guidance

IBM's revenue for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 was 17.1 billion dollars, a year-on-year increase of about 5%. The adjusted earnings per share were 2.95 dollars, both exceeding analysts' expectations. The company raised its full-year software revenue growth guidance to about 7%–8% and increased its full-year free cash flow growth guidance to over 1 billion dollars.Previously delayed software and mainframe deals, due to customer spending shifting towards data center infrastructure, have started to sign contracts. Free cash flow for the first nine months totaled 8 billion dollars, setting a historical record for the same period. IBM's stock price fell 4.95% in after-hours trading, closing at 239.02 dollars.

Tesla (TSLA.O) Chief Financial Officer announced that this year's capital expenditure guidance has been raised to 20 billion dollars.

The website of the China Securities Regulatory Commission shows that CITIC Securities released the "Report on the Progress of the Guidance Work for the Initial Public Offering and Listing of MiniMax Group Inc. (Phase II)" on October 15. This phase of guidance started on July 10, 2026, and lasted for more than three months. CITIC Securities, together with Tongshang Law Firm and Ernst & Young, continuously monitors the company's operational performance and compliance in accordance with regulatory requirements and the guidance agreement, and conducts guidance through on-site training and communication on specific issues.The report states that the guidance target has established an internal governance structure and relevant company management systems, but there is still room for optimization in execution. CITIC Securities will collaborate with intermediary institutions, combine due diligence, continuously refine and improve corporate governance and standardized operations, propose rectification suggestions, and supervise the implementation of internal controls. In the next phase, work will continue with Tongshang Law Firm and Ernst & Young, focusing on enhancing standardized operational levels and preparing for guidance acceptance.On May 29, 2026, CITIC Securities signed a guidance agreement with MiniMax and submitted a guidance filing application to the Shanghai Regulatory Bureau of the China Securities Regulatory Commission on the same day, which was accepted, marking MiniMax's official entry into the guidance period. The large model company MiniMax (00100.HK) was listed on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on January 9, 2026, approximately four years from establishment to listing, and has focused on the research and development of full-modal models since its inception.

Spot gold rose slightly on Tuesday but remained trading below $4,200 per ounce. This followed a sell-off in the precious metals market triggered by U.S. Treasury yields rising to multi-decade highs and an increase in oil prices. IG analysts stated that gold only rebounded slightly due to market expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain high interest rates for a longer period. Traders expect a 72.5% probability of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve in October. The market is focused on U.S. economic data, including the Consumer Confidence Index and job vacancy data.

Federal Reserve Chairman Waller stated that he would not disclose details of the Federal Open Market Committee's future interest rate decisions and emphasized that he is not responsible for providing forward guidance.Waller mentioned that today's rate hike decision was made after careful consideration, not driven by the market, but based on an assessment of the current situation, employment trends, and economic strength.

According to the FCA official website, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) of the United Kingdom has released new guidance on the regulation of crypto assets to help businesses understand the scope and authorization requirements of the future crypto asset regime in the UK. This regime will officially take effect on October 25, 2027, and the application channel for authorization will open on September 30, 2026.The guidance covers activities such as issuing qualified stablecoins, operating crypto asset trading platforms, trading and matching, crypto asset custody, and staking arrangements. FCA Executive Director David Geale stated that this guidance aims to provide clarity for businesses so they can confidently prepare for regulation. The government has also made targeted amendments to relevant laws, introducing certain exemption clauses and further clarifying provisions for specific technology service providers. The FCA will launch a special consultation in October regarding the aforementioned legal changes, involving topics such as qualified stablecoins, proprietary trading and market making, decentralized protocols, and financial promotions.

Zhipu stated in a conference call with analysts and investors that it has signed revenue-sharing agreements with several leading domestic and international cloud service providers, and the related revenue will start to be recognized from October.The cooperation model involves providing services for the GLM series of open-source models in the form of hosted APIs on overseas cloud platforms. Currently, the company's total business ARR has reached 1.8 billion USD, and the year-end ARR guidance has been raised from 2.4 billion USD to 3 billion USD.

NASDAQ-listed company Hyperion DeFi (NASDAQ: HYPD) announced on September 8, 2026, an upward revision of its full-year guidance for 2026 and initiated a common stock repurchase plan of up to $20 million. The company claims to be the first publicly listed DeFi company in the U.S. built on Hyperliquid. The full-year adjusted gross profit guidance has been raised from the previous $5 million to $7 million to $7 million to $8 million.The company expects adjusted net operating cash flow to turn positive in the third quarter of 2026, earlier than the previous expectation of "turning positive by the end of 2026"; and it anticipates that core operating income will turn positive in the third quarter, with adjusted gross profit from the core DeFi business expected to exceed operating expenses after excluding equity incentives for the first time. The adjusted gross profit guidance for the third quarter is $2 million to $2.5 million, with operating expenses after excluding equity incentives at $2 million to $2.25 million, and core operating income at $0 to $500,000.The board has authorized the repurchase of up to $20 million of common stock in circulation within a maximum of 12 months, which can be conducted through open market purchases, private negotiations, block trades, and other methods, with no specific quantity guaranteed. The plan may be extended, suspended, or terminated at any time. CEO Hyunsu Jung stated that the DeFi business has accelerated recently, and the core business in the third quarter is expected to achieve breakeven in terms of profit and cash flow, noting that HYPD common stock is currently trading at a discount of about 20% to 30% relative to net assets.

