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According to Bloomberg, the prediction market platform Kalshi plans to launch exchange-traded futures contracts tracking the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) and core CPI in December. They are promoting related products to major banks and hedge funds and have hired former Barclays trader Michael Ashton, known as "Mr. Inflation," to design the contracts and expand institutional clients.If launched, this would become a unique futures product directly tracking the CPI, helping institutional investors hedge against inflation and the risks of changes in Federal Reserve interest rates, and allowing Kalshi to further enter the traditional derivatives market dominated by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). Kalshi has confirmed that it is developing CPI futures but has not disclosed specific launch details.

The cryptocurrency wallet Phantom is opening the Kalshi prediction market to users in the United States, allowing users to trade event contracts directly within the Phantom app. This feature will begin rolling out on October 23 and will gradually expand coverage over the coming weeks. Users must first complete Kalshi's KYC.Transactions will be conducted using the CASH stablecoin in the Phantom Cash account, and funds will be converted to fiat currency for settlement after being transferred to Kalshi. Withdrawals and profits will return to Phantom Cash. Phantom currently shows a fee of $0.02 per contract, with a small additional fee for network transfer.Due to local regulatory controversies, Phantom will restrict market categories in certain states: Michigan temporarily blocks sports markets; Nevada restricts sports, elections, politics, and entertainment markets; Washington state has broader restrictions, including categories such as culture, technology, and geopolitics. Phantom's General Counsel Kevin Jacobs stated that the company believes the CFTC's jurisdiction over relevant products is clear and will continue to comply with existing restrictions in various states.

The official announcement from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange reported that the business data for the third quarter of 2026 showed revenue reaching 1.737 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of approximately 13%, setting a new record for the third quarter; net profit was about 1 billion USD.During the same period, the average daily trading volume of all CME products reached 29.4 million contracts, with the average daily trading volume of cryptocurrency derivatives at approximately 196,000 contracts, and the nominal trading volume for the quarter was about 469.5 billion USD. Among them, the nominal trading volume for Bitcoin and Ethereum derivatives was 326.7 billion USD and 118.8 billion USD, respectively.

Binance founder Zhao Changpeng stated, "I am often asked whether my entrepreneurial ideas are feasible, as if my opinion is that important. As long as the team's execution ability is strong enough, 99% of ideas are good.The problem is that 98% of teams cannot execute effectively. Therefore, there is no need to promote entrepreneurial ideas; just demonstrate execution ability."

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, BlackRock ETF-related wallets transferred 3,215 BTC to Coinbase Prime in the past 2 hours, worth approximately 262.41 million USD, and 38,882 ETH, worth approximately 93.22 million USD, with a total transfer amount of about 355.63 million USD.

CoinShares released a report indicating that Bitcoin has shown relative strength this week against the backdrop of renewed volatility in the risk asset market, primarily due to a rebound in spot buying, improved stock market sentiment, and some short covering. Overall, the market is gradually reducing its enthusiasm for the AI narrative and is instead focusing more on whether corporate earnings can meet expectations.The poor performance of some U.S. corporate earnings reports has triggered significant stock price fluctuations, which have also affected Bitcoin to some extent, but it still demonstrates strong resilience overall. Meanwhile, macroeconomic signals in the U.S. remain mixed, with the housing market continuing to weaken. In terms of interest rates, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at the meeting on October 28. The market's expectations for another rate hike in December remain high, with the related probability close to 83%.The weakness in the housing market provides some room for the Federal Reserve to pause rate hikes, but last week's higher-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) data indicate that inflation remains a key factor limiting a shift in policy. If the Federal Reserve unexpectedly raises rates next week, it could trigger more pronounced financial market volatility due to exceeding market expectations; in contrast, maintaining interest rates and continuing to release hawkish signals would be easier for the market to digest. Overall, the current market remains in a state of intertwining bullish and bearish factors. Improved spot demand, Bitcoin's enhanced ability to withstand stock market volatility, and the cooling housing market all provide some support for the market; however, inflationary pressures have not yet dissipated, limiting the Federal Reserve's room to ease policy. The subsequent trend of Bitcoin is expected to remain highly influenced by interest rate expectations and the overall liquidity environment, with the importance of single industry or market catalysts being relatively limited.

