placed a long order in advance between 70500 and 71500, while also placing a short order near 76000. My expectation was that if it first retraced to 70500–71500, I would re-enter the long position; if it did not retrace and quickly surged to around 76000, I would make a correction after a round of upward movement. In the end, the long orders below did not get filled, and after the short order at 76000 was filled, the price continued to rise to above 79000.So looking back, the real mistake in this segment was not the medium to long-term direction, but underestimating the strength of this upward trend and trying to bet on a correction too early."Despite the recent loss on a short position, this whale still stated, "Currently, there is still a profit of around 70 million."

According to the latest stock derivatives exchange ranking released by RootData, the Top 5 exchanges saw a decline in 24h trading volume across the board.Among them, Binance had a 24h trading volume of approximately $21.033 billion, down 31.04%; Hyperliquid had a 24h trading volume of approximately $3.681 billion, down 31.01%; Gate had a 24h trading volume of approximately $2.805 billion, down 43.16%; OKX had a 24h trading volume of approximately $4.7 billion, down 41.39%; and Bitget had a 24h trading volume of approximately $2.2 billion, down 26.92%.At the same time, the positions in the crypto native contract market have significantly increased. According to Coinglass data, the total open interest for Bitcoin contracts is approximately 734,900 BTC (about $54.967 billion), with a 24h increase of 5.65%; the total open interest for Ethereum contracts is approximately 13,140,700 ETH (about $30.917 billion), with a 24h increase of 5.17%.

According to The Information, Microsoft's self-developed artificial intelligence chip project has shown signs of recovery after experiencing a slow start.

According to Jinshi reports, the survey shows that business activity in the Eurozone rose to its highest level in eight months in July, driven by a recovery in the services sector and ongoing improvements in manufacturing.The S&P Global Eurozone Composite PMI rose to 52 in July, above the neutral level of 50 in June, marking the first time this index has entered the expansion zone since March.The Eurozone Services PMI rose to 51.7 in July, reaching a five-month high, up from 49.4 in June.

According to the latest weekly report from Gate Ventures, global risk assets are under pressure due to adjustments in technology stocks, fluctuations in the energy market, and changes in macro expectations, with the cryptocurrency market showing a volatile recovery trend. BTC rose 1.1% over the week, ETH rose 4.4%, pushing the ETH/BTC ratio up by 2.2%, and the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies increased by 1.03%. In terms of capital flow, the net inflow for spot BTC ETFs was only $33.8 million for the week, the lowest level since their launch; the net inflow for spot ETH ETFs during the same period was $103.9 million, indicating an improvement in market sentiment, with the Fear and Greed Index rising to 30, but still in the "fear" range. Meanwhile, the price of STRC under Strategy remained around $86, trading below par for the ninth consecutive week, with the institutional holding ratio continuing to increase, and the market is paying attention to its subsequent performance.In terms of industry development, stablecoin payments and the construction of blockchain financial infrastructure are continuing to advance. KB Kookmin Bank is collaborating with Kinexys, a subsidiary of JPMorgan, to explore blockchain-based cross-border payment services, further promoting traditional financial institutions' layout in on-chain payment scenarios; Kakao and Circle are exploring the payment infrastructure for a Korean won stablecoin, accelerating the application exploration of stablecoins in retail payments and cross-border settlements. In terms of investment and financing, a total of 8 financing transactions were completed last week, with a disclosed total financing amount of $196.5 million, among which the financing scale in the infrastructure sector was the highest, reaching $193 million, and the stablecoin clearing infrastructure project Augustus completed $180 million in financing. Overall, the market's short-term risk appetite remains cautious, but stablecoin payments, on-chain clearing, and financial infrastructure construction continue to attract capital attention.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler stated that the current bear market phase of Bitcoin has seen the highest historical scale of holder realized losses, with the 30-day moving average (30DMA) of realized losses reaching $1.37 billion in February 2026, which is 19% higher than the cycle peak of $1.15 billion in 2022. Data shows that since the February peak, Bitcoin realized losses have decreased by 56.5%, currently down to about $597 million; meanwhile, the scale of realized profits has only slowly recovered to $257 million.Axel Adler pointed out that the sell-off pressure driven by losses has significantly weakened, but the market has not yet seen a sustained recovery in demand, with the rate of loss decline still outpacing the rate of profit recovery. Historically, on February 20, 2026, realized losses reached $1.37 billion, setting a historical high for this metric; the highest realized loss in the 2022 cycle was $1.15 billion, occurring on June 30, 2022. In terms of realized profits, as of July 23, the 30DMA of Bitcoin realized profits was $257 million, a decrease of 92.7% from the peak of $3.51 billion set on December 10, 2024; it was also down 77.7% from when Bitcoin hit its historical high of $124,710 on October 6, 2025. This metric had previously hit a low of $191 million on June 14, 2026, and has since rebounded by 34.7%.Axel Adler indicated that the selling pressure from profits has significantly decreased, and the amount of coins sold for profit is still at a low level in this cycle, but this does not mean that sellers have completely exhausted themselves, nor does it indicate that market demand has recovered. If realized profits continue to rise above $400 million to $500 million, it would further confirm a sustained improvement in the market. Additionally, the Bitcoin realized profit/loss ratio has rebounded from a low of 0.26 in June to 0.43, but it is still below the level of 1. Analysts noted that although the absolute scale of realized losses in the current cycle exceeds that of 2022, the relative market pressure remains lower than in 2022. Since Bitcoin's historical peak, there have been 190 days out of the past 291 days where realized losses exceeded realized profits. Axel Adler warned that if the profit/loss ratio falls below 0.26 again, accompanied by a price drop below the cycle low of $58,535 set on June 30, it could indicate further intensification of market pressure.