Huobi HTX will hold a themed debate today at 20:00 titled "The Federal Reserve Cuts Forward Guidance: Regaining Independence or Triggering Market Panic?"The affirmative side representatives Li Qian, Guobao, Wanqu, and yuli will engage in dialogue with the negative side representatives Mr. Mis, Zizi, 0xmeg, and Qingfeng, focusing on the potential impacts of the Federal Reserve's weakening of forward guidance on policy transparency, market expectations, and asset pricing changes, as well as discussing how U.S. stocks, gold, and crypto assets will be repriced.

On August 27, NVIDIA announced its financial report, with Q2 revenue for FY2027 at $96.2B, a year-on-year increase of 106%. Data center revenue was $89.0B, a year-on-year increase of 117%. The Q3 revenue guidance is $108B, and it anticipates a revenue growth of about 70% for FY28. WEEX TradFi shows that the AI hardware sector is also rising, with Lumentum (LITE) up 10.16% in 24 hours, Arm (ARM) up 8.19%, and Western Digital (WDC) up 7.82%.WEEX Labs believes that this round of market activity is driven by "AI inflection point + high growth guidance," with funds spreading from GPUs to optical interconnects and storage. The short-term main focus remains on re-pricing guidance, and caution is advised regarding volatility after expectations are fulfilled.

NVIDIA's revenue for the second quarter of fiscal year 2027 increased by more than double year-on-year to $96.22 billion, exceeding market expectations of $92.17 billion; adjusted earnings per share were $2.22, surpassing the expected $2.10. Data center revenue grew more than double to $89 billion, higher than the expected $85.08 billion. The company expects third-quarter revenue of $108 billion (with a fluctuation of 2%), above analysts' expectations of $104.19 billion; the adjusted gross margin is expected to be 74% (with a fluctuation of 0.5 percentage points), lower than the market expectation of 74.77%.NVIDIA expects revenue to grow by about 70% in fiscal year 2028 and to expand its collaboration with AWS, with both parties planning to deploy an additional 2 million NVIDIA GPUs in Amazon's global infrastructure in 2027 and 2028. The company stated that revenue opportunities for AI chips could exceed $1 trillion before 2027. The third-quarter guidance does not include any sales from data center chips in China.After the earnings report was released, NVIDIA's stock price rose over 4% in after-hours trading. As of Wednesday's close, the market capitalization was approximately $5.16 trillion, with the stock price having increased by 12.4% year-to-date.

NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang stated that the company has never provided performance guidance a year in advance.

Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh stated that NVIDIA's second-quarter earnings exceeding expectations has become a consensus, with the market focusing on AI spending outlook. Rakesh expects NVIDIA's adjusted earnings per share to be $2.08, with revenue at $92 billion, and the actual figures may be higher. He maintains a "Outperform" rating and a target price of $300.

According to the Financial Times, even after deciding not to disclose too many details about interest rate strategies, which led to a significant sell-off of government bonds, Federal Reserve Chairman Waller still insists on his usual concise communication style.People close to Waller have stated that he acknowledges making some mistakes in the first 10 weeks of leading the world's most important central bank, including failing to reinforce his key messages about price stability and causing confusion about whether his long-term plans to reform the Federal Reserve would affect recent policy decisions. However, they insist that these mistakes are not enough to overturn Waller's plans for Federal Reserve reform.Informed sources also revealed that if strong inflation data is released in the coming weeks and market expectations for rising borrowing costs increase, Waller is prepared to raise interest rates at the September meeting. The sources added that although the Federal Reserve Chairman has suggested the possibility of reducing the central bank's $6.7 trillion balance sheet to tighten monetary policy, interest rates remain the primary tool and will be used if necessary at the upcoming meeting.

According to Jinshi reports, BlueBay Chief Investment Officer Mark Dowding pointed out in a report that if Federal Reserve Chairman Waller abandons forward guidance, it may increase the market's risk of losing confidence in the Federal Reserve. He stated that during the periods when previous Federal Reserve chairmen implemented forward guidance, the institution enjoyed a high level of trust and credibility. However, if it falls into a state of information vacuum, market doubts may intensify, and trust in the Federal Reserve may begin to waver.Dowding also noted that the current level of U.S. debt has reached a historic high, and if a laissez-faire attitude is taken towards market trends, it could lay the groundwork for significant risk hazards.

Robinhood released its Q2 2026 financial report, with net revenue of $1.31 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32%, exceeding analysts' expectations of $1.28 billion; net profit of $573 million, a year-on-year increase of 48%; diluted earnings per share of $0.62, a year-on-year increase of 48%. Adjusted EBITDA was $741 million, a year-on-year increase of 35%, exceeding the expected $629 million. Net deposits reached a record high of $21.7 billion, with Gold subscription users reaching 4.8 million, a year-on-year increase of 39%. Cryptocurrency revenue was $100 million, exceeding the expected $86.6 million; options revenue was $342 million, a year-on-year increase of 29%. ARPU reached $187, a year-on-year increase of 24%.The company expects adjusted operating expenses and equity incentives for the full year to be $2.675 to $2.775 billion, lower than previous guidance and market expectations. During the period, Trump account registrations exceeded 7 million, with deposits nearing $1.5 billion; Robinhood Chain mainnet launched; Singapore obtained a capital markets services license; completed the acquisition of WonderFi. After the financial report was released, Robinhood rose about 4% in after-hours trading.