According to official news, the crypto technology startup Orochi Network announced that it has raised an additional $8 million in funding, bringing the total funding amount to $20 million. This round of investment received support from MEXC Ventures, Plutus VC, Bolts Capital, Ant Labs, and previous round shareholders. At the same time, Orochi Network also received funding from the Ethereum Foundation.Orochi Network utilizes zero-knowledge proofs (ZKP) to provide audit-compliant infrastructure for RWA tokenization, ensuring the authenticity and security of data. It is committed to building a foundational support for verifiable data infrastructure to enhance institutional trust, promote the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA), and provide secure, auditable solutions for enterprise systems.

Blockchain security company Socket discovered 16 counterfeit Rabby and OKX wallet extensions on the Firefox browser. According to Socket, Mozilla removed these extensions before October 5.Socket pointed out that removing these malicious extensions does not ensure the safety of wallet users whose mnemonic phrases have already been compromised.

AI chip company Cambrian (688256.SH) announced that its operating revenue for the third quarter was 3.531 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 104.47%; the net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was 1.404 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 147.74%.The announcement showed that the company's operating revenue for the first three quarters was 9.526 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 106.76%; the net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was 3.715 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 131.49%. The performance change was mainly due to the company's continuous market expansion and active support for the implementation of artificial intelligence applications. The Science and Technology Innovation Board Daily noted that the company's net profit for the second quarter was 1.298 billion yuan, based on which the net profit for the third quarter increased by 8% quarter-on-quarter.

According to Bloomberg data, the expected price-to-earnings ratio of South Korea's KOSPI index for the next 12 months has fallen to 4.2 times, becoming the first trillion-dollar market on record to drop below the 5 times threshold. Among the 18 markets with a market capitalization exceeding 1 trillion dollars at the beginning of this year, this situation has never occurred with a benchmark index before.The cooling of the AI boom has triggered a sell-off in technology stocks, putting pressure on the South Korean stock market. Although South Korea's exports are approaching 1 trillion dollars, the demand for chips from SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics remains strong, but investors are still unwilling to pay higher valuations for the earnings of related companies. The valuation of the South Korean stock market is now close to that of the Indonesian market, which is facing the risk of an MSCI downgrade, with the discount level further widening. Bloomberg comments that extremely low valuations may create space for future valuation recovery. If sentiment turns, South Korean stocks are expected to outperform other markets in the short term, but it is uncertain when the recovery will start and whether there will be further declines; a low price-to-earnings ratio itself does not mean that it has already hit bottom.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction on Polymarket for the event "Dota 2: 1win vs OG - PARI Universe Group A," the "1win" option in the sub-market "Game 2 Winner" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 58.5% an hour ago to the current 24.5% (a fluctuation of 34%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

QCP stated that the credit risks related to AI infrastructure are accelerating in repricing. CoreWeave's bond yield has risen to about 15% this year, as the market begins to reassess high financing costs and debt sustainability.The related pressure has spread from CoreWeave to the broader neocloud infrastructure sector, dragging down the performance of tech stocks and crypto assets, while pushing funds towards long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.

On October 23, the Central Cybersecurity and Informatization Commission issued the "National Informatization 14th Five-Year Plan." The plan proposes that by 2030, significant progress will be made in our country's informatization, with its role in promoting Chinese-style modernization becoming more prominent. The information infrastructure will consolidate and expand its leading advantages, a three-dimensional network system encompassing land, sea, air, and space will be basically formed, a new generation of communication networks will be fully established, the commercial use of the sixth generation of mobile communication (6G) will be launched in a timely manner, and the national blockchain network will be basically established, with intelligent internet development accelerating.The plan also states that the innovation capability of cybersecurity technology will be significantly enhanced, the technological innovation system will be more complete, and breakthroughs will be achieved in key core technologies in key areas. The cybersecurity industry ecosystem will prosper and develop, with deep integration of digital technology and the real economy, and the comprehensive strength of cybersecurity enterprises will be significantly enhanced. The level of digital, networked, and intelligent applications in economic and social development will reach a new level, empowering economic and social development and significantly improving governance capabilities. Cybersecurity guarantees will be solid and powerful, the legal and regulatory standards system will be more complete, and the concept of a community with a shared future in cyberspace will be deeply rooted in people's hearts.

The press secretary of the President of Russia, Dmitry Peskov, stated that in the first half of November, Russia, the United States, and Ukraine will hold negotiations in Abu Dhabi regarding security guarantees for Russia and Ukraine. Currently, a trilateral format is being discussed, but future European participation is not ruled out.