Project Eleven has launched a new zero-knowledge proof system, providing a recovery method for the quantum-vulnerable Bitcoin proposed to be frozen under BIP-361, including the Bitcoin held by Satoshi Nakamoto.The solution leverages the property that quantum computers can break elliptic curve signatures but cannot break the one-way hash used in modern wallet key derivation, allowing the true owner holding the seed material to prove control. Benchmark tests show that the Project Eleven prototype is significantly faster than previous solutions, but the prototype has not yet been audited and is incomplete. It requires controversial modifications to blockchain rules before it can protect existing Bitcoin on the chain.

According to Bits.media, Kaspersky security researchers have discovered new malware OkoBot, which steals cryptocurrency wallet recovery phrases and credentials through about 20 modules. Attackers use ClickFix social engineering techniques to trick users into executing malicious commands and spread the malware through GitHub repositories disguised as legitimate tools like SQL Server Management Studio.OkoBot's modules include: SeedHunter, which injects into hardware wallets like Trezor and Ledger, displaying a fake interface when recovering recovery phrases; MC Keylogger, which records keyboard and clipboard activity; and OkoSpyware, which tracks wallet passwords and records window videos.Once attackers obtain the recovery phrases, they can gain complete control over the victim's cryptocurrency assets, making it nearly impossible to recover the funds. Kaspersky stated that OkoBot has been active for over a year, with most victims located in Brazil, Vietnam, Canada, Mexico, and Turkey. Attackers have also implemented geographical blocking on IP addresses from Russia and CIS countries.

According to the latest "Bitcoin Weekly Market Pulse" report published by glassnode, although BTC has rebounded after a recent sell-off, this round of increase is still closer to a "volume contraction recovery." The report shows that the weekly spot trading volume decreased by 21.5% to $4.1 billion, and the spot CVD turned from positive to negative at -$58.8 million, indicating that the breadth of market buying remains weak.In terms of institutional funds, the weekly net inflow of the US spot BTC ETF has recovered to $161.3 million, but ETF trading volume still decreased by 11.97% to $8.4 billion. On-chain data shows that the number of active addresses decreased by 7.6% to 599,000, on-chain transfer volume decreased by 16.1% to $4 billion, and total fees decreased by 13.9% to $168,400, indicating that on-chain activity continues to weaken.In terms of derivatives, the futures funding rate increased by 13.4% to $1.9 million, but the perpetual contract CVD plummeted by 81.7% to $83.9 million; at the same time, the options market 25-Delta Skew rose to 18.87%, indicating that investors still maintain strong demand for downside protection during the rebound process.