Research institution Tiger Research researcher Ryan Yoon released the final report of the prediction market series, discussing whether prediction markets have practical utility. The report states that participants bear the judgment results with funds, and prices are updated in real-time with new information, forming probability distributions comparable to traditional polls, expert surveys, and economic forecasts; prediction markets have expanded from sports and election predictions to macroeconomic and geopolitical data infrastructure.The report lists that Google Finance, CNBC, CNN, and The Wall Street Journal have displayed prediction market probabilities, and the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, Intercontinental Exchange, along with the electronic bond trading platform Tradeweb, distributes relevant data to institutional clients. A working paper from the Federal Reserve Board describes the prediction market Kalshi as a high-frequency, continuously updated benchmark with rich information distribution. The paper states that Kalshi's median and mode predictions for the federal funds rate recorded perfectly the day before the FOMC meeting and significantly outperformed federal funds futures during that period; compared to Bloomberg consensus, it is more accurate for overall CPI and statistically similar for core CPI and unemployment rate.The report also cites research from the Iowa Electronic Markets: in five U.S. presidential elections from 1988 to 2004, and in a comparison of 964 polls, it was more accurate in 74% of cases; the average voting share error one week before the election was 1.5 percentage points, lower than Gallup's final poll of 2.1 percentage points. The report suggests that the platform needs to deepen liquidity to resist manipulation, communicate with regulatory agencies, and position itself as a monitoring tool while maintaining open transparency and data supported by independent research.

CoinGecko's report on the cryptocurrency industry for the third quarter of 2026 shows that the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies increased by 39.6% quarter-on-quarter, rising by $840.1 billion to approximately $3 trillion, ending three consecutive quarters of decline and marking the largest quarterly increase since the fourth quarter of 2024. However, the total market capitalization is still down 4% year-to-date.In terms of mainstream assets, Ethereum (ETH) rose 71% in the quarter to $2,684, outperforming Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies, with net inflows into spot ETH ETFs reaching $3.1 billion for the quarter. Hyperliquid (HYPE) surged to an all-time high of $98, driven by favorable regulatory news in the U.S., with a quarterly increase of 40.5%. Meanwhile, trading activity failed to keep pace with the price rebound. The average daily trading volume in the cryptocurrency market decreased by 8.6% quarter-on-quarter to $73.3 billion, while the spot trading volume of the top ten centralized exchanges fell by 14.2% to $1.65 trillion. Binance's spot market share rose to 42.7%, up from 38.7% in the second quarter; the total open interest in perpetual contracts on centralized exchanges grew by 40.6% quarter-on-quarter, surpassing $100 billion at the end of the quarter for the first time since the third quarter of 2025.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that since September 22, Bitcoin has continued to show a net outflow from exchanges, with the current 30-day average net outflow being about 1,500 BTC per day, a significant decrease from approximately 3,000 BTC a week ago.However, this decline is mainly due to the large outflow data from September 22 exiting the 30-day statistical window, rather than any recent large-scale capital inflow back to exchanges.

According to RootData's popular TradFi asset data, as of the time of publication, UNITREE, MINIMAX, and ZHIPU rank in the top three in popularity, with a collective significant price increase over 24 hours, with increases of 21.38%, 17.16%, and 8.12%, corresponding to prices of $93.32, $24.01, and $63.19, respectively.

Recently, according to the latest weekly report jointly released by RWA Foundation and Token Terminal, from October 12 to 19, the market capitalization of USDD increased by 180.3 million USD, accounting for about 40% of the total increase of 449.1 million USD among the top ten similar stablecoin issuers during the same period, ranking first. During the same period, Sky ranked second with an increase of 86 million USD, and United Stables ranked fifth with an increase of 22.8 million USD.The report data shows that the market capitalization increase of USDD significantly outpaced other major similar stablecoin projects that week, reflecting its rapid expansion in circulation scale recently. All data in the report comes from Token Terminal, providing the latest observations on recent capital inflows and changes in issuance scale in the stablecoin market.

According to the market intelligence platform Liquid247.xyz, Hyperliquid perpetual BTC has approximately 201.43 buy orders placed at $81,800, with a nominal value of about $16.48 million, retracting about 0.01% from the mid-price of approximately $81,812 at that time.The total near-end market buy orders amount to approximately $27.08 million, while sell orders are about $536,000, resulting in a net buy of approximately $26.55 million, accounting for 96.12% of the total depth.