According to official news, the stablecoin protocol Reflect, supported by a16z, announced the launch of an independent voluntary recovery plan for USDC+ position holders affected by the Drift (now Velocity) April hacking incident: a 180-day window is now open, during which holders can voluntarily sell their positions to Palindrome Engineering at a price of 0.2 USDC + 80 Reflect Credit (RC) per unit, with complete on-chain settlement.The plan is funded in advance by Palindrome and is completely independent of the Drift recovery process. Participation means waiving the right to pursue claims against Drift in exchange for immediate certainty of liquidity; those who do not participate can still support Drift's DFX recovery channel.

According to The Block, Sovright (the nonprofit successor organization related to Electric Coin Company for Zcash development) has officially released a wallet recovery tool named "Argos," aimed at helping early Zcash users recover funds that have been "stuck" due to the discontinuation of the old version of ZEC Wallet Lite in 2022.Sovright's Executive Board Chair Michelle Lai stated that Argos can recover affected assets as long as users still hold the old wallet mnemonic phrases, but since it only involves specific shielded addresses, the scale of the impact cannot be precisely estimated. However, it is estimated that the "amount is considerable," primarily concentrated among early long-term holders.She referred to the issue as a "technical pitfall" that the community has long failed to address, which, although not prominent, continues to erode user trust. Sovright currently consists of only three core members, all from the former Bootstrap system. The team is also testing a privacy-focused Zcash mining pool to reduce hash power centralization and enhance network decentralization.The governance structure of the organization has undergone significant adjustments, with Electric Coin Company employees collectively leaving to establish a new entity, Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL), which has received support from institutions such as Paradigm and a16z, focusing on the development of Zcash-related products.Sovright emphasizes that there is no antagonistic relationship with ZODL and states that it will continue to focus on solving "long-standing issues" in the Zcash ecosystem, including key pain points such as wallet usability and infrastructure stability.

THORChain released an event update stating that the network is entering the final stage of recovery. Currently, the integrity of each node's keyshare is being verified through the new KeyVerify protocol. This step is used to confirm that each vault is in a secure state before the churn begins. If the verification passes, the next major step will be the churn, where the network will transfer all funds to new vaults.THORChain indicated that the churn time is the current main variable, which may take anywhere from several hours to several days. After the churn is completed, subsequent steps are expected to progress quickly, including re-enabling Secured and Trade assets, LP operations, and finally restoring trading. This network recovery has taken longer than expected, as the team has consistently prioritized security and stability, and will continue to share more updates moving forward.

According to Cointelegraph, analysts say that the recovery of Bitcoin depends on the success of the US-Iran peace agreement. On-chain data shows that despite a recent rebound, Bitcoin still appears weak. Nick Ruck, research director at LVRG Research, stated that although Bitcoin briefly recovered to $67,000, "momentum remains weak, with declining trading volume and stagnant on-chain indicators suggesting a lack of confidence in the rebound, which may quickly fade." If the US-Iran ceasefire agreement breaks down, Bitcoin will face a "volatile path," potentially gaining buying interest as a hedge asset, only to be pushed towards key support levels by broader risk-averse sentiment.Swissblock stated on Monday that Bitcoin's price momentum and OBV indicator remain in a state of "weak momentum and low participation," both being negative values. The price momentum indicator is at -1, and OBV is at 1.7 million, at a multi-year low. Swissblock pointed out that in a typical bear market, momentum weakens first, followed by a contraction in OBV, leading to a downward price breakout. History shows that stronger recovery signals appear when both turn positive, and until then, "the risk of retesting the lows remains."